Russia’s Relentless Interference Since Start of Ukraine War Has Failed to Break Moldova
Four years after Russia’s full‑scale invasion of Ukraine, Moldova has withstood Moscow’s destabilisation campaign and moved forward on its EU accession path. The country secured candidate status in 2022 and opened accession negotiations in 2024, while President Maia Sandu won a second term and her party captured a parliamentary majority despite Russian disinformation efforts. Economic ties between the breakaway Transnistria region and the EU, along with substantial EU financial assistance, have helped contain energy shocks and prevent humanitarian crises. Together, these factors have reinforced Moldova’s political resilience and European integration trajectory.
Vietnam and the Geopolitics of Critical Minerals
Vietnam has tightened restrictions on raw rare‑earth exports to force domestic refining, positioning itself as a niche superpower in critical minerals. Meanwhile, the United States is building a broad coalition of more than 50 partners through initiatives like the Critical...
India Can Avoid the Middle-Income Trap
Prime Minister Narendra Modi aims to elevate India to a fully developed economy by August 15, 2047, marking the nation’s centennial of independence. Over the past twenty years, India has posted strong GDP growth, while recent years have seen an unprecedented surge...
BMO CIO Sees Momentum in India, Despite Energy Shocks
Chief Investment Officer Sadiq Adatia of BMO Global Asset Management says India’s growth momentum remains strong despite short‑term energy shocks and medium‑term trade challenges. He cites a growing middle class, expanding infrastructure, and a new EU‑India trade agreement that could...
India, US on the Heels of Finalising a Critical Minerals Agreement, ‘Big Announcement in Few Months’, Says Sergio Gor
U.S. Ambassador Sergio Gor announced that India and the United States are on the brink of finalising a critical minerals agreement, with a major public announcement expected within months. The pact is designed to shore up supply chains for advanced...
Trump Is ‘Wrong’: Europeans Slam US Decision to Ease Russia Oil Sanctions
European leaders, including Germany’s Friedrich Merz, France’s Emmanuel Macron and Ukraine’s Volodymyr Zelenskyy, condemned the Trump administration’s decision to temporarily lift sanctions on stranded Russian oil. They argue the move will replenish Moscow’s war chest and undermine the G7’s unified pressure on Russia...
SE Asia May Fit the Bill as Forwarders Shy Away From US ‘Tariff Silliness’
European freight forwarders are reducing exposure to the United States amid unpredictable tariff policies and turning to South‑East Asia for new import opportunities. The region, bolstered by the broader “China+1” diversification, shows steady growth, with Indonesia, Thailand and Vietnam leading...
Burundi Signs Deal with Bezos, Gates-Linked Miner
Burundi has signed a three‑year memorandum of understanding with U.S. miners KoBold Metals and Life Zone Metals to explore lithium, cobalt, copper and other critical minerals. The deal, witnessed in Washington, DC, includes a commitment to digitise Burundi’s geological data by July...
Fitch Raises India's GDP Growth Projection for FY26 to 7.5%
Fitch Ratings raised its forecast for India’s FY 2025‑26 GDP growth to 7.5%, a slight uptick from the 7.4% projected in December. The agency also lifted its outlook for FY 2026‑27 to 6.7% from 6.4%, citing strong domestic demand and double‑digit credit...
Nifty 50 Is Down 12% From Its Peak: Is It Time for Bottom Fishing?
The Nifty 50 slipped more than 2% on March 13, leaving the index 12% below its January 5 peak of 26,373. The correction is fueled by rising crude prices amid the US‑Iran war, a weakening rupee, persistent foreign institutional outflows and heightened macro‑economic...
Conflict in the Strait of Hormuz Is Spilling Into the Indian Ocean
Conflict between the US‑Israel coalition and Iran has effectively closed the Strait of Hormuz, forcing commercial vessels to reroute through the Indian Ocean. At least 18 ships have been attacked and dozens have disabled AIS, while Iran permits Chinese‑flagged traffic,...
China’s AI Adoption May Limit Economic Fallout of Its Rapidly Ageing Population: Analysts
Analysts at Bank of America and S&P Global argue that accelerating AI and robotics adoption in China, South Korea and Japan can cushion the economic drag of rapidly ageing societies. These economies already boast robot densities far above the global...
Thailand Prepares to Defend USTR on Trade Probes
Thailand’s commerce ministry has created a high‑level task force to counter new USTR investigations under Section 301, which target excess capacity in autos, auto parts, machinery and rubber. The United States highlighted a $51 billion trade surplus in Thailand’s favour, up from...
Strategic Stakes Rise for Bangladesh as Iran Targets Gulf Neighbors
Bangladesh’s economic lifeline to the Gulf hinges on 3 million migrant workers and $24 billion in annual remittances. Recent Iranian missile and drone attacks across GCC airspace have heightened security risks for these expatriates. The government is weighing a neutral diplomatic stance...
China Slams Trump's Trade Investigation, as It Approves a 5-Year Economic Plan
China’s foreign ministry condemned the United States’ newly announced trade investigation into excess capacity as political manipulation, while the U.S. Trade Representative positioned the probe as a tool to protect American firms after a Supreme Court ruling nullified prior tariffs....
Morning Brief Podcast: India Opens the Door to China Investments…a Little
India has quietly revised Press Note 3, easing restrictions on Chinese capital in the country’s startup and technology sectors while keeping telecom and security‑sensitive areas closed. The amendment comes as foreign direct investment has plateaued and institutional investors have withdrawn billions,...
Russian Oil Purchase Allowed… for Now — Scott Bessent Announces ‘Short-Term’ Licence as Crude Prices Rise Amid Iran War
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced a short‑term general licence that lets countries buy Russian crude already stranded at sea, aiming to ease the price surge triggered by the U.S.-Israel‑Iran conflict. The licence covers oil loaded onto vessels by March 12...
Russian Power Entities Appear Plagued by Financing Troubles in Central Asia
Russia's state‑linked power firms are hitting financing snags across Central Asia, prompting a rapid loss of lucrative contracts. Kazakhstan abandoned a Russian consortium for China’s Harbin Electric, slashing project costs by nearly $500 million. In 2025, Inter RAO forfeited three Kazakh power‑plant...
How the New Gulf War Is Impacting Mongolia
The February 28 Gulf War between the United States‑Israel coalition and Iran has quickly rippled to Mongolia, prompting its foreign ministry to alert the 281 Mongolian nationals living in the Middle East and arrange emergency repatriation flights. By March 11, 91 citizens...
Emerging Market Bulls Rejoicing, But Will It Last?
Emerging‑market indices have outperformed both the MSCI World and the S&P 500 in early 2026, driven by easing inflation, a weaker dollar, and shifting investor sentiment. Forecasts show EM economies growing around 4 % this year, roughly three times the pace of...
Vietnam’s New Wealth: How Techcombank Is Shaping Private Banking
Vietnam’s upgrade to a secondary emerging market is spurring a surge of high‑net‑worth individuals, intensifying demand for sophisticated wealth services. Techcombank Private, crowned Global Finance’s Best Private Bank in Vietnam for 2026, leverages this trend with VND 428 trillion in assets under...
Top Banks In Saudi Arabia
Saudi Arabia’s banking sector, overseen by SAMA, has evolved into a $1.5 trillion‑plus powerhouse anchored by a mix of legacy institutions and fast‑growing digital challengers. Al Rajhi Bank remains the world’s largest Shariah‑compliant bank with nearly $300 billion in assets, while the Saudi...
Infrastructure Investment Is the Key to China’s Growth
China's government set a 2026 growth target of 4.5‑5% after meeting its 2025 goal of 5%. 2025 GDP reached CN¥140.19 trillion ($20.4 trillion), with consumption contributing 52%, investment 15.3%, and exports 32.7% of growth. The economy faces geopolitical tensions and a US‑led...
China’s Aging Population and the Implications for China’s Security
China’s population contracted in 2022 for the first time since the 1960s, and its fertility rate remains among the world’s lowest. Projections show a loss of roughly 250 million people by 2050, turning the country’s age structure upside‑down. The working‑age cohort...
Where Investors Can Back Africa's Trade Expansion
The article highlights that Africa’s intra‑regional trade finance market exceeds $60 bn but remains vastly under‑served, with only 7‑25% of demand met. Post‑2008 regulatory changes pushed global banks to partner with local institutions, making regional banks the primary conduit for cross‑border...
South Korean Lawmakers Pass Law to Manage Seoul's Pledge of $350 Billion in US Investments
South Korean lawmakers approved a law establishing a public corporation to oversee a $350 billion pledge of U.S. investments, aimed at averting new U.S. tariffs. The agreement, struck in November, allocates $200 billion to semiconductor and high‑tech projects and $150 billion to shipbuilding,...
Philippine Economy Faces ‘Serious’ Contraction From Gas Emissions Cuts—ADB
Asian Development Bank warns the Philippines could experience a serious GDP contraction as it pursues a 75% greenhouse‑gas emissions cut by 2030. The bank’s March 12 report cites high mitigation costs, price pressures and a lack of productivity measures, which...
PC Price Hikes and a Test for Taiwan
Global PC manufacturers announced price increases of 5%‑10% as semiconductor shortages and higher freight costs persist. The hikes hit both consumer and enterprise segments, squeezing budgets for schools and businesses. Taiwan, home to major chip fabs and motherboard producers, faces...
China Targets Record Food-Security Push in Shadow of US-Israeli War with Iran
China’s 15th five‑year plan sets a record grain‑production target of 725 million tonnes by 2030, up from the 650 million‑tonne floor in the previous plan. The goal is backed by accelerated mechanisation, AI‑driven equipment and advanced breeding to secure food supplies amid...
Trust, Trade and the Slow Architecture of India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor
The India‑Middle East‑Europe Economic Corridor (IMEC) was unveiled under India’s G20 presidency as a multi‑layered framework linking market access, digital connectivity and risk mitigation. Despite the shock of the October 7 Hamas attack and subsequent Iran‑Israel‑U.S. clashes, India has kept the...
China Largely Insulated From Global Energy Price Shocks
China’s economy is largely insulated from the recent global energy price spikes triggered by Middle East tensions. Although oil and gas import bills will rise, long‑term contracts, domestic coal dominance, and sizable strategic reserves limit cost pass‑through. The country’s low...
Can Nigeria’s Industrial Plan Deliver Real Factories?
Nigeria has unveiled the National Industrial Policy 2025‑2035 to revive manufacturing and capture its youthful labour force. The plan targets a rise in manufacturing’s share of GDP to 15% by 2030 and 25% by 2035, backed by up to 5%...
US Committed to EU Trade Deal, Top Trump Official Tells Brussels
The United States reaffirmed its commitment to the EU‑U.S. trade agreement in a call between Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and EU trade chief Maroš Šefčovič. The deal, signed last summer at Turnberry, caps European export tariffs at 15 percent and...
Oil Shock, Inflation Pressures Dampen RBI Rate-Cut Hopes
India’s central bank faces mounting pressure to pause its rate‑cut cycle as West‑Asia oil price shocks reignite inflation concerns. A surge in Brent crude, coupled with fading food‑price base effects, threatens to push consumer inflation above the RBI’s 4% target....
Centre Holds Back on Fuel Exports Ban Due to Logistics, Tax Hurdles as West Asia Conflict Rages
India has postponed a full ban on fuel exports despite a supply squeeze triggered by the Iran‑related West Asia conflict. The delay stems from logistical bottlenecks, the risk of breaching existing export contracts, and the need for a tax waiver...
War in Iran and Afghanistan Threatens Central Asia’s Gateway to Global Markets
The escalating war between Iran and the Taliban‑Pakistan front is jeopardizing Central Asia’s planned southbound trade routes. Ongoing fighting threatens the Uzbekistan‑Afghanistan‑Pakistan railway, the TAPI gas pipeline, and the CASA‑1000 power line, while U.S.–Israel attacks on Iran disrupt shipping and...
Integrated Digital Connectivity Drives Africa’s Growth
Analysts estimate a $2.9 trillion digital opportunity in Africa over the next five years, positioning the continent as the world’s fastest‑growing bandwidth market. Internet usage has climbed to roughly 40 % of the 1.5 billion population, though it remains well below the 66 %...
Japanese Automakers Earned Canada's Trust. Will China Do the Same with EVs?
Ottawa has opened the Canadian market to Chinese electric‑vehicle imports, reviving a debate that first surfaced when Japanese automakers entered in the 1960s. At that time, unions feared job losses, but Japanese firms eventually built plants in Ontario, creating thousands...
Wednesday Wipeout: Investor Mood Sours After Tuesday’s Brief Respite
Indian equities plunged nearly 2% on Wednesday, pushing the Nifty 50 and Sensex to 10‑month lows as fresh West Asia tensions revived market anxiety. The sell‑off erased about ₹5.48 trillion in BSE market capitalisation in a single session, while foreign institutional...
Private Markets Investors Increasingly Favour India over Peers in APAC
India has become the leading private‑markets destination in APAC, with 31% of surveyed limited partners (LPs) ranking it first and 76% placing it among their top three choices. Over half of the LPs plan to increase allocations, and private‑market funds...
Foe or Friend? US-Turkey Bilateral Relations Seem Set to Improve as Interests Align
U.S.–Turkey relations are moving toward greater cooperation as shared strategic interests outweigh public rhetoric. An analysis of sixteen regional and global issues finds eleven areas of full alignment, four with friction and one mixed, yielding a net positive score. The...
India Fast-Tracks Chinese Investment Approvals in Key Sectors
India announced a fast‑track approval process for Chinese investments in selected sectors, reducing clearance time to 60 days. The new rules apply to electronics, capital goods, solar cells and battery components, but require Indian residents to hold majority stakes. The...
The Wisdom of Europe’s “Great Capitulation”
The European Union accepted an asymmetrical trade deal with the United States, lowering its residual tariffs while the US maintains high reciprocal tariffs. The arrangement prevents a retaliatory trade war and keeps European import costs modest. Analysts argue the deal...
S. Korea, Ghana Leaders Seek Tangible Cooperation on Security, Critical Minerals
South Korean and Ghanaian leaders met to forge concrete cooperation on security and critical minerals. They outlined Korean investment in Ghana's mining sector, targeting lithium, cobalt and bauxite, while planning joint maritime and cyber‑defense drills. The agreement includes technology transfer,...
India Opens Door to More Chinese Investment After 6-Year Freeze
India announced a relaxation of its foreign investment rules, allowing Chinese firms to invest in a limited set of sectors after a six‑year freeze that began in 2020. The policy shift caps Chinese ownership at 49 percent in approved industries...
EMBX: Actively Navigating Iran-Driven Risks in EM Debt>
VanEck’s Emerging Markets Bond ETF (EMBX) trimmed Gulf exposure as Iran‑related tensions heightened, yet bond prices in the region stayed flat, creating a weak risk‑reward profile. The fund now leans toward commodity‑exporting issuers in Latin America and Sub‑Saharan Africa, which...
Dubai’s Economic Dynamism Will Help It Withstand Iran Conflict
Dubai’s economy has shifted from oil reliance to a diversified, high‑growth hub, posting 3.6% GDP growth in 2023 and 4% in 2024. The UAE’s free‑zone model, tax competitiveness and regulatory certainty have attracted global firms and AI‑focused investors such as...
Investment in MENA Startups Hits $327 Million in February 2026
Investment in MENA startups slowed sharply in February 2026, with total capital deployed falling 42% month‑on‑month to $326.6 million across 62 deals. The UAE remained the dominant ecosystem, contributing $162.8 million from 23 companies, while fintech led sector funding at $94.7 million. Early‑stage...
Gulf War III Is a Warning About the Effects of a ‘Taiwan Straits War I’
The article warns that the economic shock from the Israel‑U.S. attack on Iran—dubbed Gulf War III—exposes how fragile global trade is when shipping routes are disrupted. It argues that a military move against Taiwan would create a similar, if not larger,...
Trump’s Iran Attack Is Saddling Your Portfolio with a Costly ‘Risk Tax’ — and You Can’t Escape It
The opinion piece warns that President Donald Trump’s recent military strike on Iran has embedded a costly “risk tax” across all investment portfolios. By deploying hard power, the United States has heightened geopolitical uncertainty, forcing markets to price a higher...