Social•Feb 17, 2026
Figma Plummets 83%; Earnings May Be Lifeline
Figma ($FIG) - down 83% from its IPO highs. Can earnings save them this week?
By Hyperstocks
Social•Feb 17, 2026
Mason Morfit Calls Market Wrong on Salesforce Valuation
Must listen. Rare interview with activist investor Mason Morfit with @WilfredFrost my favorite part when they discuss why he says the market is wrong on Salesforce @Benioff
By Sara Eisen
Social•Feb 17, 2026
Partnering with Disruptor Boosts FIG 4% Above Sector
In a market punishing software...partnering with the disruptor is getting rewarded $FIG up 4% on the news, outperforming the sector
By Deirdre Bosa
Social•Feb 17, 2026
Iranian Rial Crashes as US‑Iran Nuclear Talks Begin
Today, US-Iran nuclear talks began in Geneva. As the talks start, the Iranian rial is in the tank. It has depreciated by over 43% against the dollar in the past year, making it THE SECOND WORST CURRENCY IN THE WORLD. https://t.co/PORIO6lGtc
By Steve Hanke
Social•Feb 17, 2026
Adobe at 15× Earnings—Five‑year Low, Consider Buying
$ADBE trading at just 15x its earnings as the stock reaches five year lows. Are you buying? Earnings scheduled on March 12th.
By Hyperstocks
Social•Feb 17, 2026
Sold Heavily in 2019, Missed Nvidia's 50x Surge
Well they also sold a ton back in 2019, right before NVDA went up 50x
By J.C. Parets, CMT
Social•Feb 17, 2026
Systematic Rental Strategies Build Generational Wealth
🏡 The Steps You Need For Financial Freedom 🥳 Collecting cash flow and becoming financially free are within reach for everyone, if you’re willing to sacrifice and follow a calculated path. Every decision is thought out and systematical, but when...
By Ryan Nork
Social•Feb 17, 2026
Fed Says AI Boom Won’t Prompt Rate Cuts
Fed governor Michael Barr's latest speech contains 1) A short part on the current policy outlook. The key guidance: "Based on current conditions and the data in hand, it will likely be appropriate to hold rates steady for some time." 2) A...
By Nick Timiraos
Social•Feb 17, 2026
Sanctions Spawn Shadow Fleet, Aging Tankers Scrapped in India
US sanctions squeezed Russian and Venezuelan oil shipping out of mainstream markets. A shadow fleet emerged. Now aging dark fleet tankers are arriving at Indian scrapyards at a record pace. SANCTIONS = WORKAROUNDS = UNINTENDED CONSEQUENCES. https://t.co/GddyWzZwZd
By Steve Hanke
Social•Feb 17, 2026
Wheat Export Inspections Outpace USDA Target by 59M Bushels
Marketing year to date #wheat export inspections exceed the seasonal pace needed to hit USDA's target by 59 million bushels, versus 61 million the previous week. #oatt
By Arlan Suderman
Social•Feb 17, 2026
Balance Reversion and Momentum: Mix Market-Making with Market-Taking
"You have market-making strategies or market-taking strategies. You want to balance across them because market-making strategies tend to be reversion and market-taking strategies tend to be momentum." - Bobby Jain (EP.497) With thanks to @AlphaSenseInc, @MorningstarInc, and Ridgeline.
By Ted Seides
Social•Feb 17, 2026
Google Updates Top Holdings with New Stocks
Googles Top holdings was just updated $ASTS $PL $RVMD $ARM $FRSH Other notable names : $PATH $OSCR $GTLB $TEM
By BD Investing
Social•Feb 17, 2026
US Jan Soy Crush Beats Forecast, Stocks Surge 49%
🇺🇸NOPA U.S. crush, Jan. 2026: ▪️221.564 mln bu of soybeans ▪️Above avg trade guess of 218.52 mln ▪️+10.6% YOY; down 1.5% from Dec. 2025 ▪️Soyoil stocks 1.9 bln lbs ▪️Above all trade guesses (avg was 1.71 bln) ▪️+49% YOY; highest since April 2023 https://t.co/UItFPJlkd8
By Karen Braun
Social•Feb 17, 2026
Guyana and Exxon Profit From Venezuela's Turmoil
Been saying this for a while: Guyana (and by extension Exxon) was a big collateral winner of Venezuela developments. https://t.co/QzfRIJKK1F
By Rory Johnston
Social•Feb 17, 2026
Save Before You Spend, Not After.
If your paycheck hits and you’re deciding what to save after you spend… you’re doing it backwards.
By Tiffany Aliche (The Budgetnista)
Social•Feb 17, 2026
Big Tech Cuts Buybacks, Shifts to AI Spending
‼️The largest US stock buyer since 2009 is STEPPING BACK: Combined buybacks by Amazon, Alphabet, Microsoft, Meta, and Oracle fell to $12.6 billion in Q4 2025, the lowest in 7 YEARS. This marks the 3rd quarterly decline, a -70% DROP from the...
By Global Markets Investor (newsletter author)
Social•Feb 17, 2026
Business Inflation Expectations Return to Pre‑Pandemic Levels
Two different measures of business inflation expectations have essentially returned to pre-pandemic levels. The Atlanta Fed survey (dark line), which asks businesses how much they expect their own unit costs to change, is back at 2%—right where it was in 2019....
By Nick Timiraos
Social•Feb 17, 2026
TLT Seen as Lower High, Still Hating Treasuries
I think I might be the only person in the world who still hates US Treasuries here. $TLT is just another lower high imo until proven wrong.
By Quinn Thompson
Social•Feb 17, 2026
Chinese State Banks Boost FX Securities by $90B Monthly
Notable acceleration in the fx securities book of the Chinese state banks (And their reverse repo/ other funding of global financial institutions) in January -- consistent with the $90b monthly increase in the reported fx balance sheet https://t.co/PNDncW2w2s
By Brad Setser
Social•Feb 17, 2026
U.S. Corn Inspections Surpass Expectations, Soy Exports to China Strong
🇺🇸Last week's U.S. corn inspections easily beat all trade expectations (though they weren't a weekly record). FYI the previous week's corn volume was hiked significantly. Soy inspections were near the top end of estimates - 57% of the beans were...
By Karen Braun
Social•Feb 17, 2026
Corn Leads Weekly Export Inspections, Soybeans Follow
Export inspections for the week ending Feb. 12 (mln bu): #corn 58.8, grain sorghum 9.5, #soybeans 44.2, #wheat 13.8 #oatt
By Arlan Suderman
Social•Feb 17, 2026
Dollar Up Shows Unchanged Signal Amid Correlation Risk
If there was something else to "dig into", I would have. Dollar Up has its implied Correlation Risk today. I'll do what the signal does. It didn't change.
By Keith McCullough
Social•Feb 17, 2026
IEA Paris Meeting Tests Net‑Zero Shift Against US Oil Priorities
For energy policy making, a key week in Paris as @IEA energy officials gather Feb 18-19 for a biennial ministerial meeting. The IEA’s drift toward net-zero advocacy and overtures to China will be tested as US officials push to a return...
By Javier Blas
Social•Feb 17, 2026
Swiss Market Hits Record High as US Stocks Slide
Switzerland is hitting a new all-time high again today as U.S. stocks break down to new 6-month lows relative to European stocks. https://t.co/z6UH4K1Vfo
By J.C. Parets, CMT
Social•Feb 17, 2026
Nowcast IQ Predicts US Growth Despite Market Pessimism
A few of our weekly inputs have come in for US growth. We continue to rebound hard cyclically. EURUSD down, US assets (soon) up, and ISM PMI towards 60 by summer. Our Nowcast IQ is telling a VERY contrarian story to...
By Andreas Steno Larsen
Social•Feb 17, 2026
Retail Favorites, IPO Timing, and Base Rates Explained
🔬 Research links: the stocks retail investors favor, the impact of IPO timing, and why base rates matter so much. https://t.co/cjmTGAY0wz chart: https://t.co/rvyduDs39u https://t.co/EKv26rorKm
By Tadas Viskanta
Social•Feb 17, 2026
SPY Poised to Break November Range Amid Key Data
Is it finally the week $SPY breaks this range? Stuck here since November. Reports scheduled this week: - U.S. Trade Deficit Report (Thu) - GDP (Fri) - Inflation Report (Fri) - Consumer Sentiment (Fri)
By Hyperstocks
Social•Feb 17, 2026
Chinese AI Firms Double, Hitting $35B—West Should Follow
china’s two ai model company minimax and zai have grown 2x in public markets in the last month they’re now $30-35b companies surely that should prompt western labs to go public already
By Nathan Benaich
Social•Feb 17, 2026
EURUSD Retreats to Fib Level as Longs Surge
$EURUSD has pulled back from its failed run on 1.20 a few weeks back - aligned to a 38.2% Fib of the 2008 to 2022 bear wave. Meanwhile, net speculative futures positioning has jumped this past week to its heaviest net-long...
By John Kicklighter
Social•Feb 17, 2026
Airbnb Hits 9M Listings, Bookings up 10% YoY
Airbnb Q4 FY25 letter: "We ended 2025 with over nine million active listings around the world. During Q4 FY25, active listings grew relatively in-line with the YoY increase of Nights and Seats Booked [+10% YoY.]"
By Alex Morris (TSOH Investment Research)
Social•Feb 17, 2026
New Capital Rules Unlock $250B+ for Big Banks
New bank capital rules coming which will free up more excess capital at the same time when capital mkts & loan demand are improving. Large cap banks have $175B in excess capital which will go to $250B+ post GSIB...
By Stephanie Link
Social•Feb 17, 2026
Fed Rarely Cuts Rates During >8% Nominal Growth
"The Federal Reserve has cut rates only a handful of times when nominal growth was greater than 8 per cent and most of those instances were in the 1970s." Richard Bernstein @RBAdvisors in the FT https://t.co/vzNnkKmGpY
By Greg Ip
Social•Feb 17, 2026
Trump's Shadow Stalls Power Investment, Creating AI Bottleneck
As the dark shadow of Trump fell over the US power sector & the highly effective IRA, investment in power generation plateaued in 2024. Well-time to create a power bottleneck for AI. More on this in the Chartbook Top Link...
By Adam Tooze
Social•Feb 17, 2026
New Projections Quiet Bond Vigilantes, Ease Debt Fears
New US deficit and growth projections ""suggest a quiet period ahead for bond vigilantes and others who hand-wring over the unsustainable nature of the US debt and the inevitable market revolt – the Godot for which they have waited impatiently...
By Lisa Abramowicz
Social•Feb 17, 2026
AppLovin's 66% Growth, 77% Margin, Stock Still Falls
$APP Growing 66% With 77% Operating Margin — Yet Stock Is Down 42% YTD AppLovin delivered numbers most software companies can’t even model. Revenue up +66% YoY. Operating margin at 77%. And yet the stock is still down 42% YTD. Valuation argument? Forward P/S around 16x. Forward...
By Sergey CYW
Social•Feb 17, 2026
Dalio Warns CBDCs Erase Privacy, Enable Political Control
As @RayDalio, founder of the world's LARGEST hedge fund told @TuckerCarlson on central bank digital currencies: "There will be no privacy... all transactions will be known... and if you're politically disfavored, you could be shut off." https://t.co/3H4Lcz4ysb
By Steve Hanke
Social•Feb 17, 2026
Critical Days Ahead: Watch Core Risk Signals
NEW POST: - RISKS. - Core signals to watch. - Volatility and Contagion. “The next few days will be absolutely critical to monitor…” 🔗Link in profile. https://t.co/qgBEZWrB8Z
By MacroCharts
Social•Feb 17, 2026
Watch MU’s $386 Support to Gauge Memory Group Strength
📺 IS THE MEMORY GROUP STILL “SPECIAL”? $MU, $SNDK, and $WDC were some of the strongest names in the market recently. The key question is whether this group can maintain its leadership while broader tech faces downside pressure. $MU trade framework: – If $MU...
By Scott Redler
Social•Feb 17, 2026
IGV Bottom? Watch
Did we get a 2X bottom in $IGV or does it take another leg lower. $orcl worth a look if software tries to hold last weeks low https://t.co/bmeM49XP1F
By Scott Redler
Social•Feb 17, 2026
US‑Iran Oil Talks Conclude Second Round, Third Round Pending
OIL MARKET: The 2nd round of US-Iran talks has concluded, and Iranian media says there would be a 3rd round of negotiations in the “near future” after both sides consult with their respective governments.
By Javier Blas
Social•Feb 17, 2026
In‑person CRE Networking Turns Conversations Into Funded Deals
Back in Fort Lauderdale having the kind of conversations you can’t get on Zoom. The kind where someone says, “We’re looking in DC,” and suddenly your flight paid for itself. Retail expanding. Capital still active. Operators making moves. Commercial real estate is...
By Hendo Realty
Social•Feb 17, 2026
Market Awaiting Decisive Breakout: Support or Resistance?
📺 THIS MARKET NEEDS RESOLUTION The market is stuck in a range. Breakouts fail, breakdowns bounce, and both longs and shorts get frustrated. We need a decisive move that breaks the range and sticks. That could mean: 🔻 A clean break below support $QQQ...
By Scott Redler
Social•Feb 17, 2026
Rate Moves Aren’t Driven by Current Data, ADP Shows
Big mistake is assuming move in rates is about current economic data. Reaction to ADP a good example
By Ed Bradford
Social•Feb 17, 2026
Iran and Russia Clash over China Oil Supply Rivalry
The oil ministers of Iran and Russia met today. Contrary to popular belief, Moscow and Tehran are now bitter rivals in the oil market as the size of the black market for crude shrinks. Both compete to supply China. (My earlier @Opinion...
By Javier Blas
Social•Feb 17, 2026
North Korean Won Plummets, Ranks Third Worst Globally
On this week's Hanke's #CurrencyWatchlist, the North Korean won ranks as the WORLD'S 3RD WORST currency. The won has depreciated by 41% against the USD over the past year. PLIGHT OF THE WON = ONE OF THE WORLD’S MOST UNREPORTED STORIES. https://t.co/7leiebPd5D
By Steve Hanke
Social•Feb 17, 2026
VIX Lags Behind Single‑Stock PC Ratio Indicator
In the spirit of committing chart crimes, here is the single stock PC ratio vs the VIX (green). VIX, a proxy for SPX IV, is clearly lagging. Likely unrelated is that VIX exp is tomorrow... https://t.co/ygiUeMv38z
By Brent Kochuba
Social•Feb 17, 2026
SPX Below 50‑Day MA, Support at 6780‑6790
$SPX is now below the 8/21/50day. The longer we sit under 6880ish the higher the odds we see lower prices. A reclaim back above there keeps this range action intact, while 6780–6790 remains the key major support zone. https://t.co/Zmq5a33GXE
By Scott Redler
Social•Feb 17, 2026
ECB Favors High-Debt Nations, Sidelining Low-Debt Germany
Low-debt countries like Germany are hopelessly outnumbered at the ECB. That's why ECB policy is inexorably drifting to help high-debt countries at the expense of low debt ones. So no surprise BuBa President Nagel supports Eurobonds. Going with the flow......
By Robin Brooks
Social•Feb 17, 2026
New DSR Highlights Debt‑Equity Promise for Hyperscalers
New DSR released to clients. Part 3 in the Hamburger Series - Hyperscalers. As a reminder the idea is that to get a hamburger today one needs to promise to repay (issue debt and equity) on tuesday. ...
By Andy Constan
Social•Feb 17, 2026
UK Unemployment Surge Drives Sterling Lower Amid Pay Stagnation
UK Unemployment Rises and Private Pay Increases Slow to Five-Year Lows, Pulling Sterling Lower: The US dollar is mixed against the G10 currencies. A healthy reception to Japan’s five-year bond auction helped extend the rally in JGBs, and despite the…...
By Marc Chandler