Know What's Happening in Currencies
Know What's Happening in Currencies
ECB faces binary decision on rates, says Dutch central bank chief
Olaf Sleijpen, president of the Dutch central bank, told a finance podcast that the European Central Bank’s upcoming Governing Council meeting will centre on either raising interest rates further or keeping them unchanged. He noted the discussion will take place in Frankfurt in a few weeks when the board reviews fresh inflation data.
India's banking system liquidity surplus shrank to ₹75,483 crore after a ₹2 lakh crore advance‑tax outflow, pushing overnight money‑market rates to 5.31 %. The RBI responded with a 7‑day variable‑rate repo, but attracted only ₹48,014 crore in bids. Simultaneously, the central bank sold over $15 billion of foreign‑exchange reserves to support a rupee that has slipped 1.5 % amid geopolitical tensions. The combined pressures signal tighter short‑term funding conditions.
My latest on tomorrow FED rate decision and what to expect for stocks and the US dollar
On March 17 the Reserve Bank of Australia lifted the cash rate by 25 basis points, marking its second straight increase and a sharp reversal from the gradual easing path pursued throughout 2025. The hikes respond to inflation running above...
Tomorrow will be the most imporant FOMC meeting of our lives Until the next one
Smart Money doesn’t chase the market — it waits for liquidity. Price tapped into the Fair Value Gap after grabbing liquidity and then delivered a clean bearish move. This is the power of ICT & Smart Money Concepts: understanding where institutions...
Retail forex traders often lose because of behavioral biases rather than broker manipulation. The article explains that taking profits early and letting losses run creates a mathematical edge for brokers through spreads and commissions. It outlines a disciplined, business‑like approach—risk...
The U.S. dollar will be the world’s reserve currency until the day you die. Everyone wants the U.S. dollar 🇺🇸💵 Everyone ✋
The European Central Bank’s digital euro proposal aims to cement Europe’s digital sovereignty and foster fair competition ahead of a potential 2029 launch. Advocates argue that the CBDC must be sovereign, public, and inclusive to win trust from citizens and...
🚨 TRADERS JUST TIPPED THEIR HAND BEFORE FED The market is already telling us what to expect from the Fed - and smart traders are paying attention. Stocks are rallying and the dollar is pulling back ahead of Wednesday's Fed decision. That's...
The Daily Feather’s new post spotlights the oddball nicknames of U.S. colleges, zeroing in on Wichita State University’s “Shockers.” It traces the Shockers moniker to early 20th‑century wheat‑harvesting students who earned a reputation for “shocking” the grain. The article pairs...
The Indian rupee slipped to a provisional all‑time low of 92.40 per U.S. dollar, down 12 paise, as rising Brent crude prices and sustained foreign institutional investor outflows weighed on the currency. The decline was amplified by geopolitical tension in West...
As expected, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) hiked interest rates by 25 basis points. Markets suspect this telegraphs what's on the cards for other single-mandate central banks, such as the Bank of England and the ECB. While a hike isn't...
The RBA hiked its benchmark rate to 4.1%. That is the first major central bank this week of a long list. If you want to pit it against the most prominent carry counterpart and contrast against rate of change, it...
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is under market pressure to increase interest rates as inflation remains sticky. The author argues the RBA should refrain from a hike, citing a historical parallel where the European Central Bank raised rates in...
The Fed might prefer to say nothing this week. But the projections force them to sketch out a path. Two former Fed presidents told me they'd want to avoid projecting near-term cuts in the current situation. Whether sitting officials do...
US Dollar Index $DXY $USD $UUP now 1% off the week's high.. back-to-back bearish sessions @stockcharts https://t.co/hy3tIXMCbo
Polymarket now prices a 98% chance that Fed governor Stephen Miran will dissent from the upcoming Federal Reserve decision, up from 89.1% after the Iran war began. The odds surge highlights heightened market focus on any deviation from the committee’s...
Canadian Dollar Short-term Outlook: USD/CAD Tests Pivotal Resistance– Breakout Risk Builds https://t.co/QS7PNM8IKo $USDCAD Daily & 240min Charts https://t.co/SQnqfzZO43
Quick video update on the $DXY levels ahead of tomorrow's Fed decision. U.S. Dollar Strength Meets #Fed Uncertainty Ahead of Critical Rate Call https://t.co/0jeM9epKXi
The Swiss National Bank (SNB) is expected to keep its policy rate at 0% as inflation remains near‑zero, hovering between 0.1% and 0.3% year‑on‑year. Recent forecasts show a modest rise to 0.2% in 2026 and 0.8% by mid‑2028, supporting a...
The Fed is about the move the markets - Here's the trading plan for stocks and the US dollar 👇 https://t.co/kWQkl5Peg1 #FOMC #Forex https://t.co/xIaWfeqjPc
RBA Hikes in a 5-4 Decision, Trump-Xi Meeting Postponed, Beijing Tightens Restrictions on Fertilizer: There have been three developments to note. First, President Trump’s trip to China has been postponed by at least a month. The White House linked it...
ING’s research team released its latest foreign‑exchange forecast table on 16 March 2026, drawing on Refinitiv data and internal modeling. The outlook covers major pairs such as USD/EUR, GBP/USD, and emerging‑market currencies, highlighting expected rate movements through the year. Analysts attribute the...
3 Developments: RBA hike, and mkt favors another one by mid-year. Trump-Xi meeting postponed by at least a month. Reason? War. Beijing tightens exports of fertilizer components. Oil firm but in yesterday's range. USD quiet. See https://t.co/QYsOxDPAlE...
All talk, no action from other central banks this week, except for the RBA which hiked rates to 4.10%, the highest among DM central banks. https://t.co/JKCGcBPwIG
Global FX derivatives daily turnover hit $6.6 trillion in April 2025, about double the 2013 level. While FX swaps still dominate, outright forwards and options are growing fastest, reshaping product composition. Trading remains concentrated in London, though Asia‑Pacific’s share is rising and...
The Yen has fallen below its previous low from mid-2024. This even though we're within two months of the NY Fed "rate check," which temporarily lifted it. As long as Japan believes in FX intervention, it's in denial on debt...
The Stage Was Set For Bank Of Canada Cuts Later This Year: That's All Gone Now Today's CPI Report would have provided cover for the BoC to cut its key rate at the end of April or June but the War...
Global corporates are confronting a pronounced mismatch between their Renminbi (RMB) operating exposure and the currency composition of their debt. While roughly a quarter of revenues and costs are RMB‑denominated, only 14% of corporate debt is issued in the currency,...
There's going to be a lot of people complaining this week when the Fed doesn't cut rates. Let them. It's the right decision. In fact, interest rates should be much higher than where they are today. The free market should...
The Dollar has risen against the G10 (lhs) and against EM (rhs), but - once you factor in that this shock is at least 3 times as big as Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine - it's trading quite soft. We're...
KCM Trade, a global CFD broker, has introduced KCM Trade Copy, a mobile copy‑trading platform now available on iOS and Android. The app lets clients automatically mirror the trades of vetted Master Traders in real time, with adjustable lot sizes,...
Falling prices of precious metals are a signal that the dollar is getting stronger overall, even though today the DXY may be down a little. What really matters is the trend and not a day in the life of a...
Bessent now finds himself in the position of the Bank of England in 1992 when Soros, Druckenmiller, & Bessent "broke the BOE": Trying to prevent the USD from collapsing v. oil with a finite amount of oil reserves as markets &...
Oil prices are hovering near multi‑year highs as the Strait of Hormuz remains a bottleneck, keeping the energy risk premium elevated. The surge in crude costs has reinforced the U.S. dollar’s dominance, with the Dollar Index perched at the top...
Notable FX options expiring tomorrow: 1.6 bln euros at $1.15 $720 mln at JPY158.40 A$430 mln at $0.7100 and A$485 at $0.7045 $685 mln at BRL5.20 $550 mln at CAD1.3645
US Dollar $USD About to correct? Far above moving average ribbons. Dollar down = Bullish commodities. https://t.co/BLfBbDOCMp
The European session shows little catalyst, keeping markets rangebound while traders monitor the escalating US‑Iran conflict in the Strait of Hormuz. In North America, the spotlight shifts to Canada’s CPI release, with the Trimmed Mean inflation rate projected at 2.3%...
The $DXY Dollar Index has put in for a bearish 'inside day' from a technical analysis perspective. Happens to align to the $VIX retreat - though the 10-day correlation is waning. Is the Dollar more aligned as a safe haven,...
📆First we will prepare you for the week ahead 📈Then we will trade it LIVE Join US https://t.co/VB3DW4Bub5
Zeal Group, the London‑based FX and CFD broker behind the Traze brand, has appointed Ahmed Pasha as Global Head of Risk and Trading. Pasha arrives after a seven‑year stint at Equiti Capital, where he most recently led Trading Analytics, and...
“Interestingly, any delay in Warsh’s confirmation is a gift to Warsh and a curse for Powell as the Fed now faces the challenge of managing yet another supply side shock with a president that views rate cuts as the answer...
Central banks worldwide hold rates steady this week as they watch oil prices and Middle East tensions. The Fed's Powell leads his second-to-last FOMC meeting. 🟢 Open https://t.co/d9xKHu64X9
Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) is unlikely to raise interest rates immediately despite oil prices breaching $100 per barrel. Inflation remains modest at 2.4%, within the central bank’s 2‑4% target, and the BSP recently cut its policy rate to 4.25%...
Trump wants powell to lower interest rates and keep printing dollars to fund rebuilding Gaza, Venezuela, Cuba, Mexico and Iran https://t.co/5SBPUcPukV
$USDJPY near 160, going to be tough for an intervention to be effective with the winds pushing yields up thanks to oil (as goes the case for any major energy importer at the moment)
The Federal Reserve’s March 18 meeting may break the recent easing trend as traders assign a roughly 25% probability to a rate hike, driven by a sharp oil‑price surge linked to the Iran conflict. Chief economist Carl Weinberg warns that...
If their GDP drops 14%, do you think Qatar and Kuwait will: a) Slash government outlays (thereby risking domestic unrest), or; b) Sell USTs & US equities “until their hands bleed” to raise USDs to buy needed goods to try to...
My week ahead article: It Would Probably Be a Bad Sign if the Fed Cut Now – Here’s Why https://t.co/iRgDsoYaOg https://t.co/HWPl79e8Ez
The Federal Reserve is confronting a new supply‑side shock that threatens to revive inflationary pressures as geopolitical tensions persist. Central banks are diverging, with Australia likely to raise rates again while Europe and the UK pause policy tightening. This split...
