
India’s LPG crisis following closure of the Strait of Hormuz The war between the United States and Iran and closure of Strait of Hormuz has become a critical threat to the supply of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) India relies on for domestic cooking, restaurants and small-scale manufacturing. India depends on imports to supply almost two-thirds of the cylinder gas (propane and butane) supplied to households and businesses; nearly all of it comes from countries around the Persian Gulf shipped through the Strait. India’s government has responded with emergency measures to boost domestic LPG production, allocate scarce LPG among customers, encourage alternative fuels, and negotiate safe passage for several tankers through the Strait. But some LPG customers, especially lower-income households, may revert to traditional fuels if they cannot obtain sufficient cylinder refills ...

Coming to terms with the fact that no matter how the Iran War and Hormuz crisis ends it’s going to be far harder going forward to scoff at claims that the paper market isn’t pricing in physical oil market realities. Catastrophic...

Light Crude Futures $CL_F $USO 2 hour chart on left 30 minute on right Oil had been holding support btwn 94-92 until the 🟠"taco tweet" removed some of the perceived risk in oil It dropped down to the anchor from the beginning of the...
“An official from an Asian or African country who needs urea before the monsoon does not discuss the Ukrainian question. He calls the Kremlin, and the Kremlin picks up,” she said. On how the US war with Iran is strengthening Russia...

Whereas more WindWaterSolar correlates with lower electricity prices worldwide, more fossil fuels, nuclear, and bioenergy each independently correlates with higher electricity prices.

For every $1 increase at the pump, the typical American household spends an extra $530 per year. Gas is costing Americans $300 million more a day than before the war. My latest newsletter, "This War Will Make You Poorer" (bit.ly/ThisWarWillMakeYouPoorer),...

CHART OF THE DAY: The idea was that Brent/WTI was going to catch up higher towards where Oman/Dubai crude was trading (>$150 a barrel) Instead, we are witnessing Oman/Dubai crude plunging >$45 a barrel in a single day to ~$110 a...

Saudi oil shipments via the Red Sea have been ramping up rapidly and are getting close to the five million BPD target https://t.co/SkPyeLTXbO https://t.co/nmq5Kt89xT
"There are a couple gaps on the upside that need to be filled... that might have been a decent low for a period of time here in gold and the gold miners." 🎙️@GuyAdami | $GLD $GDX https://t.co/ZVXyArkxOD
Markets don’t really care who controls the Strait of Hormuz as long as the oil starts to flow again — “give markets what they want” doesn’t necessarily mean a US win.

UK businesses face a jump of up to 80% in gas bills on Iran war https://t.co/THZNalojSw via @EamonFarhat https://t.co/vr4PvVdKFc

Copper down 10% this month. Gold at $4,550+. Same planet. Completely different signals. One screams recession. One screams fear. $CPER $GLD https://t.co/kChEJn36lH

Cool, cool, cool... "At least 40% of Russia's oil export capacity is at a halt following Ukrainian drone attacks, a disputed attack on a major pipeline and the seizure of tankers ... the most severe oil supply disruption in the modern...
🛑So let me get this straight: President Trump waived sanctions on Russian oil at sea and released millions of barrels from the SPR to bring oil prices down. Then Zelensky struck Russian oil ports and terminals, tightening oil supply and pushing...
Every normie feels in their gut that oil should go higher. And every oil expert seems to think that every day we get closer to the true disaster scenario. So why is it that oil is not only below the...

Quite the chart from @axios on suspected crude market front-running ahead of Trump’s major Iran War proclamations. https://t.co/lZY1JkMKCp
Today's Opening Bell Iran Talks Stall- Gold Rallies, Oil Slides, USD Holds (asset chaptered) https://t.co/TmUUL0psrk
Heads up that I'll be LIVE on @BNNBloomberg to talk oil markets and the [??end of??] the Iran War this morning at 11:15am ET. https://t.co/bqG3IGwkQS

$SLV Daily. Working thesis for precious metals & miners continues to be a wide range into spring months. Here, silver knocking out range parameters. https://t.co/r9lNUdiS1n

Dallas Fed Energy Survey for Q1 2026 is out. 2 Notes on this chart: - Only 34 executives responded - That second sentence in the description does all the work https://t.co/gAebgKUX4O

I find the oil futures curve to be a useful way of keeping track of news out of the Middle East, as it provides a useful metric for assessing what's changing, and how much. https://t.co/Hl3XzfUEfP

18 years ago, an ounce of gold bought your 7 barrels of oil. Now it buys your 50 barrels. https://t.co/oEjSQkutLM

GULF SHUT-IN UPDATE: Brings Iraq's confirmed shut-ins to ~3.5 MMbpd as of yesterday, lifts overall confirmed *crude* Iran War output shut-ins to ~9.5 MMbpd. Gas condensate/NGL output losses are on top of that. ~200 million barrels of expected crude won't be...

National retail gas prices have crossed the $4.00 per gallon threshold. Highest prices since August 2022. Just a month ago, the President was saying they were under $2 https://t.co/o1wA1BwG3C

Balance of the month cash Dubai crude barrels (white line) still trading higher than the prompt Oman futures (blue) I'm seeing quoted this morning, which are down more sharply, but spot Middle East barrels certainly feeling less pressure and all...

While WTI has remained just under $100barrel, Brent has remained well above $100 as it is more dependent on the Strait. Per the bottom panel below, the backwardation of the forward curve has continued to sit around $20/barrel as the...
Just a reminder that everyone should check out the BCA Research Hormuz Crisis dashboard, which we have now made available to non-cients. https://t.co/2w3YrSrMuA https://t.co/PRmuyuEG4a

On this day, March 25, 1980 the Hunt brothers received a massive margin call that helped trigger one of the biggest commodity crashes in history. Texas billionaires Nelson Bunker Hunt and William Herbert Hunt had cornered nearly one third of the...
Every oil analyst reading the Iran War's done headlines and watching the Iran War's done price action waiting for the Strait of Hormuz to actually begin flowing again https://t.co/4kBqUoI2Np

"Rather than being a sign of weakness, TACO is working in Trump’s favor. No one knows for certain when or if he’ll try to end the war, which has been enough to stop traders from pushing up the oil price."...

Gold $4,550+. Missiles flying. Bonds selling off. The safe haven playbook just got rewritten. $GLD $GC_F $TLT https://t.co/mnn27BiQUs

Lots of headline whipsaw but call me crazy but I do find market price action useful. Oman oil back down to the 90’s from the 170 highs says this is a wrap https://t.co/0WwZo0Hanz
Some awkward facts: Oil is sold via a global price mechanism (there are some variations due to transportation costs). Gas is sold on a regional basis. If it was global, then why is US gas a fraction of UK gas?

$5 Corn May Mark a 2026 Peak Alongside $120 Crude - The December corn future (Dec26) stretch to $4.99 a bushel around the onset of the Iran war on March 9 may have peak inklings akin to Dec22's $7.66 apex...

Why has gold tumbled? Two reasons: (i) the big rally pre-war sucked in lots of retail investors who're more skittish than the previous buyer base; (ii) volatility meant hedge funds had margin calls, so sold profitable positions like gold to...

Diesel was $7.25 in real dollars back in July 2008, $6.51 in June 2022 @jkempenergy .. $5.38 in real-time. I'd like to see @JeffWeniger work his magic on this chart https://t.co/u3Tn1K8vRc

Oil crashes 10% on diplomacy hopes. Snaps back 4% when Iran denies those talks. WTI: $88 to $91.62 in 24 hours. Same war. Same region. Different headline. The volatility is the signal — not the direction. A 14-point crude range in 48...

Oil -10% Monday. Oil +4% Tuesday. Same war. Same geopolitics. The volatility IS the signal. $USO $XLE $SPY https://t.co/Od9t9fzbbl

May soon becomes the RBOB prompt.. it's $2.89... implying a $3.80-$3.85 national average (down from today's $3.99 level) https://t.co/0eD1CGzOZ5

Europe faced with near-empty gas stores just as war hits supply https://t.co/AMi8Pr6NeH via @priazrocha https://t.co/iNtIl6DXzV

Gold bounces upwards after taking the liquidity beneath the wick. Classic price action. I think that we'll slowly see the volatility wind down in Gold as it has established a range. Upper side of the range is $5,000-5,100. The lower end of...

U.S. RETAIL DIESEL prices including taxes climbed to an average of $5.38 per gallon on March 23 up from $5.07 a week earlier and $3.81 before the war started. Inflation-adjusted prices have averaged $4.80 so far this month (75th percentile...

Dutch gas inventories fall to **6.1%** full 🇳🇱 ⚠️ This is a seasonal low, and comes as the global LNG market is facing a shortfall due to the conflict in the Middle East https://t.co/OeUgHLyuUf

While most eyes are focused on hydrocarbons in the Middle East, keep an eye on #Lithium in China as well... Some data providers flagged a weekly reduction in inventories, and prices have bounced over the past few days. We seem...

Thailand is hiking power prices due to the conflict in the Middle East 🇹🇭 ⚠️ Power rates may be increased by as much as 18% for the May-Aug. billing period due to higher fuel costs Other gas importers are...
SLN stabilised with fresh funding, but New Caledonia nickel supply still faces deep structural risks. https://www.metalnomist.com/2026/03/new-caledonia-nickel-supply-gains-time.html
My take on @AJEnglish on how the US-Israeli war has backfired and is benefiting Iran: “Iran is getting more oil out, they’re selling it at higher prices, and at lower discounts than prior to the US-Israeli attacks.” https://t.co/ySeIcR0lFS
US copper smelters face rising strategic pressure as weak refining economics reshape the copper supply chain. https://www.metalnomist.com/2026/03/us-copper-smelters-face-strategic.html
This is why there is so much focus on gas demand destruction 👇 Importers (particularly those in emerging Asia) will need to take less LNG to free-up more for Europe and other richer nations the longer Hormuz/Qatar is shut

OPEC+ crude supply in March will be the lowest since the major production cuts during COVID lockdown in 2020.