Tariff‑Heavy Whirlpool Misses Earnings Boost, Faces Inflation Drag
"Analysts at JPMorgan said the lower earnings outlook was driven by higher raw material inflation, a larger net tariff impact and weaker price and product mix benefits." Reminder: Whirlpool heavily lobbied for tariffs and was supposed to be one of the big tariff winners
Advisors Recommend Long/Short Without Understanding—TaxAlphaInsider Steps In
The number of advisors recommending long/short to their clients > than the number of advisors who actually understand long/short. @TaxAlphaInsider is here to help eradicate ignorance.
Triangle Breakout Gains Momentum, Price Likely to Rise
SI: upside breakout from "3-bar triangle" is getting legs, and the new momentum high n the 2-per ROC suggests price highs yet to come. https://t.co/DQ9rWi1M0q
CL Reverts to Mid
Love the structure these Sklarew boxes provide. CL back to middle of the range ( think high volume node) in "eat the tail" mode. 2-per ROC is making new momentum lows. https://t.co/F5DqkD1K8w
Treat HSA as Investment, Not Everyday Checking Account
One of the biggest mistakes people make... Using their HSA like a checking account. Save your medical receipts. Let your HSA compound and grow. Reimburse yourself later.
Long‑term Investing Beats Short‑term Panic Cycles
Every year, there’s a new reason to panic: -Rates Hikes -Elections -Wars -Tweets -Tariffs -Pandemics -Recessions But in 30 years, none of it will matter. What will: whether you stayed invested - or got shaken out. https://t.co/Vk3D1YcKy3
War's Impact on Growth: A Rare Data Point
There don’t seem to be that many data points showing the war affecting economic growth, but here’s one. https://t.co/UiPUCa7s5S
COHR’s InP Ramp Threatens AXTI’s Margin Outlook
This terrible for $AXTI $COHR ramping InP capacity fast reads pretty bad for $AXTI. Here are some cliff notes: 1. COHR accelerated internal 6-inch ramp, now one qtr ahead of schedule, effectively "air-gaps" the merchant market. The biggest buyers are becoming their own...
Oil Futures Drop Reflect Peace‑Deal Odds, Not Manipulation
Falling futures prices don't mean the paper market is manipulated. All the supply shortfall numbers at this point are well known. Markets are trading the length of the shortfall. Any headline that raises odds of a peace deal naturally pulls...
Shippers Brace for Rising B
Maersk: Cost of bunker fuel. Supply and price. Are shippers ready as Strait of Hormuz remains blocked?
Closing the Impact Investing Gap with Courageous Capital
It's been 25 years since we started Acumen, when "social investing" was barely a whisper. Today, impact assets are measured in the trillions. And yet in too many of the places where poverty is deepest and climate shocks are most...
Senator Daines Leads Long‑Overdue Senate Delegation to China
Daines Leads Delegation of U.S. Senators to China - Senator Steve Daines Long overdue....will marginally improve understanding of China within the Beltway.... https://t.co/m8sIEfO7ay
Limit Negative Gearing to Boost Young Homeownership
I want an improvement in the ability of young people to build wealth, and own a home if they wish. We have such an easy solution that doesn't require destruction of whole sectors: Just limit NG to like-for-like income (as overseas) Rental losses...
Trump’s Trade Deal Signals U.S. Relinquishes China Strategy
Trump’s Board of Trade Move Signals the U.S. has Given Up on Changing China The U.S. president is set to agree on a new framework for U.S.-China commerce at his summit with Xi Jinping, but the details could prove tricky. Keep expectations...
Family Offices Favor Direct Deals, Trust Beats Size
5 Minutes in the Lower Middle Market 1. Family offices are shifting away from PE funds toward direct investing 2. Relationships and trust as a competitive advantage 3. How independent sponsors beat larger PE firms in deals 0:00 Steven Spielberg’s lesson...
WTI Oil Peaks in May, June, December; Dips March, August
Oil (WTI) -- Months Annually - 10 yr average Seasonality Best May +7.6% June +4.4% Dec +3.1% Worst Mar -2.8% Aug -2.4% Nov -2.2% Bloomberg "SEAG" Function.
Master Fractal Jump Conditions, Not Just Gamma Data
Same question doesn't get a different answer - work on your understanding of jump conditions inside fractal dimensions - if you're just looking at Gamma data on its own, you don't see what I'm seeing in real-time
Shake Shack Plummets 20% Despite “Best Ideas” Hype
Shake Shack ($SHAK) -$19 (or -20%) after its EPS release this morning. One of @CNBCFastMoney panelist's favorite stocks ("Best Ideas in the Market)... the panelist will not admit a mistkae he will not be contrite because its a "long term...
Real Estate Lets Average Investors Leverage Big Assets Cheaply
Stocks require large capital to create meaningful wealth. Real estate lets average people control above-average assets with below-average money.
Datadog's Beat Sparks Surge in Undervalued
"Software is dead" - really? $DDOG beats estimates + raises FY revenue guidance Stock +23% pre-market Infrastructure software + cybersecurity stocks on the bargain table and few understand this https://t.co/9W3aDdLK3Q
INSM Q1 Sales Beat Consensus, Miss Whisper Target
$INSM Q1 Brinsupri sales $208 million, above sell-side consensus but below the buyside "whisper" expectation that has moved around from the $2-teens to $220-ish.
WTI Crude Peaks Near $120; Bonds, Grains Stabilize
Peak Inklings: $100 Crude, 5% T-Bonds, $5 Corn and Gas, $12 Soy Roughly $120 a barrel in WTI crude oil may be reaching its peak potential, akin to $147 in 2008 and $130 in 2022. Staying below $100 would reinforce the...
RXO Gains Spot Market Share, Poised for Earnings Breakout
RXO earnings are out. Lots of momentum, setting up for a much stronger year, increasing outlook. Driven by increased spot activity, which is very different than what DAT is reporting on spot load posting volumes. It suggests that RXO is...
Crude Oil Lower-High Pattern Holds, Fueled by US Stocks
Crude Oil Pump-Then-Dump Pattern Appears Intact The crude oil pattern of lower highs since 2008 is being tested in 2026 and looks intact. My graphic shows a top potential determinant for maintaining the lower-lows trend -- the lofty US stock market. Full...
Decades Mask Returns when Valuation Spreads Shift
I don’t explicitly do small cap value here (but rather value in general) but even “decades” can obscure true expected returns (for value, for the market, for anything) if there are big changes in valuation (not value, but the value...
GAW’s Interim Reports Hint at Upcoming Dividend Announcement
#GAW they only publish these interim interims to demonstrate they have distributable reserves…so a dividend announcement likely incoming https://t.co/EChO0Mfihi
Investors Expect Iran War Shock to Fade Soon
Investors remain hopeful that the supply shock spurred by the war on Iran will end shortly. $USD is softer. It does look as if the BOJ intervened again yesterday but $JPY is flat today. Norway hiked. Mexico to cut...
Kalshi Offers Odds on FDA Commissioner Makary’s Tenure
Kalshi now has odds on Commissioner Makary’s term at FDA. Very thin liquidity and wide spreads so I wouldn’t put much credence into these numbers currently but still interesting. https://t.co/rMdpTWB5ES
Gaussian Models Break Down During Risk Range Jump Signals
Yes. It tells us that general Gaussian relationships don't apply when the Risk Range™ Signals are signaling jump conditions in their daily Fractal Dimensions
Norway Hikes Rates 25bps; Earnings up, Inflation Risk Flagged
Norway raise their Interest rates by 25bps. Enjoy the earnings but bear in mind flag 2 due to inflation risk. Monitoring closely. Always getting ahead of the curve with data.
Winning by Minimizing Errors, Not Chasing Outperformance
Why avoiding mistakes beats outperforming Success often comes from doing fewer things wrong. #SmartInvesting #LongTermThinking https://t.co/gaYAluxEOw
India Hikes LPG Price 48% Amid Middle East Conflict
#IndiaWatch🇮🇳: India just hiked the price of the 19kg commercial LPG cylinder by ₹993. That’s a STAGGERING jump of almost 48% since the start of the US-Israeli war on Iran. RESTAURANTS AND CATERERS SHOULD SEND A BILL FOR DAMAGES TO TRUMP...
Markets Soar to Record Highs, New Yorker Paints Mixed Colors
With the S&P500 and Nasdaq100 hitting new all-time highs again this week, here's the image the New Yorker Magazine is choosing to portray: “Red, White, and Kinda Blue” 👀 https://t.co/Tx3dwdv2g0
Master Nifty Options Entries with RMI & Sentiment
🚨 WEBINAR ALERT Smart Nifty Options Trading: Timing Entries with RMI & Sentiment Analysis 📊 A structured, step-by-step blueprint for Nifty options. 🎯 How to lock in precise entry points with the RMI(Rohit Momentum Indicator) 🌐 Techniques to validate trends using powerful sentiment indicators. ✅...
Cocoa Prices Surge 38% Monthly, Signaling Quad2 Inflation
Cocoa inflating more than +9% in a day to +38% in a month = #Quad2 Inflation Accelerating https://t.co/v93q9RpLgl
Shell's Q1 Profits Jump as Iran War Lifts Prices
Shell says its profits surged in the first quarter as the Iran war drove oil and gas prices higher https://t.co/oiET1zMQ1V
Silver Jumps 4% on Hedgeye Bullish Trend Reversal
SILVER: right on Signal Time, pops another +4% after Signaling a Bullish @Hedgeye TREND reversal https://t.co/P77LmXxn8f
U.S. Diesel Stocks Hit 20-Year Low Amid Hormuz Closure
U.S. DISTILLATE STOCKS have fallen to the lowest for the time of year for more two decades as closure of the Strait of Hormuz creates a worldwide shortage of diesel and similar fuels. Since the war began, distillate inventories have...
Geopolitics May Drive Elevra’s Full‑Control Bid
Does geopolitics trump valuation? In a world of FORGE, US-Australia critical minerals alliances and Congressional hearings on Chinese market behavior, will be interesting to see how this unfolds. Key question is what does Elevra do? Stay in a JV with Huayou and...
Analysts Score Alpha: Long Tech, Short ANET
IMPACT: our analysts are Long $NVDA $AAPL $GOOGL etc. and were actually short $ANET yesterday = alpha dawgs ! @HedgeyeTech @HedgeyeComm https://t.co/Xhe3BYw7rf
Real‑time Gamma and Flow Outpace Lagging Averages
Gamma is the market's heartbeat. The Flows are its circulatory system. The Machine monitors both in real time. Your Moving Monkey "averages" don't https://t.co/k0QEf7fucB
Relive Trades to Sharpen Execution with Market Replay
Most traders review. The ones who improve actually relive the trade. That’s where execution gets sharper. Start using Market Replay 👉 https://t.co/N1hOmICN4a
Nifty Smallcap Breakout Likely Repeats Past Long Extension
I also want a correction to buy, but it will only happen at a stock-specific level. The last time the Nifty smallcap index broke out it extended a long way for a long time. Why should this time be any...
JNEO Lands $1.2M MBTA Order, yet Remains Undervalued
#JNEO won a $1.2m Purchase Order for the Massachusetts Bay Transportation Authority in Boston. ShareScope only showing fwd p/e 12.7; strip out cash and it's quite a low rating. I don't hold.
Optimal Neutral Portfolio Calls for 15% Gold or Bitcoin
"If you were neutral on everything and optimizing your portfolio for the best return-to-risk ratio, you would have about 15% of your money in gold or Bitcoin." — Ray Dalio https://t.co/elQjKS4LwD
Silver Surge Signals New Era of Higher Metal Prices
What a move in silver. Game on. We are in a structurally higher metal price environment driven by decades of underinvestment, constrained supply growth, and a global macro environment that continues to favor hard assets. Markets are still very slow to fully...
Brent Crude Slides Below $100 on US‑Iran Deal Hopes
Good morning. Brent crude is currently trading below $100 per barrel on hopes for a US-Iran deal (CNBC chart). #oil #energy #economy #markets
Shell Prioritizes Higher Dividends Over Buybacks
Interesting #SHEL has changed emphasis regarding Shareholder Returns with more Dividend and a bit less Buyback. Makes sense after the decent Share Price rises. ShareScope showing fwd Dividend Yield 3.4% rising to 3.6% (and Buybacks on top).
BA's Val
#BA. Good start to 2026 and reiterates Guidance. ShareScope has fwd p/e 25.2 falling to 22.2 and fwd Divvy 1.9% rising to 2.1% (plus a tiny Buyback); not 'cheap' but Defence is obviously a warm area.
BARK Plummets 30% After Deal Rejection; Exit Now
What a disaster $BARK has been since the deal rejection. Down another 30% since the Lemonis bid was rejected. Insiders not coming back to the table, at least for now. Good reminder for $PETS arbs: massive spreads are there for a reason. Exit...