Know What's Happening in Stock Trading
Know What's Happening in Stock Trading
Moving Average Crossover Strategy Shows 6.9% Annual Return in Backtest
The moving average crossover approach generates mechanical buy or sell signals when a fast and a slow average intersect. Common pairings include 9/21 EMA for short‑term trades, 20/50 SMA for swing trades, and the classic 50/200 SMA Golden Cross for long‑term trends. Backtests of the Golden Cross from 1960 to present delivered a 6.9% annual return.
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$SPY trading near the bottom of its multi-month consolidation range. A move below 670.00 could drive the entire market lower.
Similar to what we saw pre-market yesterday. Spot VIX (from SPX option chain) way north of the directly tradeable VX futures. Backwardation of the futures is not a good look, but I expect spot VIX to drop once the bell...
IAMGOLD (IAG) is positioned to benefit from soaring gold prices and a strengthening macro backdrop. The company operates mines in the Americas and West Africa and is advancing its flagship Côté Gold project in Ontario. Recent restructuring and asset divestitures...
📉 KORU -31% — bearish macro ETF collapsing as risk assets sell off — Korea 📉 MDB -27% — MongoDB stock down on earnings/guide disappointment. 📉 MAIA -24% — biotech off after weak data/metrics. 📉 SGRY -24% — surgery partner stock sold post...
🚀 BATL +110% — energy tension rally flowing into small energy names. 🚀 PSNYW +46% — Polestar warrants surfacing on EV retail interest. 🚀 BWET +22% — small cap leveraged water tech (?) getting short-squeeze + sector rotation. 🚀 HG.CSE +22% — hydrocarbon/energy...
The U.S. dollar is strengthening across major G10 pairs as the Middle East conflict fuels risk aversion, pushing the euro, yen, and sterling lower. Emerging market currencies such as the peso, yuan and real also slide, while equity markets suffer...
On Monday the S&P 500 closed essentially flat after permabulls rushed in on the opening dip, echoing Michael Burry’s “greatest buy‑the‑dip generation” claim. The optimism was short‑lived as escalating tensions in Iran prompted a market rethink. The author warns that...
🔴 "Black Tuesday" in Korea. (maybe a little hyperbolic) Samsung -9.9%. SK Hynix -11.5%. Worst single-day drops since Aug 2024. KOSPI -7.2% — largest single-day drop in 19 months. Program trading halted intraday. Foreign investors dumped 3 trillion won in the morning session...
Embedded issue with markets now is whether volatility remains sticky to upside and destroys the crowded and complacent short vol trade which has been going on for years
The Morningstar UK Large‑Mid Cap Index climbed 3.8% in May, buoyed by a rally in the basic materials sector. Burberry led the best‑performing stocks with a 43% monthly gain, followed by Johnson Matthey, International Airlines Group, Diploma and St James’s Place. The worst‑performing names were...
You can punch the "look for relative strength" people right in the face on days like today.
Implied vol is well ahead of historical vol. Is the latter about to catch up? https://t.co/n7Ii78S3oL
Midas Touch Consulting issued its Gold Daily Call for March 3, 2026, projecting that spot gold will initially trade sideways before turning lower. The technical chart highlights a near‑term support zone around $2,050 per ounce and resistance near $2,150. The note cites...
It is what it is, weakness in February and the early parts of March are quite common the past two decades. We've been saying expect a banana peel and we are on it. https://t.co/fTK460vLTF
Good reminder that we just had the smallest first two month range EVER for the S&P 500. Tight ranges don't last forever. https://t.co/4UYArPODOU
Safaricom’s Ziidi Trader, launched on the M‑Pay platform in early February, sparked a surge in Nairobi Securities Exchange activity, with daily equity trades climbing from under 8,000 to more than 25,000. The app gives roughly 38 million M‑Pay subscribers the ability...
$QQQ gap below the level. We were "supposed to" see follow through higher today or a hold. A gap down is negative. Still below the 21ema. See how we close https://t.co/2PaRAvRI6S
Quasi SKlarew box suggests minimum downside of 5000 for GC. note perfect 120 "u turn" at the top. https://t.co/wHdOR1RvDF
This is certainly more like the whack to markets I had expected yesterday. At least I might get a good opportunity to open a GIT #FTSE100 Long at some point. :-)
There is an old adage that comes true in every major market cycle The person who is long at 100 and says they will double up at 50 ends up selling everything at 60 Happens every time -- never fails to happen
$BBY "Trade Idea 2: Buy the March 6 Expiry 62/63 Call Spread (80 cents) and sell the March 6 Expiry 56 Put for free." puts expire, sell call spread near $1.00 or on any weakness in stock price
$MDB "Trade Idea 2: Buy the March 6 Expiry 330/342.50 Call Spread ($7.40) and sell the March 6 Expiry 275 Put for a 20 cent credit." call spread a bust, will need to roll puts down and out.
a weekly glance at our "Is It Safe for New Buying?" checklist... $TSX $QQQ $SPX $IWM https://t.co/ryem6Ua7LX
three credit card trends... Visa $V and Mastercard $MA have already crossed 13/34-week EMA bearish... it looks like American Express $AXP isn't far behind... https://t.co/AA0IDiYONt
seeing the S&P 500 $SPX % stocks at 52-week highs increase again... remember sector rotation is a healthy thing and if you're going to be negative on stocks, you'd better show me the equal-weighted index is bearish (hint: it's not)......
when my $SPX #DCATR model turns upward, don't worry, i'll mention it... no point on speculating on coming bear markets until the market behaviour supports it... https://t.co/myYDLhzuYP
Asia is weak, oil is ripping, we're in a fast market right now on The Morning Show https://t.co/jn2RN28AFk
Daily mean-reversion update. A relatively good day yesterday. Link in reply below 👇 $SPY $QQQ
An interesting study for someone good with that kind of thing... Chart $CBOE relative strength breakouts vs. the market as an inflection point to market trends Seems CBOE showing rel. strength tends to always precede market weakness as options volumes surge
Remember that chart of how most all stock gains came from overnight sessions Be funny if 2026 is the gap them down overnight, buy them up regular session market
Gm Traders, feels like we might be in for a day today, what are we thinking?
What level does crude have to trade below for SPX to go green on the day
$ZD with a $1.5B market cap sold a unit to $ACN for $1.2B cash this morning
Crude Oil prices are at about the mid-point of a 20-year range $150 Crude is NOT NOT out of the question for 2026 With Gavin in power in California, $10 per gal gas is within sight All for homeless tents under every bridge...
Everyone assuming the Oil move is inflationary. An Oil spike historically more often than not precedes equity tail events and economic recessions. Why? Speed of Oil move is deflationary shock.
Japan selling to prepare to defend the Yen. Stage 1 of reverse carry trade thesis.
The sector no one wanted… …is now the best pure global Equity hedge: *Diversification wins again? https://t.co/MveBoNSYU0
For those into proper Edwards and Magee charting (not this modern day junk), this could be what is happening to Gold https://t.co/9oNZBtZmkg
"Chance favors the prepared mind." Samsung -10%. SK Hynix -11.5%. Korea's worst day in 19 months. We flagged the memory names yesterday — $MU, $SNDK, $WDC — as shorts. Not a prediction. Just process. Breadth was NO across the board. Regime DEFENSIVE. https://t.co/NLFcX1gCIU
Escalating U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran triggered risk-off sentiment, driving S&P 500 futures down over 1%. https://t.co/NbHGasOhbi
Crypto Update 🧵 Crypto is trading like a leveraged tech bet, not a safe haven. 🔴 $BTC — $66,643. Faded hard from $70,128 high at 1600 ET. Back below all moving averages. https://t.co/yw0XPWqqy3
Single Stocks are expected to be more volatile than the S&P 500 by the largest margin since October 2008. 👀 https://t.co/DChNaXPkiW
IMPACT @t1alpha The 3 stocks that drove 25% of yesterday's intraday rally are all signaling Bearish TREND @Hedgeye That's not good. $NVDA $MSFT $PLTR https://t.co/AzTRbxG3Kq
Good morning, Mostly Deep Red Arrows around the World as Geopolitical tensions spread thru 9 Countries. $spx futures -120 Looks like we will be right around big important range area. $spy $675ish https://t.co/S9yXkXPEy9
As I warned yesterday, $SPY was teetering on a @Hedgeye TREND Breakdown - let's see if it confirms
This 19-Year Chart of Stock Markets Really Matters Right Now (here's why) https://t.co/TEzNGq0NTV [VIDEO] #stockmarket #SP500 #dowjones
Kospi down 7 pct. Quick, need a hedge for this hedge i took a few days ago. Wait, I have one - India.
Winning Isn't Even On My Bingo Card From Safe Havens To Software Gap Down Was Bought, For Now Petro or Pedo-Dollar https://t.co/C1TzLcxyl7
I'll be on with @MariaBartiromo tomorrow am- 7:10 EST on @FoxBusiness discussing the surge in cross-asset volatility given the Iran Strike & what it means for markets
