Premium Pre‑Market Outlook Highlights Game‑Changer, Cover, Rebuild Themes
(PREMIUM) The Lyons Share Daily Pre-Market Outlook & Charts videos for 4/8/2025 are up: https://t.co/54LnyEVP9m Themes: 1) Game CHANGER? 2) Take COVER 3) The REBUILD Among markets covered: $SPX $NDX $VIX $SMH $IDGT $XLE $GDX $EEM $ENOR $GLD $SLV $USO $BTC $TNX $ETH
Bond Market and Mortgage Rates Enjoy Rare Rally
A good day for the #bond market and #mortgagerares for a change. #economics #housing #realestate
Broad Market Shifts Boost Bullish
significant changes in recent days across broad assets and most areas on my #doubledouble list, which refers to a #bullish #MACD position along with positive 13-day force... #INsyncFocus https://t.co/RnwRtuiMgP
Delaying Retirement Often Beats Planned Timing, Study Shows
Why Retirement Timing May Deserve A Larger Role In Retirement Risk Analysis 🔻🔻 A two-year shift can move retirees into a different return environment. This can be understood by separating retirement timing risk into two components: cohort risk and pure...
Six-Day S&P 500 Rally Rare: Only 2018 Fell Red
If the S&P 500 finishes higher today, that'll be six in a row in the green. Going back 20 years, only one year that had one of those finished in the red and it was 2018. Down years like 2011, 2015, and...
S&P 500 Nearing All‑Time High, Within 3% Opening Gap
The S&P 500 is set to open less than 3% from the late January all-time high.
Mag 7 Pullback Mirrors DeepSeek, Could Reclaim Lead
I know everyone tossed out large cap tech for staples trading at 25x earlier this year, but it feels a lot like the DeepSeek moment from last year. Mag 7 with a picture perfect pullback to the early 2025 peak. So...
China Boosts Gold Reserves, Heralding Deglobalization Shift
Nothing to see here. China adds to its gold reserves. The deglobalization toothpaste is already out of the tube — and the rush into neutral assets is only just beginning. https://t.co/oXGnVgwKfX https://t.co/VQE5YC3lrf
Switching Focus From SNDK to MU for Comfort
Yes $SNDK was the better long but I felt more comfortable long $MU from yesterday. Trim and trail and we’ll see how much of the gap up holds. Nice call from @StocksOnSpaces @WOLF_Financial https://t.co/sGXKsBC0mk
Transports Retest 2024 Peak, Accelerating Higher
Transports are an important group. Perfect retest of the late 2024 peak and now accelerating higher. Standard bull market action. https://t.co/7SrdPoEPnC
Fed Shifts Focus: From Reserve Supply to Demand Liquidity
The Fed’s Overton window appears to be changing. Recent speeches suggest a shift in thinking from supply-driven ample reserves to demand-driven liquidity. Details in my latest newsletter: https://t.co/pPOkB73y6o @vtg2 @NickTimiraos @Isabel_Schnabel @conksresearch https://t.co/RyKoxuTxMA
Trump‑linked Events Drive Outsized S&P Gains
"What started as a tongue-in-cheek observation that “Trump always chickens out” has become a consistently profitable pattern. Over the 300-plus trading sessions since Trump took the oath of office last year, 9 of the S&P 500’s 10 biggest gains have...
Deep‑Sea Mining Royalties Offer Capital‑Free, Long‑Term Gains
As a seed investor back in late 2022 and in the pre-IPO round in 2025, the Koala is very excited for this day for The Metals Royalty Company $TMCR and the team led by Brian Paes-Braga @bpaesbraga If you haven't...
Brazilian Real Surges Toward 2022 Fair Value
The Brazilian Real today is strengthening sharply against the Dollar. $/BRL has fallen below where it was on Feb. 27, i.e. before the war with Iran began. The Real will now start a big strengthening cycle. Back to $/BRL fair...
Iran, US Mull Hormuz Toll; Oman Warns Legal Fallout
Iran and the US are considering imposing tolls on ships in the Strait of Hormuz, challenging the UN Law of the Sea's free passage principle. Oman opposes the tolls, raising legal and economic concerns that could impact global maritime norms...
Recent Sell‑off Lacks Low Expansion, New Highs Persist
the reality is the recent stock market selling didn't look anything like it did a year ago in '25... we didn't see the lows expanstion and we kept seeing highs throughout... here on Russell 1000 $IWB we can see (bottom)...
ByteDance Valuation Tops $600B After Equity Sale Push
ByteDance valuation exceeds US$600 billion after proposed equity sale: sources The seller originally had the valuation at US$550 billion, but raised the amount after multiple parties expressed interest. https://t.co/pL87pI2YJV via @scmpnews
Purchase Index Climbs 1% Weekly, Still 7% Below Year‑ago
"The seasonally adjusted Purchase Index increased 1 percent from one week earlier. The unadjusted Purchase Index increased 1 percent compared with the previous week and was 7 percent lower than the same week one year ago."
Read Volume Profiles, Not Just Price, to Predict Moves
Most traders stare at price… pros read the profile. D, P, b, and thin profiles tell you whether the market is balanced, trending, or about to reverse. Learn to read this and everything changes. Watch the full video breakdown to see exactly...
Klarman Sees Market Dip as Discount, Not Panic
Seth Klarman doesn't panic when markets fall. He gets interested. The crowd sees danger. He sees the price of future returns just dropped. Mr. Market is having another episode, and writing you a discount.
Sticking to the Process Pays Off with SPY
My BOS $SPY Tier #1 buy was about 7.8% off the ATH. It never reached my next zone, which was 12%–14% off the highs for Tier #2. It only got to around 9.8%. I had to stick to the process, but that...
Medical Outpatient Property Fundamentals Reach All‑Time High
Texas Medical Office Snapshot | Q1 - 2026 The fundamentals have never been better in medical outpatient properties. https://t.co/Kvf1F1VxFj
Oil Forecasts Collapse; Trump Needs War Ended
I spent recent weeks pushing back on $150 or $200 oil price forecasts. Those are now firmly off the table. Brent futures are down sharply and that's right. There's lots of open questions, but the big picture is that Trump...
NET's Record ARR Surge Drives Portfolio Dominance
Why is $NET the largest position in my portfolio? 🧵 Revenue growth accelerated to +33.6% YoY, RPO grew +47.9%, cRPO accelerated to +33.1%, and the company added a record level of net new ARR at $210M, up +76% YoY. Customer adds...
Veteran ERZ
Followed by everyone, and it does seem like everyone in EZ rate space, who has been long ERZ6 since 97 and change.
Iran Ceasefire Sends Oil Below $100, Stocks Surge
Iran ceasefire news just crushed oil under $100 and stocks are ripping higher. Risk-on mode is back in a big way. We'll be tracking these momentum moves live with the DOTS indicator in 2 hours to catch the best setups....
Taiwan Opposition Leader Visits China, Calls It Peace Mission
Taiwan opposition leader Cheng Li-wun arrived in China on Tuesday at the invitation of President Xi Jinping, in what she’s calling a “journey for peace” as Beijing pushes for the self-ruled island to come under its control. @EECastilloAP @SiminaMistreanu https://t.co/aJ3NijhPub
Will Excludes Malaysian Assets, Threatening $6M Investment
$6 million combined. Singapore home. Investment property in Malaysia. His Singapore will was thorough. It didn't cover a single Malaysian asset. Here's why this is a problem...
Normal Tanker Flows in 2‑3 Months; Products 6‑12 Months
If the ceasefire holds, expect 2–3 months before tanker flows and refinery feedstock delivery approach anything like normal, and 6–12 months before refined product markets (jet fuel, diesel, chemicals) fully normalize.
Pakistan‑brokered Ceasefire Fuels S&P Gap‑up Rally
Big news Tuesday night as Pakistan helped broker a two-week ceasefire, and Europe/Asia are broadly higher. $SPX futures +165 have us gapping into 6810–6840 major resistance, so we’ll see how much of the gap holds. Trim and trail into it,...
UST Rally Surges Confidently Amid Fragile Truce
It's a fragile truce so I am surprised how confident the UST rally has been overnight. I guess taking cues from Trump who seems to have his own favored take on developments
Biofuel Lobby Urges 45Z Rule Amid Tax Credit Uncertainty
Biofuel Groups Push 45Z Rule as Delayed USDA Emissions Tool Clouds Tax Credit Value https://t.co/e4B9eUJeY4
Dimes Surge as 10‑yr Yields Dip Below 4.25%
Tplex: Dimes also fired up this morning +23/32nd's 10 Yr Notes below 4.25% (4.238% -10.5 bp's)
Ceasefire Boosts Risk Appetite, Markets Rally, Oil Plummets
Ceasefire Lifts Animal Spirits: Risk appetites have been excited by the two-week cease fire in the Middle East. Stocks and bonds have rallied strongly. The precious metals are higher. May WTI is off more than 15%. June Brent is about...
2026 Energy Shock Peaks Far Below Past Records
The scorecard of the (so far) 2026 energy shock: (Peak price set during US-Iran war Feb 28-Apr 7 vs all-time high; in nominal terms) ⛽️ Brent oil: ~19% below 2008 peak 🔥 TTF nat gas: ~79% below 2022 peak 🔌 German power: ~89% below...
Volatility Persists; Upside Calls Hedge Downside Risk
Binary events are NOT easy to call or trade with conviction. Some think they can smell the Trump TACO in the room: “civilization - decimated” talk. Escalate to de-escalate game theory stuff. Not my game. What I smell are charts, flows &...
Shorts Get Stopped Out when Bullish Trend Hits
In today's Early Look: "Is There A Cease Fire For #Quad3?" Today it's onto the next play. I covered a bunch of Shorts on red yesterday — the process always has me do that. If anything I'm short moves to Bullish...
Oil Drops, Stocks Surge After US‑Iran Ceasefire
TACO Trade Is Back As Oil Falls, Stocks Rally on US-Iran Ceasefire - Business Insider https://t.co/Vei7jJ8uDy
US Treasury Faces Deadline on Russian, Iranian Oil Waivers
The US has to answer some questions: Does the US Treasury extend the waiver on Russian oil sales? (the general license expires on Sunday, Apr 11) And more politically charged, does the US Treasury extend the waiver on Iranian oil sales?...
US Superiority Can't Compel Iran, Despite Russian, Chinese Fears
".. While Moscow and Beijing fear US military and intelligence superiority, they have seen it couldn’t force Iran’s capitulation, the people said." @business https://t.co/3Z3v7Boini
Gold and Oil Volatility Set to Lift Stock Market Volatility
Buried US Stock-Market Volatility Ripe to Recover Declining S&P 500 180-day volatility in 2026 is an anomaly alongside surging gold and crude oil volatility, with implications for risk-asset reversion. My graphic highlights what could signal the next big trade: surging volatility...
EURUSD Weekly Bears Shift, Await Lower‑TF Confirmation
📊 EURUSD – Weekly Time Frame Forecast 🔎 On the Weekly timeframe, we have a clear bearish structure shift 📉 ⚡ The market is also reacting from a strong Order Block (OB) + Fair Value Gap (FVG) — a high-probability confluence zone. 🎯...
Invest in High‑CAGR Growers Under 20x Cash Flow
In the middle of uncertainty, your best move is often to buy in and put your money to work. There are still quality growers with 10%+ revenue CAGR trading under 20x operating cash flow. Here are 10 🧵: 1. $MSFT - Microsoft Corporation Revenue...
AI Leads Family Office Investments, Shaping Global Themes
Top investment themes for Family Offices, 2026 (JP Morgan report) Top global themes: - AI: 65% - Healthcare innovation: 50% - Infrastructure: 41% AI angle: - A cross-cutting driver → likely to expand allocations across multiple sectors Regional differences: - Automation & robotics: 40% international vs 29% US -...
Airline Holds Forecast Amid Fuel Price Uncertainty
“Bastian said the airline isn’t walking back its full-year forecast but isn’t updating it either because of uncertainty of fuel prices.”
Microsoft’s $1.25T Loss Matches Tesla’s Entire Market Cap
This is pretty crazy: MSFT is having its 3rd-largest drawdown in 20 years, wiping out $1.25 trillion in 6 months. That's the entire market cap of TSLA.
Oil Prices Peaked on March 9, Not Today
i still think it's cool that despite all the hooplah you'll hear today about oil prices selling off (and some will even saying peaking), they topped a month ago, on March 9th (not yesterday)... just like volatility $VIX did... 🧐🤨🤓...
Weekly Close Needed to Confirm SPX 200‑DMA Recovery
Saw a post from 10 hours ago: $SPX is back above the 200 day MA. It was a false breakdown. Even a close above the 200 DMA won't rule out a failed rally like March 2022 or a bear trap...
Delta Faces $2 Billion Fuel Cost Surge From Middle‑East Conflict
Latest: Delta Air Lines expects to incur more than $2 billion in higher fuel costs through June because of the US-Israel war on Iran https://t.co/pfNgi3ALzA
Doctors Earn More Yet Feel Broke Due to Tax Ignorance
Physicians are expected to master complexity, but many finish training without anyone teaching them why a bigger paycheck can still feel financially tight. That is not a personal failure. It is a training gap. This episode of The Podcast by KevinMD gets at...