BNY Mellon at $128.76 ATH, Buy Dips Target $140
BNY Mellon hits $128.76 ATH; YTD +67.7%. P/E17.3 PEG0.6 56y div $500m perp. Risk: softer fees, rising costs. Trade: Buy dips $120-125; target $140. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA. More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Indonesia Hosts World’s Cheapest Stock Market; US Stays Most Costly
We have a new cheapest stock market in the world...🇮🇩! The most expensive remains the same...🇺🇸 Full list here: https://t.co/CShmcTxzxG
FTSE250 Awaits Breakout Above 22,629 Amid Neutral RSI
#FTSE250 doji Candle and Sideways. Needs Breakout 22629. Support 22000, 21373. RSI 52 near Neutral. Lining up 13/21 day EMA Bull Cross. Top Bollinger Band 22828. Midpoint Line 21722. Bottom Band 20652.
WTI Holds $88 Support After 22% Intraday Drop
WTI crude dropped 22% peak to trough in a single session after the U.S.-Iran ceasefire announcement, but held $88.13 support on a closing basis. Still up +66.57% YTD. RSI is printing a clear bearish divergence. The $88 level is key. Hold...
GOOGL Targets Breakout Above $322, Stops Raised
$GOOGL a move over 322 next level on my radar I did move up stops a touch
ORCL Closes Above Key Moving Averages on Strong Volume
$ORCL daily chart end of day updated. Posted last week and early today. Closing over 10/21/50 ma's daily on above average volume When dumpster diving this is what I want to see. https://t.co/4x8I3n2h2D
Added GOOGL Calendar Spread, Selling 300 Put
added $GOOGL Apr 27 Exp/May 1 Exp 330 call calendar selling Apr 27 Exp 300 put
Rare 7-Day >7% Streak Predicts Strong Future Gains
It is rare to see a 7-day win streak that also gains >7%. In fact, up 10% three months later would say to see an acceleration higher here could be the play. The past 30 years it only happened 3 other times...
Answer Cash Amount, Not Valuation, when Asked Fundraising
I had back to back convos today where I asked a founder, how much are you raising? And instead of telling me the $$ amount they’re raising, they told me the valuation they’re raising at. So if someone asks, how much are...
MSFT Breaks Higher From Base, Showing Healthier Momentum
$MSFT another base break higher. This is much healthier than the filled black a few trading days ago. https://t.co/P4EfWm5Xk1
Hormuz Crisis Slashes OPEC Output, Sparks Global Energy Turmoil
🎡The Hormuz Crisis Reduces OPEC Production by 7.9 mb/d 🎡Kazakhstan's Crude Production Recovers 🎡EU Dependence on Russian Gas to Increase 🎡Iran War, Hormuz & Petrodollar 🎡US Blockade of the Blockade 🎡Panic and Oil Hoarding 🎡Saudi Oil to China: Watch Chinese Inventories 🎡India to Get Iranian Oil, But...
One Rule to Retire Early and Achieve Financial Freedom
If you want to retire comfortably while you're young... There's only one rule you need to follow. How to become financially free at any age:
California's Homeownership Decline Calls for Massive Housing Build
California has the second lowest homeownership rate in the US after New York, and we've lost ground over the past 20 years. This is not healthy. We need to build a lot more housing and create the next generation of...
UK Bond Market Losers Identified, Risks Explained, Solutions Offered
Posted earlier today: FYI, here’s the link to my column on who lost the UK bond market—the what, why, and so what... and also what to do about it: https://www.ft.com/content/4b258818-4935-4507-b554-bccc5fd05b66 #economy #markets #bonds #uk @financialtimes
Added SPY & QQQ Call Calendar Risk Reversals
added $SPY May/June 700 call calendars selling May 640 put (call calendar risk reversal) and $QQQ May/June 640 call calendar risk reversals (with May 560 put short)
Fast 6865 SPX Move, 60:1 Odds on 6180 Put Butterfly
Yep 6865 SPX cash happens fast. 60:1 long shot odds available for a 100 point 6180 put butterfly. Yes please.
Factor Goes Long on Small‑Cap ETFs, Targets Higher Gains
The children have entered the parade. The Factor company account is long in this space. Much higher targets in mind. $SCHA $IWM Stay tuned. Follow the parade here: https://t.co/gDeM5nTRIY https://t.co/6CxE0wC8OT
S&P 500 Adds $4.5T, Recovers From 7% Loss
This is pretty crazy, the S&P 500 has gained over $4.5 TRILLION in market cap since March 30th, up 8% 😳 Back on March 30th, the index was down over 7% YTD. Now, the index is only down 0.32% YTD 👀
Venezuela's Bolivar Plummets 84%, Calls for Dollarization
On this week's Hanke's #CurrencyWatchlist, the Venezuelan bolivar ranks as the WORLD'S WORST currency. The bolivar has depreciated by 84% against the USD over the past year. VENEZUELA’S TOP PRIORITY = OFFICIAL DOLLARIZATION. https://t.co/gLHWv0eqUW
SPY RSI Signals March 30 Bottom, Divergence Emerges
Another signal (as they pile up) that March 30 was the bottom: $SPY on the verge of a higher high in RSI, nergating momentum divergece with price https://t.co/HVxScEKu6b
OKLO Surges Above 10/21 MA, Short Float Highlights
$OKLO back over 10/21 ma and the gap up from last week test and bounce. Note the short float. https://t.co/shm0yFO6wS
Robinhood’s “Free” Trades Generate $4.5B Revenue
Day 3 of 30: How $HOOD Robinhood actually makes money Spoiler: "free trading" was never free... $4.5B in revenue in 2025. Up 52% Here's who's actually paying 🧵
WTI Backwardation Stays Massive at $6.06 per Barrel
The backwardation in US WTI crude futures (active nearby - second contract) is +$6.06... Was as high as +$16.50, but this is still enormous. Blue is the OVX oil volatility index: https://t.co/mGUKpZpzet
Iran's
@ResourceTalks I mention what most people miss: that I am the only reliable source of inflation measurements in Iran. "Since the war started, the Iranian rial has appreciated about 9-11% against the dollar, and inflation is down from over 80%/yr to...
Upgrade 40% Bond Allocation with Active Defense
The 60/40 portfolio needs an upgrade on the 40 side. Static bond allocations don't position well in credit events. $JOJO adds an active layer of defense. https://t.co/r7U1174Vtd
A 10‑Second Checklist Filters Out Bad Trades
3 things I check before EVERY trade. Takes 10 seconds… but it filters out low-quality setups fast. Most traders don’t have a checklist. That’s the problem. Comment “CHECKLIST” 👇 I’ll send you the full setup guide free. #daytrading #futures #tradingtips #vwap
CAR's Parabolic Rise Signals Imminent Hard Break
$CAR fascinating to watch. At some point this will break hard. No idea when. Many days up in a row matching a parabolic move but no real gap ups yet. https://t.co/Ekb8TEWcyJ
Manhattan Rents Hit Record $5k, Supply Crisis Persists
New monthly report: Median rents in Manhattan remain at record high $5k/month. +6% over past year. Avg. for 2-bed hit all-time high $8,166. Lack of supply is driving these sky-high rents: "In March, Manhattan’s rental market remained incredibly inventory constrained. With just...
Buy Front-End On
Solid strategy to buy the front end when pricing hikes. Trump generally turns it around with a positive spin. 5s up more than 10 ticks since the Globex Sunday night open.
Geopolitical Tensions Offer Buying Opportunities, Says Yardeni
Ed Yardeni tells CNBC that geopolitical events are buying opportunities, even as Trump announces plans to blockade the Strait of Hormuz. https://t.co/L0aaO4wMJK
Netflix Ad Tier Set to Double Revenue, Price Target $700
Netflix's ad-supported tier is crushing it. Analysts now project its ad revenue will DOUBLE to ~$3B this year. Bullish outlook has one firm raising its price target to $700. 📈 Streaming
Chevron to Secure New Western Venezuelan Oil Fields
#Venezuela: Chevron is set to expand its oil footprint in Venezuela. The government in Caracas will award the company additional oil fields in Western Venezuela as soon as Monday, sources tell @zerpius @CrowleyKev and me ahead of an expected announcement https://t.co/L9MMsDKfTs
Palantir Poised for Reversal, +4.5% Surge Confirmed
PLTR As noted in Saturday’s Weekly Compass (link attached), price action was primed for a reversal. Following today's +4.5% surge, the full analysis is a must-read to manage risk and identify potential targets. Daily Levels for Palantir are posted in...
Housing Market Shifts to Demand Destruction, Setting up Snapback
The housing market has flipped from scarcity → demand destruction. Prices likely soften, but the bigger story is collapsed activity. This is a rate-driven cyclical slowdown, not a balance-sheet crisis. It sets up a future snapback trade once affordability improves.
Three Simple ETF Strategies: Income, Dividends, Growth
If you want income, buy: $JEPQ $QQQI $JPC $HYB If you want Dividend growth, buy: $SCHD $SPHD $SPYD $PEY If you want stock growth, buy: $VOO $SCHG $QQQ $VGT Don’t overcomplicate it
30‑
The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate today: 6.41% Same day last year: 7.07% --------------------- 10-year Treasury yield today: 4.31% Spread today: 210 bps
Higher Oil Prices Need Weak Labor Market to Spare Inflation
We have had elevated oil prices before without much impact on core inflation, but back in 2011-2014, the labor market was softer, and wage growth was much lower with lower nominal growth https://t.co/sgut5B2XBG
FGFH's 9% ROE Boosts Stock, Yet Remains Undervalued
Today’s state of community bank stocks. $FGFH printed a 9% ROE quarter today. The stock is up 44% in the last year and still trades below book value. Perhaps justified as the improved results still don’t earn independence. https://t.co/1Uj2Cz2dR2 https://t.co/EFXtj5yKpY
Merck's $30B Offer Now Exceeds Revolution's Market Cap
Reminder that Merck tried to buy Revolution for $28-$32B (per Jan reporting from FT), vs current market cap after today's great data of $26.5B https://t.co/hoq2P0oiG9
Adobe's Stock Slump Masks Strong Fundamentals and Value
Is $ADBE a falling knife, as AI is disrupting them? Or a misunderstood opportunity? $ADBE -57% 5Y 🔴 -36% YTD 🔴 - Really Strong Margins - Incredible 9.8% BuyBack - $26B ARR - Cheap Valuation - 32% Below Consensus Price Target
Strong Fundamentals, Weak Stock: Valuation Drives Returns
$ADBE Since 2020: 🔴 Stock Price -30% 🟢 Revenues +85% 🟢 EBITDA +91% 🟢 FCF +86% This is a clear example that valuation is everything. You might be right on the business fundamentals, but be wrong on the stock performance. Was $ADBE incredibly overvalued then, or is...
NVDA Returns To
$NVDA @marketsurge #IBDPartner back to this fantastic 10 month base -- once this goes, it could run for a while so keep on radar. https://t.co/wQvDk0xXVV
True Housing Shortage only 1 Million, Not 10 Million
Our housing shortage estimate is 1 million, and it’s shrinking. This 10 million figure far exceeds all other estimates I’ve ever come across over the years.
Miner Rally Mirrors Early 1970s Bull Market
Miners haven’t truly broken out yet... In this new presentation from Thoughtful Money, I walk through why today’s setup resembles the early 1970s bull market. If you’re wondering whether this rally is getting tired—or just getting started, watch here: https://t.co/WVeReceJL2
IEA Anticipates Additional SPR Releases Amid Gulf Shutdowns
IEA ready for further SPR releases on top of the record 400 million barrels already announced. Even if this crisis ends by the end of the month the market is looking at upwards of a BILLION barrels unproduced given Gulf shut-ins. Won't...
Market Reclaims ATH AVWAPs, Ideal for Long Management
Idk the future - I do know A LOT of areas of the market are back above their former ATH AVWAPs and they serve as great levels to manage long positions against.
Oracle Oversold: Potential Breakout Amid Excessive Selling
$ORCL was oversold and underestimated. This may or may not be a real breakout, but the selling was way overdone proportionally to its upside. 👏🏻
AI Boosts Enterprise Cyber Stocks; Selloff Offers Bargain
The best of breed cybersecurity and infrastructure software stocks have been punished by the market. AI is a tailwind for the high quality enterprise-grade vendors and the current selloff is a good opportunity.
Goldman Beats Forecast Yet Shares Open Lower
Goldman was - unusually - the first bank out of the gate for this quarter's earnings season. The company beat expectations: - EPS of $17.55 vs $16.34 expected - Revenue $34.31Bln vs $16.98Bln expected However, $GS still gapped down on the open...
PLTR Doubles After Daily Reversal Signal
$PTIR daily chart $PLTR x2. Reversal today and not looking back. Showing this chart because my $PLTR has lots of notes on it. This one much cleaner. https://t.co/Ffd6ChyPio