Know What's Happening in Stock Trading
Know What's Happening in Stock Trading
Moving Average Crossover Strategy Shows 6.9% Annual Return in Backtest
The moving average crossover approach generates mechanical buy or sell signals when a fast and a slow average intersect. Common pairings include 9/21 EMA for short‑term trades, 20/50 SMA for swing trades, and the classic 50/200 SMA Golden Cross for long‑term trends. Backtests of the Golden Cross from 1960 to present delivered a 6.9% annual return.
The article explains gamma exposure (GEX) and dealer hedging, showing how positive GEX stabilizes markets while negative GEX amplifies moves. It highlights the surge in zero‑day‑to‑expiration (0DTE) options, which reshapes intraday GEX calculations, and introduces SpotGamma TRACE for real‑time monitoring. A detailed case study of JP Morgan Hedged Equity Fund’s quarterly collar trade illustrates how billions of dollars of negative gamma concentrate at a single SPX strike and how the quarterly roll removes that dealer support, influencing post‑expiration price action.
"Buy and hold has seen a drop of roughly 5% for the S&P over the last six months. Had you only owned the market after hours by buying at the close every day and selling at the next open,...
U.S. stock futures jumped on Wednesday after President Trump hinted at a rapid U.S. military exit from Iran, lifting market sentiment following a volatile March. Nike reported fiscal Q3 earnings that beat top‑ and bottom‑line expectations, yet its shares slumped...
The S&P 500 has slipped exactly 10% from its all‑time high, intersecting its 55‑day moving average. This threshold historically triggers algorithmic buying programs and heightened market attention. Analysts note that such a pullback often precedes a modestly positive April before resuming...
Clean Vision 👁️💎 Not every move is random. The market leaves clues — most traders just don’t see them. This setup highlights: • Liquidity grab • Structure shift • Precision entry via FVG • High-probability continuation Stop reacting. Start understanding. 📈 Trade with clarity....
$DXY monthly - Closed above the 10 month MA. The 3 year cycle low in January is confirmed. The rising phase of the previous 3 year cycles lasted at least 18 months, so the Dollar is likely to move higher...
Oil prices slipped after President Trump reiterated his willingness to end the Iran conflict without tying it to the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Iranian officials responded with cautious optimism, saying they are ready to end hostilities but demand...
Stock market breadth analysis reveals that 42% of S&P 500 constituents are down 20% or more, widening the correction even as the index stalls near a 7% decline. Technical signals such as a sub‑30 RSI and a rising 200‑day moving...
London's FTSE 100 climbed 1.58% to 10,336.93 on April 1, buoyed by easing geopolitical risk around the Strait of Hormuz and upbeat earnings from energy, banking and consumer staples. The rally follows a 1.6% gain the previous day and signals...
Gold staged a strong rally on April 1, breaking above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level and signaling a shift from oversold weakness. The metal surged to approximately $4,710, edging close to the $4,760 resistance zone. While the 4‑hour stochastic indicator...
The article argues that modern equity markets prioritize speed over intelligence, turning them into a crowd‑driven panic room. It cites three flash‑crash examples: a hacked AP tweet that wiped $136 billion from the S&P 500 in two minutes, Elon Musk’s 2020 tweet...
A systematic backtest of 75 candlestick patterns on the SPY ETF from February 1993 to the present identified the most profitable signals. The Bearish Engulfing pattern ranked first, while a combined strategy using the five best patterns delivered a net profit...
Uniti Group Inc. (NASDAQ:UNIT) surged 15.8% to close at $9.38 after reports that T‑Mobile and private‑equity firm TPG are evaluating its fiber assets. T‑Mobile is reportedly focused on the kinetic fiber‑to‑the‑home segment, while TPG is eyeing the enterprise side. The...
Price Action Lab released its April 1, 2026 Market Signals report, detailing the latest monthly‑rebalanced strategies for dynamic momentum and hybrid asset allocation. The premium subscription provides subscribers with full access to the report, over 200 educational articles, and the underlying Amibroker...
📊 GOLD – D1 Market Outlook 🪙 🔎 On the Daily timeframe, a Demand Zone (Rally–Base–Rally) has formed 📈 and above we have a Supply Zone (Drop–Base–Drop) acting as resistance. 📉 ⚡ The market may take a pullback toward the demand zone before...
KOSPI rebound lifts Samsung +10% & SK Hynix +9.5% after March selloff. Key: AI-driven memory demand swings; risk: OpenAI cuts pricing. Trade insight: Buy selective dip for mean reversion. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Agios Pharmaceuticals announced it will seek accelerated U.S. approval for its oral drug mitapivat to treat sickle‑cell disease, prompting a 21.7% rise in its shares. The company has already filed a confirmatory trial proposal with the FDA and is preparing...
After more than doubling from last Oct into Jan & then moving up more than 2x again from Jan into Feb, Lumentum Hldgs $LITE continues to trade like a real Rock star even during this recent market turmoil @IBDinvestors @marketsurge Its...
Markets looking to start 2Q 2026 on positive note: •US stocks ended 1Q last day sharply higher. Led by Mag 7 stocks up as much as 7%. •10 UST yield softened to 4.29% •S Korea and Japan up 3-4% early morning •Gold higher...
Paul Webborn’s March 31 2026 post delivers a paid‑subscriber‑only technical deep‑dive on Uniswap’s UNI token, outlining massive price targets backed by a multi‑timeframe breakdown. The analysis highlights a corrective pattern that began in May 2021 and a robust ABC structure suggesting a clear...
Everyone thinks VWAP is the edge… it’s not ❌ The real edge? Understanding the VALUE AREA around it 🎯 👉 Inside value → fade the edges 👉 Outside value → follow the move That’s the difference between guessing… and reading the market 📊 Comment “VALUE” and...
thought i'd update you on my "Is It A Bottom?" checklist as we had a lot of ingredients come together... https://t.co/Mfvm0cfFFI
(PREMIUM) The Lyons Share Daily Pre-Market Outlook & Charts videos for 4/1/2025 are up: https://t.co/lSmWM5IZh8 Today's Themes: 1) SHORT Leash 2) Lose The LAGGARDS 3) DOLLAR Driver Among markets covered: $SPX $NDX $VIX $SMH $XLB $XLE $GDX $EEM $EFA $GLD $SLV $ETH...
my S&P 500 $SPX vs. volatility $VIX model fired another buy signal for equities yesterday as it settled... https://t.co/3FNpIhBqkB
$SPX clearing 6427 to see 6553 and futures +45 for follow-through. Now it’s trim and trail, with 6595–6620 as the next resistance that can pause the tape. The bigger “grudge match” spot is closer to 6705ish, but we’ll see how...
I've always wondered what a bullish chart would look like. Well, I think this is it for $BTC. https://t.co/ApFBXIEX3j
The 10-month trend just broke... @JC_ParetsX S&P 500, Dow, and Nasdaq 100 all closed below their 10-month moving average... Below this moving average the game changes. 👉 https://t.co/TpNVplzM2d https://t.co/gpvGkc0c2p
OIL: just wait until you see where the TRR (top-end of the Risk Range™ Signal) just went https://t.co/2qvUoG2qpD
Weekly Market Signals update for subs. There are new signals. Link in reply below. 👇 https://t.co/md5RCa2ZIS
Waiting for trend confirmation misses sharp “V” bottoms - using a system that compliments trend confirmation is in the interest of most. *if it doesn’t work you get stopped out - the world doesn’t end….
These charts show every large up day and down day in the S&P 500 since 1950. The market doesn’t move the same way every year. And by the looks of it, the volatility we saw in 2025 appears to have carried straight...
$SPY +0.4% $IWM +0.5% $EWJ +2.5% $EEM +0.5% $TLT +0.2% $USO -2.5% $IBIT +1.1% $GLD +0.7% https://t.co/vAMCPhUunR
#Bitcoin doesn't break resistances yet, unfortunately. If this breaks $71K, then I think we are looking for higher grounds. Until then, patience is not really an area to trade much. https://t.co/i1e3y0CA2c
With so many big reports this week, here’s some tips on how to trade them
The S&P 500 just pulled back 9% and the Nasdaq fell 13% during a Middle East war. Corporate earnings expectations kept rising the entire time. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/gBCdVSxqZS
Big jump in stocks in the S&P 500 above their 20-day MA. But this is another one that didn't break to new lows recently even though price did. https://t.co/vHH6Uj8IiQ
The number of stocks in the S&P 500 above their 50-day MA moved up again, not a surprise. The potential clue was it did this yesterday, even though price moved to a new low. https://t.co/Ni6t7fVi0G
Breadth didn't break to new lows with price. Here's the S&P 500 A/D line sporting a positive divergence with price. https://t.co/CtFPUMxDpj
Might not feel like it now, but the first two months of this year were literally one of the least volatile in history. In terms of the range, it was indeed the smallest range EVER. To see a bigger move in...
I should point out that there is nothing in either the NYSE or the NASDAQ documents that **requires** a strong, durable rally to generate either a 90% upside day or back-to-back 80% upside days when it begins.
You’re entering reversals before the trend actually shows exhaustion. In strong trends, price continues making higher highs or lower lows with clear momentum and market structure. A real trend reversal usually starts when momentum slows, price fails to continue the trend, and...
$NAVN super high conviction look here on the break over local supply, with that breakout being directly in line with the pivot over daily trend resistance. No break = no trade, but if this does breakout, we've got range to $16,...
#SPX: As mentioned this weekend and yesterday, oversold conditions were extreme. Moment of Truth: Price filled the gap and hit the 10DMA, the dominant March trendline. Today’s difference: the candle shows bullish conviction. Next major hurdle: the 200DMA. #SPY
The Dow gained 1,100 points today. The S&P jumped 2.9%. Best day since May. The catalyst: a WSJ report that Trump told aides he's willing to end the Iran war even if Hormuz stays partially closed. Every sector rallied except...
A week ago Sunday we were all bulked up waiting for our levels to cover shorts and bonds and go long two's, gold , zb and stocks. Some of our levels hit (we covered shorts and had highly levered...
March... Oil $USO: +55% Gasoline $UGA: +42% Commodities $DBC: +15% $VIX: +27% Energy $XLE: +10% Bitcoin $IBIT: +3% Bonds $AGG: -2% S&P $SPY: -5% Mag 7 $MAGS: -6% REITs $VNQ: -6% Retail $XRT: -7% International Developed $VEA: -9% EM $IEMG: -9% Gold $GLD: -11% Silver $SLV: -20%
$TSLA moved 5%+ in a single session 12 times in 2025. Most call that risk. @GraniteShares and @WillRhind call it income. $TLA: 19.73% yield from Tesla's volatility. Breakdown here: https://t.co/XiCKZKLCow
[FREE] 👉 Live trade 9am NY: https://t.co/66dSROf2rQ ─────── 📈 GC Current Price Above VWAP · Bias: Long ⬆️ Buy rips through 4724.20 ⬆️ Buy dips at 4691.50 ─────── 🌏 Asia ORB Readings High: 4724.20 | Low: 4691.50 | Range: 32.70 pts
The first tweet was confusing. I favor 6180 for settlement but 6865 could happen fast https://t.co/P9FqExf0Xf
Strong bounce today but $NDX $QQQ now close to overhead resistance. Next few days will confirm if this is the start of a durable rally or a "dead cat" bounce. https://t.co/4ieYl9Fzob
