Today's Bonds Pulse
Bond Yields Surge to 19-Year High, Sparking Stock Market Concerns
The 30‑year Treasury yield climbed to a 19‑year peak while the 10‑year rose from 4.03% to 4.69% before easing to about 4.5%. Goldman Sachs research notes that half‑percentage‑point spikes in yields typically turn short‑term S&P 500 returns negative, heightening correction risk. Inflation is running at 3.8% year‑over‑year, fueling the sell‑off.
Fed Holds Rates Steady in Powell’s Likely Final Meeting, Markets React
The Federal Open Market Committee voted 8-4 to keep the federal‑funds rate unchanged at 3.5%‑3.75% in what is expected to be Jerome Powell’s final meeting as chair. The decision, driven by heightened oil‑price volatility from the Iran war, sparked a sharp sell‑off in equities and heightened caution among stock traders.
UK Gilt Yields Drop Sharply on Oil, Yet Remain High
UK Gilts and Oil Pricea The "good news" for the UK today is that it's government bond market’s hypersensitivity (high beta) to oil prices is finally providing relief on the way down: As shown in the Bloomberg table below, the yield on...
Nordea Awarded €1 Billion ESG-Focused Covered Bond Mandate by ABN AMRO
Nordea Asset Management has won a nearly €1 billion (≈$1.09 billion) ESG‑focused European covered bond mandate from ABN AMRO Investment Solutions. The strategy, named ABN AMRO Nordea European Covered Bonds, will be run by Nordea’s Fixed Income Rates Team and classified as an Article 8 product...
Jamaica Returns for New $150m World Bank Cat Bond to Replace Coverage Triggered by Melissa
Jamaica is issuing a $150 million parametric catastrophe bond through the World Bank’s IBRD, slated for a 2026‑2030 term. The new CAR Jamaica 2026 bond replaces the coverage that paid out after Hurricane Melissa triggered the 2024 issuance. It uses a...
Ouch. The U.S. 30-Year Treasury Yield Just Hit 5% and Bitcoin May Pay the Price
U.S. 30‑year Treasury yields surged to 5%—the highest level since July 2025—after hawkish dissent within the Federal Reserve and a rally in oil prices. The spike makes long‑term bonds a near‑risk‑free alternative, prompting investors to shift capital away from risk assets...
Rising Yields Safe Until Recession Hits Deficits
See lots of reference to higher gilt yields and the threat to public finances. As long as nominal GDP is purring at +5% it doesn't matter. But if you have a recession, and a nominal slowdown, with automatic stabilisers blowing...
Nio's Battery Operator Mirattery Expands Financing with 1 Billion Yuan Green ABN
Nio's battery‑asset manager Mirattery issued a second green ABN tranche of 1 billion yuan (≈US$146 million) in April 2026, bringing its cumulative interbank issuance to 4 billion yuan (≈US$585 million). The notes are split into four senior classes with coupons ranging from 2.00% to 5.50%, all...
BOJ Faces 3% Core
BOJ risk scenario: core CPI ~3% in 2026–27 as oil $105, yen -10%, stocks -20%. Macro: sustained above-target inflation. Risk: rising inflation expectations. Trade: short-duration JGBs (JPY-hedged). — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Meta's Debt Triples, $25B Bond Sale Boosts Load
Meta Debt Load - Zuck Levering Up 2026: $87B* 2022: $27B *Add $25B, **META LOOKS TO RAISE $25B IN BOND SALE - Bloomberg.
HK's Airport Authority Prices Record HK$19bn Multi-Tranche Bond Amid Strong Demand
Airport Authority Hong Kong priced a HK$19 billion (US$2.42 billion) multi‑tranche senior notes offering, one of the largest local‑currency bond deals in recent years. The issue was oversubscribed 2.9 times, reflecting strong demand for high‑grade HK‑dollar debt. Proceeds will fund the second runway...
Majorities Say War Bonds Offer No Cost Advantage
Latest CfM-NIESR survey: "War bonds" would offer no cost advantage over standard government bonds. Some 76% of the UK panel and 71% of the EU panel disagreed with the proposition that “war bonds” would be a cheaper form of borrowing. https://t.co/USeBxw4ZRx
Liquidity Dries up Exactly During Market Crises
The 2010 US equity market ‘flash crash’, the 2014 US Treasury turbulence, and the March 2020 pandemic sell-off in US Treasuries all share a disturbing pattern: liquidity vanished precisely when it was most urgently needed. https://t.co/qvntt9NSaH
HK's Airport Authority Issues Record HK$19bn Multi-Tranche Bond Amid Strong Demand
The Airport Authority Hong Kong (AAHK) priced a HK$19 billion (US$2.42 billion) multi‑tranche senior notes offering, the largest local‑currency bond issuance by a public‑sector entity this year. The deal featured 5‑year and 10‑year maturities and was oversubscribed, with demand about 30 percent above...
Japanese 10‑Year Yield Hits 2.52%, Echoing Global Rise
Japanese 10-year yields hit a new post-1997 high of 2.52%. Longer-term yields are rising globally in tandem with surging oil prices, especially as companies and governments demonstrate a will to keep spending. https://t.co/cL61POetPv
Bank of England Live: Interest Rates Tipped to Be Held as Oil Hits 2022 High
The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee met at 12 pm to decide on the Bank Rate, with most analysts betting the 3.75 % rate would be held despite hints of dissent. Inflation in the UK rose to 3.3 % in March, up...
Mortgage Spread Trends Since 1970 Revealed
Nothing better than talking about the history of mortgage spreads going back to 1970 🫡 https://t.co/upgguOdje6
Japan’s Record Sales of Euro Bonds Show Historic Funding Shift
Japanese issuers sold a record €18.5 billion (≈ $21.6 billion) of euro‑denominated bonds in 2026, more than five times the amount sold a year earlier. Dollar issuance grew modestly to about $45 billion, while yen‑denominated funding slipped 3.6% to roughly $45.7 billion. The shift reflects...
Bond Market Sees 12% Chance of Fed Hike, 5% Cut
The bond market is now pricing in a higher probability of a Fed RATE HIKE (12%) by the end of this year than a RATE CUT (5%). https://t.co/i77bnsp7MR
The Long Bond Yield Is Signaling a Huge Fear of Inflation
The 30‑year U.S. Treasury long‑bond yield rose to 5.01%, just 17 basis points shy of an 18‑year peak. A 7% oil price surge to $107 per barrel has added upward pressure, while technical charts point to a potential breakout toward...
Fed Holds Rates Amid Most Divided Vote Since 1992
FOMC: Fed leaves the FFR unchanged at 3.50-3.75% The vote was the most divided FOMC decision since 1992 (8-4 in favour of holding rates).
Lendmark Financial Floats $300 Million in ABS
Lendmark Financial Services is launching a $300 million asset‑backed security backed by personal loans, to be issued through the Lendmark Funding Trust series 2026‑1 with a May 6 closing. The issuance is split into four tranches—A, B, C and D—rated AAA, AA, A...
Indian Corporate Bond Issuances Falter as Yields Climb to 7% in Late April
Indian corporates are trimming bond offerings after yields on the 10‑year benchmark rose to about 6.98% in late April. State‑backed issuers SIDBI and NABARD fell short of their targets, reflecting heightened caution amid West Asia tensions.
South Korea's Corporate Bond Issuance Rises 3.4% in March, Driven by Asset‑Backed Securities
South Korea's corporate bond market expanded 3.4% in March to 19.54 trillion won ($13.26 bn), led by a 208.7% surge in asset‑backed securities. While industrial issuances fell, financial firms pushed total supply higher, highlighting changing financing preferences and liquidity dynamics in Asia’s...
2026 More Likely to See Rate Hike Than Cut
🚨 There is now a higher chance of a rate hike than a rate cut in 2026. https://t.co/yKg7oHD4Mv
Interest Rates Expected to Be Held as Uncertainty over Iran War Continues
The Bank of England is expected to keep its benchmark rate at 3.75% as the Monetary Policy Committee weighs the lingering fallout from the Iran conflict. Inflation remains stubborn at 3.3%, still above the 2% target, prompting a cautious stance....
April FOMC: Hawks Push Back As Inflation Risks Rise
The Federal Reserve left its policy range unchanged at 3.50%‑3.75% during the April 2026 FOMC meeting, but three regional presidents formally dissented, flagging concerns over persistent inflation and volatile energy prices. Chair Jerome Powell stressed Fed independence and signaled a...
Stock Investors Fared Very Well Under Powell. Bond Investors, Not so Much
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is set to depart after eight years, leaving a market record that favors equities. The Dow Jones rose about 9% per year and the S&P 500 surged 14.7% annually, the third‑best performance for a Fed chair...
Today's Weakness Mostly War-Related With Small Boost From Fed
U.S. Treasury yields climbed to 4.42% on Wednesday, driven primarily by heightened geopolitical risk from a potential Strait of Hormuz blockade. The Federal Reserve’s policy announcement added only a marginal uptick, with yields rising one basis point after the meeting....
Covenant Asset Management LLC Buys New Shares in Vanguard Intermediate-Term Bond ETF $BIV
Covenant Asset Management LLC disclosed a new 13F filing showing it bought 15,113 shares of Vanguard Intermediate-Term Bond ETF (BIV) for roughly $1.18 million in the fourth quarter. The purchase adds to a wave of institutional activity, with Wealthfront, M&T Bank,...
Morningstar DBRS Confirms BCI QuadReal Realty Trust at AA (Low) With a Stable Trend
Morningstar DBRS confirmed that BCI QuadReal Realty Trust (BQRT) retains an AA (low) issuer rating, AA (low) senior notes rating, and R‑1 (low) commercial paper rating, all with stable trends. The Trust, a successor to BCI QuadReal Realty, benefits from...
Bank of America Projects Record $190 Billion in U.S. High‑Grade Bond Sales for May
Bank of America expects about $190 billion of high‑grade corporate bonds to be sold in May, roughly $15 billion more than April. The surge reflects strong dealer demand and corporate urgency to raise capital ahead of higher oil prices and a robust...
Fed Leaves Rate Unchanged During Powell’s Final Meeting as Chair
The Federal Reserve left its target federal funds rate unchanged at 3.5%‑3.75% during Chairman Jerome Powell’s final FOMC meeting, despite dissent from Governor Stephen Miran and three regional presidents. Recent data show a resilient labor market, a modest rise in...
Fed Holds Rates, Dissenting Hawk Calls for Cut
Hawks squawk amidst “assaults” The Federal Reserve stayed on the sidelines with rates held in the 3.5to 3.75% range. The statement underscored the uncertainty regarding “developments in the Middle East.” The vote was not unanimous in a very unique way. Governor...
Fed Cuts Raise 30-Year Yield; Inflation Still Looming
The Fed started cutting rates in Sep 2024 with the 30-year Treasury yield below 4%. They cut rates 175 bps and the 30-year yield is now approaching 5%. The Fed may be done with inflation, but inflation isn’t done with the Fed....
Morningstar DBRS Confirms Lakeridge Health's Credit Ratings at AA, Stable Trends
Morningstar DBRS reaffirmed Lakeridge Health’s issuer and senior unsecured debenture ratings at AA with a Stable trend, emphasizing the province’s robust financial backing. The Durham‑region hospital is a key acute‑care provider for a fast‑growing population, yet it has posted consecutive...
30‑Year Treasury Yield Reaches 5%, Near 18‑Year
*US 30-YEAR YIELD TOUCHES 5% FOR FIRST TIME SINCE JULY 2025 Now just 11 bps from a new 18-year high. https://t.co/Aow1azOUWb
Markets Expect Rate Hike, Not Cut, by April 2027
Markets are now pricing in rate hike rather than a rate cut by the April 2027 meeting. Yup. #FOMC
Moody's Downgrades Northern Illinois University to Junk
Moody's Ratings downgraded Northern Illinois University’s issuer and revenue‑bond ratings to speculative‑grade Ba1, ending its investment‑grade status. The university carries about $301 million of debt and posted less than 1× debt‑service coverage in fiscal 2025. NIU cited a balanced current budget,...
Morningstar DBRS Discontinues Credit Rating on TD Global Legislative Covered Bonds, Series CBL41
Morningstar DBRS announced the discontinuation of its credit rating for Toronto‑Dominion Bank’s Global Legislative Covered Bond Series CBL41, citing full repayment of the issue. The rating, originally initiated in 2014, was part of the bank’s broader covered‑bond programme, which saw...
Morningstar DBRS Confirms Credit Ratings on All Classes of Wells Fargo Commercial Mortgage Trust 2015-C31
Morningstar DBRS confirmed credit ratings for all remaining classes of the Wells Fargo Commercial Mortgage Trust 2015‑C31, assigning BBB (high) to Class C and stable trends to the other tranches. The agency noted $589.6 million of principal paydown since its May 2025...
Yield Caps Hide Fiscal Risk, Depreciate the Yen
The Yen is tumbling. That's happening because the BoJ caps Japanese long-term yields at artificially low levels via JGB purchases. These yield caps prevent the fiscal risk premium from showing up in the bond market, so instead it shows up...
Powell: Neutral Rate Uncertain, but We're Near It
Powell says we can't know what the neutral rate is definitively, but says we are pretty close to it now
Fed Split Widens as Rates Stay on Hold Amid Inflation Fears
The Federal Reserve kept its policy rate in the 3.50‑3.75% range but issued its most divided statement since 1992, with an 8‑4 vote and three officials dissenting over an easing bias. The Fed highlighted rising inflation, now described as "elevated"...
Fed Independence Persists: Powell, Warsh Impact Markets & Gold
Post FOMC analysis with @adamtaggart - Fed independence/ Powell staying on / Warsh Fed / implications for markets / gold https://t.co/V94nEWpvPn
Fed Holds Rates Amid Record Dissent, Split Hawk‑Dove
This Fed Meeting Must Have Been a Hoot. Fed Holds Rates amid 4 Dissents, most since 1992: 1 Dovish, 3 Hawkish. “Inflation is elevated, in part reflecting the recent increase in global energy prices.” In part. And in part for other...
Fed Can Stay on Hold This Year, JPMorgan's Michele Says
JPMorgan economist Michele says the Federal Reserve can keep its policy rate unchanged through the end of 2026 despite lingering inflation pressures. The commentary highlights that oil prices remain near $150 per barrel and gasoline above $4 per gallon, which...
Powell's Final Speech Triggers 4.41% 10‑Year Surge
Fed Chair Jay Powell steps up to the podium one last time. Markets 4.41% 10yr, Spooz 7150, BBDXY 1202.37 1/x https://t.co/Y6jhMca7dd
Fed Policymakers Warn Warsh: No Consensus on Rate Cuts
A group of Federal Reserve policymakers sent Fed Chair nominee Kevin Warsh a clear warning on Wednesday: They're not sold on cutting interest rates. https://t.co/K8PiTAl1aL
Tropical Smoothie Café Whips up $270 Million in ABS
Tropical Smoothie Café has launched a $270 million asset‑backed securities program, pledging cash flow from existing and future franchise royalties, supplier rebates and other fees. The deal issues two tranches—Class A2 and M notes—with an anticipated repayment in May 2031 and a final...
Fed Holds Rates, Committee Splits on Future Cut Language
Surprising exactly nobody, the Fed kept rates on hold. More interesting: This is the most divided I've seen a committee vote. They're not divided over the decision (except Miran, but who cares), but over the language, and whether to signal the...