Bitcoin Bottom Likely Months Away, Watch MSTR and ETF Flows
On balance, Bitcoin can take a couple of months to bottom even after a sharp decline. A couple of things to watch: MSTR has tended to lead Bitcoin at key turning points. IBIT — the largest Bitcoin ETF with roughly $69B in assets — has seen about $2.7B in outflows over the past 21 days. I’d like to see those fund flows stabilize and shift positive for a reliable bottom.
Free Put, Cheap Call Spread on CRWD
$CRWD "Trade Idea 2: Buy the March 6 Expiry 380/390 Call Spread ($4.80) and sell the March 6 Expiry 350 Put for free." sell to close call spread , puts expire
Oscillator Model Misses Zone, No Moves Since Buy
my $SPX $VIX oscillator model didn't manage to even get into the zone... nothing since the last buy signal... https://t.co/I6WWFOsvwS
Large‑cap Average Outpaces S&P 500 Despite Mega‑cap Slump
Chart from Sunday's Thrasher Analytics note.... While the S&P 500 has stagnated due to the poor performance of mega caps and specifically the Mag 7, the average performance of large cap stocks has been strong and is up double that of...
Alphabet's Head‑Shoulder Pattern May Signal Bull Return
"If it is obvious, it is obviously wrong." George Granville Alphabet is creating a picture perfect head and shoulder top. Many expect this to resolve lower. What if it doesn't? If this one breaks higher, it would be a clue the...
Market Panic Fizzles: No Downside Follow‑Through
MARKET PANIC WITHOUT FOLLOW-THROUGH Just 24 hours ago, fear was dominating sentiment. Many commentators were predicting a market crash after $SPY opened below the key $675 level, briefly falling to around $669. However, the market quickly proved those fears wrong. Instead of...
Short March $MSTR Puts Prove Profitable
starting to feel a little better about being short the 3/20 $MSTR puts (sub 100). https://t.co/e2kBNgXmzp
Bitcoin Hits Deep Undervaluation, Echoing Past Bear Markets
Fascinating chart analyzing the metrics of the markets on being overbought or undervalued. You can clearly see, and that's the specific case for #Bitcoin, that we're currently in undervalued territories. The only cases that we've been in this area earlier are: - Bear...
Intraday Dips, Not Swing Trades, Drive Current SPY Strategy
For swing traders, there's a time and place; this ain't it. If you are concerned about a rip-your-face rally on a resolution, then buy $SPY. Intraday volatility is high. Yesterday, the $IWM was up $7 from the lows but still $3...
Tech Leads Early; Jobs/Services Data Drives Volatility
March 4, 2026 📊 Insight: Jobs + services data = volatility window 8:15–10:00. Watching tech strength early with $NVDA/$MSTR bid. Services miss could pressure risk. $AVGO earnings tonight key for semis. Patience at the open — let data hit first. 0815 – ADP...
Green Opening: Traders Discuss Holding and Setups
GM all, looks like we are getting a green start to the day? Will we hold? any ideas or setups you are looking at?
Nifty Eyes 24,450 Support, Possible Rally to 25k
Nifty Prediction For Tomorrow 5 March 2026 By Rohit Srivastava | Indiacharts Nifty has gapped down to test a crucial long-term support trendline around the 24,450 level. A short-term relief rally is possible, which could push the index to retest the...
Shorted Indices, S&P Futures Spike, Positions Closed
We shorted the Indices on this BS report. The S and P futures ripped (+28 handles) and we put them out: * $SPY $682.35 * $QQQ $604.37 @dougkass @thestreetpro @tomkeene @business
Netflix Spikes Into Top 10 on Fresh Technical Breakout
some surprise was noted at Netflix $NFLX being in our Top 10 #AllINsync holdings at month end... it was acquired Feb 25th/26th - here are the daily/weekly charts and some eye candy demonstrating what i noticed and why we bought...
NEAR Poised for Breakout as Altcoins Hit Lows
Most of the #Altcoins have seen their low. There are many arguments of why the markets are about to turn and that's why I've accumulated a large position in $NEAR. Strong bullish divergences on the daily and weekly timeframes vs. Bitcoin. A massive...
Timing Your Entry Prevents Volatility‑Driven Losses
many will suggest that timing of entries doesn't matter much, but i don't tend to agree... an ill-timed entry sets you up for being unable to deal with bouts of volatility (i.e., yesterday) adding losses and costing precious mental capital......
Coal Stocks Retreat; Small Exposure via XME, HCC, BTU, AMR
coal stocks have all pulled back in recent weeks... i miss the 'ole days and the $KOL but its small exposures via $XME, or the names: $HCC $BTU $AMR
January Effect Predicts a Strong USD All Year
Yes, the January Effect is my leading theory for this year -- strong USD throughout the rest of the year
Bitcoin's Positive MACD Signals Commodity‑Like Momentum
been a while since we've seen Bitcoin #BTC $BTCUSD sitting double double (+ve MACD daily & +ve 13-day Force)... joining commodities today... #AssetWatch https://t.co/AgHjiJ6Jva
See Real Trade Risk, Not Just Green PnL
Your PnL shows the results. The @tradesviz Drawdown View shows the truth. A green exit can hide a reckless process. See what really happened inside the trade: • 📈 Running PnL Curve — Real-time journey, not just the end result • 📉...
SPX Futures Slip 3 Points After SPY Reclaims Range
$spx futures -3 as today settles out a bit after $spy hit $669 and reclaimed $675 to get home back on the range https://t.co/NY794d92MH
South Korea Market Poised for Tier‑2 Breakout
If that was my market BOS would be at Tier#2 this morning. With two left in case
Korean Market Plunge Drags Game Stocks ~10% Lower
Korean stock market -12% today, the bloodbath affected the local game companies like so: Neowiz -13.7% Kakao Games -12.5% Netmarble -11% Com2Us -10.8% Krafton -10.6% Nexon Games -10.3% Devsisters -10.2% PearlAbyss -10% Shift Up -8.8%
LYB Surges to $58 as Analysts Upgrade to Buy
Chemicals $LYB February: $58 December: $42 *Sell-side research analysts across Wall Street., scrambling to upgrade to buy from sell / hold.
Gold Drops Amid Geopolitical Tension Due to Liquidity Crunch
Why Gold ( XAUUSD ) is heading down despite rising geopolitical escalations ? In short, this is a liquidity event. For detailed context , with potential trade idea on GOLD & SPX , watch the video below (8 minutes video...
Korean Stocks Plunge 20% in Three Days
Korean stocks may well see the quickest transition from bull to technical bear market on record. Three-day losses nearing 20% now. Elevator up, cliff jump down https://t.co/g8dAOgm798
KOSPI Slides 18% in Three Days, Near Bear Market
Korea’s KOSPI index could enter a bear market after just 3 days.. index is down 18% now from last Thursday’s close 😱 https://t.co/mh7dDzAwFg
Platinum Daily Chart Overly Ideal, Weekly Signals Range
Platinum daily H and S looks too perfect...weeklies look like prolonged trading range in the cards. https://t.co/1aX3R3ZKmT
W Poised for Consolidation with Upside Bias Despite V‑shape Dip
W - 35 cent 2-day range...ROC on Buy day but also did a V at top...default mode = consolidate with upside bias still. https://t.co/nKAbeaGzQn
78% Downside
Today was a 78% downside day. Has no significance. DVOL/(UVOL+DVOL); Lowry’s definition. Data per https://t.co/iX5L1DJIjD. See https://t.co/7TpOm9eA5A for explanation.
Yen's 12-Day Slide: Close Above 5‑SMA
YEN - 12 days down on extended run - a close above the 5 SMA can set up a short sale. https://t.co/V3KhPE1bpS
Crude Surges 10%—Energy Stocks Diverge, Reversal Likely
While Crude remains more than 10% higher than last Friday's close in two trading sessions, stocks like Exxon $XOM are at lower levels from last Fri close after its steep runup. @IBDinvestors @marketsurge Similar to Gold stocks starting to...
Dollar's Buying Climax Expands Beyond K
$ had quite the buying climax range expansion outside KC (Keltner Channel) which I posted in the morning. It already sold down into Asia opening. Wed. it may fill out the tail. https://t.co/SASbX9Ehf1
Copper Buy Day: Evening Play Peaks as Asia Opens
Copper: Buy Day on ROC... this market tends to have best play in evening when Asia opens. https://t.co/FzKo8M3xSH
Pinball Pattern Signals Gold Buy at Session Close
GC - Pinball Buy on close (green bar on right is start of evening session so shows initial up. ) https://t.co/aIGtwW0Ce0
US Markets Hold While Asia Slides, India May Diverge
US saved its markets for the day but Asia could not However India will not follow Asia - we fell before them we can even recover without them. Watch your own charts which you trade for signals https://t.co/gP7ThLndw2
Three Daily Pushes Produce Consistent A‑B‑C Rhythm
AD - 3 pushes on the daily...often see A B C rhythm on osc following three pushes https://t.co/arBkUJ9Uo2
Peso Hits New Lows After Downside Breakout
Peso - new momo lows on 2 per ROC after downside BO on Monday from 3 bar triangle. https://t.co/9h48YOGDYL
Retail‑Heavy Korean Market Crashes, Triggers Circuit Breaker
*CIRCUIT BREAKER TRIGGERED AFTER S. KOREA'S KOSPI PLUNGES 8% *KOREA'S KOSPI EXTENDS DROP TO 10% AFTER TRADING RESUMES The chart shows that the South Korean KOSPI stock index has doubled since last August (green) and has already corrected 17% from Friday's high...
KOSDAQ Crash Triggers Circuit Breaker, Crypto Flows Questioned
*CIRCUIT BREAKER TRIGGERED AFTER S. KOREA'S KOSDAQ PLUNGES 8% Where did you think all those crypto flows ended up https://t.co/JzbQThyUAl
ARK Boosts BNTX, LLY; Cuts AMGN in Heavy Trading
So @ARKInvest did a larger amount of trading today in their ETFs than i typically notice. Particularly large moves in $ARKG but also a lot of trading in $ARKK. $ARKG added over 1% in $BNTX and $LLY while selling...
Software Climbs over 1% on Bullish Pattern Signal
Software up more than 1% today. @FrankCappelleri shared this potentially bullish pattern this morning. So far, so good. https://t.co/qlwNHx7eF2
SPX Beats Midpoint Yet Slides 50bps in 12 Days
Odd stat of the day: the $SPX has closed ABOVE its intra-day midpoint in 11/12 days. It's down a net 50 bps over that time span.
10‑Year Treasury Yield Breaks 1% for First Time
#OTD 2020... back when I had a real job and only TOS ... 10yr breaks 1% for the first time https://t.co/CyW5CAAfCa
SPS Commerce Trades Cheap, Unusual Call Spread Amid Sale Push
I'll do this one public...always liked this Co. and is wildly cheap at these levels... Unusual Call Spread in High Quality Software Player at Record Cheap Valuation with Limited AI Disruption Risk SPS Commerce $SPSC with an interesting trade of 3/3 as...
Low‑beta, US‑linked European Sectors Stay Shock‑proof
GS Europe: Europe has re-rated in recent years Sectors with high US exposure and a low beta to the market should be mostly immune to recent shocks https://t.co/g2Fd3kpcA5
VXUS Holds Above 20‑Week SMA, Support Confirmed
$VXUS international ETF clean hold on 20sma weekly, again, clean line in sand for your radar and natural stop for swings under that line. https://t.co/RWEeeRI0sD
Software Stocks Likely Bottoming Near 200‑
Software sold off first, so stands to reason it would try to bottom first. Solid action around the 200sma-- very clear line in sand for medium term swings. $IGV https://t.co/zcHdivFd3y
VGK Shows Strong Reversal at Clean Support
Interesting spot $VGK (Europe) -- solid reversal on clean support. 84 line in sand. https://t.co/YeH5D1pF0E
S&P Holds 6800 Support as VIX Surges to 28
The "Fog of War" hit the tape today. 🌫️ $SPX salvaged support at 6800 after a brutal open, but the $VIX spiking to 28 is a major red flag. I’m also honoring the late legend John Murphy and applying...