Know What's Happening in Stock Trading
Know What's Happening in Stock Trading
Moving Average Crossover Strategy Shows 6.9% Annual Return in Backtest
The moving average crossover approach generates mechanical buy or sell signals when a fast and a slow average intersect. Common pairings include 9/21 EMA for short‑term trades, 20/50 SMA for swing trades, and the classic 50/200 SMA Golden Cross for long‑term trends. Backtests of the Golden Cross from 1960 to present delivered a 6.9% annual return.
Oil prices surged to a two‑year high after Qatar’s energy minister warned that all Gulf oil and gas exporters could cease production within days amid the escalating Middle‑East conflict. Brent crude rose above $93 a barrel, and the minister suggested prices could reach $150 if hostilities continue. QatarEnergy halted LNG output, invoked force majeure, and warned that normal output would take weeks to months to restore. Disruptions to the Strait of Hormuz further threaten global supply and could amplify inflation pressures.
$Silver - Had a bearish reversal at the yearly R1 pivot and ended the week with a bearish engulfing candle. The Odds favor further downside to the 20 week MA as it had after the January top. In any case,...
"67% of your potential profit was hidden in a single 30-minute window each day." How do you get such stats? You need a powerful trading journal: https://t.co/Tv7Ihsxugk. Check the example below. 👇 This isn't luck. 🙂 ✅ It's deep data analysis made simple. @TradesViz's Multi-Timeframe...
The episode breaks down the surprisingly weak February jobs report, which showed a loss of 92,000 jobs and a rise in unemployment to 4.4%, highlighting sectoral declines in health care, construction, manufacturing, and hospitality. WSJ economics reporter Justin Layhart explains...
#DJI: Buyers stepped in forming a bullish candle below the Bollinger band; a rare condition that typically triggers a bounce in the #DowJones. The Oscillator is oversold.
Nvidia ties CEO Huang’s $4M bonus to FY2027 revenue milestones. Macro: AI-driven revenue surge. Key factors: record FY26 sales, China export limits, TSMC shift to Vera Rubin. Risk: geopolitical export curbs. Trading insight: accumulate NVDA on meaningful pullbacks. — Viktor...
The Global X Clean Water ETF (AQWA) experienced a sharp surge in trading activity on Friday, with 466,000 shares exchanged—roughly twelve times its three‑month average volume of 37,000. Despite the heightened interest, the ETF slipped 2.4% during the session. Component...
Most people are using indicators wrong. OBV cuts through the noise. Here's how to use it 👇 https://t.co/i9yubq3JJA
$Gold - Surprisingly, despite the war in the middle east it closed the week lower. However, it held above the yearly R1 pivot at 5043, and unless it closes below it next week I still expect gold to make a...
Not this shit again. 1st of all, this oil spike isn't more acute than 2022. In 2022 crude oil reached $129. Currently it's at $91 only. Secondly ,every time SPX is down 1%+ on Friday the usual suspects come up...
Sometimes Mr. Market hands you a mulligan. I got clipped tendering $MLCI from the wrong zip code, then got a second swing at $5.00 after the board itself paid $9.43. I wrote up the mispricing, the mechanics, and...
If Citrini publishes a substack post this weekend about an extended Strait of Hormuz closure scenario S&P futures are going to open Sunday night limit down huh
The $VIX increased 48% this week, the 21st biggest weekly spike ever. What has happened in the past following the biggest $VIX spikes? Stocks have tended to bounce back with above-average forward returns. Does this always happen? No. There are no certainties in markets,...
$SMH gradually starting to show more and more weakness as the Software malaise has begun to shift to Semis & Memory. While this is nearing "short-term" support, the short-term trend break & undercut of Tuesday's lows is still a...
So there's no exact playbook for trading against the crowd but I try to share some decent probability setups and wanted to attach notes to them. 1 thing I'd say is it doesn't need to be super complex, but you do...
Not a bad week in Sunrise land. Best thing I did was find some good setups, stuck with my plans and took good profit out of the market. The not so great is I allowed 2 trades too...
I think this should be getting more attention. Everything is about the rate of change. While I don't think this war 'goes away' soon, I wonder if today's sell off is people afraid of holding risk into a weekend due...
SPX ( US500 ) Sells closed fully today to end the week. Although we still remain bearish on SPX , especially after today's "too bad" US jobs data but we also have to understand that indices can see sharp pullbacks on...
Nifty50 10 Mar option chain at today’s close shows ATM IV above 20. That means option premiums are already elevated and the market is pricing serious uncertainty...Add crude oil above $90/barrel, and the macro backdrop is getting tense.😬💥 High IV +...
BTW, oil rallied an additional 43% over the next 2 months. Trump will do everything he can to open the strait of Hormuz and prevent a similar outcome. As I noted in an earlier post this week, I expect it...
Sometimes we make it harder than it has to be. $avgo had a good response to earnings yesterday. We discussed in 8:50 call u can buy vs gap pivot of $323. It only hit $327...
JUST IN: Brent crude oil price surges to $91, up 25% in the past 7 days.
WTI Crude Oil prices spiked 36% this week to $91/barrel. This was the 2nd biggest weekly increase in the last 40 years, trailing only the 2020 Covid rebound after Crude Oil prices crashed to $15/barrel. Roughly 20% of global oil supply passes...
Markets took a hit this week as oil surged to $91 and volatility spiked. We walk through the technical damage, the software bounce, and the levels that matter next. $SPY $QQQ $USO $VIX $EEM https://t.co/nXDfSdS9vc
MarketSurge just rolled out its biggest upgrade ever and you can try it for $1/day. New features include: • 100+ indicators • Automatic pattern recognition • Growth 250 stock ideas + 1-99 ratings Worth exploring. Great upgrade @marketsurge
The S&P 500 fell 1.3% today, its 5th daily decline so far this year with a loss above 1%. Expect to see many more of these days in the coming weeks/months - the average year since 1928 has 29...
WTI crude up 35% on the week, one of the best weeks in history. S&P 500 down only 2%? And energy up only 1%? Markets sometimes don't make sense.
The VIX has entered backwardation with the S&P 500 only -3.65% off its 2026 high. $VIX $SPY $SPX https://t.co/WsMfvN6wRa
Going live at 5pm EST to talk through the market and my current buy list. Tune in! https://t.co/kyw8OTU9MP
risk off into weekend...lack of conflict over weekend may push SPX back into its 6800 box
Transports gave up nearly all of their 2026 gains in one week. Now sitting just above the 2025 highs, a key level bulls will look to hold. $IYT https://t.co/7QBZnccPYe
$QQQ - As expected the choppy downtrend continues into next week. This week's low was 591.87. I expect it to make only a marginal lower low and bottom at the 200 day MA at the 589-590 range next week. https://t.co/gEEuUNwCm2
SPs likely to close with new momentum LOWS (basis 2 per ROC) and closing below 6800 as well, (though pick a number, any number....lol) https://t.co/qSqXTmUpt9
ORACLE $ORCL AND OPENAI ENDS PLANS TO EXPAND TEXAS DATA CENTER SITE: BBG Timber $AAOI $BE $AEHR $NVDA $SMH hello $SPX $6700 incoming ;-) As posted Feb 26th: There Are Better Things To Trade Than Nvidia https://t.co/LGkqEyi3XF
With S and P cash -61 handles we took profits in following longs: $APO $BX $MX $C $KKR $SPY $QQQ
Oil surges 35% this week for biggest gain in futures trading history dating back to 1983: CNBC $XLE $USO
No one knows the future direction of the stock market from here. What matters is the system and the stop-loss, whether pre-defined or imposed by some indicator. $SPX #ES_F
Trump admin announces $20 billion reinsurance program for oil tankers during Iran war: CNBC $XLE $USO
I'm not convinced that #Bitcoin will pump here but if we fractal out the previous range price action it overlays closely with current price action. https://t.co/dcPep0EsjN
KOSPI: down 12%. Up 9.6%. Flat. Three days. Three completely different markets. That's not investing. That's a slot machine. Leverage creates the illusion of opportunity on the way up and the reality of destruction on the way down. https://t.co/RXuF5WtBHa
"Stock's are holding up well" ...... $RSP having it's worst week since March 2025..... https://t.co/EEZWRGi6w7
Another name that I own sitting just below 50ma. Might need basing soon. $NOW well into the ER gap and just below 50ma daily. upped a few of the stop orders today. Need more cushion of...
SPY is 2.4% from its all-time high. In the middle of a war. With oil spiking. With yields surging. The market hasn't priced in the worst case. It hasn't even priced in the base case. That's the scariest part. https://t.co/d7MxjrSyrG
witht the breakout of $USO from consolidation we're seeing pressure on stocks again $QQQ testing 202 support area. https://t.co/QfA8Fnetbn
$USOIL - We're witnessing an extreme development today. Crude oil is up 16% currently. The 14 day RSI is above 89. The last time it closed above 89 was in August 1990, during the Gulf war. https://t.co/Fl62P7oRcE
Roche, Zealand shares fall on ‘undifferentiated’ obesity drug results https://t.co/5pSR2vcHBD by @Lilah_Alvarado $RHHBY $ZEAL $LLY $NVO #obesity
The $SPX has closed above its intra-day mid-point for 8 straight days and 13/14. 3 1/2 hours left to do it again...
NG, CL, S, W, CD - all made new momentum highs on 120 minute charts. (Rus made new momo lows on 120 minute)..
It's not cherry picking season yet Andrew..."Market of stocks" is getting smoked and software (part that's already gotten smoked) is masking that in the $QQQs. Trailing 5 day performance using a more intellectually honest view of the market. *insert 3 snarky...
Rhetorical Question: How do you define support in a chart like this ?! (and energy components are less than 4%).... https://t.co/acijcTvFSG
