
Moving Average Crossover Strategy Shows 6.9% Annual Return in Backtest
The moving average crossover approach generates mechanical buy or sell signals when a fast and a slow average intersect. Common pairings include 9/21 EMA for short‑term trades, 20/50 SMA for swing trades, and the classic 50/200 SMA Golden Cross for long‑term trends. Backtests of the Golden Cross from 1960 to present delivered a 6.9% annual return.
U.S. equity futures opened mixed on Thursday, with Dow futures slipping 0.2% while S&P 500 and Nasdaq contracts hovered near flat after a prior session that snapped a three‑day losing streak. Market sentiment remains tethered to the escalating Middle East conflict, which is keeping oil prices volatile and prompting concerns about a possible Federal Reserve rate response. Meanwhile, AI‑related developments—from Broadcom’s record semiconductor revenue to the Trade Desk’s 19% pre‑market rally on OpenAI partnership talks—are shaping earnings narratives. Investors also await Friday’s jobs report and watch China’s revised growth target, adding further layers to market uncertainty.

The $SPX is stuck in a sideways range… but that doesn’t mean there aren’t opportunities. Today I break down: $AMZN and $TSLA bouncing $LRCX momentum divergence $AVGO earnings reaction #Bitcoin reclaiming 70K $MRNA and $LYB trend shifts Full episode of CHART THIS: https://t.co/VhhjxmCKSs

Nikkei futures surged 3.8% to 56,310, reversing a 3.6% drop the day before. The index remains up 7.7% year‑to‑date and 45% over the past year, reflecting strong investor appetite for low‑multiple Japanese stocks and tech exposure. The Bank of Japan...

The March 4 edition flags 109 ETFs that satisfy a dual‑screen: a long‑term uptrend (50‑day MA above 200‑day MA) and a short‑term dip (price below the five‑day MA). The list emphasizes semiconductor funds such as SOXL, SMH and SOXX, which fell...

MARKET RECAP 📈 The S&P 500 gained over $450 billion in market cap today, while the VIX dropped 10% 👀 This was a really constructive day. What the heck is going on?! Let’s talk about it 🗣️

Okta reported fourth‑quarter 2026 earnings that topped Wall Street forecasts, posting adjusted EPS of $0.90 and revenue of $761 million, an 11% year‑over‑year increase. Despite the beat, the company issued a cautious first‑quarter outlook, projecting revenue of $749‑$753 million and adjusted EPS...

South Korea’s Kospi plunged roughly 20% over two sessions, ending a ten‑month rally that had lifted the index nearly 180% on AI‑linked stocks. The sharp equity correction coincided with a modest resurgence in domestic crypto trading, as retail investors reallocated...

$QQQ - Last Wednesday it had a big up day and closed above the 100 day MA ahead of NVDA earnings. Today we had a big up day ahead of AVGO earnings. The 16 week cycle points to a low...

$NFLX took a baby slice off and put a chunk into let it rides as price is at 200ema, indicators stretched/overbought. Looks to need basing soon. NO temp top stick yet. I will deal with pullbacks as have...
The latest Finviz heat‑map shows money flowing primarily into technology stocks, which dominate the green‑shaded areas, while energy and utilities remain mixed or red. Mid‑cap and small‑cap names are experiencing notable speculative inflows, contrasting with lagging performance in financials. Overall...

There's the upward move for #Bitcoin. Looks great for more continuation; however, $74K is the first resistance. I think that, at least in the short-term, dips are a buying opportunity in $BTC. In the meantime, during consolidative periods, it's likely to expect some...

Gold traders keep making the same mistake… They fade the Initial Balance breakout. But when gold breaks and accepts outside the first hour range, the move can run fast into price discovery. ⚡ Comment IB and I’ll send you my free Initial Balance...
“It’s perhaps best to consider this selloff as a painful but healthy cleansing. It de-leverages and chases away momentum-driven speculators. What’s left will be those who care about company earnings and reasonable valuations.” https://t.co/u2x38lgHiL
Patient Shorts Rewarded - live trading room Tuesday ;-) $VIX $SPX $EWY $EWT $EWJ $SNDK $STX $WDC $MU Charting VIX for intraday scalps PLUS timing the top in South Korea ;-) https://t.co/zuRtN2DthN
Some observations on the Index Charts: Lots of Bullish setups across the whole lot. The unstable situation from yesterday of the Candlesticks being outside the Bottom Bollinger Bands has corrected very quickly. I find it amazing how markets have shaken off the...

SPX remains rangebound...but is it bearish distribution? I make the case on @stockcharts https://t.co/zhE0dQKw6t https://t.co/gxDUQiufmG
Oil and gas price shocks hit emerging markets more than developed. Not to mention South Korea and Japan are major buyers (read: dependent). BOJ inflation-induced rate hike can be pulled forward from my Q3 projection to Q2. $USDJPY

So Corgi Funds just filed for 88 (yes eighty eight) 2x levered single stock ETFs. Here's a sample of some of them. h/t @Todd_Sohn cc @TaxAlphaInsider @DaveNadig @sumitroy2 https://t.co/Pl5FFaII2y

Solar back at the weekly pivot. If it holds, this setup could radiate. $TAN https://t.co/9PZcJohfMc

Citadel Rubner: OpEx will represent the largest technical event of the month, with ~35% of US options exposure set to roll off by March 20 https://t.co/CZEymqKzhl

The Dollar’s Climb: What It Means Now $DXY $USD $UUP My thoughts based on the charts on @stockcharts https://t.co/zhE0dQKw6t https://t.co/JXMstMoSwD
Gary Anderson won the Charles H. Dow award in 2003 from the MTA for his work on the shift from buying momentum leaders to when it becomes more profitable to buy laggards. (Get his book, The Janus Factor). https://t.co/LoWws9pmX5

Scraping the bottom of the barrel for shares that are not overbought? Or, is Gary Anderson's "The Janus Factor" at work?! https://t.co/GEptwkZCcv

MRNA - the perfect 5 SMA buy. Kyle and I both realized we had take this out of our data base quite awhile ago...not very helpful when scanning for these things. https://t.co/n8OdKmJf1x

Update: After a 30+% rally in Netflix, it now trades at a premium to Colgate and P&G. Investors really didn't like the Warner Bros. Discovery acquisition and the stock has rallied every single day since they exited the bidding war...

Despite my previous post regarding the possibility of a grail sale upon retrace to the daily EMA, BTC had upside Breakout from an OD/ID pattern, the most powerful breakout formation. It has better odds of upside follow-through the next day...

When SP and NAZ took out yesterday's high, it triggered the WRR Buy model (takes out the high of the widest range w down day in the past 4 days) https://t.co/j4PIZbSy7j

Lockheed Martin up 6% Monday. Down 1.3% today. The defense trade isn't fading because the war is ending. It's fading because the market is starting to realize war doesn't fix earnings multiples. https://t.co/xXNtusNgkE
$AMZN chewing nicely on the ER gap. Watching for a fill to move stops maybe take a little profit off.

The Micro-Small Cap ratio is testing a key inflection zone, with RSI at lofty levels. $IWC $IWM $RUT https://t.co/LD4kpacHjC
$NVDA filled the Feb26-27 gap down ahs many ma's just overhead. I own it and NVDL
Nvidia CEO Huang says $30 billion OpenAI investment ‘might be the last’: CNBC $NVDA $AIQ
Is the VIX showing signs of a short-term market bottom? 🎙️@GuyAdami on the correlation between the $VIX & $SPX https://t.co/BIswcB9QAe

Weekly chart $IGV so far so good on this horizontal support/200sma bounce and follow through https://t.co/OlB7ZAUhrB

Citi: Options investor positioning in the SPX index is extremely bearish, with skew close to 3-year highs https://t.co/8bOEw1FFfS

$QQQ Hourly. Your last month in the Nasdaq. Easy to get worn out in this choppy tape, especially if putting on many trades. Range within broader 6 months range https://t.co/oBihc4j2vh

The Fed is trapped. Oil at $81 → inflation rising. Stocks selling off → growth slowing. Yields above 4% → no room to cut. Stagflation isn't a theory. It's a Tuesday. Rate at 3.5-3.75%. Next meeting March 17. They will do nothing. And that's the problem....
Can this bounce be trusted.. or not??. I'll break out WHAT needs to happen to have more confidence, today at 2:25 EST on @FoxBusiness w/ @cvpayne

MongoDB: Revenue up 27%. Beat on earnings. Rule of 40. Record cash flow. Stock: Down 22%. Why? Two top execs left. Guidance light. The market doesn't care what you did. It cares what you're about to lose. https://t.co/u0W819CWth

a weekly glance at the short, intermediate and long-term S&P 500 $SPX relative trend condition of all the key North American sectors and assets... #SectorWatch https://t.co/CZoeJ2bjDH

$WMT daily updated chart. Basing along the 10/21ma's worked off overbought conditions from Feb. Still own let it rides on this name. No trade shares at this time https://t.co/JV2KvZcV1K

$PLTR we now have 2 small gaps and the 10/21ma's for support levels below and watching 155-156 for next level higher. I am close to putting shares from this trade into let it ride. I still own...
I bought a lot of names on the drop last couple of days. Posted charts/names etc on X most before taking them.
Took paydays on $MSFT $MSFU and $LMND all for good %. I now settle into the full swing with cushion

Iran made a "secret" offer to negotiate. Futures surged. You are about to be whipsawed. Again. The pattern: Gap down. War headline. Recover. Peace headline. Surge. Escalation headline. Flush. Rinse. Repeat. The only thing that matters is long duration Treasuries. That is your signal for what's...
$MSTR paydays sold for good payday %. I have a full swing left and money in my pocket. System repeated over and over.

$AMD full chart updated and a simple chart. I have both long time let it rides and a new trade today. https://t.co/akFj3ZNxIZ
I’m dumb. Idk $COIN would be up ~50% from its low. I knew the poker hand was good so I played it. Now we set a trailing stop and move on. Poker Hands > Crystal Balls

$CRWD wasn't easy this morning. i had a long bias despite only the inline guide because of software bottoming and down 30% from high. --quick flush to S3 on open --accumulation at S2 for 45min --finally hitting R1 as i type... https://t.co/Y2CO5GcGNp

Everyone is watching the Dow recover 800 points off its lows. Nobody is watching IWM. Down 1.7%. Hit $253 intraday. Back to November levels. Small caps don't lie. They don't have buyback programs to prop them up. The canary is choking. https://t.co/N8FcBwc8lA