10‑ And
10, and 30-year yields pushed sharply higher to test resistance at a 2.5 yr consolidation since late '23 & the domestic movement was far more controlled than what was seen in UK and Germany- $TYX shown here @IBDinvestors @marketsurge This looks important & might not happen just yet next week given 5-wave push higher from 5/7. But ultimately, Yield breakouts look highly likely technically, and this gels with the cycle which i discussed in reports last mth. Those who aren't technically up to speed will be quite shocked at how rapidly yields start to rise when a 2.5 year consolidation pattern is broken
IGV Outperforms S&P, Signaling Software Bottom
$IGV beating the S&P 500 by 2.5ppt today... rounded relative bottom forming for software? @stockcharts @fundstrat https://t.co/qUANvs169z
Copper Plummets: Biggest Two-Month Drop, Still Tied to Gold
An interesting outlier today: copper. $HG_F posting its biggest daily drop in two months from (near) record highs. Faster drop than broader metals - though Copper-Gold correlation is still very highly positive (10day): https://t.co/nn0qJkA1Py
First Downside Gaps Test Strength of Market Trend
Lo and behold: We have ourselves some downside gaps this morning. $SPY needs to rally to 743.56 and $QQQ to 717.22 to fill them. They’re the first downside gaps in quite a while; how quickly they get filled -- if...
TLT Nears May 2025 Low; Next Support at 82.42
$TLT - Approaching the May 2025 low at 83.30. If 83.30 doesn't hold the next support would be the October 2023 major low at 82.42. https://t.co/NHoyTKC974
AMAT May Call Spread with Put Credit Suggestion
$AMAT "Trade Idea 2: Buy the May 445/450 Call Spread ($2.00) and sell the May 395 Put for 5 cent credit." looks to expire.
Target $IBIT Longs at 45‑45.25 Amid Crypto Rally
The rally in crypto yesterday was intense, the start zone looks good for a base for longs. Want to favor longs in $IBIT into that 45-45.25. But if cant get there on market weakness will look for vwap....
Volatile Morning: Strong Guidance Yet Broad Market Sell‑off
Between the IPO Euphoria and leaving China without a deal. The temporary top is the early morning market feel. $AMAT quarter and guidance was strong but market still sells, and its $FIG's beat that the is ringing the buyers...
Asia Session: Low Volume, Range Trading Over Momentum
The Asia session trades completely different than New York session. Lower volume on Nasdaq means price respects supply and demand levels more, ranges more often, and moves slower compared to NY volatility. That’s why understanding market sessions, liquidity, and consolidation is...
NVDA Breaks Hell Channel, 210 Stop Becomes Natural
You had to be patient with $NVDA and the "channel of hell" but great action finally above it -- 210 stop zone now natural place. https://t.co/2Dk4G06yhF
Short‑dated Call Buying Hints Tesla $450 Target
Had some Call selling at the open on $TSLA. Starting to see some short-dated single-leg calls pour in now. If this activity continues, that MVC at $450 is likely.
Trim Profits, Ride Technical Strength, Ignore Macro Noise
📺 DON’T CHASE STRENGTH, TRIM IT + A LESSON FROM $NVDA TRADE Today's newsletter: https://t.co/Rqp84Wg39F The market is in a sustained bullish sequence, driven by technical strength rather than macro narratives. The 8-day moving average has been consistently held since April...
Bitcoin Defies Risk‑On Trend, Correlation Weakens
We seem to have a 'risk on' orientation to the markets, but Bitcoin didn't seem to get the memo... Some heavy support below (but 200 SMA above). Correlation to SPX (10-day) has dropped from its typically strong, positive standing. Bullish switch...
Bitcoin Still Below Bottom, Bear Channel Likely
As 👁️ see it A recognizable bottom has NOT NOT NOT been completed in Bitcoin. A possible bear channel exists from the Feb low. Price is being repealed from the upper boundary. An ATR close below 79145 would indicate a retreat...
S&P 500 ATR Model Remains
my S&P 500 $SPX "DC ATR" model still sits bearish as the intemediate-term ATR climbed in recent months... though it looks en route to a potential cross... https://t.co/dKAhRipZq7
BTCUSD Targets Liquidity Sweep, Bullish Reversal Expected
🚨 BTCUSD 30M Setup 🚨 Price is moving into a key Sell Side Liquidity zone combined with a bullish Order Block + FVG area. 📌 Expectation: * Liquidity sweep below lows * Strong bullish reaction from demand * Expansion toward Buy Side Liquidity Waiting for confirmation: ✔...
Volatility Peaks at Turns, Then Fades as Trends Settle
NEW POST “Short term volatility is greatest at turning points and diminishes as a trend becomes established.” A massive new opportunity could be developing. And dispersion may get even more extreme. https://t.co/lzEI5foMCu
Herding, Momentum, and Options Push Prices Up Then Down
Let's look beyond fundamentals and narratives to better understand how herding, momentum, and option delta and gamma can systematically drive prices higher and eventually lower. https://t.co/PbY8yW5eKT
Bitcoin Faces Downside Risk If Upper Resistance Holds
🚨 Weekly volatility is approaching. $BTC is currently trading inside an ascending channel. If Bitcoin fails to break above the upper resistance, we could see a downside move... https://t.co/UwrpSZVTtk
Korean Chip Giants Dominate EWY, Prompt US Rebalancing
Given that Samsung & SK Hynix have now exceeded 50% of $EWY, there will need to be some "rebalancing" to satisfy US Diversification requirements by end of month @IBDinvestors @marketsurge charts here: https://t.co/XW54gpjWXm Similar to today, South Korea's weakness very...
FTSE250 Shows Strong Down Candle Amid Sideways Trend
#FTSE250 big Down Candle but in Sideways move. Support 22087, 21492, 21000. Resistance 23000, 23231. RSI 52.5 bit off Neutral. 13/21 day EMAs Bullish. Top Bollinger Band 23035. Midpoint Line 22585. Bottom Band 22135.
DAX Doji Near 50
#DAX doji Candle just above 50 day MA Line 23757. Support 23482, 23000. Resistance 24513, 25152. RSI 50 Neutral. 13/21 day EMAs Bullish. Top Bollinger Band 24904. Midpoint Line 24272. Bottom Band 23664.
Returning to Zillow at 3‑Year Low
Bought $Z Zillow stock today. My first purchase of Zillow stock since I left 7 years ago. Seems oversold below $40, a 3 year low.
Microsoft Poised for Breakout if It Holds $404
$MSFT can $MSFT force a breakout from this Bull Flag? The plan - - Hold above $404 - Then break above the first resistance at $419 - Then first supply target is $444 Simple.
Strike and ATM Vols Drop Amid Market Sell‑off
Seeing this across a lot of ETFs and stocks...strike vols and floating ATM vols are both down which is unusual for such a sell-off but not shocking since we were in spot up/vol up backdrop lately https://t.co/qHBtlXU3vp
XBI Sees Modest Boost After Anticlimactic FDA Decision
$XBI getting small lift (so far) from the Un-Martying of the FDA. It's all very anticlimactic. https://t.co/q4ta0bkJh4
QQQ Near 2.3% Drop, Awaiting Thursday Support Test
that seemed like enough for today. the low around 2.3% below ystdy's high. i would like to see a test of last thursday's support before end of the week. $QQQ https://t.co/orIYGiGroG
Gold Range Tightens, Breakout Likely Soon
Quick video update on the #Gold levels from here Gold Range Tightens: Breakout Incoming? https://t.co/IgMSz0WwUH On YouTube: https://t.co/2VVa53WM6t
Mag 7 Call Sales Hit $45M Today
Since open, there has been some heavy Call-selling on Mag 7. Net $45M Calls sold so far today 👇
Short Intel's Opening Pop, Now $10 Lower
shorting the $INTC pop on the Open into R2 was a bit uncomfortable but here we are $10 lower into S3... https://t.co/mJb3vt1M9v
AI‑Heavy Mega‑Caps Power Narrow S&P Rally
S&P500 rally is narrow—10 stocks drove 69% of gains; AI leaders concentrate returns, heavy AI capex cuts FCF and raises market fragility. Risk: valuation gap, IPO supply. Trade: overweight selective mega‑caps, trim beta. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Market Weakness Shows Thinning Breadth, Fib Extension Holds
$SPY $ES_F some weakness, been highlighting the weaker under the hood breadth this week and thinning leadership, aligned nicely with that 1.618 Fib. extension which has held firm https://t.co/qdmEsolpQF
Nasdaq's 16% Gain Fueled by Four Stocks
We are in a very concentrated environment. The Nasdaq 100 is up 16.2% year-to-date. Four stocks – Alphabet, Nvidia, Micron, and Intel – are responsible for 8.4% points, or 52.3% of the gains. With the market hitting all-time highs, only...
Keep Winners, Cut Losers: Hold TSLA, AAPL,
📺 I SOLD $AMZN & $GOOGL BUT HOLDING $TSLA & $AAPL FOR THIS REASON $TSLA has been a high-momentum trade since the $368 Red Dog Reversal, and instead of exiting, I’ve been scaling: adding on strength, trimming into extensions, and rebuying...
Core Scientific's AI Pipeline Drives Funding, Margin Expansion Expected
AI compute demand drives Core Scientific's 3GW pipeline funded by $3.3B notes; execution and margins lag and CoreWeave concentration raise risk. Trade: buy CORZ on confirmed margin expansion — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
AD Lines Break S&P 500 Uptrend Since April
As more stocks decline than advance, the 5-, 21- and cumulative Advance-Decline Lines have all been diverging away from the uptrend in the S&P 500 since April 20th. https://t.co/NFeXr8zs3b
Stocks Surge Despite Hot US CPI—Will Rally Hold?
US Inflation CPI comes in HOT but stocks rally - WHY? Can the move last? https://t.co/k6Rb0gt4WW
Apple Holding $290, Breaking $295 Signals Risk Appetite
Can $aapl hold $290 and clear $295 today. that can give some clues to risk appetite and opportunities https://t.co/tbV08dedXD
Pullback Minor, Trend Still Above 5‑SMA—Plan Needed
Markets are experiencing a small pullback this morning and it has done zero damage to the near term trend which remains above the rising 🟠5SMA Don't be complacent, it only ends badly if you do not have a plan. ⚫️WTD AVWAP 🔵MTD AVWAP $ES_F...
Micron May Test Yesterday’s Low or Drop Further
Will $MU hold yesterday’s low or do they shake the tree lower for memory/semi clues https://t.co/jy0eZY90d5
Oil Funds Build Shorts Betting Hormuz Reopening Cuts Prices
Oil funds boost short positions anticipating re-opening of Strait Investors made few significant changes to their aggregate position across crude oil and refined fuels for the third week running as the ceasefire between the United States and Iran remained in place...
Bitcoin Miners Turning Sellers, Market Ignores Shift
BTC tagged $82,000 overnight, failed the 200-day EMA wall for the third time this cycle, and sits at $80,632 with April CPI three hours away. I'd be flat-to-defensive into the print. But the story that actually matters today isn't the...
Silver Futures Break $83.84, Bulls Anticipate Further Rise
The move above $83.84 (4/17 HOD and matching the 12/29/2025 $83.77 HOD) in July Silver Futures has the Silver Bulls fired up again looking for a spike or grind higher. For me, the verdict is still out........ https://t.co/IXv9NqTS6C
S&P Soars While Banks and Dow Lag, Warning Sign
The S&P 500 is hitting new highs, but banking stocks and the Dow Jones aren't confirming the rally. This classic market divergence could signal an impending trend reversal or a much-needed correction. Will the rally broaden to include the laggards,...
Bitcoin Holds Above $76K, 21‑MA Key Support
The daily update on #Bitcoin. Essentially, there's still no change of momentum and trend. Clearly, the markets are heading upwards for more tests there. The 21-MA is a crucial level to look at. The $76K area is a crucial support zone that...
Oil Jumps 3.2% After Breakout Signal
OIL: inflates another +3.2% after the immediate-term TRADE Breakout Signal we gave you yesterday https://t.co/v8XVyzlCnt
Norway Stocks Rise 0.8% on Bullish Opening
NORWAY: stocks ramp +0.8% for us here on the open and remain Bullish TREND @Hedgeye https://t.co/1xdJeq9Sk5
Broad Market Weakness Amid Rising VIX and Tech Divergence
@thestreetpro Divergences Aplenty in Monday's Trading Monday's market advance had some conspicuous and worrisome divergences: * Market breadth was poor and leadership continued to narrow (even more noticeably than in the past few days) see below graph. * The VIX strengthened to 18.38...
Seeking Reliable Short‑Side Alpha Beyond Newsletter Sources
Where do you source your alpha from on the Short Side? Newsletter guys aren't that https://t.co/NufSCHkU4w
Gamma's Throttle Nearly Crushed SPY Bears Yesterday
Do you know where Gamma's Throttle is? It pushed $SPY Bears to the brink yesterday @t1alpha https://t.co/zfPNFKk7Tc