Pakistan Ceasefire Fuels Green Arrow Rally, Watch Resistance
Mostly green arrows around the World as Pakistan brokers a two week ceasefire. Europe and Asia are potentially higher $spx futures +165 Make sure to trim and trail as $spy has pretty major resistance $677 $qqq has pretty major resistance $610ish https://t.co/k3DBWKaiiR
Ceasefire News Fuels Stocks, Crypto Surge – Trade Live
Peace talks are moving markets fast this morning. Stocks and crypto are both ripping higher on the US-Iran ceasefire news. We'll be trading this momentum live at 9am NY with our DOTS indicator to spot the best entries. https://t.co/66dSROeuCi https://t.co/hFqQuGZt4y
German 10y Yields Drop 15bps on Iran Ceasefire
German 10y (nominal) yields plunge 15bps (w/10y inflation expectations down 10bps) on Iran ceasefire. https://t.co/TN4TRdNdX1
New Daily Subscriber Post on ES Futures & SPY
April 8, 2026, 4:50 AM: New post for subscribers in Daily Posts. Link in reply below. 👇#ES_F $SPY https://t.co/e2jKy9u9cj
Chinese Interest in Iranian Oil Wanes as Discount Disappears
Chinese refiners are inquiring about Iranian oil, although it's not a wholesale rush given prices are still significantly higher than before the war (the ~$10 discount to Brent is gone). Story link at the end
Implied Moves for Today's Reporting Stocks Listed
This is the implied move for the stocks of today's reporting companies: $DAL $RPM $APLD $STZ $PSMT $RGP $RELL $PCYO https://t.co/WiPDnAF1sX
Asia Pivots to Russian Oil Amid Middle East Turmoil
Asia’s energy reality is shifting FAST. As the Middle East’s supply of oil is disrupted by the US-Israeli war on Iran, countries are turning to Russian oil. RUSSIA = BIG WINNER. https://t.co/akGGPsbivA
Gas Prices React Asymmetrically to Oil Swings
Oil goes up, average gas price goes from $3 to $5.25 Oil goes down, average gas price goes from $5.25 to $5.24
Zweig Bread
That is false. The last time the 10 day EMA of advancing issues was below 0.40 was on March 20, so the required 10 trading day window for getting a Zweig Breadth Thrust has already passed. There can be no...
China's LNG Demand Stalls, Shifts to Domestic and Pipeline Sources
Don't expect China's LNG demand to bounce back from the Middle East turmoil 🇨🇳🚢 China gets a quarter of its LNG from the world's biggest export plant in Qatar.. which remains offline. To makeup for the shortfall, China is expected to...
Turkey's Inflation Eases, but Loose Policy Fuels Surge
#TurkeyWatch 🇹🇷: Turkey's CPI inflation slowed to 30.87%/yr in March, down from 31.53%/yr in February. With its money supply, M3, still growing at 39.9%/yr, Turkey’s #1 problem REMAINS Inflation. Monetary policy is still too loose. https://t.co/2EpdZjFZ8x
Energy Prices Plunge Despite Uncertain Hormuz Reopening
Brent crude oil: -15% TTF nat gas: -18% German power: -5% (and below pre-war) Asian coal: -1% (And yes, the Strait of Hormuz has yet to actually reopen, and we don’t know for sure what the ceasefire means in practical terms for SoH energy...
New Zimbabwe Notes Spark Exchange Rate Surge, Spark Controversy
According to Newsday, the release of the New Bank Notes caused a SPIKE in the exchange rate from 1:26 to 1:40 …. Why are @TrevorNcube’s publications always selling negative FAKE NEWS? Surely the @ReserveBankZIM should seek a retraction, this is how...
Use Sentiment Indicators for Data‑Driven, Emotion‑Free Trading
IF at the minimum you do not know when to stop being bearish then up your game and learn using sentiment indicators [now available on https://t.co/cRB7K2fxlb]. There are no shortcuts if you want to win. Have a data driven approach...
Pakistan Seeks China, Saudi Aid to Repay UAE Debt
Pakistan owes $3.5 billion to the UAE, due this month. To cover it, they are going hat in hand to China and Saudi Arabia, again. PAK = THIRD WORLD. FREE IMRAN KHAN. https://t.co/e4naldX7Ad
European Gas Prices Drop 20% After US‑Iran Ceasefire
EUROPEAN GAS PRICES FALL AS MUCH AS 20% ON US-IRAN CEASEFIRE 🚨🚨 About 20% of global LNG traversed Hormuz before the war. But not a single shipment has been exported from the region in over a month https://t.co/zFjTxnnhra
Inflation Surge, Market Risk Unmoved Without Economic Shock
We know we face months of physical disruption to energy and food markets. Inflation will keep getting worse. The question is whether risk assets will care, if the underlying conflict has been resolved. I suspect not...unless the economy deteriorates in...
Half Your Estate May Not Reach Your Spouse
$4 million across two account types. A family in their 40s. They assumed all of it would pass directly to the surviving spouse. Half of that assumption was right.
Romania's Central Bank Pushes Euro Adoption Despite Austerity
Romania’s central bank governor joined calls for the Black Sea nation to revive a goal of adopting the euro as the country seeks to get through a painful period of austerity https://t.co/SjqJU4C4eB https://t.co/wJj4vWehdb
Aim for Perpetual Wealth Growth, Not a Retirement Finish Line
Don‘t treat financial planning like a finish line. Your retirement number? That's thinking small. Aim for wealth that grows EVERY year. Stop settling for 'good enough' and find year-over-year growth.
RBI Holds Rates, Balances Inflation Control with Growth Outlook
The RBI is balancing inflation control with growth support, keeping rates unchanged amid global uncertainties, while projecting solid GDP growth but slightly softer momentum next year.
Military Spending Spurs Defense and Rare Earth Investment Boom
Regal Partners boss tips defence stocks, rare earths as military trillions fuel next investment super cycle https://t.co/6ahsU0eU1G
Start Investing Early: Time Is Your Wealth Engine
If you're in your 20s or 30s and want to become wealthy in your 40s, this is the best advice to put yourself ahead of 99% of people: First and foremost, start saving and investing as early as possible. I can't stress...
Stay Disciplined: Oil Price Surge Will Hit Earnings
“Be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.” Warren Buffett. Today’s green day shouldn’t alter your portfolio plan one bit. Short-term momentum is still being chopped up by headline volatility. Our core mid-term thesis is intact: elevated oil prices...
OpenAI Stock Faces First Net Selling in Three Years
For the first time in the last 3 years there may be more people trying to sell OpenAI stock than buy Crazy times
Jet Fuel Supply May Need Months to Rebound Post-Hormuz Reopening
IATA chief says jet fuel supply could take months to recover after Hormuz reopening https://t.co/9qcnn6QlNE
NDX Oversold: Growth Stocks Poised for Rally
$NDX severely oversold - on watch for multi-month rally Growth stocks are on the bargain table and the risk/reward is favourable. https://t.co/9W3aDdLK3Q https://t.co/WrgqzQzWfN
800 Oil Tankers Await Hormuz Reopening in Gulf
POV: The 800 oil tankers stuck in the Gulf when the Strait of Hormuz opens up again. https://t.co/jmhUZYYjld
Philippines Faces Energy Crisis Amid US‑Israeli Conflict
Since 2008, Philippines’s economy has put in a strong performance. But, thanks to the US-Israeli war on Iran, PH is going to take a hit. It has ~50 days of oil reserves left and has declared a national energy emergency. PH should send...
Iran Conflict Sparks 2026 Global Food Price Surge
Iran war impacting farmers in Iowa. This is an example of how food prices will escalate globally in the rest of 2026. This plays out badly for farmers in Iowa making a loss. But it’s an even greater tragedy for...
Stop Using LLCs to Trick Family Into Ownership
stop f’ing creating LLCs and either adding your spouse or your children as part owners and thinking you’re really clever
Consistency Comes From Mastering One Strategy, One Ticker
ICT, ICC, ORB, SMC… the strategy isn’t the issue. Switching between them is. Pick one trading strategy. Stick to one ticker. Learn its price action, liquidity, and confirmations. That’s how you build real consistency.
Hormuz Rerouting Offsets Shortfall, yet 13 MMbpd Remains
Flow through the Strait of Hormuz doesn't need to re-reach pre-war levels to normalize global balances thanks to rerouting (and constant Iran flow) But we still have ~13 MMbpd of production shut-in That's how much more we'll need to push through Hormuz...
Oil Prices Dip After US‑Iran Ceasefire News
Please see the CNBC chart below for the initial oil market reaction to the US-Iran ceasefire announcement. #economy #oil #energy #markets
Whale's Timed Oil Short Nets $4M After Ceasefire
🚨THIS CAN'T BE A COINCIDENCE Just hours before the US-Iran ceasefire, a whale started going heavily short on Oil. He built a $30,000,000 Oil short position with 3x leverage. After that, US-Iran ceasefire was announced, and Oil crashed nearly 25%. In a few hours,...
Discipline Over Panic: Stay Invested, Control Emotions
S&P Futures Just Went Very Green Today For Now Here’s the Only Mindset That Wins - Don’t be overly bearish. - Stay invested. - Control your emotions. Markets love to test you with sudden swings, but the winners are the ones who stay disciplined and...
Prediction Markets Could Overtake Biotech Stocks for Phase‑3 Bets
I think that one day soon that prediction markets are going to replace biotech stocks for how investors play key readouts...especially wrt larger companies. For example, if Novartis has a big phase 3, isn't it more interesting and efficient to...
Better Spreads May Push Returns
10’s back in the bowl and spreads getting a tad better can get you sub 6% on 15 easy, it might even happen tomorrow, mid 5% near closer to 4%! https://t.co/Kt4rjgTehd
Watchlist Hits AIXI Again, Targeting $2.4‑$2.7
Well, my watchlist last night NAILED $AIXI 's day 2 move today.. And now, I'm trying to go 2-for-2 on it tomorrow. Getting extended here, so I'll be looking for a simple inside bar setup here for the retest of today's supply...
Chinese Banks' Net Dollar Exposure Surges Dramatically
To be blunt, no one gave this memo to China's banks External dollar assets up, external dollar liabilities down -- net long dollars way up. and we already know from other banking data that the dollar long increased significantly in...
Spot Brent Lags Futures Yet Set to Drop Quickly
It takes an oil tanker between 2 and 4 days to go from the Persian Gulf to India, which is where the most severe shortfall exists. The spot Brent oil price (white) will be slower to fall than the futures...
Relief From VIX Updates After Busy Stock Call Season
In case people forgot how I get down with stock calls on threads May-Sept......and then we had a lil mini run in January & then I had to tell everybody VIX levels for 2 months Thank God I don't have to say...
Copper Valued at 4% of Global Debt, Highly Undervalued
Very intriguing chart. The copper market sits at roughly 4% of global debt — still multiples below prior peaks. A simple way to frame just how undervalued the metal is relative to today’s macro imbalances. Now layer in the structural demand tailwinds. Game on. https://t.co/wv1i1hARmY
Easements Represent a Fractional Property Right, Valued Proportionally
https://t.co/C38z4vpXzp The ownership of land is a bundle of rights. When you donate an easement you are giving away part of the bundle not the whole bundle. So an easement will be worth a percentage of what was paid for the...
Stocks at New Lows Since Discussion, May Drop Further
Also, stocks haven't been lower since this discussion was posted. Looking like that might continue tomorrow. @APompliano
Ceasefire Sparks Asian Rally; Vietnam Gains EM Upgrade
Good morning, I woke up to the best news ever - we got a two-week ceasefire that has lit Asian and risks assets that have been languishing on the closure of the Strait. The Korean won is rallying the hardest, followed...
Greed Wins: S&P Up 31% After VIX Spike
Update: a year ago, the $VIX ended the week at 45.3, one of its highest weekly closes in history. The S&P 500 has rallied 31% since then, adding to the list of times when it paid to be greedy when...
Ex‑US ETFs Surge After Hours Despite 8 Pm Close
Trading ended at 8pm ET, but look at some of these ex-US ETF numbers after-hours... $EWY +8% $EWT +5% $EEM +4.3% $EWJ +6.3% $INDA +4.6% https://t.co/rwvZfBLsrU
Staples Slides to Multi-Month Low Amid Bullish Trend
Staples down nearly 2% today. On a relative basis, fell to new multi-month lows versus the S&P 500. This is consistent with bullish overall behavior. https://t.co/Omn14mWZSK
S&P 500 Rebounds 31% After Historic April Plunge
Update: the S&P 500 has gained 31% since last April when it experienced one of the biggest 2-day declines ever (-10.5%). $SPX https://t.co/KcyPMWIw8p