S&P 500 Stocks Above 50‑Day MA Rise Despite New Low
The number of stocks in the S&P 500 above their 50-day MA moved up again, not a surprise. The potential clue was it did this yesterday, even though price moved to a new low. https://t.co/Ni6t7fVi0G
S&P 500 A/D Divergence Signals Strength Despite Breadth Lows
Breadth didn't break to new lows with price. Here's the S&P 500 A/D line sporting a positive divergence with price. https://t.co/CtFPUMxDpj
Early 2024 Record Low Volatility Sets Up March Surge
Might not feel like it now, but the first two months of this year were literally one of the least volatile in history. In terms of the range, it was indeed the smallest range EVER. To see a bigger move in...
Lumentum Soars, Remains Top Telco‑Fiber Optics Performer
After more than doubling from last Oct into Jan & then moving up more than 2x again from Jan into Feb, Lumentum Hldgs $LITE continues to trade like a real Rock star even during this recent market turmoil @IBDinvestors @marketsurge Its...
Markets Kick Off Q2 Bullish on Yield Drop, Asia Gains
Markets looking to start 2Q 2026 on positive note: •US stocks ended 1Q last day sharply higher. Led by Mag 7 stocks up as much as 7%. •10 UST yield softened to 4.29% •S Korea and Japan up 3-4% early morning •Gold higher...
Value Area, Not VWAP, Is the Real Trading Edge
Everyone thinks VWAP is the edge… it’s not ❌ The real edge? Understanding the VALUE AREA around it 🎯 👉 Inside value → fade the edges 👉 Outside value → follow the move That’s the difference between guessing… and reading the market 📊 Comment “VALUE” and...
NYSE/NASDAQ Docs Don't Mandate Massive Rally for Upside Days
I should point out that there is nothing in either the NYSE or the NASDAQ documents that **requires** a strong, durable rally to generate either a 90% upside day or back-to-back 80% upside days when it begins.
True Reversals Need Exhaustion, Structure Shift, Not Pullbacks
You’re entering reversals before the trend actually shows exhaustion. In strong trends, price continues making higher highs or lower lows with clear momentum and market structure. A real trend reversal usually starts when momentum slows, price fails to continue the trend, and...
March: Energy Surges as Equities, Metals Tumble
March... Oil $USO: +55% Gasoline $UGA: +42% Commodities $DBC: +15% $VIX: +27% Energy $XLE: +10% Bitcoin $IBIT: +3% Bonds $AGG: -2% S&P $SPY: -5% Mag 7 $MAGS: -6% REITs $VNQ: -6% Retail $XRT: -7% International Developed $VEA: -9% EM $IEMG: -9% Gold $GLD: -11% Silver $SLV: -20%
Tesla's Volatility Translates to 19.73% Income Yield
$TSLA moved 5%+ in a single session 12 times in 2025. Most call that risk. @GraniteShares and @WillRhind call it income. $TLA: 19.73% yield from Tesla's volatility. Breakdown here: https://t.co/XiCKZKLCow
Breakout Confirmation Targets $16‑$18 Range
$NAVN super high conviction look here on the break over local supply, with that breakout being directly in line with the pivot over daily trend resistance. No break = no trade, but if this does breakout, we've got range to $16,...
Gold Futures Trade Long Above VWAP, Target 4724–4691
[FREE] 👉 Live trade 9am NY: https://t.co/66dSROf2rQ ─────── 📈 GC Current Price Above VWAP · Bias: Long ⬆️ Buy rips through 4724.20 ⬆️ Buy dips at 4691.50 ─────── 🌏 Asia ORB Readings High: 4724.20 | Low: 4691.50 | Range: 32.70 pts
Favor 6180 Settlement, yet 6865 May Arrive Quickly
The first tweet was confusing. I favor 6180 for settlement but 6865 could happen fast https://t.co/P9FqExf0Xf
SPX Rebounds From Oversold, Eyes 200DMA Resistance
#SPX: As mentioned this weekend and yesterday, oversold conditions were extreme. Moment of Truth: Price filled the gap and hit the 10DMA, the dominant March trendline. Today’s difference: the candle shows bullish conviction. Next major hurdle: the 200DMA. #SPY
NDX and QQQ Near Resistance: Rally or Dead‑Cat Bounce?
Strong bounce today but $NDX $QQQ now close to overhead resistance. Next few days will confirm if this is the start of a durable rally or a "dead cat" bounce. https://t.co/4ieYl9Fzob
Markets Surge on Trump Iran Peace Hint, Energy Lags
The Dow gained 1,100 points today. The S&P jumped 2.9%. Best day since May. The catalyst: a WSJ report that Trump told aides he's willing to end the Iran war even if Hormuz stays partially closed. Every sector rallied except...
Shorts Covered, Long Entries
A week ago Sunday we were all bulked up waiting for our levels to cover shorts and bonds and go long two's, gold , zb and stocks. Some of our levels hit (we covered shorts and had highly levered...
Positive Breadth Divergence Signals Long Opportunities on SPY
This morning we outlined the positive divergence in yesterday's breadth figures and mapped out actionable setups for today. One was following the VWAP on SPY from the opening print — long story short, it kept you on the right side. I...
GLW Poised for Upside After 50‑day MA Reversal
$GLW A good setup to watch next few days. Lovely reversal off the 50 day MA today to print an INSIDE DAY candle. Look for upside follow-thru tomorrow. $GLW is a direct beneficiary from A.I. integration ecosystem. Targets $160 https://t.co/xF1tgLnRf6
Equity Put/Call Ratio Near 2‑Year Highs Signals Short‑Cover
The 5-day Equity-Only Put/Call Ratio has been sitting near 2-year range highs The setup for a short-covering rally was there Tough tape if you can't stay reactive $SPY $QQQ https://t.co/5RbeIFVmNC
Nasdaq Rallies, but Bearish Indicators Warn of Pullback
#Nasdaq Comp big Up Candle. Support 21000, 20690. Resistance 22000, 22569, 22906. RSI 37 not low. 13/21 day EMAs Bearish. Top Bollinger Band 22500. Midpoint Line 21622. Bottom Band 20750.
AIM Oversold, Bullish MACD Cross Signals Possible Upswing
#AIM All Share small Up Candle and Sideways 8 days. Resistance 732, 750, 779. Support 700, 693. Could be lining up MACD Bull Cross. RSI 25 quite Oversold. Top Bollinger Band 746. Midpoint Line 721. Bottom Band 695.
SPX Bounces Above 10‑DMA, Still Needs 200‑DMA
$SPX - All previous bounces in March failed closing above the 10 DMA. Today's bounce succeeded so it may go higher but the key MA that has to be regained is the 200 DMA. Until that happens we're still in...
FTSE250 Climbs, RSI Still Oversold, Key Levels Ahead
#FTSE250 Up Candle. Resistance 21520, 21716, 22000. Support 21000, 20627. RSI 28 still Oversold. Top Bollinger Band 21938. Midpoint Line 21327. Bottom Band 20703.
Oil Futures Slip Into Backwardation as Hormuz Bottleneck Persists
With the Hormuz Strait all but closed, the crude oil futures curve is back to the backwardation levels of the first few days of the conflict. The front contract is about $23 higher than the 9th contract, indicating that the...
FTSE100 Poised for Bullish Turn Amid Doji
#FTSE100 doji Candle but up on yesterday. Resistance 10245, 10447, 10636. Support 10000, 9839, 9670. On verge MACD Bull Cross. RSI 47 near Neutral. 13/21 day EMAs Bearish. Top Bollinger Band 10296. Midpoint Line 10050. Bottom Band 9800.
SPX Q1 Rebounds Into Massive Trading Box, No Coincidence
$SPX - Concludes Q1 by snapping right back to the massive trading box. There are no coincidences. https://t.co/iY8uUWWVLA
DAX Teeters at Resistance, MACD Signals Bullish Turn
#DAX doji Candle. Resistance 23000, 23180, 24000. Support 22209, 21863. On verge MACD Bull Cross. RSI 37 not low. 13/21 day EMAs Bearish. Top Bollinger Band 23346. Midpoint Line 22700. Bottom Band 22065.
Few Can Handle >30 Volatility Both Ways
Actually, the takeaway should be that very few humans can risk manage something both ways (up and down days) when that something's Vol ramps > 30. At least this human didn't
QQQ's 3.4% Surge Unlikely to End Downtrend
$QQQ - Up 3.4% today, the biggest up day since last May. Does it mean the downtrend is over? Not so fast. In order for it to be more than a one day bounce it has to get back above...
Brent Oil Awaits Breakout Above $112.1 Amid Overbought Signals
#BrentOil Comp Doji Candle and Sideways. Needs Breakout $112.1. Support $100, $91.8, $84. RSI 71.5 Overbought but can go higher. Top Bollinger Band $111.6. Midpoint Line $102.5. Bottom Band $93.6.
Semis Begin Reverting After Today's Move
Yes, even after today ;-) Semis Are Just Starting To Mean Revert $SMH $MU #LiveTradingRoom https://t.co/AhrFbzFcVB
SPX and COMPQ Recover, Holding Above 10‑EMA
$SPX and $COMPQ both filled their recent gap downs and today's sticks back over 10ema daily
Watch QQQ/SPY Lows, XLE Highs, Stay Nimble
Watching $QQQ & $SPY recent lows and $XLE recent high for levels to trade against or to use as clues to manage risk. Bounces mean I stay nimble and quick to inch up stops and/or ladder some. Gaps...
MCD Pulls Back to 200‑MA, Shows Reversal Signals
$MCD another that pulled back to 200ma and been basing along it. Hitting head on 10ema and showing signs of reversal. https://t.co/fQ6dI3zxd1
XLI Offers Cleaner Bottom-Pick Than XLK
I see a cleaner "bottom picking" poker hand in $XLI than $XLK at the moment. https://t.co/oSKinqKxVM
Stay Ready: Prepare Charts and Alerts for Future Setups
So many charts showing potential setups in the days ahead. Many what they need is a few day of bounce and then to put in another low. May take days, weeks or never happen. All about seeing...
Microsoft Likely to Rebound Before Month‑end Reporting
Only so many days in a row $MSFT can go straight down before they try to mark it up before reporting to clients at month end
One Week Below 50‑week MA Signals Seller Exhaustion
I shared in Sunday's Thrasher Analytics note that if the S&P 500 was able to spend just one week under its 50-week MA then history has shown it's been indicator sellers were exhausted and price kept climbing. Week isn't over...
Stocks Rebound After Sharp Prior Decline
The catalyst for stocks going up for a day like this is that they went straight down https://t.co/wozXs7Sf2r
SPY Rebounds From Oversold, Signaling Bullish Momentum
$SPY - The reversion from oversold is happening. FYI - That's the bullish part...oversold isn't. https://t.co/CavnAyx1jq
Apple Tests 200‑Day Support Amid Mag7 Weakness
$AAPL is the latest Mag7 stock to negotiate with its 200-day moving average. Most of the Mag7 have failed to hold this crucial level of price support. Will $AAPL follow suit this week?... https://t.co/EUg1Bro2TV
Big‑Bank Collars Neutralize Retail Bets on S&P
Don't even ask the question. The answer is yes, it's within the collar. Think the S&P is going to rip to new all-time highs? Sorry, there's a short call at 7155 capping your upside. The hedge fund already sold it....
XLE Hits Temporary Top, 10‑EMA Support Holds
$XLE temp top yesterday with follow thru today. 10ema been the path with a few dips below only to recapture 10ema. Observation only. I do own some of the holdings in my investment/spec/gamble account no XLE in any account...
MSFT Shows Bounce Reversal; 10‑EMA Signals Uptrend
$MSFT Signs of bounce reversal. 10ema up first for level I am watching. Trading nimble and quick to inch up stops. https://t.co/DwY4MAsR0Q
Gold Holds $400; Friday Close Bullish Signal
Interesting that $GLD was the truest tell this week for today's rally. Held 400, and did not make new low yesterday. At 20sma weekly, close over this on Friday would be bullish. https://t.co/P2OGkv6lpO
Act Fast: Signals Beat Headlines in Market Crashes
The 2020 spread blowout happened in weeks. From calm to crisis. If you waited for confirmation, you were already underwater. $JOJO's signal doesn't wait for headlines. https://t.co/ZVynKzZzh8
Impending Short Squeeze Near NDX 22,000 Signals Micro Switch
The real relief rally will come soon folks. It will be a sudden short squeeze where all active short sellers will lose their pants. Smart traders will switch soon. The NDX 22,000 is nearby. Not today. Not next week. Just DCA and average...
March Sets Record $158B USO Trade in 20 Years
$USO has traded $158b worth of share in March. Here's what that looks like compared to every other months in its 20yr history. https://t.co/R1flDcvjqy
Breakout Trading Secrets: It’s Not What You Expect
Revealing the SECRET to trading breakouts THE RIGHT WAY .. it’s not what you think. #howtotrade #daytrading #momentum #tradingeducation #stocks
