Higher Oil Prices and Yields Aren’t That Scary
seems most folks get it... higher oil and yields are not as spooky as many folks want us to believe
Oil Spikes Above $100 as Hormuz Closure Persists
The Strait of Hormuz remains closed, with the flimsiest of ceasefires looking flimsier by the hour, and oil prices have jumped back above $100 a barrel. At times like these, it’s important to remember that things can still get much, much,...
Australia Raises Rates Again, 4.35% Target
Global Central Bank Update: -Australia hiked rates for the third straight meeting, 25 bps move up to 4.35%. https://t.co/l5IYmkeySJ https://t.co/r926jXlyCl
Prediction Market ETFs Offer Bias‑Free Macro Bets
NEW: Bet the President, Fed or CPI- Skip the Analysis, Guesswork and Bias. New from me today on the reason prediction market ETFs could be more popular and legit than people think. Every big macro event (Election, Fed, etc) we...
Low Breadth, Stable Watchlist: Stay Selective, Controlled
Breadth is below all short-term averages. But the rolling 5-day watchlist is still progressing. No recent breakdowns. That matters. So we stay in the game— → Selective → Controlled Breadth controls size. Not participation. https://t.co/hhZkD08n06
SPX Holds 8‑Day Pivot; Memory Stocks Stay Strong
$SPX is still riding the 8-day, using 7174 as the pivot support after tagging 7272 last Friday. Memory names are staying strong ($MU, $SNDK, $STX, $WDC) and mega-cap tech is participating, while $PLTR is red for now after a solid...
Copper Collapse Could Trigger Rare Wide‑Range V Reversal
Copper: mother of all bear traps yesterday, if it takes out PDH, it will be a Wide Range Reversal "V", (fairly rare for copper.) https://t.co/n2iGl87UAG
SP Opens Mid-Range After Two-Day Trading Range
SP: 8 AM reading - opens up in the middle of the previous 2 days trading range. https://t.co/kfcaaIJInP
Young Millionaires Ditch Complex Advice for Simple Index Funds
I am happy to see more young multi-millionaires abandoning the illusion of excess investment returns sold by advisers pushing complex strategies for the simplicity of target date index funds in retirement accounts and $VTI / $VXUS, and a municipal bond...
Small‑cap Growth Outperforms Large‑cap, yet Remains Ignored
Wow, 100% of small cap growth funds are beating large cap growth over the past year. This number is 10% for five years = small cap is having a legit moment rn. $IWM also just hit ATHs. And yet, no...
Duol's Q1 Growth Slows, Guidance Cut
My thoughts on $DUOL Q1 2026 Revenue growth—and essentially growth across all metrics—is slowing significantly. QoQ revenue growth slowed to +3.2%, and next quarter growth is expected to be even slower. If we extrapolate this pace, the company is currently growing...
Iran’s Existential Threat Fuels Erratic Response to US Strait Push
What's happening in the Strait of Hormuz this week is very significant. Iran is blockaded, while at the same time the US is trying to open up the Strait to Western ships. All this is an existential threat to Iran...
Diversify with Gold and Commodities to Hedge Future Uncertainty
If you didn't own commodities and gold in your portfolio the last two years your portfolio missed the big moves in those assets which blew away SPX. GLD, TLT, GSG, and SPY are all gonna have shitty 10 year windows....
Invest to Fund Your Life, Not Beat the Market
Why investing is about funding your life The goal isn’t beating the market. It’s reaching your goals. #FinancialPlanning #LifeGoals https://t.co/C1VRGDzBr0
Tight Jobs and Strong Services May Spike Rate Pressure
🚨 Morning Market Rundown – May 5, 2026 🚨 Big data cluster this morning — services PMI + JOLTs could move rates and sentiment fast 👀 🗓️ Economic Events: 0830 - Trade Balance (Mar): Exp -$60.9B; Prior -$57.3B 0945 - S&P Services PMI (Apr):...
CYTK Phase 3 Surges After Long Road to Success
$CYTK Phase 3 hits + Been a long ride in that one, but sweet win https://t.co/daXv0EdCSa
Wealth Requires Vision, Not Just Returns, Build a Fortress
As your wealth grows, you realize something profound: Investing is no longer just about returns. It's about creating a complete vision for your life. Build a fortress around your money. This is how wealthy families maintain their wealth across generations, while...
Nine Space ETFs Launch in Three Months Amid SpaceX IPO
I did not realize there have been NINE space ETFs filed or launched in last 3mo. Not to mention the ones curr on mkt changing methodologies/names. All this for Space X IPO. Never seen anything like it.. Facebook, Alibaba were...
From Near‑Zero to 6%: Bond Yields Surge
In 2020, with global interest rates near 0%, Austria sold this hundred-year bond to investors. Today, the United Kingdom is offering almost 6% (5.77%) for 30 years, think about that. https://t.co/6DDMRv4cEL
UK 30‑Year Yield Peaks at 5.76%, Highest Since 1998
*UK 30-YEAR YIELD CLIMBS TO 5.76%, HIGHEST SINCE 1998 -- On September 27, 2022, the 30-year UK hit 4.99%. This was so intolerable that UK Prime Minister Liz Truss was forced to resign. Today, the UK's 30-year yield is 77 bps higher. https://t.co/NotUU2B1Gv
Bonds Under Fire, Yet Remain Reliable Anti‑Growth Asset
Man my feed is hating on bonds today. Bad takes everywhere "The death of" every portfolio that includes bonds story "Inflation B/E's" unanchored. "10 year returns on TLT" or "Global Fixed Income" negative "Why would you own bonds" Imho bonds are meh...
Michael Burry Dumps Entire GameStop Position
For all those in my comment section: MICHAEL BURRY SELLS ALL HIS $GME GAMESTOP STOCK
RBA Hikes, Signals Pause; JPY Weakest, Oil Drops
$USD is mostly a little softer as the North American session gets under way. $JPY is the weakest of the G10 currencies, off about 0.25%. Local mkts remain closed tomorrow. RBA hikes rates but signals a pause,...
Leasing Cars Over College Savings Undermines Future Security
You’re 37, $220k TC. Married, 2 kids age 4 and 6. You lease two cars: $1,100/mo for your SUV, $850/mo for her Tesla. $1,950/mo total. Your 529 balance: $0. Your logic: “We’ll cash flow college or they can get loans.” **Here’s the...
Specialized ETFs Often Lag Behind Over Time
The hidden risk in specialised ETFs Some niche ETFs underperform significantly over time. #ETFs #Investing https://t.co/nlmUQQyBvG
Talk to Management Early to Uncover Deal‑Breaker Insights
When investing in small public companies you can’t afford to wait until the end of your due diligence to talk to management. Why? Oftentimes one management conversation unearths differential insights that make the company completely un-investable or 3x more interesting...
Germany's Solar Glut Sparks Call to Cut Renewable Subsidies
Good Morning from Germany, where deeply negative energy prices due to solar glut are forcing a rethink of the energy transition, w/Economy Minister calling to end subsidies for excess renewable electricity after costs ran into the tens of millions last...
Foxconn Revenue Jumps 35% YTD Despite Base Effect
Just in: Hon Hai (Foxconn) revenue up 35% YTD (USD terms) Slight weakness in consumer electronics, but only because of a higher base the month prior. Some important things to remember: 1/ https://t.co/Gx6A1kdlF0
Price Shock Escalates to Broad Inflation, Phases I‑II Confirmed
Remember my four-phase framework for the economic and financial fallout of the Middle East War? This latest from the Financial Times is an illustration of Phases I and II in action: what begins as a narrow price shock evolves into...
10‑Year Inflation Expectation Peaks at 2.5%
Inflation expectations over the next 10 years have risen to the highest level since 2023, to 2.5%, according to breakeven rates. https://t.co/x2ujJFz6iY
OnEMI IPO: Retail Oversubscribed, Skip BHNI, Apply 13 Lots
OnEMI Technology IPO Qib : 11.58 time (2150 crore) subscription application wise. retail : 0.3 times shni : 1.55 times bhni : 0.98 times jinko apply krna hh. unke liye suggestion avoid bhni in this. and apply 13 lots retial is best retail category confirm allotment for mutliple...
Ranchers Profit From Calf Shortage, Driving Beef Prices
Absolutely fantastic piece about why beef prices are so high. Contrary to what many people may surmise, it's not the meatpackers getting margin right now. It's the actual ranchers, who are benefitting from an overall scarcity of calves https://t.co/kCJ8qf30ZE https://t.co/AAAodfrc0H
UK 10‑Year Yield Premium Hits Growth, Treasury
The yield gap between UK and German 10-year government bonds is now nearly two full percentage points ( Bloomberg data below). While global yields are up across the board, the economic implications differ: This "UK premium" creates a bigger headwind for domestic...
Avoid Chasing Losses: Don't Replicate Mistakes
“A very important principle in investing is that you don’t have to make it back the way you lost it. In fact, it’s usually a mistake to try to make it back the way you lost it.” — Warren Buffett...
Commodities Hit New Inflation High; Fire Lagging Managers
COMMODITIES: as an Asset Class, ramped to yet another new Inflation Cycle High yesterday If your Money Manager is missing this and, worse, Long Treasuries, you need to fire them https://t.co/744Wx24k7A
Turkey Stocks Surge 11.5% in One Month, Bullish Outlook
TURKEY: stocks up again this morning to +11.5% in the last month = Bullish TREND @Hedgeye for this #Quad1 economy https://t.co/KvWy2EtmkD
May Seasonality: Why Buying the Dip Pays Off
The old saying is 'Sell in May, ' but what about buying the dip? What does seasonality tell us about trading and investing in May? This Hindi video takes a deep dive, leaving you with our exact strategy. Link: https://t.co/OZ6UzMcORF...
Five Affordable Assets Working Class Can Use to Build Wealth
5 Things The Working Class Can Buy To Build Wealth, According To Dave Ramsey https://t.co/S6Hi2bXpk1
Hedgeye Signals Bond Volatility Breakout, Review at 9 AM
Big @Hedgeye TREND Breakout for Bond Market Vol that I'll review on The Macro Show 9AM https://t.co/niZaSORuLS
Over Half of NASDAQ Top 100 Boost Earnings 50% YoY
NASDAQ: 54 of the 100 have reported an epic y/y Earnings Acceleration of +50% https://t.co/3jhMeGis8O
Inflation Adjustment Turns 339% Gains Into 12% Real Return
Understand this, please. You can use this formula: FV = P(1+R)^n R25.48(1+0.054) ^26 = R100 ————- That means if you adjust your asset returns for inflation, your real rate of return is much lower. Let’s say I started with R25.48 in my investment...
Patience and Diversification Beat Hype; No Shortcuts
Sorry your goals take decades. Sorry diversification means missing the moonshot stock your friend won’t shut up about. Sorry market timing hasn’t worked for anyone, no matter who promised you it would. Sorry the boring portfolio outpaces the exciting one over 30 years. Sorry...
US Refining Tightness Fuels 2026 Margin Surge
US refining squeeze = opportunity: Post-2020 COVID closures + no major new builds since 1976 = tight capacity. Utilization ~90%, strong crack spreads boosting margins. Refiners like $VLO, $MPC, $PSX thriving in 2026.
AUD/USD Slides; Short Below 0.7135, Target 0.7050
Macro: AUD/USD weakens after RBA hike; dollar strength & geopolitics. Key: 20-DMA 0.7135 pivot; break risks 0.7050 → 0.6840. Risk: bearish RSI/MACD. Trade: short <0.7135, target 0.7050. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Diversified Energy Mix Calms Europe's 2026 Power Market
COLUMN: Ruinously high electricity bills became the defining image of Europe's energy crisis in 2022. So what's different this time? Thanks to nuclear, hydropower, solar, and better grids, European lectricity markets are calmer in 2026. @Opinion https://t.co/Ve1F7kIrNc
RBN Raises £730k, Cuts Debt; Low Cap, Illiquid
#RBN selling a property and getting £730,000 to help lower debt. ShareScope has fwd p/e 10.2 falling to 8.2 and fwd Divvy 4.8% each of next 2 years. It's low Mkt Cap at £21m and illiquid. I don't hold.
Vodafone Buys Remaining 49% For
#VOD paying CK Hutchison £4.3bn to acquire the 49% of VodafoneThree it didn't already own, and to now have 100% ownership. Will increase debt by 0.4 times Net Debt to Adjusted Earnings.
Memory Stocks May Finally Merit 20× PE Valuation
What if this time is really different for „cyclical“ memory stocks? What if SK Hynix should trade at a PE of 20x I mean, how arrogant would anyone have to be to seriously claim that this time is no different at all?...
Risky Nifty PE Trade Hinges on IV Above 20
Holding Nifty 5 May 24150 PE, current around 200. If IV stays above 20, looking for 293...294 zone...But honestly, this is a risky one. Needs both price follow through and IV support. Let’s see how it plays out. #Nifty50 #OptionTrading
DiamondBack Ramps up Output; Shale Reacts to $80 Oil
DiamondBack Energy, one of the top US shale companies, says it will bring "incremental barrels to the market inmediately." US shale can not offset the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, but the idea that companies wouldn't react to >$80...