Know What's Happening in Stock Trading
Know What's Happening in Stock Trading
Moving Average Crossover Strategy Shows 6.9% Annual Return in Backtest
The moving average crossover approach generates mechanical buy or sell signals when a fast and a slow average intersect. Common pairings include 9/21 EMA for short‑term trades, 20/50 SMA for swing trades, and the classic 50/200 SMA Golden Cross for long‑term trends. Backtests of the Golden Cross from 1960 to present delivered a 6.9% annual return.
Lawrence McMillan notes that the S&P 500 closed at 6,673, slipping below its December low of 6,720 and breaking a key support level. Historical data shows that when the index falls below such a low in Q1, a subsequent 10% decline often follows. Put‑call ratios and VIX‑related metrics are trending higher, signaling heightened bearish sentiment and rising implied volatility. McMillan advises a bearish SPY vertical put spread and selective VIX futures trades to profit from the anticipated market weakness.
🚨 WEBINAR ALERT 🚨 - 30 Years of Market Secrets: Rohit Srivastava Reveals the RMI Strategy to Buy and Sell Stocks. Markets go through cycles — bubbles, crashes, panic, and powerful rallies. Over the last 30 years, Rohit Srivastava has navigated all...
Nifty Analysis And Prediction For Today 13 March 2026 By Rohit Srivastava | Indiacharts The breakdown of the head and shoulders pattern below 24,600 has led to a sharp drop, with a downside target of 22,700. A long-term trendline from...
DigitalOcean Holdings (DOCN) surged 10.77% to $68.69 as investors bet on its growing role in enterprise AI infrastructure. The rally follows a Q4 2025 earnings beat, with EPS of $0.44 and revenue of $242.39 million, outpacing expectations. Trading volume jumped to...
$SPX closed below the Dec low and today's gap, unlike others recently, wasn't closed during the day. This isn't fatal yet (the Jan 20 one [dashed line] wasn't closed until the following day) but the bullish forces need to pull...
Not for nothing but any other time in say the last 8 years of Fintwit the current broadening $ES_F chart would have hundreds of 07-08 analogs on it.
A new screen highlights 15 heavily shorted stocks that could trigger short squeezes as bearish positions face large losses. The analysis, compiled by Patrick Martin, uses a year‑long short‑interest history and two‑week average prices to estimate the cost basis of...
This was a lot of fun. Check out my poolside chat with @stephenweitzel from yesterday We talk about the action in crude oil and energy, the intermarket implications of a big level for the US dollar index, and how to play...
CF Industries $CF was the strongest outperformer today within $SPX and it continues to be right to favor Agriculture & food prices in 2026 @IBDinvestors @marketsurge I added one of its competitors to UPTICKS for my early March addition and while...
HIMS shares leapt 10.3% to $25.88 on unusually high volume, despite no public earnings release or clear catalyst. The telehealth firm recently posted Q4 2025 earnings of $0.08 per share, beating consensus, on revenue of $617.8 million. Prior quarter results...
The S&P 500 just closed beneath the December low in the Q1. 38 times this happened and 38 times it didn't. When it breaks (like this year) the avg full yr return is 0.2% and up only 50% of time versus 18.9%...
$SPX - We are getting a lower low after all. Going back to the April low, we've had a ~80 trading day cycle. Due to many holidays in this cycle, I expect this cycle to be shorter in trading days...
🚨DG (dollar general)🚨 This was one of the quicker trades we’ve taken lately (20-25% in 2 hours and closed) The reason why I knew to scale in? ✅ company just double beat on earnings this morning ✅ company has a projection price target of...
$LWLG having itself a day after inking a new agreement. Still a young company with a ton of execution risk, but near-term sentiment is bullish. 8% short float..could trigger a mini short squeeze if volume increases.
After a historic rally from the Liberation Day lows, I don't think the pause around here that we've seen for months is all that surprising. This is also a 161.8% retracement of the bear market from last year. Random? Maybe, but...
$USOIL - As I've already stated I think that a major top is already in, but whenever a commodity goes parabolic, it usually doesn't collapse in a straight line, but retraces a significant portion of the initial decline. The upside...
How wild would it be if everyone who called for Black Monday last weekend was just a week early? The market is being consistently walked down and eventually people come to their senses as to what's going on and the walk...
Here's an indicator which points to an imminent low for stocks. The $SPX McClellan oscillator closed at -95 and is extremely oversold. It's more oversold now than it was at last April's low when it bottomed at -87. https://t.co/pICqvPPG02
NEW: The S&P 500 fell 1.5% today, erasing nearly $1 trillion in value Crypto held mostly unchanged
The S&P 500 closed below its 170-day moving average for the first time since May.
Equal-Weight Materials backtesting the breakout from the 2022 & 2024 highs. That level mattered then, matters now. $RSPM $XLB https://t.co/4V8doWcsR4
S&P 500's worst close of the year... lowest since late November -4.5% from the January record high https://t.co/kASRYfc9MR
Homebuilders $XHB worst 9-day selloff since June 2022 -13% since the first of the month. The housing market sucks. @stockcharts https://t.co/wJDyxPUMdv
What's the Land's End $LE stub worth? I guess we'll know next week. If there's any interest I'll write it up, still an opportunity to enter & tender ahead of next Thursday's earnings (where I expect a clean PF bridge...
$SPX has traded below the latest trading box for 7 straight days. Only closed below it twice. Today would be the 3rd. https://t.co/gYeIND2TmK
There's actually a pretty decent list of S&P 500 52wk highs... bunch of food/ag, chemicals, refiners @stockcharts 1-in-4ish US stocks are up today https://t.co/ebgPXxwKyU
As the front part of the curve moves closer toward pricing in Fed rate hikes, SPX is down just 1.2%... and the Russell 2000 isn't getting killed $SPY $IWM https://t.co/ITSA3q3sjN
$BROS no green to red stop hit all out made OK money on the remaining shares.
Do or die $TSLA downsloping 20sma holding it down, 200sma holding it up. One will break soon. Place your bets. https://t.co/csbOJugLZu
$QQQ. We've been unable to break above and hold the 21ema Was expecting expansion given the tight closes and we expanded to the downside. Can we finally form a higher low? https://t.co/CDUK1fALp5
Methanex (MEOH) up over 9% now with buyers 2850 April $65 calls $2.10 to $2.45 The research works .. https://t.co/MV0sW89wl4
Over the past past 20 years, the S&P 500 has bottomed for the year on March 12th. Today is March 12. https://t.co/1JGQH2gnm2
$DKS for the $200 roll lets see if it sticks/holds over this time. Still own full + paydays
$APD Daily. Air Products another chemicals play, besides $DOW $LYB charts we noted yesterday, thriving given supply constrains in Middle East. Falling channel breakout https://t.co/aeAMmA94lv
The Nasdaq 100 is staring down its 200-day SMA just like the Dow and S&P 500. Notably, the index is sporting its 2nd smallest 6-month range (as a percentage of spot) on record: https://t.co/D3FuDpSJFh
Mosaic (MOS) 9100 April $37.5 calls buy 1.05 as these names keep going The power of industry-wide flow trends
Chasing stocks that are soaring can be tempting — but those gains can vanish quickly amid market volatility. https://t.co/sMK6GH12Xx
British Pound Short-term Outlook: GBP/USD Bears Charge Pivotal Support for a Seventh Time https://t.co/S0r6Spt5dp $GBPUSD Daily & 240min Charts https://t.co/HERuBmlZ9Y
It's a sea of red across the momentum portfolio today, one of the few green standouts is Circle hanging tough $CRCL https://t.co/2fGzV4CD5u
A mere 66% downside day at 11:00. Has no significance. DVOL/(UVOL+DVOL); Lowry’s definition. Data per https://t.co/iX5L1DJIjD. See https://t.co/7TpOm9eA5A for explanation.
$USO leads everything today in IV30 rise, +15%, the exact opposite of what we want to see
Those who smoke brisket can relate. In big move days the move happens rapidly till about now. Then the combination of 0DTE and leveraged ETF rebalance flows causes a 4 hour stall. Wrap the meat. Leave...
Break last week, follow through down this week thus far $SPY as underside resistance held. Drift down to next support would not surprise us (650s) https://t.co/DqWUufZwgu
I thought $aapl would act better this morning. It didn’t. Hurt a bit. $254 a key level now
Wow. The cost for protection is nearly off the charts. Feels extreme given S&P 500 is about 4% from new ATHs. Nice one from @MacroCharts
Full shut-in of the MEG (AG) is obviously bearish for short- mid-term #tanker markers. The tanker stocks are betting this lasts *months*. Oil is partially reflecting, but $SPY is wildly bloated. Trade: -Bullish oil firms: $KOS -Mega bearish $SPY -Holding key tankers: $DHT $STNG
$DKS gap up and pullback now well over yesterday close on ER. New here on the pullback
Intraday breadth levels --10:05 AM. At 10:00 AM is typically when you get gap down bounces. Let's see how this plays out. https://t.co/KEBy6nTMTA
$spy failed it reclaim $673 and now below $669.50. See if it stays below. Fast tape. $662ish is low of the week
$SOX Daily. Heckuva spot for semiconductors to fail: potential head & shoulders top & lower high. $NVDA has been negatively diverging from sector for months https://t.co/LiA0UEyDIL
