
Moving Average Crossover Strategy Shows 6.9% Annual Return in Backtest
The moving average crossover approach generates mechanical buy or sell signals when a fast and a slow average intersect. Common pairings include 9/21 EMA for short‑term trades, 20/50 SMA for swing trades, and the classic 50/200 SMA Golden Cross for long‑term trends. Backtests of the Golden Cross from 1960 to present delivered a 6.9% annual return.
U.S. equities jumped 0.7% on Friday, led by a 3.8% surge in the Nasdaq, as President Donald Trump signaled a possible de‑escalation of the Iran‑Israel conflict. Futures, Treasury yields and oil prices all moved lower, fueling a broad market bounce that could set the tone for the week ahead.
📺 IF THESE STOCKS FAIL, NEW LOWS ARE NEXT In a weak market, focus shifts to relative strength. Names like $FSLY, $LITE, $SNDK, and $WDC led the last move, but now the real test is the pullback. If these stocks hold...

Fundstrat's technical strategist Mark Newton says the U.S. equity market has entered a bottoming process after a two‑day rally that gave the S&P 500 its strongest day since May. The S&P fell 5.1% in March, its steepest monthly drop since 2022,...
I think this is a useful teaching moment, so I’ll try to expand on it a bit. Over the last few weeks, I’ve heard a lot of statements like “most participants are short,” “everyone is hedged,” and “the pain trade is...

In this episode, Chris Bullock breaks down the latest AI industry shake‑ups, highlighting OpenAI’s historic $122 billion fundraise that values the company at $852 billion and its upcoming inclusion in ARK Invest ETFs, and dissecting Anthropic’s second consecutive leak of the Claude...

Support and resistance without guesswork. Use consistent repeatable levels. If I erased every support and resistance level from your chart… could you redraw them the same? I’ve asked this question to hundreds of traders. 90% say no. Not because they’re bad traders. But because the way...
There’s a code behind today’s market, and you’re ready to see it. The TRACE Reloaded event on April 9th uncovers the hidden pressure driving support, resistance, and volatility in the S&P 500, with more precision than ever before: https://t.co/hA4hvasgi0

President Trump’s address failed to lift market optimism, leaving risk appetite severely compressed ahead of a long holiday weekend. The US dollar surged, pushing the yen toward the 160‑per‑dollar mark while the euro stalled near $1.15 and sterling slipped below...

So we got the first half-hour bounce, the $SPY BOUNCED near the 5-day ma. Now what? https://t.co/Ya4nZJd5CG

IT’S SO OVER -Retail traders have been piling into $SQQQ (3x short Nasdaq 100) and $SGOV (cash) over the past two days -Call volumes traded peaked in October -Pretty much every speculative asset of note peaked in October https://t.co/ruhoAuTrha https://t.co/OAqKObkeTF
Dave & Buster's (NASDAQ: PLAY) posted fiscal Q4 2026 revenue and earnings below consensus, yet its shares surged as short sellers scrambled to cover. Short interest hovers around 30% with more than eight days‑to‑cover, creating a potent catalyst for price rebounds....
Market gave a two day bounce to work off oversold. Now we sit and wait for the next setup or go play and take a four day weekend.
Here's a simple signal that will work great. Buy NDX when SpaceX cancels its IPO. https://t.co/RUszD8xRxZ
U.S. President Donald Trump’s televised warning of a “hard” strike on Iran sent shockwaves through commodity markets, prompting sharp drops in precious metals on India’s MCX exchange. Silver futures for May 2026 fell 5.5% to Rs 2.29 lakh per kilogram (≈ $2,770 per ounce),...
We walk into a gap down day. Gap downs offer an opportunity if short to take some profits out of the market and adjust stops.

$TSLA trying to bounce off $365 after numbers Expecting the 370-71 area to be telling fi it retests. https://t.co/WPU5fwQ0Hg
Analysts say the Middle East conflict and rising oil prices will dominate equity sentiment for the week of March 30‑April 3. A thin data calendar and mixed U.S. economic releases add uncertainty, prompting traders to focus on technical support levels and short‑term...

$SPY - It doesn't need to be overly complicated but a 20 day MA crossing below the 200 day ma is just a very simple downtrend confirmation. FYI - Downtrends are not bullish developments. https://t.co/NuNLLKNEHD

left: value stocks $IVE weekly right: growth stocks $VUG weekly both pulled back to prior breakout spots... https://t.co/QKoBNTlNJo
Shell's unsponsored ADR saw short interest climb 17.7% in March to 10.3 million shares, indicating growing bearish sentiment. The move comes amid divergent analyst ratings and varied institutional positioning, underscoring uncertainty in the stock’s near‑term direction.
We're LIVE with plenty of SELL Signals from shitty Utz Chips $UTZ to Helen of Destroy $HELE

Mean reversion (MR) update for subs. There are new signals. Since inception: -#ES_F bonus MR +44.7% (May 21, 2025) -Bonus MR+Momentum: +1.8% (October 9, 2025 -Main MR strategy: +38% (June 27, 2023) Links in profile (Daily mean reversion signals) 🔽 $GLD $TLT $QQQ $SPY https://t.co/Go0RBpLqrK
S&P 500 futures rose 1.1% and Nasdaq futures 1% on Tuesday after a Wall Street Journal report that President Trump may seek to end the Iran war, even without reopening the Strait of Hormuz. The rally coincided with a near‑50%...

Here are your Fibonacci retracements from this year's high and low in the S&P500 https://t.co/TTq56SFUSP

The equity vol is still asleep relative to the oil move. The 0DTE SPX straddle is just $55 (85 bps). Futures are down 1.5% overnight. Something ain't right. https://t.co/kmBuM66ebE
The Closer highlighted today’s short‑term trend test covering the Nasdaq, mega‑cap technology stocks, the VIX and the U.S. dollar. The ISM Manufacturing index posted a new cycle high as its component indices surged. A record share of newly originated home...
In today's Early Look: "Long Energy & Pump Puts" While the Tourist crowd was busy chasing $SPY and $QQQ to lower-highs yesterday, the fractal was telling a different story. That's why I opted to buy Oil/Energy and introduce what I'm calling...

sharing our weekly #INsyncFocus checklist as we seek to keep that #marketpulse through the ups and the downs... (note: these mostly refer to short term trend 8/20EMA conditions) https://t.co/TbVg6mrWfh

Last week saw five consecutive red days in the S&P 500 e‑mini (ES), ending with a sharp 280‑point rally that pushed the index to a 6,647 high. The move was triggered by a classic "Failed Breakdown" pattern after ES briefly...
My thoughts on today’s drop in stocks, gold, rally in oil and US dollar What comes next https://t.co/vJEqtVN6Ej
during a market correction, being aware of the stocks that are faring the best (didn't/don't fall as much) and/or are perking up first is an important exercise... i.e., which are > 50-day, and so forth... also suggest zooming out a...

GERMANY: borderline layup on the Short Side on green yesterday, opens down almost -2% https://t.co/3F9bLy8EUC

Gold's Volatility didn't leave the F-Bucket either - there was plenty of time to get out and/or reduce your position https://t.co/0tctCT4A1x

Buying Russell $IWM Pump Puts was an obvious play with Russell Volatility (RVX) in the F-Bucket https://t.co/IQnqgOdKmH

First support, very short term, gap fill $SPY near 650 (which will also be S2) Even if you don't trade it, watch it as a tell https://t.co/fjOjrzHvfR

2 ways of looking at "cave fill" area. (decision points). 1) initial support, 2) partial test into, or 3) full cave fill.... stay tuned...same bat channel.... https://t.co/bafwPNKVz2

#USD giving a stretch after President Trump's speech. First test here at the slope confluence just shy of 100. . Key resistance still 100.15/35 Near-term bullish inval still 99.49/53 $DXY 240min Chart
Market stays fearful and uncertain after Trump's comments. $SPY at key resistance. HTF charts still showing weakness. Tomorrow could be volatile with markets not being open on Friday.
Kalshi: you can put bet on and take it off at any time. Close it out after a spike. (there is a very minor delay at times)...

Based on closing SPX positions, it looks like 6,650 is best case upside for tomorrow. Downside open to 6,400. GL https://t.co/o3MdAytDAn

The US Dollar Index $USD $DXY failed at 100.50.. but finished off the lows today.. part of my Q2 intermarket outlook on @stockcharts https://t.co/qdLp18p3Jz https://t.co/XJ3rTFsHGI

maybe neither of them will be what they look like... to me they look like the typically annual RSI(5) weekly oversold points... remember, you don't have to be willing to buy low, but admittedly, selling during these conditions in broad...

Solid short-covering rally and a nice reclaim of the Oct and Nov 2025 lows. But don’t get too comfortable. The real test for follow-through sits at the 200-day, in confluence with near-term call resistance. $SPY $SPX https://t.co/hRq8nuoOr2

.@Nike is running low today even after jumping over the analyst estimates on top line and bottom line. #PunsIntended https://t.co/Kd0tq71cgi

Well, the S&P 500 came within 1% of the 38.2% Fibo.. More from me on @stockcharts... https://t.co/qdLp18p3Jz https://t.co/ZHuf3ajHqq

Market bottoms tend to occur when everyone starts telling you that nothing good happens below the 200dma $STUDY $SPX https://t.co/Nx5cZTCFrv

$LLY great move from support to resistance. Many charts like this -- if this was dead cat bounce, it's almost over. If it's real bottom on fundamental shift on ending war, then real work begins by grinding thru...
current S&P sectors of the 11 9 are green lead by $XLI $XLK and $XLB

Feels like an important final half hour here.. given yesterday's rally and this afternoon's retreat $SPY @stockcharts https://t.co/87IFBBks6S
Trump speaks at 9PM. SPX +3%, VIX near lows, oil <100… What’s already priced in?