
Moving Average Crossover Strategy Shows 6.9% Annual Return in Backtest
The moving average crossover approach generates mechanical buy or sell signals when a fast and a slow average intersect. Common pairings include 9/21 EMA for short‑term trades, 20/50 SMA for swing trades, and the classic 50/200 SMA Golden Cross for long‑term trends. Backtests of the Golden Cross from 1960 to present delivered a 6.9% annual return.

On March 4, South Korean equities plunged 12% as the Korea Exchange triggered a twenty‑minute circuit breaker on both the KOSPI and KOSDAQ after the benchmark fell 8.1% in early trading. The sharp sell‑off was driven by heightened volatility linked to the Middle East conflict and rising energy prices, which also dragged down regional markets such as Japan and Taiwan. This was the largest single‑day decline in KOSPI history, though the index remains up over 100% year‑to‑date. Analysts say recovery depends on the security of the Strait of Hormuz.

At the same time, the equal-weighted price index remains in a solid uptrend and unlike its cap-weighted sibling is not over its skis from a trend perspective. The broader market is well-grounded from a price, breadth, earnings, and valuation perspective. It’s the...

As of yesterday, the S&P 500 has a three-month negative return. However, more than half of large cap stocks are up 5% or more over the last three months & 38% have advanced 10% or more. We'd have to go back...
Medical apparel maker FIGS has surged 260% over the past year, trading above $17—a four‑year high. The rally follows Q4 2025 earnings that showed a 33% revenue jump to $200 million and strong international growth, prompting several analysts to lift price...
There are still a good number of stocks forming bases following strong prior uptrends, and so far market pressure has not caused widespread technical damage. However, after running my stock screens, the dominant theme is right-side volatility — which often...
one way i like to use put contracts: 1) i have an idea of what price i want to be long a stock 2) if volatility spikes i will short puts with a strike at or near that price level 3) if the...

The article explains that a zero‑cost options calendar spread is not feasible because the longer‑dated leg always carries more extrinsic value, resulting in a net debit. Using a Kimberly‑Clark put‑calendar example, the spread costs $20 (0.20 per share). Even with...

On balance, Bitcoin can take a couple of months to bottom even after a sharp decline. A couple of things to watch: MSTR has tended to lead Bitcoin at key turning points. IBIT — the largest Bitcoin ETF with roughly...
MARKET PANIC WITHOUT FOLLOW-THROUGH Just 24 hours ago, fear was dominating sentiment. Many commentators were predicting a market crash after $SPY opened below the key $675 level, briefly falling to around $669. However, the market quickly proved those fears wrong. Instead of...

The Indian rupee fell to a new record low as the US‑Iran conflict sparked safe‑haven buying of the dollar and pushed oil prices higher. Higher oil costs and the realization that U.S. rate cuts may be delayed have lifted inflation...

Fascinating chart analyzing the metrics of the markets on being overbought or undervalued. You can clearly see, and that's the specific case for #Bitcoin, that we're currently in undervalued territories. The only cases that we've been in this area earlier are: - Bear...

For swing traders, there's a time and place; this ain't it. If you are concerned about a rip-your-face rally on a resolution, then buy $SPY. Intraday volatility is high. Yesterday, the $IWM was up $7 from the lows but still $3...
The S&P 500 ETF (SPY) displayed a potential reversal on Tuesday, opening lower, slipping further, then rallying to close the session in positive territory. The move was reinforced by a bullish divergence on the 5‑day Relative Strength Index and trading...
March 4, 2026 📊 Insight: Jobs + services data = volatility window 8:15–10:00. Watching tech strength early with $NVDA/$MSTR bid. Services miss could pressure risk. $AVGO earnings tonight key for semis. Patience at the open — let data hit first. 0815 – ADP...
Nifty Prediction For Tomorrow 5 March 2026 By Rohit Srivastava | Indiacharts Nifty has gapped down to test a crucial long-term support trendline around the 24,450 level. A short-term relief rally is possible, which could push the index to retest the...

European sovereign bonds slipped for a third consecutive session as surging oil and natural‑gas prices revived inflation concerns. The rally in energy commodities coincided with a U.S. initiative to secure a key Middle‑East shipping lane, which failed to calm markets....

some surprise was noted at Netflix $NFLX being in our Top 10 #AllINsync holdings at month end... it was acquired Feb 25th/26th - here are the daily/weekly charts and some eye candy demonstrating what i noticed and why we bought...

Most of the #Altcoins have seen their low. There are many arguments of why the markets are about to turn and that's why I've accumulated a large position in $NEAR. Strong bullish divergences on the daily and weekly timeframes vs. Bitcoin. A massive...

Fitch Ratings lowered Indonesia's credit outlook to negative, citing rising policy uncertainty. The agency kept the long‑term foreign‑currency issuer default rating at BBB, an investment‑grade level. This follows Moody's February decision to downgrade the outlook amid concerns over governance under...
Your PnL shows the results. The @tradesviz Drawdown View shows the truth. A green exit can hide a reckless process. See what really happened inside the trade: • 📈 Running PnL Curve — Real-time journey, not just the end result • 📉...
$CTMX, +660% in 12 months, approaches its masked ADC catalyst. Via @ApexOnco -> https://t.co/oQI1iQiV4N ( $JANX -58% in the same timeframe)

Vistry Group Plc shares plunged 25% after the homebuilder warned profit growth will remain sluggish in 2026 and announced CEO Greg Fitzgerald’s retirement. The full‑year results highlighted challenging market conditions, tighter mortgage lending and higher construction costs. Profit delivery is...

a weekly glance at my @Optuma sector ratio grids which compares the performance of each of the 11 GICs sectors against the others... #SectorWatch left: 3-month % change right: 1-month % change https://t.co/wXE6l8Kts9

Bitcoin has rallied up to the AVWAP from the YTD high The next overhead level of interest is the YTD AVWAP ~76350 https://t.co/olZl7U0wBa
Took paydays on $CRWV $NOW $SOFI $WDAY watching close on a few others. Paydays were all good to great payday %. I now settle into the full swing with money in my wallet.
There has to be a distinction based on whether $SPX closed above or below the 100 DMA the next day. Those that closed above it, like 12/19/91, 1/12/98, or both the 2019 cases, did much better over the next 2...

Too early on $IBIT on the dip. Then the trend came in. Always willing to go back to the well. #trading. And I know better, failed premarket breakout requires a lot of patience on the reload. #Trading https://t.co/TQCIpQ2ZGX
$SPX up about double $RSP and 57% of large cap stocks are advancing this morning. Large cap growth leading the drive, up 1.28% compared to LC Value up 0.31%.

gave a 15c stop here on $SLV here live on @ttvresearch @traderTVLIVE , now 60c ITM #silver #trading https://t.co/YFv9KiHwyY

I view this as potentially the significant change of price behavior since the top in Oct @BitcoinLive1 report forthcoming at https://t.co/B21biKQ8fC https://t.co/gHEXGfaC4x

$USOIL - Crude oil is already showing initial signs of topping as it did last June. I can't believe that some people are gullible enough to believe, that empty threats made by Iran about $200 crude oil prices, are actually...

so far tech has been bought next obvious spot for $QQQ supply is 608. https://t.co/c53MtcIg4a
They are stopping where they are supposed to stop. Resistance is working. Now we just need to flush them where we are supposed to.
we're long 9 call options in #AllINsync: $PFE $JOBY $OXY $AA $COIN $TSLA $PLTR $HOOD

investors who've missed the emerging markets $EEM absolute + relative strength are offered a (relative) pullback against... https://t.co/SjnvdgBiKB
$CRWD "Trade Idea 2: Buy the March 6 Expiry 380/390 Call Spread ($4.80) and sell the March 6 Expiry 350 Put for free." sell to close call spread , puts expire

my $SPX $VIX oscillator model didn't manage to even get into the zone... nothing since the last buy signal... https://t.co/I6WWFOsvwS

Chart from Sunday's Thrasher Analytics note.... While the S&P 500 has stagnated due to the poor performance of mega caps and specifically the Mag 7, the average performance of large cap stocks has been strong and is up double that of...

"If it is obvious, it is obviously wrong." George Granville Alphabet is creating a picture perfect head and shoulder top. Many expect this to resolve lower. What if it doesn't? If this one breaks higher, it would be a clue the...

starting to feel a little better about being short the 3/20 $MSTR puts (sub 100). https://t.co/e2kBNgXmzp
GM all, looks like we are getting a green start to the day? Will we hold? any ideas or setups you are looking at?
We shorted the Indices on this BS report. The S and P futures ripped (+28 handles) and we put them out: * $SPY $682.35 * $QQQ $604.37 @dougkass @thestreetpro @tomkeene @business
many will suggest that timing of entries doesn't matter much, but i don't tend to agree... an ill-timed entry sets you up for being unable to deal with bouts of volatility (i.e., yesterday) adding losses and costing precious mental capital......
coal stocks have all pulled back in recent weeks... i miss the 'ole days and the $KOL but its small exposures via $XME, or the names: $HCC $BTU $AMR
Yes, the January Effect is my leading theory for this year -- strong USD throughout the rest of the year

been a while since we've seen Bitcoin #BTC $BTCUSD sitting double double (+ve MACD daily & +ve 13-day Force)... joining commodities today... #AssetWatch https://t.co/AgHjiJ6Jva

$spx futures -3 as today settles out a bit after $spy hit $669 and reclaimed $675 to get home back on the range https://t.co/NY794d92MH
If that was my market BOS would be at Tier#2 this morning. With two left in case
Korean stock market -12% today, the bloodbath affected the local game companies like so: Neowiz -13.7% Kakao Games -12.5% Netmarble -11% Com2Us -10.8% Krafton -10.6% Nexon Games -10.3% Devsisters -10.2% PearlAbyss -10% Shift Up -8.8%
Chemicals $LYB February: $58 December: $42 *Sell-side research analysts across Wall Street., scrambling to upgrade to buy from sell / hold.