Steady Lithium Price Rise Preferred Despite Deficit
Mr @Sw197843: Yes, the deficit is here but don’t expect an explosion too soon. A slow & steady price rise is the best thing for #lithium. https://t.co/4cJkLGIYRb
SPX Gains 7% as Six-Strategy Ensemble Beats Benchmarks
Weekly Signals update: $SPX had strong performance the past two weeks with 7% gain. The ensemble of six strategies still outperforms by 300 bps YTD, with much lower drawdown. Link in reply below with free access to weekly recap. 👇...
China's Biotech Surge Threatens Western Drug Dominance
Big Pharma Is Turning to China for the Newest Drug Ideas—China’s biotechs are faster and have lower costs, and its drug research threatens to soon overtake the West’s @Loftus https://t.co/YszgDfNlwc https://t.co/YszgDfNlwc
SaaS Valuations Hit Historic Lows Despite Steady Growth
Negative sentiment in the SaaS software space is intensifying following the release of Anthropic’s new Mythos model, and average valuations across the sector are at historical lows - median EV/Sales for SaaS companies has declined to 3.30x ATL, while analyst-estimated...
Sanuwave Plunges 40% YTD: Opportunity or Red Flag?
Damn. Sanuwave $SNWV -40% ytd. Opportunity or 'stay the hell away from these crappy industries'? https://t.co/o35ORrbsWy
Washington's Iran War Calculus Shifts, Boosting Ceasefire Optimism
The risk-reward of pursuing war on Iran appears to have shifted for Washington and that helps fan hopes that despite the initial difficulties the ceasefire could stick. Some promising noises from Ukraine and Russia talks. Hungary election tomorrow. See https://t.co/C24lO3Uz3T...
Expect SPX Dip, Buying Puts at Current Levels
Saturday 3/28 SPX 6400. Expect a sizable dip on Monday and "Nothing but a buyer" Saturday 4/11. SPX 6820 buying puts last week at current levels . Just doing what we do. https://t.co/ZSOy0u6uI1
Dollar Reversal Signals Enduring Weak‑dollar Era
The magnitude of the reversal in the dollar may be the most important move we saw this week. Welcome to a weaker-dollar world. Upside moves are likely to be limited and short-lived, with a persistent pull back to the downside like a...
Russell 3000 Hits Highest 4‑Week High Count Since April 2025
The number of net new 4-week highs in the Russell3000 just reached its highest count since April 2025
Patience Pays: Stocks Spike After Years of Stagnation
Stock performance is rarely linear. You sometimes have to hold onto a position for a couple years before it goes up 300% in 6 months. It always looks easy in hindsight, but holding dead money is excruciating and few are...
Don't Let Daily Noise Obscure Long-Term Trend
Most investors are so easily distracted by short-term day to day price movements, that they completely forget about the direction of primary trends.
Buffett's $370B Cash: History Reveals Waiting Signal
Hey @grok Warren Buffett is sitting on $370 billion in cash. What does history say he's waiting for — and how close are we to that signal?
Ceasefire News Drops Oil Futures, Defying Shortage Expectations
There was lots of talk how acute "physical" shortage in the spot market would pull up futures prices of oil. That turned out to be totally wrong. News of a ceasefire pulled down futures, which in turn pulled down spot...
Dollar Poised for Further 5% Decline Amid Widening G10 Gap
The Dollar has a lot further to fall. Look at the gap that's opened up between the Dollar versus the G10 (blue) and the corresponding interest rate differential (black). We're talking about another 5% drop as negotiations continue and war...
Ceasefire Confirmed, US‑Iran Talks Push Dollar Lower
Earlier this week, I predicted we'd get a ceasefire. We did. The US and Iran are negotiating, a big step forward. Lots of details to iron out, but the war is ending, which is hugely risk positive. As a result,...
Market Makers Manage Gamma, Not Predict Direction
Today’s GammaGrid Insights: Most people think market makers are predicting direction. They’re not...They’re managing gamma. Thread 👇 #Nifty50 #OptionsTrading
Capstone Ends Strike, Boosts Output Amid Tight 2026 Copper Market
Capstone ended the Mantoverde strike and began ramping output as copper markets stay tight in 2026. https://www.metalnomist.com/2026/04/capstone-mantoverde-strike-ends-as.html
Consider SIPs in Global Markets Despite FII Sell‑off
Anurag, so yr advise is that public wait for 600 billion of FII selling before investing. In the meantime where to invest. FDs ? Or u think with SIPs as low as 100 rupees per month they should start investing...
Shift Taxable Cash Into ISA Before 2027 Cuts
TLDR: if you have money outside of an ISA, that you are paying tax on, and you have excess ISA allowance leftover, it’s probably worth getting it inside of an ISA to avoid future tax. Especially important with the cash...
Energy‑GDP Link Means Hormuz Blockade Threatens Global Economy
Here is what data tells over 50 years of my tracking. Energy and world GDP track perfectly 1:1. Full shock incoming if Hormuz still stays choked. War not only risks global shortages, but exposes the fragility we’ve ignored. More information in the...
Macron Demands Concrete Action on Global Imbalances
Mark Sobel: "That relates to this year’s focus on global imbalances for the G7, G20 and IMF. French President Emmanuel Macron, current G7 chair, wants concrete commitments to reduce them. The US, as G20 president, is also paying attention, mainly...
IMF Admits Currency Intervention Fuels Depreciation, Balances External Accounts
Brad Setser is pleased to see the IMF conceding that intervention by a country in its currency and external accounts “can systematically generate real exchange rate depreciation and raise current account balances”. He is being quite polite. We have known for...
International Diversification Safeguards Your Wealth Long‑term
From a monetary standpoint its best to diversify internationally. It'll protect you in the long run.
US Extends Russian Oil Waiver Amid Iran War Shock
US likely to extend Russian oil waiver to temper Iran war shock, sources say https://t.co/0Xr3HV1riR
Ola Electric Stock Jumps 80% in April
Ola Electric Stock is on Fire 🔥 the share price jumped around 80% in April.But what's driving this massive rally ?
US Extends Russian Oil Waiver Amid Iran War Tensions
That says the Trump administration is ready for a deal with Iran, but is Iran ready? Is Netanyahu ready? US likely to extend Russian oil waiver to temper Iran war shock, sources say https://t.co/jMSFlgcOrq
Governments Subsidize Oil for Bottom 70% Starting 27th
Governments around the world are providing subsidies to help mitigate impact of higher energy prices. Such efforts counter recessionary pressures, but to what extent and for how long? Government Launches High Oil Price Support for Bottom 70% Starting 27th https://t.co/EWO71DrdHN
WA Households Miss Negative Pricing, Boosting Solar‑battery Push
In Western Australia, domestic customers don't have access to negative pricing events - because? @SynergyEnergy How about it @RogerCookMLA - a further incentive to put solar into batteries - and into batteries on wheels?
KMT Chair’s Xi Meeting Signals Wider Regional Implications
KMT Chair Cheng Li-wun just met Xi Jinping. Events like this matter far beyond the Taiwan Strait https://t.co/QoX0QEMgRk https://t.co/RrjzHha4Xd
Rising Costs Force Southeast Asian Rice Farmers to Skip Planting
The war in the Middle East hits food staples ⚠️ 🌾 Rice farmers in Southeast Asia are deciding to skip planting for the next season due to rising fuel & fertilizer costs Some Thai farmers are leaving the crop in the ground...
Nasdaq 100 Achieves Rare 8‑Day, 8%+ Streak
Nasdaq 100 is 8-for-8! #NDX is now positive for 8 consecutive days with 8%+ gains for only the 13th time in 40 years.
Two‑Month Hormuz Reopening Too Late for Global Economy
Two months: that’s how long it might be before the Strait of Hormuz opens and resumes transit akin to before the war (from National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett). Translation: We F’d up so bad and had zero plans to deal...
US Industrials Set to Boom as Gas Prices Plunge
Natural gas drives the US industrial economy, not oil. US natural gas prices are -20% since the Iran war broke out. This will be tremendous for US industrials. https://t.co/4k1zWGD9Ix
US Industry Relies on Natural Gas, Now 20% Cheaper
For the most part, the US industrial segment runs on natural gas, not oil. And US natural gas prices have dropped by 20% since March 1st.
PLTR Overvalued: True Worth $128, Watchlist Only
#PLTR Scorecard My Full Deep Dive Thesis on $PLTR Beat the Market to the Real Value And I Still Disagree With Wall Street On March 24, when $PLTR was trading at $160, my full thesis already uncovered its true Expected Value at...
Oil Headlines Mislead; Brent Stuck Near $100
I can’t be the only one who sees these headlines day in and day out yet sees Brent crude struggle to hold $100/barrel and thinks there must be magic supplies of oil out there somehow.
One Low‑Vol Short Can Power an Entire Year’s Alpha
It is underdiscussed how much great short selling talent sits at multis, and how important alpha shorting really is to success in the multi-manager model. One big short, particularly in a low vol name you can size in dollars, can make...
Maximize HSA Growth: Invest All, Reimburse Later
I have $500 in cash in my HSA (my plan’s minimum). The rest is invested in the S&P 500. I’m tracking all my medical expenses and plan to reimburse myself in 20 years. This is how you use HSA to its...
China’s Low Inflation Reflects Sub‑golden M2 Growth
China’s inflation rate comes in at 1.0%/yr in March, BELOW its 2%/yr target. China’s money supply (M2) is growing at 9.0%/yr, BELOW Hanke's Golden Growth Rate of 10.0%/yr, a rate consistent with hitting its inflation target of 2%/yr. THE INFLATION STORY =...
Strait of Hormuz Lies Within Iran‑Oman Territorial Waters
Journalists, politicians, and so-called experts all omitting (disingenuously, I reckon) to mention that the Strait of Hormuz is not “high seas”, it is fully within the territorial waters of Iran and Oman. RNZ still framing it all as US sycophants...
Anglo Cuts 2026 Copper Outlook Amid Lower Collahuasi Grades
Anglo cut 2026 copper guidance as lower ore grades at Collahuasi weaken Chilean production expectations. https://www.metalnomist.com/2026/04/anglo-2026-copper-guidance-falls-as.html
GEN Stands Out: 6.5x P/E, 12.5% EPS Growth
Cheapest software names based on forward P/E (market cap >$2bn) I'm a fan of $GEN on this list... 6.5x earnings with 12.5% estimated EPS growth next 3 years https://t.co/TPgzemEkVy
Oil Futures Lag Behind Spot Prices Amid Supply Shock
From The New York Times : “The futures and spot prices are rarely exactly the same, but the gap between them has grown unusually big in the past few weeks, so much so that oil executives and analysts say futures prices...
Neuron Energy to Build 5 GWh Battery Factory in India
Neuron Energy plans 5 GWh battery storage factory in India #energysky -- via pv magazine global: https://t.co/lCGZ48gTkw
AI Hype Inflates Multiples, but Narratives Drive Price
Freee could easily have traded up to 5x EV/Sales on the expectation that its new AI powered features would bring in greater revenues. No-one would have batted an eye. But narratives follow price.
California's Low‑Rate Mortgages Keep Prices Firm, Florida Falls
Some interesting differences are showing up in mortgage rates by state. California: 28% of mortgaged houses are at sub-3% rate Florida: 16% only before pandemic, they both were similar. But now, there's a big gap. California's sub-3% mortgage rates are one of the reasons...
China Halts Jet Fuel Exports, Triggering Global Shortage
Jet fuel supply disruptions continue. China has halted jet fuel exports; Asia is running out of fuel. Major shortages could soon spread to Europe and the US. THE US-ISRAELI WAR ON IRAN = MAJOR DAMAGE. https://t.co/1BeaFpUw8i
Energy Price Surge Drives up U.S. CPI Inflation
First Wave of Energy Price Spikes Hit CPI Inflation. Energy that Americans pay for directly: Gasoline, propane, fuel oil, other fuels, utility natural gas, and electricity https://t.co/SiGQSZV2zn https://t.co/uO9XHnvFt8
Invest Only in What You Truly Understand
Don't invest in stuff you don't understand What you know (not what you assume) is what can determine your success DYOR is more than a slogan
5‑Step System to Decode Earnings Quickly
Earnings season is back and most investors are drowning in the data 📊 You don't need an MBA to spot a winner... you just need a system From $AEHR 's guidance to margin shifts, here is my 5-step framework to read any...