
Moving Average Crossover Strategy Shows 6.9% Annual Return in Backtest
The moving average crossover approach generates mechanical buy or sell signals when a fast and a slow average intersect. Common pairings include 9/21 EMA for short‑term trades, 20/50 SMA for swing trades, and the classic 50/200 SMA Golden Cross for long‑term trends. Backtests of the Golden Cross from 1960 to present delivered a 6.9% annual return.

Samsara Inc (NYSE:IOT) is down about 10% in 2026 after a 19.5% post‑earnings rally in March. The 10‑day buy‑to‑open put/call ratio spiked to 7.62, crossing the 1.0 threshold and landing in the 90th percentile, a signal seen only six times in the past three years. Historical data shows an average 8.5% price gain 21 days after similar signals, with a 67% success rate. Short interest remains sizable at 8.3% of float, while the Schaeffer’s Volatility Scorecard rates the stock’s volatility at 80 out of 100, suggesting options may be under‑priced.
The spread is waking up again Renewed widening in the contango between #SHFE Silver Futures and #SGE

$GOOGL 65 min. Why 65min? 6 equal periods in a trading day. If you use the H1 or the 60 min there are 7 candles one is a 30 min and the rest are 60 min in each...
In a single trading session, investors who bought a USO 120‑130 call spread posted an 8.2% return, driven by bullish technical signals and a favorable options skew. The trade underscores a high‑impact, short‑term tactical play on the United States Oil...

$CAT gap-up and go? Previously one of the strongest name on the market before the recent correction. Stock reclaimed key levels this week. Watch for a breakout towards 1,000!

I Wasted years before learning this... 📊 First one is " Liquidity📊 Second are "Fair value Gaps📊 Third one is Timing 📊 When Combined 📊 Decoding FVG📊

Tesla’s price chart is being interpreted through a classic Elliott Wave lens, indicating the stock has finished its corrective Wave 4 and is now entering a Wave 5 extension. This extension represents the final leg of a larger impulsive sequence, suggesting the...

Public, a New York‑based brokerage founded in 2019, announced AI‑driven agents that automate trading strategies for self‑directed investors. The agents can monitor markets and execute recurring trades, from generating $5,000 a month in covered‑call income to same‑day options tied to...

Technicians know to look not only for oversold extremes but also divergences, such as credit spreads making a lower high while equity indices make lower lows. So far, we are not seeing those. One glimmer of hope, at least over the...
12 Stocks With Strong Follow-Through Up Another 2%+ Today. Save This List. These names didn’t just bounce — they’re showing real conviction with two straight days of solid gains. This is exactly the kind of momentum I watch for when the market starts pricing...
Boeing’s shares surged on Wednesday after the Pentagon announced a seven‑year partnership to expand production of seekers for the PAC‑3 missile‑defense system. The contract aims to triple the output of these critical components, mirroring a similar deal with Lockheed Martin to...

$SPY would have to decline to 651.54 and $QQQ to 578.64 to fill this morning’s potential breakaway gaps, and $QQQ has now filled last Thursday’s gap. (No fooling…) How quickly the gaps get filled -- if at all – gives...

How far do we go down? No one knows of course, but the weekly chart shows that we are approaching the previous peak of 6127. That should act as support, as well as the rising trendline. However, the percentage of...
Nvidia Corp. stock jumped $5.63, or 3.41%, to around $170.80 after investors saw signs of de‑escalation in the U.S.–Iran conflict and continued record AI chip sales. The rally underscores the mega‑cap’s dominant position in data‑center AI hardware and its outsized...

Let’s try to catch the reversal move on GBPUSD. 🎯 🔻 Buy Limit: 1.32787 🛑 Stop Loss: 1.32184 🎯 Take Profit: 1.33952

The Mag 7 are now leading the way down, which means that the cap-weighted S&P 500 is following suit. The M7 peaked last October and is down 17% from that high. That’s almost twice as much as the S&P 500....
The Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq Composite fell into correction territory after recent gains, leading market strategists to recommend the Invesco QQQ Trust and the Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF as defensive plays. Analysts cite the correction, oil‑price volatility...

$Gold - The March candle was a bearish engulfing candle similar to September 2011. At the monthly low it hit the 10 month MA as it did in September 2011. The bull market may be over and gold could suffer...

$SPY kicking off the new month AND quarter with a breakout above its multi-week consolidation channel. Watch for sideways action before an attempt to break through 665.00.
The piece titled “A Biotech, an Industrial, an Aluminum Player and a Semiconductor” is not a news story but a login page for TrendInvestorPro, a subscription‑only trading‑strategy platform. It offers no substantive analysis, data, or announcements about the biotech, industrial,...
Directional (bullish) Mar. 2027 short straddles been an interesting new strategy to emerge in several key names the past week into the correction
A number of growth stocks not participating in today's Day 2 short-covering rally in the indices. Normally, breadth is very strong at the start of a durable advance. $NDX $QQQ now bumping against overhead resistance (November-low), next few days will...

Swing positions down slightly today. Supplemented with some intra-day trading and now just waiting to see if Trump nukes my portfolio or pumps it by end of week. For now, pretty low overall exposure to be cautious in these conditions. https://t.co/3KYfi1ummC

you don't have to catch an oversold bounce on Day 1 to do very well. i highlighted $MU in the pre-market meeting because it had only bounced $30 after a quick $160 decline. it was #1 long on desk today and more...

They dumped it right at a return to the scene of the crime...markets are so damn mechanical https://t.co/ScXAyQhxMF

$SPY If Trump wasn't hosting some big speech tonight this would probably be a good re-short entry on throwback to broken resistance Hard to have confidence in new exposure leading up to that though. I'll be patient. Sometimes it's okay to do...

$GOOGL daily chart updated. The 65 min with some education and what I see coming next. https://t.co/QSkUPVCFqw
I took 4 intra-day trades today. 3 wins. 1 loss. Nothing crazy. Small daily profit again. Market still "meh" I do lose sometimes though and I don't try to "hide" my losses. Had a good intra-day run recently. Volume + emotional traders has made...

Near dated $IWM puts are way too cheap given my view of the probability distribution of outcomes over the next week. At a minimum you can probably monetize them tomorrow into pre-weekend hedging if you don't want to own them...

Gold with a picture perfect pullback to the upward sloping 40-week (approximately 200-day MA). One thing about bull markets, you want to buy the 😱pullbacks. https://t.co/dxUq52rzEQ

$QQQ 590 chart @MarketSurge #IBDpartner will be real litmus test of bull appetite as supply hits https://t.co/3YeTTRQAQh

$KALU Daily. Clean, multi-year breakouts for aluminum plays $AA $CENX today. Kaiser is a "catch-up" long idea. Plenty of aluminum supply destroyed in Middle East. https://t.co/zyVemyS1cJ

"Going back five administrations, covering nearly 4,500 trading days, 23 of the top 50 wildest sessions measured by the difference between the intraday high and low in the S&P 500 were during one of Trump’s terms" https://t.co/xZq7AxKtMA https://t.co/xhJQJgXHVY https://t.co/Er8tqPFcLo

$AMZN Current market is frustrating because you see a nice potential breakout like this one on AMZN and then you buy it and it gaps down the next day. https://t.co/1c2hF27PWL
By the time the #DeathCross (55 < 200 DMA) has happened (in case you're waiting for it) mkt would have dropped another 5%. careful.

$GOLD I'm annoyed that this one ran so much overnight because resistance reclaim was a nice entry trigger. https://t.co/Omrr7KXj5W
If you didn't like how your portfolio felt last week on the latest leg down, this relief rally is a good spot to right-size things.

Gold: A textbook 5 SMA retest down after extended run before then setting up higher low/u turn reversal. The quant model didn't pick it up due to the closing mark of the first reaction bar up. ARGUING for the...
Today's Opening Bell USD, Oil Slide as Gold & Equities Pop- Trump on Deck (Asset Chaptered) https://t.co/jntCW5JrUN

2nd tarde of the day here with $USO and #OIL short here. so far so good. 🫡💥 https://t.co/qXhkRgCEbx

Update: The minimum downside objective was met with a CLOSE of the slow line beneath the zero line on the weekly charts. (suggested 2 1/2 months ago) https://t.co/dkTsV9E8Vi

$HYG Daily. Biggest early divergence to the rally in risk is high yield/junk and some private credit names in the red. Here, high yield corporate bonds gapping down. Trump speech tonight on tap https://t.co/9x0hkcFmtd

following a trend day up, probabilities favor reversion to the 15 minute pit session EMA before the end of the day. https://t.co/uXHTqKZRRv

$ITA - Oversold within the context of a longer term uptrend with "fakeout" breakdown and well defined risk. These type(s) of setups are my focus.... https://t.co/tJ1TzyF04C

Friday: Range expansion with close outside of the daily KC at end of wing down = selling climax. https://t.co/IxmgbfoieA
Oil (USO) interesting trade September 2027 as the $140/$135/$115/$110 Iron Condor trades 1000X expecting a 115-135 longer-term range to hold

just cause we took some energy stock gains in #AllINsync (trimmed in red circles) doesn't make me bearish... had just been expecting that energy stocks would reverse when the market bottomed... here's our Valero $VLO activity... https://t.co/BlDE6WNa6w
the Toronto stock market $TSX is the first of the big indices back to the 50-day average, continuing to offer it's relative strength advantage...

iPath Bloomberg Commodity $DJP quarterly chart... looks like a big cup with handle breakout to me, if you're asking... https://t.co/RvQ7TfV1do

S&P 500 $SPX quarterly chart... remind me again why you don't think stocks are in an uptrend? https://t.co/7HYe4z8jog