
Moving Average Crossover Strategy Shows 6.9% Annual Return in Backtest
The moving average crossover approach generates mechanical buy or sell signals when a fast and a slow average intersect. Common pairings include 9/21 EMA for short‑term trades, 20/50 SMA for swing trades, and the classic 50/200 SMA Golden Cross for long‑term trends. Backtests of the Golden Cross from 1960 to present delivered a 6.9% annual return.

Vistra Corp (VST) rose 0.9% to $160.41, edging toward its year‑to‑date breakeven level after a prolonged slump. The stock's buy‑to‑open put/call ratio surged into the 90th percentile, crossing 1.0—a signal that has occurred only eight times in the past three years. Historical data shows a 5.4% average return 21 days after such a signal, with a 75% success rate. Meanwhile, the Schaeffer’s Volatility Index sits at 59%, and the Volatility Scorecard rates VST at 5/100, indicating low realized volatility and attractive conditions for premium sellers.

PD Arrays📊 1 Mitigation Block📊 2 Breaker Block📊 3 Fair Value GAP (FVG) 📊 4 Orderblock📊 5 Liquidity Pools 📊
Pinball Sells in SP DOW NAZ Bonds EC Peso and Pinball Buys in CL W $ and CL. markets batting `100% in Asia session. "Turnaround Tuesday" kicking in.
The March 16 mid‑session IV report highlights rising implied volatility across leading tech stocks, with NVIDIA, Broadcom, Arm and CoreWeave showing notable IV levels below their 52‑week peaks. It flags extreme IV spikes for upcoming earnings—Lululemon, DocuSign and Oklo all posting...

Closing in on the 🟠YTD ⚓️VWAP for #Bitcoin after punching thru the 🔴AVWAP from the 2026 high on its third attempt. The YTD AVWAP is a level of interest that has the potential to offer supply which means tighten stops on...
To clarify - the S&P 500 has closed above its 200-day for 212 straight days. There have been 28 other such streaks. In 71% of the cases when it broke below the average after a streak this long it...

The Finviz treemap visualizes today’s stock market activity by mapping each listed company to a square whose size reflects market capitalization and whose color shows intraday price movement. Green squares indicate stocks gaining value, while red squares denote declines. The...
SPX $6630 hit Friday target & we bounced on cue into a 'stabilizing week' ahead of VIX expiration, MU earnings, FOMC, BOJ & month end OpEx. Even chasing $CAVA, swing long $JD & trend long $AA from live trading room. But be...

Had a nice set up on $ZEC here but closed for small profits last week. Worth review though this had all the makings of a good opportunity. 1. Range breakdown with quick reclaim - this becomes a deviation. 2. Morning star reversal pattern. 3....

Jim Cramer’s Investing Club is increasing its exposure to Boeing and Goldman Sachs, buying 25 Boeing shares at about $214 each and 10 Goldman Sachs shares at roughly $797 each. The purchases come as the S&P 500’s Short‑Range Oscillator deepened into...

#BTC For as long as Stablecoin Dominance continues to decline, Bitcoin could indeed continue to enjoy relief USDC Dominance, for example, is pulling back for a post-breakout retest (green circle) akin to the retest in 2022 Still a bit of downside before the...

#BTC After multiple failed post-breakdown retests of the EMA as resistance, Bitcoin now has a chance to do the opposite: Try to post-breakout retest the 200-week EMA into new support But if the EMA failed to act as convincing resistance, is there...

Most traders blame their entries, indicators, or strategy. But the truth is… You lose before the trade even starts. Markets operate like an auction. Once you understand: • Price rotation • Value areas • Market structure Tools like VWAP and Volume Profile finally make sense. Comment “I’m in” and...
BAX hits 52‑week low $16.99 (-49%). EPS miss, rev beat, CFO exit and margin pressure; neutral $24 PT. Risk: execution & profit recovery. Trade: accumulate small near $17 to $24. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov

Silver just made a massive breakout, and the next explosive move could start any day. If you’ve been waiting for a “better entry,” this is the moment the market often doesn’t give you one. Meanwhile, gold & silver mining stocks (GDX...
The A/D line is my least favorite breadth metric… but it’s still one I look at. The main issue I have with it is that it doesn’t capture the severity of moves. It simply counts up vs down. So if 100 stocks are...

Tried to buy Nebius on a breakout late February and got stopped out. Jumped back in last week on a second buy signal, and so far so good on the heels of today's Meta news. Choppy tape, wins and losses,...

$6,800 in 30 minutes. Previous day high retest executed perfectly. This is the result of being patient for your entry.

S&P 500 advance/decline line pulling back to trendline support. S&P 500 index still trading in a big ol' range the past few months, as it works off the historic 40% rally after Liberation Day. Yes, the headlines are really bad, but...

The clock for a potential Zweig Breadth Thrust (ZBT) started last week. Only 2% of all these signals go from oversold (like now) to overbought within 10 days (triggering a signal). But those that do tend to suggest the bulls are...
📺 THIS IS HOW YOU FIND WINNERS IN A CHOPPY MARKET You can still find winning opportunities even when the broader market is weak or choppy. The key is to watch for relative strength. While $SPY was making lows and trading...

🔥 Here’s my #stickynote for March 16, 2026: 📊 Market Insight: Feels like a risk-on environment early this morning. Watching for dip buys in tech and crypto-related names if the broader market holds momentum after the open. Trade Ideas I’m Watching: $TQQQ 46.50...

$NVDA steady in the correction -- hugging 180 zone for 7 months. If market gets legs we like this one, and if market pulls back, then 168 support potential reversal long https://t.co/LpCUhBi2ax

$VIX had to come down with a 1% gain in $SPX. 3.7 points is a big drop for a 1% change, but we've been over-vixxing for a while now, as shown in the second chart. https://t.co/OV1trbLQxV

$SBUX Yeah why wouldn't that bull pennant breakout pump full retrace... this market is whack. https://t.co/9HGI4W4adc

$WNW been a minute since we've had such a clear opportunity Best to be a little late on these types where shorts step in early and add add add. Here was the entry vs $12 risk in @IUTraders Rather be...

Yes, this is why boatloads of $NVDA puts were sold to open this morning And yes, all the other options flow sites thought they bought https://t.co/6AWLqSDvRH

#BTC Historically, Bitcoin tends to experience deep downside over time whenever it breaks down from its Macro Triangle Bitcoin broke down from its Macro Triangle two months ago $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/yvbVEXzNfC

$SATS working on the right side of its new base and trying to get back above its 50-day moving average. Chart courtesy of @marketsurge @IBDinvestors #IBDPartner https://t.co/91XEuEGmgG
A positive for this market is how recent catalyst gaps have been acting. $DELL $CAVA for example
Lots of pumping and dumping going into VRIC mif Bmo and pdac in mining sector. Sell the pump buy the dump.

(PREMIUM) "Tactical Update: March 16, 2026 - Flip A Coin" A buy and a sell in the portfolio today... via The Lyons Share https://t.co/lYU0ep5Duc https://t.co/xS9eTdUWZN

Rio Silver $RYO.V $RYOOF Nearly as oversold as when the last big upside run (a 3-x'er) began ... https://t.co/vZMWuC9GB0

Pretty uneventful month... Market's been sideways... Back and forth battle with the markets lately. Hopefully we break free of chop here this week and we can get some nice moves to profit on. https://t.co/2JEXeqkVuc

probably just another coincidence buyers showed up at daily VWAP "VWAP levels only work in hindsight" LOL https://t.co/lXPBn8PBd1

👀 found a support area on $PLTR, so taking $1 here and letting the rest ride. @traderTVLIVE #trading #stocks https://t.co/twfnjBa8X2

Silver crashed 5% while gold barely moved. When the gold-silver ratio blows out, it's a recession signal — not a metals trade. Watch $SLV relative to $GLD. It's screaming. https://t.co/C4PLSRcWmS
bought to close the $NVDA Mar 165 puts (was a roll from a workout of strangle sales for earnings)

$USO 30-Minute Chart. Nonstop chatter from White House to talk down oil. But each passing day makes bad situation worse. Watch for cup & handle bullish setup https://t.co/KOm9v3I8j9

May Beans: largest daily down bar for May contract. note: Momentum sell div at the top, 3 bar triangle, then range expansion today on downside breakout. Despite news left and right, market technicals remain consistent...

We got the gap up scenario today. Everyone (myself included) expected us to follow through lower https://t.co/wMRUz9Y69p

IF $ takes out Friday low today or tomorrow, it will trigger a WRR sell after climax bar (which means longer directional duration). https://t.co/HpyYJXCsrQ

$IWM down 9% from highs. $SPY down 5%. 400 basis points of divergence. Small caps always crack first. The question is whether large caps follow. History says yes. https://t.co/sp96ah5BoF

RUS: first to go OD up, Dow right there....will SP and Naz follow suit..... https://t.co/rBhP8iope6
Treasury (TLT) early big buying June $84 calls 7000X for $3M, need to see Bonds hold up for stocks to stabilize

$CTMX #1 Pre-market game plan. quick flush to S2 and reversal back up to inflection. worked both directions quickly. tight spread high liquidity. https://t.co/IFVl2Rl3Uu

$SPY Tapped my support and gapped up. If it reclaims Friday's breakdown then likely back to red zone above https://t.co/aYherTDOmp
CHART OF THE DAY: Did You Get Out Of UAE and Into $NORW With Us? https://t.co/eTxtezfj7N via @hedgeye

$ES_F $NQ_F Green is the YTD low day VWAP / red is last wk high anchor = overhead levels of interest ES and NQ purple = new WTD anchor Both are below decl 5sma (not shown) https://t.co/ZoZZ8cTXK0
Meta +3% in premarket (note reuters report on 20% job cuts too) and Nebius +11%