Dan Loeb Dumps CSGP, Citing Reckless CEO Spending
Dan Loeb sells out of $CSGP "CEO Andy Florance has continued what can only be seen as a reckless drain on a majority of the company's operating income into Homes,com and related acquisitions even as the share price has continued to plummet."
Historical VIX Crash Signals Calm Markets Ahead
The VIX Crash Signal: What History Tells Us About The Next Three Months | Trading Zone Ep. 100 https://t.co/05McT6SBCt
IGV Approaches Critical Level: SaaSpocalypse Might End
Is the SaaSpocalypse now over? @GuyAdami looks at the $IGV as it nears a key technical level https://t.co/gVmI3oOtYO
Amazon's Customer Moat Fuels Late‑Blooming AI Advantage
$AMZN had the customer moat. Its AI story was delayed compared to its peers, but its massive customer base was an advantage that is now coming to fruition.
Record Highs Test Discipline, Not Just Profit
I fast regularly — not for health metrics, but for discipline. You choose to sit with discomfort when relief is available. You make decisions on a longer time horizon than your immediate craving. As of April 17, the S&P 500 is at...
Fed Stuck Between Rate Hike and Cut Amid Global Strain
Debate within the Fed about whether its next move is up or down intensifying. Fed is in an uncomfortabke holding pattern on rates. Its inflation-fighting credibiity is eroding. War distributions creating COVID like supply chain problems - emerging Asia hit...
Weekly Technical Outlook: DXY, EUR/USD, Gold, Bitcoin
DXY, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, Gold, Bitcoin, Equities Weekly Technical Outlook (Webinar Archive) https://t.co/6NHmaVL1Id Asset Chaptered on YouTube: https://t.co/eDJEDyrxrG
War Premium Mispriced Both Ways, Market Clings to Wrong Script
The war premium trade is mispriced in BOTH directions. US seized an Iranian ship Sunday night. Ceasefire expires tomorrow. WTI jumped 5.5% to $88. And yet defense stocks are RED today — LMT -1.3%, RTX -0.3%, NOC -0.8%. The market is still...
Hedge Funds Beat Market Using Time-Series Momentum
A 23-page research paper reveals the number 1 method Hedge Funds use to beat the market: Time Series Momentum This is how: 🧵
UAE's US Backstop Request Reveals Hidden War Fallout
The WSJ reports that the UAE has requested a US financial backstop. As a former member of the UAE's Financial Advisory Council (2008–14), it’s clear to me that the UAE’s request signals that the collateral damage from the US-Israeli war on...
Warsh Vows Strict Rate Independence, Reaffirms Price‑Stability Mandate
Warsh commits to being strictly independent on rates Also Warsh: price stability Fed mandate without excuse
Wheat Exports Surpass USDA Target Pace by 40M Bushels
Marketing year to date #wheat export shipments exceed the seasonal pace needed to hit USDA's target by 40 million bushels, versus 44 million bushels the previous week. The wheat marketing year ends on May 31. #oatt
Most US Stocks Lag Treasury Bills, Buy the Market
The majority of US stocks (59%) have underperformed Treasury bills over their lifetime and 45% end up having a negative cumulative return. “Don’t look for the needle in the haystack. Just buy the haystack.” - Jack Bogle Video: https://t.co/yQSLZ1RFLj
S&P 500 Crosses Optimism Threshold, Majority Above Trend
A few weeks ago, fewer than half of the S&P 500 components were trading above their long-term trend. Today, the majority is. Participation has cleared the optimism threshold. Now let’s see if it can hold.
IMOM’s Record Year Driven by Global Momentum Strategy
In 2025, the Alpha Architect Int’l Quantitative Momentum ETF posted its strongest year yet. But was it all luck? In our new paper, we break down how $IMOM captured shifts across countries, currencies, and sectors. Read here: https://t.co/1qzsZ9X5xg Learn more: https://t.co/HJuy9YYuaP
Homebuilders Push Freehold Sales, Let Residents Choose Management
Astonishing that homebuilders believes that they can actually get away this. Just sell the share of freehold and let the residents choose their mgt agent. They'd be selling with a higher margin anyway.
Essential Resources: Solo 401(k), Referrals, CFP Study Guide
🆕 Adviser links: solo 401(k) plans, asking for referrals, and how to study for your CFP. https://t.co/WtwhOCvP7h chart: https://t.co/WtwhOCvP7h https://t.co/INsvGsnpNj
Call Options Volumes Surge to Record 61M Contracts
Call options volumes tied to stocks, ETFs hit an all-time high Friday, with more than 61 million contracts trading https://t.co/A7m45InG13
Data Center Stocks Offer Hidden Multibagger Value
Excerpt from yesterday’s @GeoInvesting Weekly Wrap-Up.. I keep telling myself that I want to move away from investing in stocks tied to the data center theme, but I keep coming back to it because that’s where so many legit future multibagger...
Earnings Season Hits Record Volatility: 63 S&P Stocks Surge
Earnings season has been getting more volatile "Last quarter, 63 SPX stocks moved more than 10% on earnings. That is a record and compares to just 10 on average from 2012 to 2021" --Citi
S&P 500 Rallies 12% in Broad Melt‑up
The S&P 500 is up 12% since it bottomed on March 30 "This is a broad melt-up. For now, animal spirits are back in the stock market" --@yardeni
Ex‑Trader Turns $20M Bonus Into Top Hedge Fund
Who left a $20M oil trading bonus behind to launch one of the top-performing energy and commodities hedge funds in the world?
All U.S. Indexes Flip From Red to Record Highs
At the March 30 low, every major U.S. index was RED for 2026. $SPY. $QQQ. $IWM. $DIA. All negative. Four weeks later: all at ALL-TIME HIGHS. The full reversal from across-the-board red to across-the-board records is historically rare. Don't dismiss it. https://t.co/NzijN02BMy
Arbitrage 1% SSI Merger Spread, Free CVR Optionality
New CVR play just dropped on SSI. Arb the 1% merger spread over the next 60 days and keep the CVR optionality for free. https://t.co/42wEktiVwN
From $125k Loan to $12B Franchise Empire
Jersey Mike’s founder Peter Cancro sold majority of sub chain to Blackstone for $8B in 2024. In 2025, Wingstop's former CEO took top job and has filed to go public. Details on Cancro skipping college and turning $125k loan into...
Urban Apartment Build Slows, Suburban Rents Set to Outpace
Apartment construction is down everywhere but ESPECIALLY in/around downtown areas across the U.S. On a relative basis, we built far more apartments in urban areas than in the suburbs over the past 15 years. As a result, urban rents grew far...
Senea Rebounds After Safe‑name Selloff; Added at $135‑$140
Luke Wolgram🔥 $SENEA with some great price action. Last week's selloff appears to have been a rotation out of 'safe' names like Senea and into risk-on speculative names. I waited for it to bottom out, added shares at $135 last week,...
BE Rebounds to Opening High, Fourth Consolidation Day
$BE back to opening high. 4th day of consolidation since the gap to 200. https://t.co/u7Xa3wwZk0
Netflix Posts Record Q1 Revenue and Soaring Profit
Netflix revenues hit a record $12.3 billion in Q1, up 16% YoY. Net income hit a record $5.3 billion, up 83% YoY. Operating margins moved up to 32.3% from 31.7% a year ago. $NFLX https://t.co/L4wWI2gmjO
Implied Equity Exposure Poised to Surge as Volatility Drops
Vol-control implied equity exposure sits near $150B. Most of 2024 and 2025 it ran $225-$300B. There is dry powder waiting to eat. We should start to see this trigger when 30-day RV falling below 90-day RV.
Real Estate Often Outvalues the Underlying Small Business
The value of the land > the business itself I spoke with a family office that owns a portfolio of small businesses. One interesting point the son of the owner made was that, in several cases, the underlying real estate is...
Earnings Week at Market Peaks: Rally Test or Bear Trigger
$TSLA reports earnings April 22. That same week: 94 $SPY component companies report. The busiest earnings week of the year hits when markets are at ALL-TIME HIGHS. Earnings either validate this rally — or give every reluctant bear a reason to act. https://t.co/bWW5e4qLEy
Warsh Hearing Could Shift USTs Amid Iran War
Iran war continues to dominate price action in USTs but Warsh's confirmation hearing tomorrow will likely interrupt the current narrative for a spell especially if he sticks to his recent rate dovishness and balance sheet hawkishness.
Tuesday's Triple Threat Sparks Market Volatility
This is the market right now 🤯 Ceasefire expires Tuesday. US-Iran meeting Tuesday. US Retail Sales Tuesday. Expect volatility $SPX $SPY $QQQ $DJI $CL $USO $XLE $GC $GLD $DXY
Chasing Tesla Buyers Stopped Out Before Earnings
chasers punished in $TSLA this morning. --buyers at R2 this morning just stopped out below S2. --earnings on wednesday after the close. https://t.co/4IEY6Dyx2r
Hormuz Strait Unreliable, Threatening 20% Global LNG Supply
IEA'S BIROL: HORMUZ STRAIT LOST ITS STATUS AS RELIABLE About 20% of global LNG supply is locked behind the strait
US‑China Stockpiling Fuels Copper Price Surge
The entire copper industry has just returned from last week’s leading copper conference in Chile (CESCO), with participants, including the world’s largest copper traders, even more bullish that all-time-high copper prices could be tested over the coming weeks. It’s become...
PSIL Surges as Trump Fast‑tracks Psychedelic Research
Far Out Man: The Psychedelics ETF $PSIL has destroyed its daily volume record in first 30min of trading.. Trump just signed ex order expediting research/access to psyche drugs to cure depression. The sector has been in dog house, waiting for...
Unending Iran War Could Stall Global Growth to Zero
My take on what would happen to world economic growth if the Iran war continues unabated @MarioNawfal: "My guess is that world growth would sink from the IMF projected 3.1%/yr to pretty close to zero, maybe even negative." FOREVER WARS = FROM...
Adobe's AI Doubts Limit Bounce; 250‑260 Range Possible
The market is skeptical of Adobe's ability to navigate the AI Apocalypse so it failed to bounce last week with other software names. --today's WSJ caused a pre-market pop that was faded --it $ADBE begins to consolidate above 250 there is some...
Vanguard's NY Municipal Fund Offers Triple Tax-Free Returns
About a year ago, Vanguard launched a municipal bond fund for New York residents ticker $MUNY that is triple tax free for New York residents with a low expense ratio. Seems pretty good.
Wall Street Remains Calm Amid Iran Naval Blockade
The U.S. Navy is actively blockading Iranian ports. The $VIX is at 17.21. The $SPY is at all-time highs. Either Wall Street has priced in the geopolitical risk perfectly — or this is the most complacent market since 2007. History rarely rewards this level...
Inside Vanguard's Massive Index Fund: Structure, AI, Governance
What does it take to run one of the world's largest index fund operations? Rodney Comegys of Vanguard breaks down the philosophy and mechanics — ownership structure, equity concentration, governance, private assets, and AI. https://t.co/KDr1BxQ58M With thanks to @AlphaSenseInc, @CanoeAI, and Ridgeline.
Ex‑Glencore Executives Flock to New Cobalt Venture.
Not in the stock right now but cobalt stans should be paying attention to how many former Glencore execs are getting into this company including those with extensive cobalt + DRC experience They see the opportunity
Spotting Fake Sunday Gap-Down Within 20 Minutes
Another fake Sunday night Gap-Down. We called it 20 mins after Asia open. Even the RSI pattern fits.
GameStop Rally Is Hype, Fundamentals Still Weakening
GameStop's recent surge is just social media hype, not 2021 again, says analysis. The bear case argues its core business is still in decline. A selling opportunity? 🎮 Stocks
Invest in Untapped Operating Leverage for Hidden Profit Explosions
My favorite type of investment? Businesses with embedded operating leverage that hasn't fully flexed yet. The market is notoriously bad at pricing long-term optionality. It sees the red line and the green line moving together today, but misses the "breakout"...
China Weaponizes Rare‑earth Magnets Amid US‑Japan Tensions
China. Reduces rare earth magnet exports to US and Japan. Why? A topic for Xi-Trump meeting. Counter oil supply drop from Iran? What else may China do?
Egypt, India Keep Floating Currencies to Shield Against Oil Shock
Egypt and India stand alone among the major EMs in allowing their currencies to adjust freely to the spike in oil prices. This will stand them in good stead. A freely-floating exchange rate helps protect you from bad shocks like...
Pay Off Credit Card Debt Before Stock Investing
Don't invest your money in the stock market if you have credit card debt Unless to get the full employer match for your 401k (assuming good % matching and vesting rules) Get rid of that 25% interest asap Don’t work backwards