
Moving Average Crossover Strategy Shows 6.9% Annual Return in Backtest
The moving average crossover approach generates mechanical buy or sell signals when a fast and a slow average intersect. Common pairings include 9/21 EMA for short‑term trades, 20/50 SMA for swing trades, and the classic 50/200 SMA Golden Cross for long‑term trends. Backtests of the Golden Cross from 1960 to present delivered a 6.9% annual return.
The latest Finviz heat‑map shows money gravitating toward energy and dividend‑heavy defensive sectors, while technology and consumer discretionary stocks lag. Energy stocks posted double‑digit gains, pulling the broader market higher. Financials have steadied after recent turbulence, and overall market breadth remains uneven. The visual snapshot underscores a rotation from growth‑focused assets to value‑oriented, income‑generating equities.
In 2026, Citrini7's "GLOBAL INTELLIGENCE CRISIS" report sent software stocks into a tailspin. But what if that was actually the bottom? https://www.compoundwithrene.com/p/the-citrini-bottom-the-great-software $NFLX $SHOP $CRM $NOW $TEAM $SAP $NTDOY $ADBE $VEEV $FRSH $SE $TOST $CSU.TO

$BIDU pulled back to its 200 WMA and holding support Interesting to see ARK doing the smart thing here and adding on this support Golden Cross about to take place on the weekly chart too... Price is at $119 Mean Reversion Zone above...
The DF Tactical 30 ETF (ticker DFTT) began trading on NYSE ARCA on November 12, 2025, offering a rules‑based, risk‑managed exposure to large‑cap momentum stocks. The fund follows the DF Risk‑Managed Tactical Top 30 Index, which rotates quarterly among the thirty...

--very strange price action past few weeks in $QQQ. may be first time this has ever happened... --if $QQQ closes above 600 today that will be 13/15 days index bought intraday but hasn't moved higher. --this is because so many opening gaps to...
U.S. non‑farm payrolls unexpectedly dropped 92,000 in February, pushing the unemployment rate up to 4.4% and prompting analysts to anticipate further Federal Reserve rate cuts. The dollar index (DXY) slipped to 99.063 from 99.308 as markets digested the weaker labor...
Capital.com reported a 49% jump in active retail traders and a 73% rise in total trading volume on 2 March as the Middle East conflict intensified. Oil surged to become the platform’s second‑most‑traded instrument, with new oil traders up 1,255% and...

🔥 Here’s my #stickynote for March 6, 2026: Big macro morning with Nonfarm Payrolls and Retail Sales at 8:30am — these numbers could move the entire market at the open. Expect volatility right out of the gate as traders react to...

Most traders try to trade every trend reversal they see. But most of the time it’s just trend continuation. Real reversals usually show break of structure, momentum shift, and reaction at supply or demand. Without those signals, it’s usually a pullback inside the...

The market is eyeing the upcoming Non‑Farm Payroll and U.S. retail‑sales releases after a week of volatility sparked by the U.S.–Iran conflict. Geopolitical tension has nudged the S&P 500 outlook toward the downside, yet it has not yet altered payroll expectations,...

The more a level gets tested, the weaker it becomes. I’ve been calling this an umbrella top, but you could also argue we’re simply trading inside a range between ~690 and ~670. Yesterday was another session where the exact opposite of the...

Volume Trading Cheat Sheet - Increasing volume → Trade Breakouts More participants entering = fuel Increasing volume creates accelerating price movement These are optimal breakout trading conditions. - Flat or Decreasing volume → Trade Reversals Fewer participants entering = no follow-through Impatience builds and exits create counter-pressure Continuation...

Aferian has suspended its AIM‑listed shares as it moves toward a pre‑pack administration and the sale of its operating subsidiaries, 24i and Amino, to a single buyer. The transaction, backed by senior lenders, is expected to close within days and...

"The average stock within the index has been nearly three times as volatile as the index itself (and the implied vol spread suggests the options market believes this will persist)." -GS Pasquariello via ZH

India's benchmark indices deepened losses on Friday, with the BSE Sensex slipping 603 points to 79,412 and the Nifty 50 dropping 168 points to 24,597. Banking and financial‑services stocks led the decline, as the Nifty Bank fell 763 points, testing...

A 2020 study applied an ARIMA(1,1,1) model to forecast the S&P 500 index for options trading, comparing it against a GARCH(1,1) benchmark. The authors bought undervalued calls and sold overvalued puts based on forecast‑price versus strike‑price differentials. Results showed ARIMA...

$TURB 14x relative volume today, and with how strong this closed in after-hours, it's an obvious watch for tomorrow. Two potential plans here, one on the base over VWAP/closing range highs, and another on the simple break & base over after-hours...
I love Michael Toomey at Jefferies but might want to call a bottom in his own company $JEF before he calls a bottom in the markets Again, big fan of his long tenure

Junk bonds diverging with stocks and working on a break of support, of a bearish descending triangle at (1) $JNK $HYG $SPY https://t.co/qGVRKZxUKf

Macro Pros, You'll see I'm down to 25 positions in Portfolio Solutions (from 30). All incremental Cash goes into FDRXX for me because the account is at Fidelity Raising Cash on the US Equity Beta TREND break https://t.co/b9jSa8qkmu

This is the $QQQ on top and % of stocks in Stan Weinstein Stage 2 on the bottom. Interesting that the Stage 2 Stocks peaked in Sep 2025 https://t.co/fOptvXX0yr

Everyone can read things differently, and not sure AI can replace foresight ever Example, on Tuesday, was being told IGV strength was a sign bullish for markets I felt the exact opposite, never like seeing laggards lead https://t.co/bugtKCRjaC

$ONDS I sure do love triangles but I also definitely tried buying the last breakout wick and got stopped out 😂😅 https://t.co/BxlG0u0mFd
Tech has outperformed energy the past 5 days. Proving once again, you can have the headlines a week early, but that doesn't mean you'll make 💰.

2s5s had been under relentless pressure in the past month (AI disruption and all) but finally a surge steeper after that weak a&& NFP print https://t.co/fYJGpdBc5q
CHART OF THE DAY: We Are Pressing Our Shorts Into Their Covers https://t.co/6ATbUtxX8X via @hedgeye
Members MRVL - Close Call Spreads 5.40, +80%, pretty good pick in this mess ha

$MU stops triggered below ystdy's low and quick pop. holds above 384 could see full reversal... https://t.co/SjZJaSOQsP

$VIX Mock cheer for COR1M, up from the dead/all time lows during earnings season to last spring and last Nov levels https://t.co/Ykw6arRCk3
$MRVL "Trade Idea 1: Buy the March 6 Expiry 75/72 1×2 Put Spread for a 5 cent credit.' a bust, looks to expire
$COST "Trade Idea 1: Buy the March 6 Expiry 980/967.50 1×2 Put Spread for a 5 cent credit." sell to close a 980/967.50 put spread on any strentght in stock. Let IV fall then can buy to close remaining...

Bitcoin #BTC $BTCUSD is RSI(5) oversold on the 6-hour chart, in an uptrend for the first time since late February... https://t.co/biYhkoTQPV

The 10-year yield has risen four consecutive sessions to 4.14%. Stocks down. Bonds down. Oil up. Gold down. When everything sells off together, it's not a rotation. It's a liquidity event. https://t.co/6whtUyh3CH

SPY getting crushed taking out yesterday lows, as noted yesterday, worst breadth seen in a long-time and warned of more cracks likely in the labor market which we saw today, also felt nobody wanted to hold this market into the...

VIX at 23.75. Up 12% in a single session. Two weeks ago it was under 18. Fear doesn't arrive gradually. It arrives all at once. And we're not even past the first act. https://t.co/7Fy3joZKAi

Expecting a big tout today from the Jeff Green , CEO of $TTD , after his $150M buy of $TTD https://t.co/8KUt1JKoTZ

Dow down 785 points on March 5. Worst week since October. Oil at $81. Yields rising. VIX spiking. And somehow, everyone's still debating whether this is a "healthy pullback." There is nothing healthy about a supply chain in cardiac arrest. https://t.co/t59DwX0YJy

$SPX :6775 is active support, then the lows of the week at 6710. Jobs report at 8:30 could change the picture — the street is modeling ~+55k, and in-line or a little stronger would be better than a miss. https://t.co/qIBCw3h3lN
Futures with the strongest uptrends are the ones with inelastic demand curves...now the consumer will have less disposable income than ever...grains and energies expected to keep a steady bid

🚨 JANE STREET HAS JUST SOLD $19M WORTH OF BITCOIN. Are they manipulating bitcoin again? 🤔 https://t.co/eetB2kifPE

March is like October's little brother, but he does average a positive SPX return... BofA https://t.co/jFaPf9gsOb

4.17% on the 10yr... highest since Feb 12... remember it gapped down to 3.93% to start the week (Sunday night) https://t.co/fDNCy0A6lE

The dollar looks like it wants to rip higher through 100, doesn't it? $DXY $USD https://t.co/ScJLmOqxcb

RBOB gasoline futures near $2.70.. implying $3.65 at the pump soon... close to the highest level since mid-2022 $RB_F $UGA @teconomics https://t.co/vQA49bLeZr

WTI crude oil yodeling higher.. > $84 But stocks are OK with that... for now... payrolls & Jan retail sales on tap... @teconomics https://t.co/jopqYDfXo3

$SPY unch $IWM -0.2% $XLE +1.1% $EEM +0.6% $EWY +1.9% $FXI +1.5% $GLD +0.3% $IBIT -0.9% @finviz_com https://t.co/u4xUOH2SHq

Most traders react. Successful traders prepare. The Free NeuroTrading Method® Quick Start Guide shows you how to define your levels before the market opens so you’re not guessing in real time. Build consistency in 15 minutes a day. Access it here 👇 https://t.co/CMoZufB9dH Courtesy of @StockChartPros

It’s not about being right or wrong on a trade. It’s about finding asymmetrical return/risk opportunities in your favor and then managing the outcome: https://t.co/HjjEH6k193

Very surprised by the negativity surrounding Freee 4478 JP. I'm either completely wrong, or in it's a highly contrarian buy. https://t.co/ihtyiQ5SFt

At the time this trade had zero catalysts other than $JPM calling for $30 and everyone chasing $Silver at 110+. It's never hwere the crowd is looking/chasing and if you study the thread there were months of absolutely nothing happening outside...