Energy Surges, Tech Slumps: Market Signals Survival Mode
Q1 rotation: $XLE +20%. $QQQ -4.2%. Money is moving FROM innovation TO survival. That's not a style rotation. That's the market telling you what it believes about the economy. When energy beats tech by 24 points in a quarter, listen. --- https://t.co/SxMLhgCbeX
Australia’s Jet Fuel Crisis Deepens as China Ban Hits 30%
Australia (which has declared a national fuel supply disruption) is deeper in to its jet fuel crisis 🚨 - For now, emergency supply is being routed from l US through the Panama Canal to Melbourne, Perth - but the route *cannot*...
Start Early: Small SIP Beats Bigger Late Investment
🧵 Story of 2 friends: Engineer vs Doctor (12% math included) Rohit (engineer) starts a SIP of ₹3,000/month at age 23. At 12% for 15 years → grows to ₹15 lakhs. Aarav (doctor) starts ₹10,000/month at 33. At 12% for 5 years → only...
NY Fed Custodial Treasury Holdings Drop Significantly
The FT has a good article on the recent fall in the Treasuries held by the New York Fed's custodial account 1/ https://t.co/q3XrJ1bvlZ
Indonesia Reinstates B50 Biodiesel Blend Amid War Risks
🇮🇩Indonesia will raise the blending rate for palm-based biodiesel to 50% (B50) from the current B40 on July 1, despite having scrapped this plan two months ago due to supply concerns. But war risks are now at the forefront. Indonesia is...
S&P 500 EPS up 7% YTD, Margins Hit Record Highs
S&P 500 12-month EPS is up about 7% YTD, with half of that coming once the war started. Profit margins have hit new highs as well, not necessarily end of world stuff here. https://t.co/O1CvyznyMm
Printing Money Fuels Borrowing, Creates Financial Bubbles
When an empire runs out of its own money, it is able to increase the supply of money. However, printing more money causes borrowing to increase creating a financial bubble. I urge you to watch “Principles for Dealing with the...
Yen Support Aims to Cool Dollar, Delay Iran Risk
The vol controllers are definitely trying to strengthen the Yen here to make the US dollar go lower. They know the USD wrecking ball was at a point it was about to wreak havoc if it broke higher. JPY/USD most important currency...
ETFs Turn $50k Into $193k Over 20 Years
In 20 years... - $50k in savings will be worth $41k - $50k in gold will be worth $74k - $50k in ETFs will be worth $193k Here's how ETF investing can make YOU a millionaire:
Apple’s AI Sideline: Hidden Advantage Amid Tech Rush
Deep Dive Full Thesis: Is AAPL a BUY now at $247? Apple just posted its best quarter in history at $247. Yet here’s the contrarian edge most investors are missing: AAPL is still one of the world’s largest and most iconic brands, but...
Going Long on Big‑Tech Options Through 2026‑2027
i put on some medium and longer term positions past few days. $TSLA long 400 calls June 2027. (2X'd position) $MSFT short 350 puts and long 370 calls June 2026. $GOOGL short 260 puts and long 290 calls April 27th.
Just $70K Extra Can Net a $1M Property
Real estate is valued at a 15x multiple Only need to increase income $70k on one property to make a million bucks Not so hard when you think about it that way
Target QQQ’s First Resistance to Halt Downtrend
Shortest time frame first order of business-- for $QQQ to build base upon this first resistance / and flatten that downtrend. https://t.co/UeKNgXLBWt
April Tax Season Squeezes Liquidity, Hits USTs
It's quarter-end with a smallish duration extension later today. More importantly a reminder that April is the cruelest month for USTs as tax payment season liquidity squeeze generally pressures financial assets https://t.co/k7egjG0Wku
US VCs Embed in Chinese Labs, Courting Scientists Early
U.S. venture capital firms are no longer waiting for Chinese biotech assets to surface before investing in them — they’re moving upstream, embedding themselves inside labs and courting scientists before they publish their research https://t.co/7kOlGh0sbu
S‑Corp Election Cuts Payroll Tax for $1M Cardiologist
Checklist created for a cardiologist doing $1 million plus a year in Minnesota (1099 income) - LLC taxed as an S corp. $400K reasonable salary = $34,786 of payroll tax vs. $54,680 of self-employment tax without the S election on a...
Taula Secures $1.75B, Pushes AUM Past $8.5B
Diego Megia’s macro hedge fund Taula has raised $1.75 billion in new cash, adding to its asset base as an expanding team of portfolio managers enhances its capacity to manage more money. Total AUM: more than $8.5 billion. That's despite...
China Denies Energy Bans, Neighbors Left Out
From Belt and Road to belt tightening: China's neighbours get cold shoulder on energy But so far China has offered only vague statements and has yet to even publicly acknowledge the export bans reported by Reuters and others as it focuses...
Market Likely Bottomed as WSJ Joins Fin
My best guess is that we have bottomed now. At least it is typically peak fears when WSJ finally catch up on an angle that FinTwit (and I) have been talking about for a month https://t.co/9Vh4UTZoTP
IGV May Confirm Double Bottom if Weekly Close Tops 82.90
$IGV - Potentially made a double bottom last week. In order to confirm that it made an intermediate term low on the last week of February it needs a weekly close above the 10 week MA that is currently at...
Long Momentum Play: Solstice Advanced Materials Poised to Break Higher
One of my favorite long setups in our momentum model is Solstice Advanced Materials seen here on @IBDinvestors MarketSurge. Recent IPO in materials/chemicals with a great trend structure. Now just waiting on this range to resolve up (disclosure: long) $SOLS...
UGRO Repeats Perpetual Short‑squeeze Cycle with BNAI
$UGRO still doing the $BNAI shuffle - perpetual squeezer. New shorts let out old shorts, FTD then new shorts let out old shorts repeat repeat repeat.
All the “Puts” Are the Same Simple Concept
Now we got the Buffett Put along w the Fed Put, the Trump Put and the Vanguard Put. This really isn't complicated, ppl just like to make it so.
Semis Can Climb Until 380 Resistance Level
Semis have some room to run until real resistance comes into play at 380 $SMH https://t.co/cVX3yKhFZi
Gold Aims to Rebound; $430 GLD Breach Restores Bullish Confidence
Weekly chart of Gold trying to lead out of the hole after suffering its largest drawdown since 2022. A move back over 430 in $GLD ETF should bring more confidence back to the bull side. (long) https://t.co/awUJXQ86tT
China Greets EU Lawmakers, Aims to Mend Strained Ties
China welcomes EU lawmakers' first visit in 8 years as chance to steady strained ties https://t.co/MvadiOAS0R
NVDA Reclaims 50‑Week SMA, Swing‑Long Setup
$NVDA back on 50sma weekly (need to wait for Friday close) but if you want it swing long, trade against yesterday low https://t.co/DQBGqBZyyc
Software Sector Stabilizes Slightly, Still Bearish
📺 SOFTWARE STILL ISN’T BULLISH BUT IT’S TRYING Software $IGV is trying to stabilize after a sharp breakdown. Names like $MSFT remain in a downtrend, with lower highs, and any bounce is likely capped by short-term resistance, such as the 8-day...
US Blocks Chinese EVs From Canada Despite Tariff Cut
US won’t allow Chinese EVs from Canada to enter its market, President Donald Trump’s ambassador in Ottawa said, after a January deal in which Prime Minister Mark Carney lowered tariffs on those vehicles Huh?https://t.co/vBvBuGKGqK
XME Pullback Offers Potential Entry, Awaiting Stabilization
Metals & Mining ETF $XME is one of the pullback opportunities I'm watching here on @IBDinvestors MarketSurge. Decent 25% correction from highs, but I still want to see more stabilization to tell me it's ready to resume higher. #IBDPartner https://t.co/beBYip9G1n
LBNL Updates Retail Electricity Price Trends, Highlights Data Centers
LBNL just released an updated analysis of retail electricity price trends. Packed with credible data and analysis, including clarifications about data centers -- https://t.co/HSlAecpCgH
Iran Oil Crisis Fuels BYD’s Overseas EV Surge
BYD hails windfall as Iran oil crisis supercharges Chinese EV outlook Wang Chuanfu predicts 'another level' of overseas sales, lifting goal by 15%: sources Suddenly, fears of "overcapacity" see very very out of touch with reality... https://t.co/of19SiqP3d via @NikkeiAsia
MU Solid, but Lacks 30% Safety Margin
$MU On March 20, 2026, I dropped my full Deep Dive Thesis on $MU and immediately put it on my personal watchlist. The price at the time? $420. It’s a great company — no debate there. But it simply didn’t offer the 30%+ margin...
Buffett's Premature Apple Sale Highlights Weak Q2 Performance
$AAPL Daily. Buffett admits he sold Apple too soon. And yet the stock is the worst performing Mag7 name off the open, rejected at 200-day m.a. so far. Notable relative weakness into Q2 https://t.co/Mtr7QAaRut
NYC Office-to-Residential Conversions Drive Sky‑high Rents
Prepare to pay up in #NYC for apts converted from offices: Studios+1bdrs w/cost $3,500-5,500/mo, Larger or great spots well past $6,000. #Conversions cost a fortune: reconfiguring floorplates designed for cubicles, putting in plumbing. #multifamily #CRE https://t.co/norND10307
China Poised to Lead as US Credibility Erodes
A blueprint for Chinese global leadership With the US destroying its own credibility, the opportunity is Beijing’s for the taking https://t.co/AZmq1LQ7j4 via @ft
Q2 Begins Amid Record March Losses and Broken Support
Five consecutive weekly losses. Worst March since 2022. $4.5 trillion in market cap gone. The 200-day MA broke. What that means practically: the dip buyers who stepped in at that level didn't get saved. They got more losses. Now that level is...
PWR Targets $10‑12B Free Cash Flow by 2030
$PWR analyst day: raising 2030 targets for revenue, EBITDA, EPS and ROIC. FCF is expected to go from $1.67B today to $10-$12B aggregate. #electrification #grid #infrastructure
Top Trillion-Dollar Stocks Ranked by Growth-Value Appeal
The Growth-Value analysis of the trillion dollar club: $NVDA, $META, $TSM, $MSFT, $GOOG, $AVGO, $AMZN, $BRK-B, $AAPL, $WMT and $TSLA, in the order from more to less attractive. This is only a screening tool. Need to do in-depth research before...
Strip Mall Deals: Pay Full Price, End Up Flat
Was pitched a strip mall deal this morning. It’s around a 4% cap based on today’s income. The pitch: If I can get back a space where’s there’s a non-paying restaurant tenant, spend a year releasing it, pay TI and leasing commissions, then...
CNBC Crowd Clings to Losing Positions Amid Crash
CHART OF THE DAY: CNBC Crowd Holding The Bag7 Into The Crash https://t.co/LRATvgaFh8 via @hedgeye
SPX Poised to Rebound to 6500 8‑MA
$SPX working to highs here, noted late yesterday to expect a news-headline pop back to 8-MA near 6500 as we tend to revert to that level from oversold https://t.co/Fyzf77Rc68
LLM Review Uncovers Hidden Tax Credits, Like Free Money
Cannot underline this enough: send your human-prepared return to an LLM for review prior to signing it. The closest thing to free money. It isn't even necessarily on the complex or hard bits, either. The first thing it surfaced me was...
Double $1k in UTMA, Harvest Gains Tax-Free
Open a UTMA account for your child. Contribute $1k. Once that $1k turns into $2k, do tax gain harvesting (sell, rebuy). Kiddie tax will not apply since the gain is $1k (less than child's standard deduction) Good way to increase cost basis...
Consistency and Growth Outperform Chasing High Yields
Dividend ETFs look similar… but they’re built very differently. • VYM → broad, steady income • SCHD → quality + dividend growth • SPYD → higher yield (more risk) • DGRO → consistent dividend growers Chasing the highest yield isn’t always the smartest move. Growth +...
VIX >30 Predicts Strong Yearly Market Gains
The $VIX closed above 30 in each of the last 2 trading days. Historically, this level of fear in the Volatility Index has been associated with above-average future stock market returns (+21% over the next year on average). But the...
Initiating Long Bond Shorts to Bet on Steepening
I am also beginning to leg into long bond shorts against a portion of this position to play for a steepener.
Home Prices Slow, Sellers Outnumber Buyers, Prices Set to Drop
US home prices increased 0.9% over the last year, the slowest growth rate since June 2023. There are currently a record 46% more sellers than buyers nationally. Absent manipulation from the Federal Government/Reserve, prices will come down and homes will...
EU Warns Prolonged Energy Market Disruption From Iran War
EU Tells Members to Prepare for 'Prolonged Disruption' to Energy Markets From Iran War https://t.co/oPLV3B8xsa
Foreign Central Banks Cut UST Holdings to 2012 Low
"Foreign central bank holdings of USTs at NY Fed fall to lowest level since 2012 in wake of Iran war" Via @seaniechaos https://t.co/VIiwJqrZAY