First Hour Reveals Trend, Chop, Fade via IB
Stop chasing breakouts ❌ The first hour tells you everything: 📈 Above IB = trend 🔁 Inside IB = chop 🎯 Edges = fade Comment IB and I’ll send you the free indicator 🔥 #daytrading #futures #tradingtips #priceaction #vwap
When Price and Earnings Momentum Align, Opportunities Soar
Price momentum and earnings momentum are not the same thing... but the best opportunities often happen when they align. Alex Carteau @EpsMomentum joins me on the pod to talk about timing, earnings gaps, and post-earnings drift. Worth a watch. ...
Mag 7 Holds; Break Lows Threaten Broader Market
My focus continues to be on the Mag 7, which has remained in its narrow range since last October. Should we break the lows, the broader indices will be at risk of a deeper correction. https://t.co/DCwPOyMXCH
Kyle's FLR Buy Hits New Afternoon Highs
Kyle came up w nice Buy in FLR 3 days ago....gap fill areas overhead. It's making new highs in the afternoon. https://t.co/j9h7t93ayn
USO Soars Post‑$124.50;
$USO incredible since $124.50 clear out. Wish $SLV had been this damn friendly. $SLV had so many V shape reversals and very easy to minimize trades if only covering 1/3-1/2 etc.
Calls Surge
Calls doubled on that move but reject at VWAP, likely round trip them waiting for the rip yo face off that never comes lol. But, worth the risk if it does 🤷♂️
BE Shows Strong Move Off Key Pivot Level
$BE remains a focus (and a wild one) Nice action off the 50 & prior base pivot level https://t.co/yaovLcqxUf
METC Poised for 2026 Earnings Turnaround, Shorts May Unwind
$METC - coal stocks gaining traction. 2026 is expected to be a turnaround year for them, with EPS set to turn positive in the second half. Short float is at 27%...these short sellers may start closing as the company begins to...
Modest S&P Drawdown Leaves Market Vulnerable to War Mis‑read
The heatmap below shows that the drawdown for the S&P 500 remains modest at -5.4%. The market is only modestly oversold with 32% of stocks above their 50-day moving average. Sentiment is mixed and both earnings expectations and margins remain...
Gold Slides 17% as Key Support Crumbles
Gold Price Short-term Outlook: XAU/USD Plunges 17% – Key Support Break Sparks Risk https://t.co/oj3h71da7v $XAUUSD Daily & 240min Charts https://t.co/ehqks3gynu
Adobe Stock Plummets to 7‑year Low as AI Loser
Adobe Stock Hits 7-Year Low After It's Branded AI Loser https://t.co/CDZou0lrKO $ADBE $DOCU $HUBS $MSFT $ORCL
Canadian Solar Nears Breakout After 28% Decline
Canadian Solar $CSIQ shareholders quietly singing to themselves, "the sun will come out... tomorrow??"... the stock is -27.9% and trading right back to the Oct 1/25 breakout bar... https://t.co/SKgnzJIXax
Energy Stocks Overbought After Mid‑January Surge
energy stocks seem a tad (short-term) stretched and pretty cleary overbought... since they took off (no, not when Iran was attacked) but instaed in mid-January as they broke out, they've had little in the way of pullback... $XEG $XLE
S&P Hits Q1 Record, yet Undercuts Prior Q4 Lows
Random: Calendar years where the S&P 500 sets a new ATH in Q1 - yet also trades to a lower quarterly low than Q4 of the prior year? $spx Mar-25 Mar-22 Mar-20 Mar-94 Mar-90 ...
YPF
YPF now seeing buyers 3500 May $42 calls for $3.15 to $3.20, nice run already from last week write up https://t.co/4fVGR5BExA
VIX Plunge Signals Rising Market Complacency Amid Stress
$VIX: 27.85 on March 13. 21.51 now. A 6+ point collapse in one week while oil trades near $100, the Fed just held, and private credit is cracking. Complacency doesn't announce itself. It just shows up in the $VIX. https://t.co/QOUSwv6YZ0
Heavily‑shorted Oil Services Rally as Iran Concerns Ease
$RIG Daily. Heavily-shorted oil services play still consolidating well in uptrend. Market sorting out Iran issues, but Transocean remains in play for new leg higher https://t.co/EZ3IJqVcHW
VXUS Holds 76, Eyes 20‑Week SMA Breakout
$VXUS holding this 76 support is a good start, would like to see it go back over 20sma weekly. If it does not hold the bounce next support is 70 zone https://t.co/TnlCPcH9W4
Silver Holds Above $64, Poised for April Rebound
$Silver is trading below its 100 day MA for the 1st time since its April 2025 low. However, I don't think it's relevant since it retested the February low earlier today, so unless it breaks below 64 it probably made...
QQQ Repeatedly Breaks Pre‑Market Support, Turning It Into Resistance
$QQQ has failed 3X at pre-market support. *support becomes resistance*. why does this happen so often? https://t.co/0jxQyPgMtd
Emerging Markets Hold Up, S&P Bounces After Pullback
emerging markets $EEM vs. S&P 500 $SPX still looks legit and bounced after the first "pullback against"... let's keep an eye... https://t.co/2tOH6LJWWS
Gold and Silver Spike After Panic V‑Pattern
$GLD and $SLV incredible panic opp today, started in and then scaled right side of the V @IUTraders https://t.co/eHPwo4cI94
Strong Micron Earnings Fail, Market Shows Weakness
Micron delivered the kind of earnings report that would typically get rewarded. Instead, the stock dropped out the gate. That tells you a lot about the current tape. Our momentum model is long $MU https://t.co/lIbnvWxb3S
Abundant Money Missed: Reevaluate Your Strategy
if you failed to make money on this Open you need to review your process. there was too much money and good risk/reward to have not pulled money out of the market. $QQQ $MU $SLV https://t.co/Ldkou9WOfj
SPX Above 6640 Signals Short‑term Failure Risk
If $SPX gets back above 6640 (and the 200 day MA), we would have a short-term failure on our hands. Not sure if that kick starts anything substantial, but it wouldn't be a terrible look...
Sold Half of March Hedge Discussed on BizBriefing
sold half of the March hedge I spoke of on @BizBriefing this am with @janetonthemoney .
Oversold Doesn't Signal Bullishness; No Reversion Yet
Oversold is NOT Bullish. The REVERSION from Oversold is (can be). *FYI - We have no reversion (yet).
Bearish SLV Call Proven Right as Prices Plunge 44%
Back in January, when I was heckled for this tweet on selling $SLV, it only convinced me more that my analysis—and bearish view—was right. Today, bottom fishers are getting slammed as we hit fresh new lows down over 11% this...
S&P 500
Will look closer later, but this might be the first time in a while the S&P 500 gapped under its 200-day MA without having previously breached it even intraday in the prior months. Interesting.
Micron Bounces to S1, Must Hold
$MU #1 GP nice bounce from S3 to S1. needs to hold above S1 for a real reversal... https://t.co/p5x41JetUu
Call Spread Fails, Roll Down 425 Put
$MU "Trade Idea 2: Buy the March 465/475 Call Spread ($5.00) and sell the March 425 Put for 35 cents." call spread a bust, may need to roll puts down and out
Gold as Collateral; SLV Projected to Dip Below $60
Folks often forget Gold is a collateral trade. Once stuff really starts to break, metals fall fast. I gave $SLV $61 with overshoot to 58.56 . How we doin’? JOIN US LIVE. Trading room starts ...
Yesterday's Performance Snapshot of 20+ Stocks
This is how the stocks of the reporting companies performed yesterday: $OKLO $LULU $DOCU $HQY $ZTO $QFIN $BOBS $KMTS $NN $ANDG $GIS $JBL $M $WSM $BZ $SAIL $HTHT $OSS $BGSI $MOMO https://t.co/brMbX55V6C
S&P 500 Weekly Momentum Remains Low
Week isn't over, but weekly momentum for the S&P 500 is at a pretty low level..... https://t.co/4q8LlgwKjX
Market Breadth Oversold, Bullish Divergence Emerging
still sitting #marketbreadth oversold on the % of stocks in S&P 1500 > 10-day EMA... currently ~20.9% with a slight bullish divergence in development... https://t.co/lAQ6MQiufR
Gold Futures Extend Downward Trend, Key Support Holds
GC: overnight downside follow-through with more range expansion. Key reference point still in play. https://t.co/HJ2JZL0ipm
Testing 6631.50 Swing Low Signals Short Covering
SP - test previous swing low....6631.50. (Will be main reference point for rest of day) but easy to see the initial short covering come in. https://t.co/UBAbLSkevS
Seeking Charts That Disprove Market Breakdown
$EQWL - What's NOT confirming the breakdown taking place in the market? Honestly - share some charts with me. *Note - I don't want to see some really creative relative ratio chart* https://t.co/iVgMBmPQWM
Gold Testing 50‑day Moving Average: Shakeout or Consolidation?
Let’s see if this is shakeout at 50 dma for gold or if it will be start of longer consolidation. $gld https://t.co/MV6awyEjJp
Broad Market Slides, Energy Sector Bucks the Trend
$SPY -0.1% $IWM -0.6% $VEU -0.8% $GLD -3.2% $IBIT -1.3% $USO -1.1% $XLE +0.6% https://t.co/iZ5UFBuvtj
Combine Relative and Absolute Strength for Superior Stock Picks
owning stocks with strong relative strength is great, but it's far greater if they also have strong absolute strength...
Free NVDA Deep Dive: My Thesis, Entry, Market Outlook
I’ve decided to make my full Deep Dive on $NVDA completely free. I want you to see exactly how I’m thinking— my thesis, my entry, my full reasoning. No paywall. Just value. It’s up on my Substack Take a look and tell me where you...
BTC Hits 6‑Hour RSI Oversold Amid Uptrend
Bitcoin #BTC $BTCUSD is RSI(5) oversold on the 6-hour chart, in an uptrend, for the first time since the mid $60K's... sitting ~$70,400... https://t.co/froI9P5R8I
New MR Signals Outpace SPY with Double‑digit Gains
Mean reversion (MR) updates for subscribers. There are new signals. -#ES_F bonus MR +16% YTD -Bonus MR+momentum: +4.2% YTD -Main MR strategy: +5.2% YTD - $SPY -3% YTD Links in profile (second link) 🔽 $GLD $TLT $QQQ
EAH Beats Expectations, Recovery Potential Despite Weak Price
#EAH "ahead of expectations". Pretty beat up so recovery could have plenty of legs. Worth looking at. I don't hold.
SPY Battles Around $661: Will It Stay Below?
Tactically $spy $661ish is the battle ground for today. Does it stay under or reclaim. https://t.co/NCX9lIi8IW
Gold's RSI Hits Record Overbought, Expect Sharp Pullback
$Gold - I want to remind you that the 14 month RSI closed at 95.67 at the end of February, its most overbought level in history. If you can't stomach an 11% drawdown and cry about "manipulation" or "suppression" or...
Entry Misses Last Week's High by Just $1
Imagine someone gave you an entry, 48 hours in advance, that only went $1 offside from last weeks high 😉 #efl26 https://t.co/Z59J1kQC7K
Hot CPI Triggers Price Discovery, No Fade—Execute Now
266 points on NQ. 💰 Hot CPI → price discovery → no fade. Just execution. Most traders fight this move. I press it. Comment “I’m in” and I’ll send the setup 📩 #vwap #futurestrading #tradingstrategy
AI Pre‑Market Tool Picks Winners: COHR, SAIL, TTD
i've been playing with AI tool for my pre-market game planning. it runs at 8AM and 8:45AM. i used #2 #3 from 8AM run. #2 from 8:45 for my GP. #1 $COHR traded well of the Open to R3. #2 $SAIL #3 $TTD...
