
Moving Average Crossover Strategy Shows 6.9% Annual Return in Backtest
The moving average crossover approach generates mechanical buy or sell signals when a fast and a slow average intersect. Common pairings include 9/21 EMA for short‑term trades, 20/50 SMA for swing trades, and the classic 50/200 SMA Golden Cross for long‑term trends. Backtests of the Golden Cross from 1960 to present delivered a 6.9% annual return.

The March 18 Sell‑on‑the‑Pop Prospects list highlights 46 ETFs that meet a two‑step technical screen: a 50‑day moving average below the 200‑day average indicating a longer‑term downtrend, and a price above the 20‑day average suggesting a short‑term pop. A liquidity filter removes funds trading under one‑million average daily shares. Market context includes a U.S. equity retreat driven by persistent inflation, renewed rate‑risk concerns, and a weakening dollar. Notable entries are leveraged Palantir ETFs, multiple Ethereum and Bitcoin funds, and several VIX‑linked volatility products.
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📺 BIG DAY FOR MEMORY STOCKS The real move in names like $MU, $SNDK, and $WDC happened before $MU earnings, not because of them. A textbook sequence played out: red dog reversal, relative strength vs a weak market, clean holds of...
Bitcoin surged past $75,000 early Tuesday, breaking a long‑term resistance corridor and triggering a sharp rally. The move was underpinned by the tightest monthly Bollinger Band squeeze on record and a massive unwind of bearish options positions, creating a potent...
📺 WHY THIS FED MOVE СOULD BE SOLD 🛑 Get my newsletter tomorrow: https://t.co/Rqp84Wg39F The market has shown short-term strength going into the Fed today. $SPY has rallied meaningfully from around $662.34 to the $674 area, a solid move given the macro backdrop...

#Bitcoin correcting. This could be due to the upcoming macroeconomic week with the FOMC Meeting tonight. Very likely to be risk-off going into that one given that oil has skyrocketed. Regardless, I think that it's simply rejecting on a resistance and therefore looking...
U.S. equity indexes rose Tuesday, with the S&P 500 up 0.2% to 6,716 and the Nasdaq climbing 0.5% to 22,480, while the dollar index slipped about 0.2% to 99.62. The moves came amid easing oil prices, softer rate‑cut expectations and...
Good read on Biopharma M&A by RBC , little mention to Betaville, Bloomberg, FT , oand ofc the standout $RVMD Our biopharma team is out with an M&A discussion piece - given the importance of M&A to the sector, it is...
🚨 Morning Market Rundown – March 18, 2026 🚨 Big macro day ahead — inflation + Fed decision = expect volatility spikes and potential trend shifts. This is a trader’s day, not a passenger’s day ⚡️🧠 Macro Focus: 0830 - PPI (inflation...

Multi‑timeframe analysis pairs a higher‑level chart to set market direction with a lower‑level chart to time entries and exits. The approach was backtested on the XLP consumer‑staples ETF, using a 250‑day, 22‑day and three‑day pullback filter, resulting in 316 trades....

The Nifty Bank index opened on March 18 with a modest gap‑up to 54,927, edging to 54,950 by mid‑session, a 0.15 % rise. While the advances‑to‑declines ratio of 11 to 3 suggests a short‑term bullish tilt, gains were led by Federal Bank and AU Small...

While Equities have been able to bounce as WTI has shown a mild rollover (and this likely continues for 2-3 more days) along w/ US Dollar, Yields pulling back, the broader pattern should still allow for an eventual push back...

While many continue to sit as stocks like NVDA go through multiple months of consolidation, others like the Optical names like $CIEN continue to push sharply back to new highs along with many memory names @IBDinvestors @marketsurge This bifurcation vs....

Barclays’ Equity Timing Indicator has fallen to -8.3, the strongest buy signal for U.S. equities in about a year. The gauge, which blends sentiment, positioning and macro data, sits in a range historically linked to 6.6% average forward returns over...

Miners $GDXJ vs Gold $GLD. Very close to support. Interestingly, only 1 of the last 5 corrections even reached the trendline. The end may be nigh. https://t.co/oK6drb2TpF

Sometimes zooming in can be more helpful than zooming out. Sellers remain in control until this downtrend changes https://t.co/0B4gscbTXl
On March 16‑17, 2026, renewed Iranian strikes on oil infrastructure drove Brent crude above $100 a barrel, sparking a rally in both U.S. and European equity markets. The S&P 500 jumped 1%, the Dow added 387 points, and the Stoxx...

$V Daily. Fresh breakdown and multi-quarter lows for Visa. Other credit cards look similar: $AXP $COF $MA. Continued short ideas. Recession indicator https://t.co/PMviYmmHiu
$BX tapping on the 21ma daily. Will move up some of the stops if holds over it.
On March 17, 2026, the Federal Reserve opened its two‑day policy meeting in Washington while U.S. equity futures rose, with the Dow up 0.1%, the S&P 500 up 0.3% and the Nasdaq up 0.5%. Investors weighed a 99% probability that...

$CARR with reversal confirmed and back over 100ma daily. There is a small gap overhead and the 20/50ma's won't be easy and stops will be moved to no green to red rather quick. https://t.co/PYtq0MBJu3

Gold has dropped below 5,000 and cleared its 50-day SMA for the first time in 146 trading days above the moving average. We haven't seen a bullish move of that magnitude (spot above 50 SMA) since March 17, 2008...Remarkable coincidence https://t.co/yoJTpSTTBz
Bitcoin surged past $74,000, its highest level since early February, reigniting enthusiasm across crypto‑related equities. Coinbase (COIN) reclaimed a key resistance zone, extending a three‑day winning streak after a 16% jump following its latest earnings release and a prior 12%...

$IBIT - I know it's a messy looking chart...but this is how I'm managing my puts (noted yesterday). Get above that AVWAP - ill close it. *Also functioning as a hedge against my $IGV and $COIN positions. https://t.co/pSBzB90JwN

US equities open lower with the Dow gapping down and in turn holding to its multi-week descending channel https://t.co/ZEWi9gngsN

The blog post by Henrik Zeberg questions whether MicroStrategy’s upcoming “Wave C” capital raise could propel the stock to a new all‑time high. It references the company’s previous financing waves, which together raised roughly $2.2 billion and helped fund its aggressive Bitcoin...
$LULU "Trade Idea 4: Sell the March 140/187.50 Strangle for a $2.20 credit.' looks to expire, let IV fall then can buy to close or watch
So many important areas of the market have failed their breakouts....if you use intermarket analysis...why would the assumption be small caps won't? We have no confirmation from anywhere else in the market it would? Energy(ish) stocks literally the only area of the...
Texas Instruments (TXN) has fallen 15.8% from its February peak, trading around $195 and showing a third straight daily gain. The stock is testing a historically bullish trendline near its 80‑day moving‑average ATR, a signal that has preceded an 87%...

$spx futures from +35 to -25 It’s good to get up early and manage ur positions. $spy chart https://t.co/jgRx8rsmyg

If u sold strength or stopped out in $gld last week. This $450-$451 one area is an interesting spot to watch https://t.co/BNDVEeTVUI
Dow Inc. has surged 58.4% year‑to‑date, closing near a 12‑month high of $37.75 after Wells Fargo lifted its price target to $45. The stock is now within 3% of its 24‑month moving average and testing a long‑term bearish trendline that...

Breadth just cleared the 5-day, and the best-looking charts are still the inverse ETFs. That tells you everything about this tape. 3/18: Transition phase. Initiating small pilots in theme-in-play names. Not forcing it. https://t.co/tWty14oJip
After each trade entry, immediately set a stop loss. This will greatly reduce your trading stress and anxiety. It helps your trading psychology.

Who's the latest brilliant Hedge Fund guy who shorted South Korean Stocks AFTER a correction? https://t.co/aP0iJRzIRj

IMPACT @t1alpha All 4 of these widely bag-held stocks continue to signal Bearish TREND @Hedgeye = $LLY $NVDA $AVGO $META https://t.co/kg1UG6fV2x

HIGH YIELD: Stocks trying for Day3 of squeezage off Friday's oversold lows... But High Yield (bearish TREND in #Quad3) didn't really care yesterday Different market structure vs. the #MOAB in US Stocks https://t.co/b4jIP7TEiK

Silver consolidating record run for 7 weeks now. Almost near uptrend support. Getting oversold. Selling volume drying up. 200 dma over $50 now which is great for the junior miners. $slv $gdxj https://t.co/kEtElzonWZ
Nice to see an accumulation day for the Nasdaq Composite. I define it as an up day on higher volume than the previous day. In addition, there's VERY strong price action in many growth stocks beneath the surface. ARKK (a...

Trading with Logic, Not Emotion The market doesn’t reward guesses it rewards structure. This setup highlights a clean rejection from a higher timeframe supply zone, followed by a strong bearish move from the order block. When logic meets patience, opportunities become...
Smart Money doesn’t chase the market — it waits for liquidity. Price tapped into the Fair Value Gap after grabbing liquidity and then delivered a clean bearish move. This is the power of ICT & Smart Money Concepts: understanding where institutions...
Call positioning continues across the full spectrum of Biofuel names w/ gasoline prices sky high and 45Z tax credits in focus ADM BG DAR FF GPRE ANDE Could see junky plays GEVO AMTX run as well

The "Magazine Cover" indicator has fired Positioning is bearish, extreme fear, VIX is in retreat... We are getting close to the reversal. The beaten down AI + infrastructure software stocks are coiled springs. $NDX $SPX https://t.co/AD4EpmfDLR
Amazon's AWS growth is expected to be ~7% over the next decade according to CEO. probably should get short... $AMZN

I wouldn't be surprised if we start to see a break upwards on $NQ in the coming weeks. It's been doing nothing for half a year. Given that Gold is going to consolidate, it seems likely that we'll start to see...

$UGA Daily. "You're gonna need a bigger jawbone." White House trying to talk down oil & gasoline prices. But gasoline futures ETF still stretching out higher. https://t.co/vicHCJhxQx
$ALAB no green to red stop hit made 9c a share profit on the remaining shares.

In the last 2 hours we only had 2 candles greater than 20 points in NQ that basically means that we only 10bps moves just 1.6% of the time this afternoon. These are the days that try scalpers souls https://t.co/UBos7R9C8l
$XLE Over $SPY Still In Play A fab long recommendation to clients since January - now overbought. But that doesn't mean it's done ;-) #OOTT $WTIC https://t.co/mlMJdgqOFk
Me running bracket simulations with Monte Carlo using 17 variables....likely to lose to my 7 and 10 year old using a Mascot Strategy