Holding OKLO Ahead of Tomorrow's Earnings Release
$OKLO has earnings tomorrow after the close. I own only let it rides at this time. No trade shares left
Short‑Side Alerts Remain Spot‑On Amid SPY Surge
Very few mistakes in Real-Time Alerts on the Short Side during this ramp to all-time $SPY highs
PRME's Real Money Comes From Non‑Therapy Services
Day 23 of 30: How $PRME Prime Medicine actually makes money Most people think it's a gene therapy company It's not yet... it has zero approved drugs and almost zero recurring revenue Here's what's actually paying the bills 🧵
Use 2x/3x for Quick Gains, Hold Commons Long‑term
FWIW the 2x's and 3x's trades are meant for shorter holds as they have volatility decay. If want let it rides in time the best is to use the common shares. Why I will often buy both....
Use Trailing Stops and Profit‑taking to Avoid Greed
Don't get giddy or complacent keep inching stops and/or take some profits out of the market. Greed causes complacency. Don't be one. Staying long until wrong here but inching stops and taking some along the way is...
Today's Gas Prices Feel Cheaper Than Past
At $4.52 per gallon, real-terms gasoline prices are no more expensive than most of our lives. We're not driving a 1979 Oldsmobile Cutlass. A 2025 Ford F-150 is not the same fuel economy as a 2008 F-150. And people earn...
HOOD & ROBN Reclaim 10/50 MAs, Await Close
$HOOD $ROBN daily chart back over 10/50ma's working on the 21ma and best it filled the ER gap down today. A close over is what I am watching to have me move up stops https://t.co/uWgwCL9jPa
Amazon Likely to Retest ATH Before Breaking 272
$AMZN is having trouble achieving a weekly close above the 1st yearly resistance at 272. I think it will eventually do that but it may pull back and test the previous ATH before that. A weekly close above 272 will...
S&P 8,200 Triggers Record CAPE, Sub‑1% Yield
Ballpark 8,200 on the S&P gets us to an all-time high CAPE ratio and sub 1% dividend yield... Think it happens in 2026? https://t.co/MHciDgAS42
Tesla Chart Updated, Stop Loss Moved, Holding Long
$TSLA updated chart. Moved all stop on let it rides. Own some $TSLL too https://t.co/x4cJxDUHSV
Skip Costly SPVs; Invest in Anthropic Directly
people trying to get Anthropic exposure through 15-layer SPVs and 50% fees getting clapped when they could have kept investing simple like this guy https://t.co/W6M2amsQqw
Sacramento Sees 15 Five‑million Sales, 15 Listings
There have been 15 sales above 5 million in the Sacramento region since 2021, and there are 15 current active listings above 5 million. So many people aiming for that unicorn price.
Chip Giants Surge 2.5% in Unified Rally
All @intel @AMD and @nvidia are up around 2.5% today… it’s another ‘chips on the table’ day… 😄
Half‑Market Share Implies $400 Valuation for $LQDA
50% market share for $LQDA of this TAM is a $400 stock. Just saying… Not saying it will trade to this, but this is what a potential buyer would look at and then determine what rate of return they would...
Semiconductor Index Outpaces S&P 500 by Record Margin
The biggest 1-month performance gap between semiconductor stocks and the S&P 500 this century. $SOXX
Stunning Q1 Growth, Yet Stock Slides 37%
$RDDT had one of the cleanest Q1 reports in all of tech last week $663 million revenue - up 69% year over year $1.01 earnings per share - that's 7x what they made a year ago 40% EBITDA margins operating cash flow up 145% and...
Valid Inverted H&S Signals Retest of $SI_V High
IF this is a legit inverted H&S (in trading, everything is an IF), the target is a retest of the high $SI_V https://t.co/077kZqcANM
AAOI Holds Trend Line, Eyes 192 Breakout
$AAOI defending its trend line, but still early in the week. 192.00 is the magic breakout point for the move to 200+
China Controls Rare Earths Powering U.S. Tech
My take in @FortuneMagazine on China’s ace - rare earths: “Every advanced weapons system, electric drivetrain, wind turbine, and smartphone in the US runs through China’s critical materials.” The rules are being rewritten, and they are being rewritten in Beijing. https://t.co/m5S1TtrB5g
Ziggurat Sampling Highlights Real Estate Value; Stock Still Buy
Sampling at @AmerPacMine's Ziggurat project in NV gets underway. JV outlines the "telling real estate" that explains why the company is spending time here. Meanwhile drilling gearing up at Madison in Montana. Stock remains a clear buy (for now): https://t.co/6DfU0tB3Mr
Dollar Dominance Trades US Gains for Chinese Factory Control
The charts rhyme b/c of "dollar dominance": China exports a lot of cars (& other things) US exports a lot of stocks & bonds (but not much else on net) The ultimate outcome = China gets US factories & controlling stakes in US...
Seeking Clues: Will Money Rotate or Pause?
Is money going to rotate or do we take a breather across the board? Looking for clues here.
Diversify with Index Funds, Skip the Perfect Stock Hunt
Don't be stressed about picking the "perfect" stock. You don't have to. Broad index funds let you buy a tiny slice of 500 major companies all at once. Diversification protects you from the sudden collapse of any single company.
Trade Only When Stocks Have Clear Catalysts
Trade a stock on a day that it has a reason to move. We want expansion from our entry Day 1 Technical - Breakout through a key level Technical - Undercut and rally of a key level External - Earnings report External - News...
Korea Posts $300B Surplus Amid Record Won Weakness
Two things I never thought I would see: a $300b Korean current account surplus, and a $300b surplus paired with near record won weakness against the US dollar Strange times https://t.co/iSymq2hcGb
10-Year Note Forms Bullish Cup‑Handle, Breakout Loom
$TNX Daily. Index for Rates on 10-Year Note. Chart patterns can & often do morph. Here, consolidation morphs to bullish cup & handle. Back over at least 4.7% threatens breakout https://t.co/gQXIqXWRgI
Low Demand, Even Lower Supply Keeps Market Competitive
The housing market is not normal since we have such a low number of sales, but competition levels have felt pretty normal. What I mean is we have a regular spread of homes selling above and below the original price....
China's EV Exports Outpace Gasoline for First Time
China shipped more electric than gasoline cars worldwide for the first time ever in April 52.7% of 769,000 cars exported were EVs, doubling EV exports from last April. More EVs because they save consumers $20,000-$40,000 in fuel costs if driving 15 y/15,000...
Central Banking Losing Relevance Amid Three Mega‑Trends
CENTRAL BANKING IN THE AGE OF THREE BIG MEGA-TRENDS: In today's newsletter, I wrote about our conversation with @economistmeg and why central banking (I think) feels less central to the big economic challenges that every country on earth seems to be...
S&P Bull Run Hits 7th Longest Since
Current bull market may go down as one of the strongest ever. It has been 838 trading days since S&P 500 saw a 20% drawdown from its high. Only 7th such run since 1950.
Sell Into Strength: Reduce Exposure When Market Allows
Took advantage of the strength this morning to reduce some exposure. I prefer to sell into strength when the market gives me the opportunity. As always, do what works for you and your timeframe.
Saudi MAP Shipment Departs; Eight Phosphate Ships Await
Incase you are wondering how the global fertilizer crisis is shaping up - the 2nd Saudi cargo of MAP just left the Persian Gulf for Brazil since the end of Feb. There are 8 ships loaded w/phosphates waiting. https://t.co/MjbR9M1Cx7
Mag10 Index Shows Half Typical Realized Correlation
Mag10 index is about half the internal realized correlation as it is typically (realized corr usually in the 30s) you can run your own here: https://t.co/x6uhVkqDPT https://t.co/ZO3k762JAs
Japan's SPR Draw Outpaces US at 1.5 MMbpd
Between the end of March and beginning of May, Japan drew down crude stocks—mostly its SPR—at a rate of ~1.5 million barrels per day. Japan's SPR releases started much more quickly than the US' and that 1.5 MMbpd *average* draw rate...
April Home Sales Slip Amid Rising Mortgage Rates
April home sales disappoint as higher #mortgage rates weigh on buyers https://t.co/SASB7Gm37N @nardotrealtor #realestate #housing
Semis Surge 53% Above 150‑day Average, Rare Since 2000
Semis are 53% above their 150-day moving average The only other times we've been this steep? 1999 & 2000 @CarterBWorth breaks it down on MRKT Call with Dan Nathan & @GuyAdami 📈 $SOX $SOXX $XLK https://t.co/xrB46fDqge
Weekly Technical Outlook: DXY, Major Pairs & Gold
DXY, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, USD/CAD, Gold Weekly Technical Outlook (Webinar Archive) https://t.co/tjBoeaPmzX Asset Chaptered on YouTube: https://t.co/H9B0oCHc9Y
Prioritize Money Like You Prioritize Brunch and Binge‑Watching
You’ll make time for brunch. You’ll make time to scroll. You’ll make time to watch a whole season in one weekend. But when it comes to your money… suddenly there’s no time. And I’m not saying that to judge you. I’m saying it because a...
Trump Opens Beef Imports to Curb Soaring Prices
Imports (and tariff cuts) to the rescue, AGAIN: "Trump Clears Way for More Beef Imports, Aiming to Bring Down Record-High Prices" https://t.co/PrVADPxrF7 https://t.co/WqLArEHL6p
Historic Sellers‑buyers Gap Hits Record Inventory Levels
Updated chart on the biggest sellers vs buyers gap with inventory in history 😅 https://t.co/3iCN13KcUq
How We Turned Salary Into $102k Investment Income
When I married Erin, we made $92k/yr. Today, our investments alone pay $102k/yr. Here are the 5 steps we took as a couple to become "Middle Class Millionaires"...
India's Sensex Plummets, ₹
Indian stock market witnessed a massive crash today,Black Monday: ₹6.4 Lakh Crore Wiped Out as Sensex Tanks 1,313 Points.
Consumer Stocks Slipping, Panelist’s Optimism Unfounded
A panelist (who seems to have never made an unprofitable trade (save disasters $MRNA $UNH, etc.) on @HalftimeReport says the consumer is doing great. See today's price action in COST -$20, $WMT -$4, PG -$4, PEP -$5. And, by the way,...
Top Momentum Stocks to Watch Before May 15
Keep these on watch before May 15th. • 🚀 ($GEV) — 1074 → 1525. • 🚀 ($ETN) — 408 → 695. • 🚀 ($VST) — 147 → 310. • 🚀 ($CEG) — 290 → 480. • 🚀 ($PWR) — 757 → 1080. • 🚀 ($HUBB) —...
Dividends Come From Cash Flow, Not Free Money
Dividends are not free money. They are paid out of free cash flow. Let’s look at the example pictured below. We see three example stocks listed with their 2025 dividend per share listed and their 2025 free cash flow per share listed. When someone...
Record‑Breaking Seller Surplus Hits Market
It strikes again, the largest number of sellers vs buyers ever recorded in history 🫡 https://t.co/MLNsq8n4tS
South Korea Exposure Drives IEMG’s 20% Outperformance
IEMG has outperformed VWO by *20%* over trailing 1yr... The primary difference? IEMG has exposure to South Korea. VWO excludes South Korea b/c index classifies it as a developed market. Wild performance dispersion b/w two ETFs many investors assume do the exact same thing....
Record Diesel Prices Threaten Truckers, SMEs, and Consumers
If diesel hits an all time record? What will it do to trucking? Especially owner operators? And to supply chains? Especially SMEs? And consumers?
Historic S&P Rally Unlinked to Bear Market Cycle
The 16% gain in the S&P 500 over the last 6 weeks is the 11th biggest 6-week gain for the index since 1950. What's unique about this rally? It's the only example in the top 20 that did not occur either during...
Tesla Surges 3% as $20M Net Calls Flood In
Quite the rally on $TSLA, $20M in Net Calls over the past 30 minutes. Underlying is up ~3%.