Strong Fundamentals, but Underlying Issues Keep SOFI Down
Before you buy the $SOFI dip - read this Beat revenue. Beat EPS. Doubled customers. Stock down intraday and 3 PT cuts in one day The dip looks tempting...but the reason it dropped is also still there
Consistency Over Rules: Build Business, Mindset for 25‑Year System
"...in systematic investing, the interesting question is rarely “what are the rules?”, but rather “how do you build a business and a psychology that can execute those rules, exactly as written, for 25 years?”. - @ConcretumR As I've said forever,...
Fixed‑Income Remains Durable Amid Geopolitical Shifts
Marc Seidner, @PIMCO's CIO of Non-Traditional Strategies, has spent four decades navigating markets. Earlier this year, he said, “I think this is one of the most interesting, possibly one of the most durable environments for fixed-income investing.” My conversation with Marc walks through...
Shareholders Reject Workforce Report, Keep Berkshire Board Intact
Berkshire shareholders rejected workforce report, approved say-on-pay and kept board. Decentralized model preserves subsidiary autonomy; operational incidents persist. Trade: overweight BRK.B. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Pre‑launch Period: Untapped High‑leverage ETF Marketing Window
Most ETF launches die in the gap between ticker drop and AUM. The pre-launch period — when the issuer is allowed to talk about the thesis but not the ticker — is the highest-leverage marketing window in ETF GTM, and...
Google Cloud Matches 2014 Google Size, 25% More Profitable
Google Cloud is now the same size Google itself was a decade ago, and it is 25 percent more profitable. $GOOG https://t.co/6lPID0NAuE
Cheap Offshore Wind Operator CDLR Booms Amid AI Hype
Everyone is watching $NVDA $AAPL $AMZN earnings prints Meanwhile $CDLR is sitting at a P/E under 8 with a €2.8B backlog and revenue that grew 149% last year It's an offshore wind installation vessel operator. Small cap, ~$2.5B. Boring chart. No AI...
Top S&P 500 Winners Across 5‑20 Year Horizons
The best performing stocks in the S&P 500 over the last 5, 10, 15, and 20 years... https://t.co/l5IYmkeySJ https://t.co/EuWF4B4RuU
Weekly MACD Crossover Signals Strong QQQ Bullish Continuation
QQQ: Weekly MACD crossovers work as high-probability signals for bullish continuation. This instance was no exception, and the setup still shows potential for further gains. #NDX
Top 5 ETFs Ranked Daily for Investors
The Fam's Top 5 ETFs #timestamped daily in ETF Pro and Portfolios Solutions products https://t.co/qIcq3SwSlC
Add Energy Exposure to Hedge Nasdaq Risk
Trimmed risk this week, added energy exposure $XLE. If crude stays elevated or Middle East tensions escalate, the inverse relationship to the Nasdaq should help offset some portfolio risk. I walk through the positioning here: https://t.co/u1RO6ZLsjM $SPY $QQQ $USO $TLT https://t.co/asFToTsQW4
Berkshire Sees Market as Casino, Cash Ready to Strike
Warren Buffett at Berkshire’s 2026 AGM talking about waiting to deploy its $397B cash pile: “I’ve compared the markets to the church with a casino attached. People can move between the church and the casino. The casino has gotten very attractive...
SOXL's Explosive One-Month Gains Suit Short-Term Traders
Crazy return on $SOXL in last month, but these are not for long term but great to trade short term if you pick the trend right.
Adobe Undervalued: Burry Adds Position, Buyback Boosts Value
Burry's quietly added to $ADBE. Adobe at $241. The market is pricing it like Figma already won and AI ate the rest. The fundamentals say otherwise. BuyTrigger: $319 ValueTrigger: $458 (Undervalued) SellTrigger: $729 +90% to fair value. +203% to my sell zone. Buyback Reality Index: A rating....
Master Pullback Trading with Slingshot, Fish‑hook, and Pivot Techniques
I just posted @Scot1andT 's excellent presentation on how he trades pullbacks. ✅ The Slingshot Setup ✅ The Fish-hook setup ✅ How to Draws Pivots ✅ Atlas & Icarus Levels Watch here 👇 https://t.co/CSZsOocGGg
Cup‑Handle Pattern Reveals 5‑8× Market Winners
U can learn a ton from this video William O’Neil Breaks it’s down The Cup and Handle Pattern is one of the most reliable patterns in the markets. It can uncover 5x 6x 7x 8x winners https://t.co/znt62R4LHA
China Blocks US Sanctions on Five Iranian‑oil Firms
The Ministry of Commerce issued Announcement No. 21 of 2026, announcing a blocking order against the United States' sanctions on five Chinese companies related to Iranian oil. https://t.co/xIHxp0dzEa
Buffett’s First Venture: A Pinball Machine Earning Passive Income
Warren Buffett’s most successful investment wasn’t Apple $AAPL or Coca-Cola $KO. It was a $25 pinball machine he bought when he was 16. By the time he graduated high school, he was clearing $50 a week in pure passive income (roughly $800...
Swap Lines Make Recipients Fed Branches Without Voting Power
The best way to think about USD Swap Lines is that they basically transform the recipient into a new regional branch of the Federal Reserve or US Treasury but the new branch doesn't have any voting rights with regards to...
U.S. Homebuyers Spend 38% of Income on Mortgages
The U.S. Housing Market is contending with its worst affordability crisis in decades. Today, U.S. households need to spend nearly 38% of their gross income on mortgage costs to buy a house. This figure is nearly the same as the mid-2000s bubble,...
S&P 500 EPS Projected to Rise 22% This Year
22% S&P 500 EPS growth expected this year... and it has been trending higher GS https://t.co/MIGNciysdn
April RKEquity Scoreboard Highlights Lithium, Rare Earths
Check out latest #RockStockRecap, which includes a detailed run through #RKEquity April scoreboards for lithium, rare earths and minor metal equities. #GoLongWhereMemoriesAreShort 👇👇
Berkshire's Cash Surges to $397B After $8.1
A tender for Berkshire shares by BRK seems more than possible: "cash jumped to $397 billion in the first quarter as it offloaded a net $8.1 billion of equity holdings in the period. Operating earnings got a boost from an...
America: A Conglomerate, Buffett’s Ultimate Long‑Term Play
Buffett didn't call America a democracy or a superpower. He called it a conglomerate. 61 years. 80% ag to 2%. No master plan, just relentless adaptation. The founders didn't announce it. They just built it. That's not history. That's the best case study...
April 2026 S&P Gains 10% Amid War, Optimism Returns
In April 2026, US equities saw light in the midst of war and chaos. The S&P 500 rose 10.43%, its best month since April 2020, coming of COVID lows, and the ERP for the index dropped to 4.37%. The market...
Reverse Carry Trade Explained: Oil, Yen, Japan Insights
I have been quiet long enough. This is perhaps the most important thread on X ever published. And the most powerful and impactful comic book you will ever read. If you want to understand the reverse carry trade, bookmark this. Oil, Yen, Japan,...
Advanced Insurance Planning Secures Multi-Generational Wealth
It's been encouraging to see a growing number of people taking real steps toward safeguarding their wealth through advanced insurance-based planning. We're focused on building tax-efficient structures that support long-term, multi-generational asset protection. This is, in many ways, is the...
NY Second‑Home Tax Proposal Falters on Unclear Numbers
"Can a Second Home Tax Work in New York? The Numbers Don’t Add Up Yet." https://t.co/93zcA8JAPT https://t.co/le2hB4g5XI
Mortgage Rates Rebound From Historic Lows to 6.3%
Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate in the US… 1970s: 8.9% 1980s: 12.7% 1990s: 8.1% 2000s: 6.3% 2010s: 4.1% 2020s: 5.3% --- All-Time Low (Jan 2021): 2.65% 2023 Peak (Oct 2023): 7.79% Today's Rate: 6.30% https://t.co/Ji2noTwgDL
Housing Inventory Growth Plummets From 33% to 2.3%
Housing inventory growth has now gone from 33% year over year last year to just 2.33%. Remember, this is a hard comp story too, up until mid June
Berkshire's Cash Swells to $400B Amid 14 Quarters Net Selling
Buffett's Cash Position is now near $400B - 14 straight quarters of net selling*, Berkshire exited another $8B of stocks in Q1. *(bought ~$16B, sold ~$24B), data from official earnings/10-Q and 13F-related disclosures. https://t.co/btLzzDvF3e
Top 10 Stocks Now Contribute 33% of Earnings
A major uptick in the earnings contribution from the 10 largest stocks.. now 33% GS https://t.co/XJI0aB2hzH
Long‑term Berkshire Shares Deliver Compounding Returns
First question comes from "Warren from Omaha": “I've got nothing but time and Cherry Coke, and I want to know just so I have something to tell my fellow shareholders: Why should they hold their Berkshire shares for the long...
Leveraged Treasuries Offer Minimal Return, Low Sharpe
With fixed pay legs of 10 Year swaps recieving 3.93% with swap spread at 43bp with Kim term premium at 65bp Leveraged bond buyers only get 23bp of expected return vs cash. This on a 5% vol item. Sharpe Ratio...
Patience Pays: Unusual May 8 Options Reveal Market Signals
Hawk Options Analytics platform development continues...long process but I am not the kind of person to just push out something that is not ready If you don't have time to do i right, when will you have time to do it...
US Still Reliant on Persian Gulf Oil and Resources
Tell me again how the Persian Gulf does not impact the US? 8% of our oil imports (approx 250M bbls) comes through the Strait of Hormuz. The world is pulling WTI crude out of the US at record levels, along with refined...
Apple's Q2 Path: New Highs, Pullback, or 243 Pivot
$AAPL - Up 3.2% on Friday but did not make a new ATH. The 3 potential scenarios for the rest of Q2: 1. New ATH and rally to the 1st yearly resistance at 317. 2. Pullback to the 20 week MA(262), then...
Spirit's Debt Crisis Undermined Value, Merger Might Have Helped
Was Spirit Airlines Roomba-ed®? Did debt levels make Spirit walking dead? Would the JetBlue merger have made the end less painful for employees of Spirit and Spirit shareholders/debt holders? Did Spirit have any pricing power? Anyone. Anyone. Bueller?...
High EPS Growth Forecasts Often Precede Weak SPX Returns
These charts use consensus NTM Growth Rates and subsequent SPX Returns monthly going back to 1996 Current SPX EPS Growth Rate is 20% Purple Line Sample correlation is -21% Intuition to me makes sense that most of the time when growth rate expectations...
Choosing Between OpenAI and Anthropic: Long‑Term Bet
OpenAI and Anthropic both IPO. You have $100k to invest in only one of them and you’re going to let it ride for the next 5 years. Which one are you investing in, and why?
Profit Margin Forecasts Diverge From Recent S&P Trends
As @jessefelder rightly notes of a must see interview this week w/legendary investor @ptj_official “Forward profit margin expectations for the 493 are strikingly disconnected from the trend of recent years” (He, of course, refers to $SPX net of the Mag7) https://t.co/1s0EuVOTQr
Create a 10‑Minute Death Binder for All Accounts
If you died tomorrow, would your family know how to access everything? Banking, crypto, brokerages, your laptop... Here's how to build your "When I Die" binder in under 10 minutes:
TIPS and High‑Yield Bonds Preserve Purchasing Power
Bond Funds That Have Offered Some Inflation Protection ➡️Returns data indicate that Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) funds and high-yield bond funds offered purchasing power protection during the past decade (including the recent inflationary period), while many investors in short- and...
AI Surge Powers Top Semiconductor Sub‑Themes, Refiner Gains
I asked @Deepvue AI to Identify specific leading themes and the strongest stocks within them Semiconductor Equipment & Test Fab tools, wafer processing, and test gear — critical for chip production ramps. Granular subset surging on AI capacity builds. - $ACLS, $ACMR, $AEIS,...
Live Market Analysis: Trends, Themes, and Next Week Setups
Over 1,000 Traders are joining me live at 11am EST ✅ Market Analysis & Current Trend ✅ Finding Leading Themes ✅ Setups for Next Week It will be recorded and sent to everyone who registers. Register & join here 👇 https://t.co/cxKCefHZd4
Which Costs You More: Fading Trends or Chasing Ranges?
The ONLY 2 questions that actually matter in trading… 🤔📊 Which one kills your PnL more? 📉 Fading a trend day 📈 Chasing a range day Be honest… where are you bleeding? 👇 Trade live with us every morning 🔴 Free Discord link in bio Comment “VWAP”...
Hyperscalers' Earnings Surge Thanks to Private Equity Stakes
GS: The hyperscalers' earnings growth this quarter was boosted by an unusually large contribution from equity stakes in private companies. https://t.co/24FLhlxevX
Free Trading Tools: Lessons, Cheat Sheet, Sizing Guide, Newsletter
5 Free Trading Resources for you: 1) Red Dog Reversal Intensive Lesson: https://t.co/eQ9cGPdVnu 2) Moving Averages Lesson: https://t.co/HqhSzb7tzX 3) Financial Road Map Cheat Sheet https://t.co/watu4cJ9In 4) Tier System for Trade Sizing https://t.co/kimXQNjKSh 5) My 2x per week newsletter with updates on $SNDK $NVDA $TSLA $GOOGL and more: 🔴 https://t.co/Rqp84WgAZd
Analysts Trim Margins Now, Forecast Profit Surge Ahead
GS: Reflecting input cost pressures, analysts have trimmed margin estimates so far this season but continue to model a large increase in profitability in the coming quarters https://t.co/P5ImwpHHIm
Master Anchored VWAP: Powerful Tool, Common Pitfalls Explained
Thanks @mwebster1971 for having me on WRO #69! 🚨⚓️ We went deep on Anchored VWAP — how to use it, common mistakes, and why it’s one of the most powerful tools in a trader’s toolbox.