
Moving Average Crossover Strategy Shows 6.9% Annual Return in Backtest
The moving average crossover approach generates mechanical buy or sell signals when a fast and a slow average intersect. Common pairings include 9/21 EMA for short‑term trades, 20/50 SMA for swing trades, and the classic 50/200 SMA Golden Cross for long‑term trends. Backtests of the Golden Cross from 1960 to present delivered a 6.9% annual return.

The author recommends a cash‑secured put trade on a stock that repeatedly retreats into a well‑defined price range. Premiums remain elevated following recent market weakness, making the option sell attractive. While maintaining a bullish long‑term view, the trader aims to collect income now and potentially acquire the shares at a comfortable level. This setup aligns with the author’s systematic approach to capitalizing on volatility‑driven option premiums.

$CRCL trade plan this morning @IUTraders Goal was $118 quickly once it stayed heavy $108 seemed reasonable. Blew through all levels $106.xx range has had a decent refresh seller if it can't reclaim that level soon - good chance it...

Centrus Energy Corp (NYSE: LEU) fell 4.2% to $188.39, testing a long‑term bullish trendline as oil pressures the nuclear sector. The stock sits within 0.75 of the 320‑day moving average’s 20‑day ATR, a signal that has historically preceded higher prices...

In the table below, we see that the drawdown in the S&P 500 has now reached 7.6%, with breadth reaching moderately oversold levels. That drawdown masks a far bigger decline in valuations, with the trailing P/E down 20%. The MSCI EAFE and...
Flash Purchasing Managers' Index data for the euro area and the UK are expected to dip below the 50‑point growth threshold, leaving European markets without clear direction. The weak readings come as oil prices rise on Middle‑East conflict, heightening uncertainty...

Yesterdays rally continues to fade pre market as $ES_F and $NQ_F remain below🟠5SMA and 🟢WTD AVWAP (hourly chart on left) On the 10 min chart, the 🟠"TACO news" AVWAP provides us with the average price since that event, with prices below...

A Tactical Traders Delight May Be Just Getting Started - 2026 - Gold, silver, copper, the S&P 500, Bitcoin and US natural gas have turned 1Q gains into declines. How sustainable are the pumps-then-dumps? Crude oil may be next. That...

Fastly Inc. surged to a four‑year high of $28.78, up 14% intraday, after announcing its participation in the RSA Conference 2026 to showcase new security solutions. The stock closed at $28.75, reflecting strong investor enthusiasm. On the same day, Fastly...
In today's Early Look: "#Quad3's Spider Web" The spider doesn't have a CNBC narrative. It doesn't have a price target. It doesn't “pound the table.” It builds the geometry — and waits for The Signal. That's what I do starting at...

Why is 200dma important? Last year when S&P broke below its 200dma the markets crashed due to april tarrifs
President Donald Trump approved a U.S. strike on Iran after a phone call with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, prompting immediate market turbulence. Defense shares rallied while energy prices spiked, underscoring how geopolitical flashpoints can reshape trading dynamics.

One of the reasons I was bullish on every dip in the second half of 2025 is that DIIs were buying every dip as expressed on this chart in index futures. But what is surprising is that they are not...

🚨 Palo Alto (strike price target $170 expiration the next 90 days) 🚨 Uber (strike price target $80 expiration the next 90 days) Not financial advice Just giving 2 free trade designs to my loyal followers and the community we’ve built...

Demand Activity & Volume 📊 Smart Money Concep Supply & Demand 📊 How to Calculate Risk: Reward 📊
GOLD HAS TESTED THE 200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE ‼️ This is big. From a TA perspective this is often looked at in a bull before permission to go higher. And we’re still nowhere close to the prices miners are valued...

$AMD Inverse chart looks exactly like $TSLA inverse chart did before it pumped (dumped) https://t.co/KCCBuJ6CH9
• Umbrella top still in place. • Best set-ups are still the inverse etf's. • Breadth is now above the 5-day, but I just don't trust it. • Rounding Bottoms. • Replacing index shorts with individual stock shorts. • And when to change your...

#BTC "Given this latest Weekly Close, there is therefore scope for another dip into the 200-week EMA for another retest to see if BTC can solidify a reclaim into support" Bitcoin is dipping towards the 200-week EMA once again $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin...

$SPY Can't rule out a 30% drop but I think it could take a long time. Some supports along the way but if we go sub $475 then that's the ideal zone to build back long term exposure (not financial advice just...

The real whoosh down for the market likely doesn't happen until and if semiconductors $SMH loses this 375 zone. https://t.co/x8REbNaFPj

A massive monthly bullish engulfing candle on the valuation of #Bitcoin vs. Gold. Every time this happens, the low is in. I wouldn't be surprised this time will be the same. https://t.co/ULoLpEwlNy

Short early here on $TSLA and then reversed into the LONG at $382 #trading #stocks @ttvresearch @traderTVLIVE https://t.co/KDmW5CU54t

$TXN making the move and back over the 10/100/200ma's. Posted the watch chart yesterday. Updated chart https://t.co/1lOhaPHmwR
Evidently there is still plenty of money to be made shorting Software Stocks on their bear market bounces

a weekly glance at short, intermediate and long-term S&P 500 $SPX relative trends of the key North American sectors and indices... (sorted by strength itself)... #SectorWatch https://t.co/UyBRPkmYj2

$IGV Daily. The many bottom-callers in software from February in danger of scrambling for the exits now, as sector ETF loses 20-day m.a. after a wobbly bounce. https://t.co/jp4YGEd89B
Software ugly today, bounce to AVWAP off Nov. lows was seen as resistance and down a quick 10% from there

I will be covering my $GLD short, locking in a 10% gain. Gold bullish sentiment is at 15% vs the 20-day moving average of bullish sentiment at 62%. A wide delta - possible mean reversion bounce https://t.co/SSQxnrHIXd

gold bullion just pulled back to the 200-day moving average, which is the first pullback to the 200-day in 2.5 years... https://t.co/dwiNknUEwy

At the beginning of recent weeks, SPX wicks up and then as the week goes on, the gains are given back. Certainly a way for the market to keep people continuously second-guessing their resolve https://t.co/vJ5eWqHZA8

a number of you asked to see how our #FinanciallyINsync bottom checklist actually looks. this is for context and #marketpulse, not a black/white buy program. i wouldn't expect to ever see this whole checklist ticked at a low......

Simplify it today. Does the $spy stay below yesterday’s low of $654 to keep some pressure on. Or reclaim it to relieve some pressure https://t.co/55Ia8e83Mu

Citadel on Flows: - ETFs have accounted for ~35% of trading volume over the past three weeks, peaking at 47%, and setting a record streak above 35%. - This reflects active shorting via ETFs to reduce net exposure. - Levered end-of-day flows remain...

Pullbacks to rising 200 dma are buying opportunities. Look at March 2024 before record run in gold. https://t.co/NbrW9taxHZ

Will bargain buyers come into silver before month end? Last April we saw similar correction before silver went for $100 run. https://t.co/8s8UPSrWxJ

This is the implied move for the stocks of today's reporting companies: $CNM $CNXC $HSAI $EVTL $LENZ $ACHV $SFD $CDLR $SMTI $FENC $GME $AIR $BRZE $KBH $NOAH $ABSI $VELO $BZAI $PAYS $MDAI https://t.co/xPlLZiDzZu

Mixed markets around the World after yesterday’s bounce attempt. $spx futures-7. We’ll see if $spy has an inside day above $654ish to show some commitment to yesterday. Or not. News flow remains fluid. https://t.co/tJBZY4fjc3

On the last push, a lot of shorts have already accumulated from above. Potentially, they could fuel the next move upwards. https://t.co/tDWPEGbeHf

$CF pullback likely could find support sooner than later on minor weakness following recent breakout & ongoing strong momentum in many Fertilizer names Goldman saying Hormuz might take another 3-4 weeks could continue to help the Ags @IBDinvestors @marketsurge https://t.co/jUpRKjmJBk
YES - the S&P 500 "bouncing" today at one of the 700 lines you have drawn on the chart....is just a coincidence.

"The historical playbook is for a sharp selloff of about -6% to -8% but a bottom on average in 3 weeks, and a full recovery in another 3, usually long before the underlying escalation is resolved. The current selloff is...

FIVE MINUTES BEFORE TRUMP'S ANNOUNCEMENT OF PEACE TALKS WITH IRAN, MASSIVE TRADES WERE PLACED $1.5 billion in S&P 500 ES futures were bought At the same time, $192 million in Oil CL futures were sold These two trades nailed the market moves...
HMH files $231.4M US IPO (10.5M sh @ $19–22). Macro: energy recovery lifts services. Key: drilling-equipment focus; led by J.P. Morgan/Piper Sandler/Evercore. Risks: cyclicality, oil-price volatility. Trade: selective long on rig-count breakout 📈 — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov

Silver's ~46% crash from Jan '26 highs looks like classic volatility, margin hikes, profit-taking after 130%+ run. Long-term? Fundamentals strong: 6th straight deficit in 2026, solar/EV/AI demand provides floor. Shakeout creates better entry. https://t.co/LXPHZL13Eg
Insiders "trading" $CL_F and $ES_F 45 min before the open while retail places a 58 team parlay on Kalshi https://t.co/7RYeVzxZ3J

I'm currently testing some new Undercut & Rally Data Points for @Deepvue Key Levels & Moving Averages. You'll be able to screen for these in real time 💪 These will be available soon. https://t.co/1V4rtLbga3
#AIM All Share pretty Hammer Reversal. Support 693 must hold. Resistance 732, 753, 779. RSI 17 extremely Oversold. Top Bollinger Band 795. Midpoint Line 750. Bottom Band 705.
#FTSE100 Reversal Candle but really a Long Tails Doji; can act as a Turning Point. Support 9670 must hold. Resistance 10036, 10305, 10481. RSI 32 very low but not Oversold. Top Bollinger Band 10600. Midpoint Line 10221. Bottom Band 9855.
#Nasdaq Comp Doji Candle but up on Friday's Candle. Support 21522 must hold. Resistance 22189, 22569, 22906. RSI 39 not low but flicked up. Top Bollinger Band 22879. Midpoint Line 22251. Bottom Band 21616.
#DAX Up Candle but off day's High. Support 21863. Resistance 23179, 24000, 24366. RSI 30 Oversold. Top Bollinger Band 24326. Midpoint Line 23334. Bottom Band 22329.