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Today's Global Economy Pulse

Australia's April CPI eases to 4.2% as core inflation hits 2024 high

Australia’s consumer price index slipped to a 4.2% annual rise in April, missing the 4.4% consensus as a temporary fuel excise cut trimmed transport costs. At the same time, the trimmed‑mean core inflation gauge rose to 3.4% year‑over‑year, the highest level since late‑2024, keeping pressure on the Reserve Bank of Australia’s inflation target.

NEC Director Predicts Slightly Lower Jobs, NFP May Miss Forecast
SocialFeb 11, 2026

NEC Director Predicts Slightly Lower Jobs, NFP May Miss Forecast

https://t.co/k2T7oPbMh8 In an interview with CNBC on Monday (February 9, 2026), Kevin Hassett, the Director of the National Economic Council, advised markets to expect "slightly smaller job numbers" in the coming months. These remarks, have led many to speculate that the January...

By Boris Schlossberg
Moldova. EU – Yes; CIS – No; Unirea – Not This Time
NewsFeb 11, 2026

Moldova. EU – Yes; CIS – No; Unirea – Not This Time

Moldova announced its formal exit from the Commonwealth of Independent States, signaling a decisive break from a key Russian‑linked institution. At the same time, Chişinău is accelerating its integration with the European Union under President Maia Sandu’s pro‑Western agenda. Public...

By Defence24 (Poland)
We’re in a Trade-Down Economy, and Ulta Is Winning
NewsFeb 11, 2026

We’re in a Trade-Down Economy, and Ulta Is Winning

Consumer confidence has fallen to a decade low, prompting a trade‑down in spending as Americans cut big‑ticket indulgences and shift toward essentials. Even high‑income households are frequenting discount retailers like Walmart and Costco, reflecting broader budget pressure. Ulta Beauty’s hybrid...

By Fast Company  Retail
Job Jitters
PodcastFeb 11, 20267 min

Job Jitters

The episode examines the current economic turbulence on Main Street, highlighting widespread layoffs and soft retail sales, while contrasting this with TSMC's explosive growth in the tech sector. It also explores the impact of a new AI-driven tax‑management tool that...

By Reuters Morning Bid
What's Driving Northern Ireland's Falling Fuel Prices?
NewsFeb 11, 2026

What's Driving Northern Ireland's Falling Fuel Prices?

Petrol prices in Northern Ireland have fallen to 124.2 pence per litre, the lowest level in five years, while diesel holds steady at 131.9 pence. The decline follows a global oil oversupply and easing geopolitical tensions after the 2022 price spike triggered...

By BBC News – Business
Jobs Report Day Shows Record Forecast Divergence
SocialFeb 11, 2026

Jobs Report Day Shows Record Forecast Divergence

Good morning and welcome to Jobs Report Day in the US. The consensus forecasts are for a monthly employment gain of 65,000, an unemployment rate of 4.4%, and a 3.7% annual increase in average hourly earnings. As we head into this release,...

By Mohamed El‑Erian
Emerging Economies Drive 80% of Electricity Growth
SocialFeb 11, 2026

Emerging Economies Drive 80% of Electricity Growth

A new report shows that global electricity demand will increase at an average annual rate of 3.6% between 2026 and 2030. Emerging economies will account for nearly 80% of additional electricity consumption through 2030. More here: https://t.co/ZtTGSlWOMx https://t.co/dw82OPRKGw

By Damilola Ogunbiyi
Xi’s Broken Heart: Why China’s Markets Are Bleeding Out
BlogFeb 11, 2026

Xi’s Broken Heart: Why China’s Markets Are Bleeding Out

The episode examines the growing divergence between China’s onshore stock markets and Hong Kong’s offshore market, arguing that this split reflects a deepening mistrust of Xi Jinping’s political control over finance. While mainland indices appear stable, the offshore market is...

By China Business Spotlight
An FTA No One Is Talking About Can Give India a Strategic Edge
NewsFeb 11, 2026

An FTA No One Is Talking About Can Give India a Strategic Edge

The India‑Chile free trade negotiations are moving toward a Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement that explicitly includes critical minerals such as lithium, copper, and cobalt. Chile’s abundant reserves could supply India’s “Make in India” and clean‑energy ambitions, while recent moves by...

By ET EnergyWorld (The Economic Times)
Pauses Without Peace: What Last Year’s Ceasefires Reveal About Global Conflict Management
BlogFeb 11, 2026

Pauses Without Peace: What Last Year’s Ceasefires Reveal About Global Conflict Management

In this episode Gopi Krishna Bhamidipati examines how the Trump administration’s diplomatic interventions in 2025‑2026 produced ceasefires across Gaza, the Israel‑Iran clash, India‑Pakistan tensions, the Thailand‑Cambodia border dispute, and Ukraine‑Russia, but stopped short of achieving lasting political settlements. The host...

By War on the Rocks
India Plans to Lift Bank FDI Cap, Boosting Lending
SocialFeb 11, 2026

India Plans to Lift Bank FDI Cap, Boosting Lending

India’s government is considering raising the foreign direct investment (FDI) cap for banks from 20% to 49%. SMART MOVE. MORE FDI = MORE BANK CAPITAL = MORE LENDING CAPACITY  https://t.co/agaPK9vbzO

By Steve Hanke
China Lets Yuan Rise to Strongest Level in Years as De-Dollarisation Trend Grows
NewsFeb 11, 2026

China Lets Yuan Rise to Strongest Level in Years as De-Dollarisation Trend Grows

China’s central bank set the yuan’s daily fixing at 6.9438 per dollar, the strongest level in 33 months, as the currency continued to appreciate. Offshore trading pushed the yuan to 6.909 per dollar, reflecting a broader rotation out of US...

By South China Morning Post – Global Economy
Nigeria's Inflation Surge Linked to Excess Money Supply
SocialFeb 11, 2026

Nigeria's Inflation Surge Linked to Excess Money Supply

Nigeria’s inflation rate is DOUBLE NGA’s inflation target at 15.29%/yr. Nigeria’s money supply is growing at 15.19%/yr, ABOVE Hanke's Golden Growth Rate of ~11.83%-14.83%/yr, a rate consistent with Nigeria’s 6%-9%/yr inflation target. THE INFLATION STORY = A MONEY SUPPLY STORY. https://t.co/367h7H4ytf

By Steve Hanke
HMM Stays in the Black in Q4
NewsFeb 11, 2026

HMM Stays in the Black in Q4

South Korean carrier HMM posted a Q4 2025 net profit of KRW 364 billion, a 59.9% plunge from the prior period, while revenues fell 14.2% to KRW 2.71 trillion. The full‑year results showed a 50.3% profit drop to KRW 1.88 trillion as container freight rates slumped 49%...

By Seatrade Maritime
Time Called on Happy Hour as French Wine and Spirit Sales Sour in Mainland China, US
NewsFeb 11, 2026

Time Called on Happy Hour as French Wine and Spirit Sales Sour in Mainland China, US

French wine and spirit exporters recorded their steepest decline since the pandemic, with total sales falling 7.9% to €14.3 billion in 2025. Wine shipments slipped 4.1% while spirits plunged 17.4%, driven by a 23.8% collapse in cognac exports. The downturn reflects...

By South China Morning Post – Global Economy
How Federal Reserve’s Decentralised Structure Produced New Ideas on Banking Policy
BlogFeb 11, 2026

How Federal Reserve’s Decentralised Structure Produced New Ideas on Banking Policy

Recent research by Michael Bordo and Edward Prescott shows that the Federal Reserve’s decentralized structure generated fresh banking‑policy ideas in the 1950s and 1960s. In response to industry consolidation and legal reforms, the Board and regional Reserve Banks hired industrial‑organization...

By Mostly Economics
Markets Await Jobs Data to Gauge Fed Cut Prospects
SocialFeb 11, 2026

Markets Await Jobs Data to Gauge Fed Cut Prospects

Will stock markets find enough to like in US jobs data? It’s all about Fed interest rate cut expectations. #Jobs #NFP #StockMarket #Dollar #Fed #Macro #Trading https://t.co/UBCpyuHxhZ

By Ilya Spivak
Chinese Traders Amplified Gold Volatility
BlogFeb 10, 2026

Chinese Traders Amplified Gold Volatility

The episode examines how Chinese traders, long recognized for aggressive speculation, sparked a dramatic swing in gold prices—from a surge to $5,600 in late January to a plunge to $4,423 within days. The host recounts a December report predicting this...

By The Bubble Bubble Report
Forecast: Tariff Policies Will Weaken Container Imports in First Half of 2026
NewsFeb 10, 2026

Forecast: Tariff Policies Will Weaken Container Imports in First Half of 2026

The NRF and Hackett Associates’ Global Port Tracker predicts U.S. container imports will fall in the first half of 2026, with a 2 percent year‑over‑year decline to 12.27 million TEUs. Full‑year volume is projected at 25.4 million TEUs, a 0.4 percent drop from 2024....

By Supply Chain Quarterly
Markets Are Now a Beauty Contest on Steroids
BlogFeb 10, 2026

Markets Are Now a Beauty Contest on Steroids

The article revisits Keynes’s beauty‑contest analogy, arguing that human psychology still drives markets, but the information age has accelerated opinion‑chasing. It uses the recent silver frenzy—spurred by geopolitical tension, AI‑related demand, and massive leverage—to illustrate how social media and bots...

By A Wealth of Common Sense
Trump Expects An Economic Miracle From The New Fed Chair
NewsFeb 10, 2026

Trump Expects An Economic Miracle From The New Fed Chair

President Donald Trump urged his Fed chair pick, Kevin Warsh, to deliver 15% annual GDP growth, a target rarely achieved outside wartime. The president’s demand follows criticism of current chair Jerome Powell and calls for aggressive rate cuts. Economists note...

By Investopedia — Economics
Beyond Blocs
NewsFeb 10, 2026

Beyond Blocs

The article argues that the world is moving beyond bloc politics toward issue‑based cooperation, with Europe seeking strategic autonomy while engaging China on a case‑by‑case basis. Recent high‑level visits to Beijing by European and other leaders underscore this shift. Trade...

By Foreign Policy
Wrapped Helps Spotify Add Users Despite Artists' Criticism over Fees
NewsFeb 10, 2026

Wrapped Helps Spotify Add Users Despite Artists' Criticism over Fees

Spotify reported a surge in paid subscribers, adding 9 million to reach 290 million in the last quarter of 2025, driving net profit to €1.17 bn and total revenue to $4.5 bn. The company’s annual Wrapped campaign engaged over 300 million users and generated 630 million social...

By BBC News – Business
Unemployment Rises to 4.5%, Signaling Market Underperformance
SocialFeb 10, 2026

Unemployment Rises to 4.5%, Signaling Market Underperformance

"So what does the job market data say to you?" "It says that we're underperforming right now... The thing that matters most to people's lives is the unemployment rate. Can you find work? And that was as low as...

By Justin Wolfers
Is a Dollar Vibe Shift Under Way?
NewsFeb 10, 2026

Is a Dollar Vibe Shift Under Way?

The Atlantic Council’s GeoEconomics Center podcast explores whether a sustained dollar depreciation is emerging. Host Dan McDowell explains how a weaker greenback could reshape U.S. trade balances, investment flows, and national‑security calculations. The discussion highlights potential benefits for exporters alongside higher...

By Atlantic Council
Uranium Market Gathers Momentum in 2026: Sprott
NewsFeb 10, 2026

Uranium Market Gathers Momentum in 2026: Sprott

Uranium spot prices surged above $100 per pound in January 2026, the first breach of that level in two years, signaling renewed market vigor. Sprott Asset Management, a major buyer, added 4 million lb to its fund this year, bringing total holdings...

By MINING.com
US Antimony, Americas Gold to Jointly Build Idaho Plant
NewsFeb 10, 2026

US Antimony, Americas Gold to Jointly Build Idaho Plant

United States Antimony and Americas Gold have formed a 51-49 joint venture to construct a hydrometallurgical processing plant in Idaho’s Silver Valley. The facility will treat antimony feed from Americas Gold’s Galena complex and could handle additional sources, aiming to...

By MINING.com
First Quantum Credit Outlook Improves on Cobre Panama Progress
NewsFeb 10, 2026

First Quantum Credit Outlook Improves on Cobre Panama Progress

S&P Global Ratings upgraded First Quantum Minerals' credit outlook to positive, citing tangible progress toward restarting the Cobre Panama copper mine. The agency now expects the mine to resume operations in the first half of 2026, with a production ramp‑up later...

By MINING.com
Dollar Weakening as Diverging Policies Boost Global Assets
SocialFeb 10, 2026

Dollar Weakening as Diverging Policies Boost Global Assets

I keep playing through the potential outcomes over the coming months and I have a very difficult time painting a bull case for the dollar. I expect: 1. Monetary policy divergence widens (more dovish US vs RoW/Japan) 2. Capital flight risk as...

By Quinn Thompson
Detroit Bridge Owner Lobbies Hours Before Trump Critic
SocialFeb 10, 2026

Detroit Bridge Owner Lobbies Hours Before Trump Critic

SCOOP: Detroit Billionaire Owner of Ambassador Bridge Lobbied Administration, Met With Howard Lutnick Monday, Hours Before Trump Lambasted New Detroit-Michigan Gordie Howe Bridge w/ @tylerpager #cdnpoli https://t.co/A1JpN7GgU0

By Matina Stevis-Gridneff
U.S. Secretary Of State: Brazil & China To 'Trade In Own Currencies & Get Around The Dollar'
BlogFeb 10, 2026

U.S. Secretary Of State: Brazil & China To 'Trade In Own Currencies & Get Around The Dollar'

U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio highlighted Brazil's new trade agreement with China that will use their own currencies instead of the U.S. dollar, signaling a shift toward a secondary, dollar‑independent global economy. He warned that as more nations transact...

By Arcadia Economics’ Gold & Silver Daily
Russia's Economy Outpaces UK Despite Sanctions
SocialFeb 10, 2026

Russia's Economy Outpaces UK Despite Sanctions

A dirty little secret that the Russiaphobes in London keep under the rug: RUSSIA’S ECONOMY IS OUTPACING THE UK’S. SANCTIONS = BACKFIRE = RARELY WORK. https://t.co/FLcUb0QXGw

By Steve Hanke
US Political Will to Aid Venezuela Near Zero
SocialFeb 10, 2026

US Political Will to Aid Venezuela Near Zero

Distinguished Columbia Univ. Professor Jeff Sachs on Venezuela: “The will to run Venezuela other than maybe in Marco Rubio's and Donald Trump's head is zero in the United States… a year from now, Venezuela is a forgotten issue in the United...

By Steve Hanke
Which Latin American Leaders Will Be Forced From Power in 2026?
BlogFeb 10, 2026

Which Latin American Leaders Will Be Forced From Power in 2026?

In this episode the host examines prediction‑market odds for Latin American leaders being ousted before the end of 2026, using data from Kalshi and Polymarket. He highlights Cuba, Venezuela, Bolivia and Ecuador as the most volatile cases, while noting that...

By Latin America Risk Report
Climax Top Signals Bear Market for Precious Metals
SocialFeb 10, 2026

Climax Top Signals Bear Market for Precious Metals

OUT NOW - @BergMilton on: - clear sign of "climax top" in gold & silver - why he expects a precious metals bear market - S&P 500, Bitcoin, Software + Korean stocks & more Apple🔊https://t.co/bNqmCOVqMV Spotify📽️https://t.co/mnN6Dn02hi 1/3 https://t.co/U3F0Pxojhy

By Jack Farley
New BLS Commissioner Signals Positive Economic Outlook Amid Trump
SocialFeb 10, 2026

New BLS Commissioner Signals Positive Economic Outlook Amid Trump

I'm trying something new: Video essays exploring recent economic developments. There's... a lot to talk about these days. Here's the first one: Thoughts on Trump, the BLS, and the new BLS Commissioner. Spoiler: This is a good news story. https://t.co/M4NltoNXJR

By Justin Wolfers
Dollar Look Past Soft US Data, 10-Year Yield Dips
NewsFeb 10, 2026

Dollar Look Past Soft US Data, 10-Year Yield Dips

The U.S. dollar stayed firm in early trade despite flat retail sales, while the 10‑year Treasury yield slipped back below 4.2%. Market participants are largely ignoring the consumption miss, focusing instead on tomorrow’s delayed non‑farm payrolls as the primary driver...

By Action Forex
U.S. Stocks Under Pressure as SPX/VEU Hits Near Two‑Year Low
SocialFeb 10, 2026

U.S. Stocks Under Pressure as SPX/VEU Hits Near Two‑Year Low

The 'sell America' trade pressure seems to be picking up again. The SPX-VEU (rest of world equity ETF) ratio is the lowest since April 22nd. A little further and it is a two year low. Adding the DXY Dollar Index in for...

By John Kicklighter
UAE’s GDP per Capita Fell, Saudi Arabia Modestly Rose
SocialFeb 10, 2026

UAE’s GDP per Capita Fell, Saudi Arabia Modestly Rose

The headlines from the UAE always scream “Hot Growth.” But when compared to its arch-rival, Saudi Arabia, the UAE looks dreadful. Since 2008, the UAE’s GDP per capita shrank while the Kingdom’s grew modestly. https://t.co/aXuH6QU5nj

By Steve Hanke
Behind Putin’s $15 Billion Arms Revenue Claim
NewsFeb 10, 2026

Behind Putin’s $15 Billion Arms Revenue Claim

Russian President Vladimir Putin announced that arms exports generated roughly $15 billion in foreign‑exchange earnings in 2025 and that more than 340 cooperation projects are slated for 2026‑2028. Independent analysts caution that Russia’s defence‑sector data are opaque, making the figure difficult...

By Defence24 (Poland)
AI Threatens S&P's Analytics, Not Its Core Ratings
SocialFeb 10, 2026

AI Threatens S&P's Analytics, Not Its Core Ratings

About 65% of $SPGI's (down >20% over past month) pre-tax earnings come from ratings & indices. The potential challenge that AI poses to S&P's analytics/consulting/intel business is something I get. But I don't understand AI's bear case for ratings & indices,...

By Jack Farley
Mexico's Inflation On Target, Money Supply Within Golden Growth
SocialFeb 10, 2026

Mexico's Inflation On Target, Money Supply Within Golden Growth

Mexico’s inflation rate is ON TARGET at 3.65%/yr Mexico’s money supply (M4) is growing at 7.91%/yr, WITHIN Hanke's Golden Growth Rate of ~7.3%-9.3%/yr, a rate consistent with Mexico’s 2%-4%/yr inflation target. THE INFLATION STORY = A MONEY SUPPLY STORY. https://t.co/4w05Yr94Mz

By Steve Hanke
Pacific Container Spot Rates Plunge Ahead of Contract Season
NewsFeb 10, 2026

Pacific Container Spot Rates Plunge Ahead of Contract Season

Spot rates on Pacific container lanes have slumped ahead of the annual contract season, with eastbound transpacific prices to the U.S. West Coast falling below $1,700 per FEU and some offers as low as $1,400. The slowdown follows a delayed...

By Seatrade Maritime
Weak Retail, Slowing Wages Hint at Poor NFP
SocialFeb 10, 2026

Weak Retail, Slowing Wages Hint at Poor NFP

Bad retail sales, falling wage growth and now Hassett and Navarro comments implying bad NFP tomorrow...

By Quinn Thompson
US Stocks Look Strong, Yet Lag Global Peers
SocialFeb 10, 2026

US Stocks Look Strong, Yet Lag Global Peers

"The US stock market, while it looks strong, is actually much weaker than almost any other industrialized country.... So while we're doing well… everyone else is doing even better." https://t.co/7KavXe5LXh

By Justin Wolfers
Diamond Slump Pushes Botswana to Broaden Mining Base
NewsFeb 10, 2026

Diamond Slump Pushes Botswana to Broaden Mining Base

A deep slump in diamond prices is forcing Botswana, the world’s top diamond producer by value, to broaden its mining portfolio. The government announced plans to explore copper, cobalt and other critical minerals, noting that only about 30% of its...

By MINING.com
Next US-China Trade Talks Tipped in Advance of Trump-Xi Summit as Fragile Truce Holds
NewsFeb 10, 2026

Next US-China Trade Talks Tipped in Advance of Trump-Xi Summit as Fragile Truce Holds

High‑level US‑China trade talks are being staged ahead of President Donald Trump’s April summit with Xi Jinping, as Treasury officials led by Scott Bessent met Vice‑Premier He Lifeng in Beijing. The delegations aim to keep the fragile tariff truce intact...

By South China Morning Post – Global Economy
Dollar Stabilizes, Still Strong vs G10; Yen Diverges
SocialFeb 10, 2026

Dollar Stabilizes, Still Strong vs G10; Yen Diverges

Greenback Consolidates after Yesterday's Shellacking: After yesterday’s sharp losses, the US dollar is mostly consolidating with a firmer bias against the G10 currencies. The yen is the exception. The unexpected post-election gains have been extended… https://t.co/s4awtQJ5o7 https://t.co/Xlf89Ydd1E

By Marc Chandler
AI Cheapens Services, Cutting Vendor Profits, Boosting Productivity
SocialFeb 10, 2026

AI Cheapens Services, Cutting Vendor Profits, Boosting Productivity

That little market freakout is a real mechanism: if AI makes it cheap to do what a vendor used to sell you, the vendor’s future profits fall—even as the rest of us get more productive. https://t.co/HE7npk5km7

By Justin Wolfers