Ro mistakes this for a big tech tax But over a decade all of big tech won’t start in CA anymore because little tech, the startups, will start in all the other states If you want to kill the golden goose of tech this is what it looks like
When you get tired, and settle on a mediocre VP You also settle on their 10-15 mediocre hires to come
If you want a premium exit, you can’t rely on one "perfect" suitor. One buyer means no buyers. You need leverage and leverage comes from competition. To get the deal you want, the funnel usually looks like this: > 100 NDAs signed >...
One of the unsung winners from the $20B Groq deal: @mmccauley and @GarageCapital. They invested in the first round and several since. Incredibly kind, incredibly humble, incredible investors. Always great to see the good guys win.
Groq is a reminder that "important" startups can get a massive premium in M&A It all normalizes at IPO, more or less Valuations then are based on revenue, growth and profits But for venture, investing in important startups can lead to massive outcomes...
My rough advice for events, having produced many of them, with lots of data: - Go to 2 of the top events in your industry each year - Go to 2 local meet-ups, dinners, etc. in your industry each month...
there’s another “only in America” episode to be written around the outcomes of Groq and Graphcore similar thesis that new silicon needed to power ai breakthroughs neither hit rev scale to continue on their own vs nvidia/tpu but one had pro-tech...

Taken Sep 1, 2016 when @JonathanRoss321 convinced me we could take on the giants, build new silicon and that AI was coming. In typical SV fashion, we didn’t even have a company yet - just a term sheet from me...
How concentrated do you think the wealth generation will be ? What do you see as second order social implications of productivity hyper-acceleration? If we don’t address the issues you anticipate now, before it happens, I don’t know that it’s...
Yes, cold email to VCs works. Especially at Seed and earlier -> https://t.co/ibiQ9FIQyV
Signing Out on this Outreach Hi Christopher, We’re finalizing this stage of the 50mm round - would a brief overview be helpful before we lock in this phase of allocation?

If you are a profitable startup, you have the only leverage that actually matters in an acquisition in 2026. You don't need to sell. This means you can walk away from bad terms or lowball offers without hesitating. Buyers can smell...

From -19% to +47% growth over the course of 2025. Here's how we turned SaaStr's traffic (and SaaStr itself) around in 12 months: 📉Through April 2025, we were down 19% in active users, 22% in views. The slow bleed every B2B...
Why some economic crises are not like the others… In this TWiST highlight, I break down how the Dot Com Bubble was nothing like the “Great Recession” of 2008, and ALSO totally distinct from the Silicon Valley banking crisis of...
"Will the public markets return ... 0% over the next decade? Apollo says so. Even so, we probably have to keep investing." The latest with @rodriscoll @HarryStebbings + me https://t.co/rAgT9714X8
We backed @flybyrobotics via a cold inbound email. They built drone delivery for Yale campus students. Since then COVID crushed their plans and they pivoted. They’re now selling US-made drones to Palantir, US Marine Corps, and others. And now this…
Every year I make a list of predictions & score the previous year’s. You can find my 10 Predictions for 2026 here. 2025 was a good year : I scored 7.85 out of 10. 1. The IPO market rips. Score...
one of the reasons VCs passed on Shield AI in 2015 was "won't DJI just do this?" We said you're crazy if you believe the US gov/military is going to rely longterm on a Chinese company for NatSec. https://lnkd.in/gcpRNMnA
Common deal killer I see at @acquiredotcom? Stalled growth during due diligence. When you decide to sell your startup, it’s tempting to shift 100% of your focus to the deal. You stop shipping features. You pause marketing. You start mentally checking out. But buyers...
How long should due diligence take? Ad hoc diligence begins Day One of a process, but the detailed, confirmatory diligence right before closing the deal should last roughly 3-4 weeks (assuming you run a tightly controlled process). If it were...
11 Predictions for 2026 Every year I make a list of predictions & score last year’s predictions. 2025 was a good year : I scored 7.85 out of 10. Here are my predictions for 2026 : 1. Businesses pay more for AI agents...
The AI Freemium Math is Brutal — But It Works at Scale 1⃣ChatGPT: 800M users → 15M paid (2%) → $20B ARR 2⃣Gemini: 650M users → Est. 2-3% → Part of Google 3⃣Claude: 30M users → Heavy API/Enterprise → $5B ARR 4⃣Perplexity: 30M users...
The 2026 IPO Boom Is Already Off to a Bad Start https://t.co/f7BR2zMb0I

Founders after a life changing exit on @acquiredotcom: https://t.co/SgKWPn5gwQ
Molly Graham 's excellent collection of leadership, operations, and startup advice is changing a little. All new essays will be freely available for seven days, then they go behind a subscription plan where you get everything, forever. i've shared many...
"AI is converging marketing, sales & support. They are becoming 1 AI agent. Not 10 different pre-AI SaaS products. In fact, it's already happening in e-commerce." The latest with @rodriscoll @HarryStebbings + me https://t.co/Uhpain34qX
Founders who obsess over vision usually do it to avoid specifics.
I was wrong about Truemed. When Justin first told me about his new co, I was skeptical brands would adopt a new payment solution. ~3 years later, it’s definitely working. Thankfully we bet on him. :)

“Show me the incentive and I’ll show you the outcome…” https://t.co/QJAbUuo9bc
-> https://t.co/NlPWFTrkQ8 is getting there - Found hot AI startup - Pick top accelerator - Poach from other AI start-ups - Build to Series A, IPO, and ... beyond https://t.co/2tS4gKNkhp
2025 was a crazy year. 2026 will be even less predictable. So at 20VC we thought it was time for @jasonlk, @rodriscoll to do a very special “20VC Big Fat Quiz of the Year”. For 2025: - Best Founder of the Year -...
The fastest way to tell whether a team is learning is to look for moments where someone had to revise their view because reality contradicted it. If those moments are rare, the system is insulated. It may be busy, but it...
Selling a business doesn’t mean walking away. Jamm Designs (@jammdotco) sold to a buyer on @acquiredotcom who could scale the business so the founders could focus on what they loved: design. First acquisition with lots of unknowns and having the right advisor...
There are times when the very latest LLM is the best, and there are times when the most expensive LLM is the best. And there are times when it isn't. We've run 2,700 VC Pitch Decks through SaaStr AI VC so I...
Org Charts Are Funhouse Mirrors Because Span of Influence is Not Limited to Span of Control https://lnkd.in/g_yhV_mK
"All the leaders from SpaceX to Stripe to Anthropic to Databricks waiting to IPO is the gift of a lifetime to venture capital. Yes, the consumers have been protected from bad news. But they've also been blocked from all the massive appreciation."...
One more layer that’s worth naming. Even when teams talk to customers with good intent, most companies structurally make understanding hard to sustain. The incentives quietly punish it. Deep understanding creates friction. It slows momentum and introduces ambiguity right when leadership wants certainty. So...
"On the frontlines in Ukraine, Russian jammers intersect communications and radio signals, leading drones to veer off course or even fall from the sky and crash. Many U.S. drones haven’t been able to perform. But after an eight-month iteration period...
ChatFAI was winning. Millions of users, strong revenue, and viral growth. Umar (@heyumarkhan) got acquired when things were going great. Cashed in the chips. He then used the exit to fuel his other startup. Full interview here: https://t.co/tNIE71aLPb https://t.co/htq2TImIUZ
We're the most transparent in VC in history. So we're sharing full information on all the startups we've backed. Investment size, valuations, current revenues, everything. Including for startups still in stealth. https://t.co/fD3p3Tdaux
Agency is the scarce resource. Tools are abundant. Information is cheap. Coordination is easy. None of that changes reality by itself. Agency does. Agency is deciding when there is no proof, acting when outcomes are unclear, and remaining accountable after the result shows...
"Make something people want" sounds obvious, but not doing it is the most common mistake founders make. I explained why I made it in the essay where I coined the term. I didn't understand the market I was building for,...
A startup told me a highly-funded competitor bought the .com of their name. I told them this is good news in a way. It means the competitor is (a) amateurish and (b) afraid of them, both of which suggest the...
The AI Wealth Machine is like nothing we have ever seen before. 🔎Nvidia has created ~27,000 millionaires. 78% of employees. Half worth $25M+. Jensen Huang: "I've created more billionaires on my management team than any CEO in the world." 💥OpenAI is catching...
We are literally >just< getting going in AI B2B. Really, most stuff didn’t even work before Claude 4 and the beginning of 2025. That’s why Lovable, Replit, Cursor, Gamma, etc. exploded. The models alone weren’t good enough — until early...
"The SpaceX IPO at $1.5 Trillion 1⃣Who will buy? 2⃣Could the valuation get walked back? 3⃣ Will the Big Vision justify it? 4⃣Could Google anchor the IPO for $10B+?" The latest with @rodriscoll @HarryStebbings + me https://t.co/YBJayKYQrp
The tables have turned... my friend and fellow creator Paul Stansik at ParkerGale Capital interviewed me on my business. How did I go from CFO to guy who creates stuff online? And is it worth it? We cover the origins...
One of the most frustrating things for a founder selling their business: A retrade. Retrading is when a buyer tries to renegotiate the terms of a transaction late in a process due to "new" information that arose during final diligence....
America doesn’t win by making every startup navigate 50+ regulatory regimes. Fragmented AI rules become a moat helping big tech only. A coherent federal framework is how you protect safety and keep US AI advancing. This EO is a meaningful...
Every startup eventually hits the same wall. The company can only move at the speed the founder is willing to make irreversible decisions. AI exposes this because everything else can move instantly.