High-Probability CHFJPY Sell Limit Across Multiple Timeframes
CHFJPY SELL LIMIT 203.292 SL 204.154 TP 197.662 📊 CHFJPY Signal Update This CHFJPY signal was created by combining the Weekly, Daily, and H4 timeframes to achieve a high-probability setup. 🔍📈 🎯 Going forward, we will share signals in this structured format so the community can clearly understand the multi-timeframe analysis behind every trade. ⚠️ Always remember to follow proper money management and risk control when taking any trade.
Liberty's $475
Macro: convertible issuance funds growth but signals investor caution. Key: Liberty upsized $475M 0% convertibles due 2032, $37.44 conv (~30% premium). Risks: dilution, unsecured notes, redemption triggers. Trading insight: avoid new longs pre-conversion. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
China’s Growth Model Hinges on Weak Consumption, Excess Investment
The East is Red provides a translation of a very interesting essay by Wang Xiaolu, Deputy Director of the National Economic Research Institute. The problem with the Chinese economy, Wang says (and as I have argued for over a decade), is...
Dark‑Pool and Seasonality Data Drive Consistent Gold Wins
I’m trading with a different set of data I can assure you I’m applying dark pool data + historical seasonality data + chart technicals Yall favorite traders are focused on fib levels, RSI, volume indicators, macd and vwap I’m not saying...
New Weekly S&P 500 ChartStorm Analysis Released
ICYMI: Weekly S&P500 ChartStorm blog post https://t.co/afMKJCaz1q Thanks + follow reco to chart sources @MarketCharts @topdowncharts @WallStJesus @MebFaber @TheChartReport
Limit Trades to Three Per Market, Trust Weekly Charts
Trading frequency - a commentary from a five decade veteran I follow about 40 global futures markets I enter each year figuring that I might three good signals in a given market over the course of 12 months -- maybe four. That's...
Iraq's Oil Output Falls as Storage Fills, Exports Stall
Oil production in Iraq down again because storage tanks are filling up and the country can't export. https://t.co/tyEDWv8Trb
SPX Sell‑off Mirrors Post‑war Bottoms, Reversal Looms
The current $SPX sell-off similar to prior post war declines. Historically, the stock market has bottomed around now both in terms of time and % decline. One final flush to capitulation and reversal? Chart DB https://t.co/tR2zluZcbC
Oil's Percentage Rise Varies by Currency Unit
Intro econ for NYT reporters, oil was priced in yen it would be going up more in percentage terms in yen than it is going up in percentage terms in dollars. The unit is just a convention https://t.co/zCOwmbyJQv
Russia Halts Fertilizer Exports, Leveraging 40% Market Share
Russia stopped exports of ammonium nitrate through April to ensure domestic supply during planting season. Russia controls a massive portion of global trade in ammonium nitrate at about 40%. IT LOOKS LIKE MOSCOW IS SAYING SANCTIONS WILL HAVE TO GIVE OR FERTILIZER...
Automated Futures Strategy Delivers Consistent Wins in 10 Days
Testing an automated futures trading strategy on Micro Nasdaq futures (MNQ). Day 10. Two trades. Two wins. +325. This is a rule based trading system built for consistency, using fixed risk management and structured execution. No discretionary trading. No overtrading. Tracking performance on a prop firm style account...
Asia's Energy Shock: War Disrupts Middle Eastern Supply
Good morning, We are in Day 26 of the war and Asia is reeling from the conflict as we are most dependent on Middle oil and gas. Let's talk about how Asia is affected by this conflict, a thread. You can...
Profit Comes From Price Action, Not Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysis -- this is what I think You don't get any profit from fundamental analysis. You get profit from buying and selling. So, why pretend with the appearance when you can go right to the reality of price and analyze...
Mortgage Rates Surge, Home Purchase Applications Plummet 35%
There Goes the Spring Selling Season: Mortgage Rates Jump, Mortgage Applications to Purchase a Home Drop. Mortgage purchase applications are down by 35% from the same period in 2019 in a housing market that remains frozen https://t.co/sR0N0Jznl0 https://t.co/Hkfy4IziDs
China's $3T Surplus Hasn't Boosted US Bond Inflows
A thread on some work in progress, on China's US bond portfolio As the chart below shows, China's cumulative current account surplus has increased by $3 trillion since the end of 2019 -- and inflows into the US in the US...
US Examines $200 Oil Price Shock Impact on Economy
US officials are examining what a potential spike in oil prices as high as $200 a barrel would mean for the economy, sources tell @hlowenkron @SalehaMohsin and me, a sign of studying possible fallout from extreme scenarios for the #Iran...
Turn 110 Tax Days Into Savings with Real Estate
You work all year… ~30% goes to taxes. That’s ~110 days. 3–4 months working for the government. Real estate investors use: • Depreciation • Write-offs • Leverage To legally reduce that. Same income. Different strategy.
Small Losses Demand Disproportionate Gains—Prioritize Risk Management
Control your losses: Lose 10% → Need +11% Lose 20% → Need +25% Lose 30% → Need +43% Lose 40% → Need +67% Lose 50% → Need +100% Lose 60% → Need +150% Lose 70% → Need +233% Lose 80% → Need +400% Lose 90% → Need +900% Lose 97%...
Current S&P Dip Is Normal, Not Bearish
The S&P 500 is 5.9% from its 52-week high. The median S&P 500 stock drawdown is 16.6%. And that's very normal. Don't let anyone tell you it's somehow bearish or indicative of extra risk in the market. https://t.co/E1RyD8z4LQ
S&P Slumps While Broader Markets Gain 3% YTD
The S&P 500 is -3.4% YTD But everything else is up... US SMIDs, ex-US.. +2.5% to +3.7% https://t.co/8nTZBWpDKU
Grid Batteries and Electrification Ease Gas Shortfall Concerns
Gas shortfall fears pushed out again as grid battery boom and electrification take fresh bite from demand #energysky -- via Renew Economy: https://t.co/SIHv5tanVT https://t.co/F4npGu5RMq
Tokenized Money Market Funds Extend the Bank Walk
My friend @biancoresearch used to call it the bank walk from checking accounts to money market funds. From firsthand experience, paying all my bills via a tokenized money market fund, the bank walk is destined to continue IMO even if most...
IG Index Spread Returns to Near‑Unchanged Level
The IG index spread of 84bps is now back near unchanged levels since February 27 https://t.co/44eACVJ587
Patience Beats Data: Markets Reward Long-Term Discipline
"Patience captures the value that spreadsheets underestimate." Spreadsheets don’t reward patience—but markets do. Most investors overestimate short-term signals and underestimate long-term compounding. The real edge isn’t in more data, it’s in discipline.
U.S. Diesel and Jet Fuel Stocks Near Record Lows
Will U.S. diesel and jet fuel inventories decline to historic lows? US Weekly Oil Data: US Inventories, Exports, Imports, and Refinery Utilization (12 Charts). Link: https://t.co/9fNzVH20GN
Gold Drops 16% Despite War‑driven Inflation Fears
Gold plunged 16% after the war started. It should have surged on inflation fears and geopolitical chaos. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/sTSAg9gVNz
Philippines Declares Emergency over Soaring Oil Prices
The Philippines have declared a NATIONAL STATE OF EMERGENCY. The Philippines imports 98% of oil from the gulf and gas prices have DOUBLED since the breakout of the Iran war. THE PHILIPPINES SHOULD SEND THE BILL FOR DAMAGES TO TRUMP AND NETANYAHU. https://t.co/bNdU01nHJI
Japan Minister Discusses War‑Driven Commodity Risks, Seeks Asian Stability
Delighted to meet 🇯🇵’s Minister of Economy, Trade & Industry Ryosei Akazawa @ryosei_akazawa We spoke about how the Middle East war is impacting oil, gas & other commodities, with particular challenges for Asia – and how we can work together...
Fed Expands FIMA Access, Extends Window, Could Crash Yields
This is a really great divergent policy thought we should keep on our radar. If it comes to fruition, we could see a collapse in treasury yields. Fantastic work from @ericwallerstein ! “The solution: the Fed should expand FIMA access to sovereign wealth...
Aramco's $93 Billion Profit Highlights Oil Dominance
Aramco, the largest oil company in the world, earned $93 bn last year. More on this in the Chartbook Top Links. Source: How They Make Money https://t.co/DnYAwzwvOQ
Silver's Head Shot Hints at Deeper Weakness
The price bar in Silver today is something I call a "head shot." Head shots are often a sign of volume overcoming demand and suggestive of further weakness. I am looking for a tradable bottom in the support zone (yellow) $SI_V...
S&P 500 Forward EPS Hits Record $332, SMIDs Surge
S&P 500 forward EPS a record high of $332 SMIDs also yodeling higher over the last six months @yardeni https://t.co/BfA01cKlKd
Multifamily Investing Redefines Real Estate Wealth
Most people think real estate wealth = owning properties, managing tenants, or flipping houses. Not anymore. In this episode of Raise the Bar, Seth Bradley sits down with John Casmon to break down how investors are really building wealth in today’s multifamily...
China Prepares for Imminent Hormuz Strait Closure
I said last June-July: China got the message, Hormuz Strait will be closed, and started preparing for it. Read details below.
Breadth Flips, Gaps Traded; $LWLG Spikes 17%
📊 3/25 Post-Market: • Breadth flipped above 5d & 10d MA • Every gap up sold, every gap down bought • SPY/QQQ flat from open — no follow-through • Watchlist names gapped past triggers — $LWLG +17% standout • Playing small, preserving capital • More ideas...
Turn Fear Into Profit Amid Gold, MAG7 Crash
We are now falling into extreme fear territory. Gold crashing. MAG7 falling. War. What do you think are the best ways to take advantage of this?
DFL Spreads Near Spot, Strongest Indicator Despite Lower Spikes
Brent crude: - Flat price (white) - Prompt futures timespread (blue) - Dated-to-Frontline (DFL) spread (orange) All off their highs, but DFLs are both closest to the "real" spot market and they're trading nearest the high of the lot. In relative terms DFLs didn't get...
Market Still Bearish; Bottom Uncertain Without Strong Volume
The market's character is still one of a bear market or cyclical correction; strong open, fade into close and major average living below the 200-day line. Before a reliable bottom can be established, we need to see better price and...
Tech‑heavy Indices Slump to Multi‑
Checking in on the previous years' preferred risk asset concentrations. The Mag 7 relative to the broader tech-oriented Nasdaq 100 is at a 9-month low. Nasdaq 100 relative to the Dow has bounced but still well off Oct records. SPX to...
Resuming Hormuz Traffic Crucial Amid Iran War Uncertainty
My BNN Bloomberg conversation from earlier today for those who missed it. Talked about the state and trajectory of the Iran War, the growing physical-sentiment disconnect in oil markets, and how nothing really matters unless traffic through the Strait of Hormuz...
Mortgage Rates Dip, Spread Widens to 214 Bps
The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate today: 6.48% Same day last year: 6.80% -------------------- 10-year Treasury yield: 4.34% Spread today: 214 bps
We Reveal New Portfolio Moves in V and MPC
Today on @CNBCClosingBell with @ScottWapnerCNBC, I discussed our latest portfolio moves in $V and $MPC. ➡️Link: https://t.co/bovmiq2w00 (3/25/2026) @cwp_advisor https://t.co/Pegen7YKiD
2019 Book Predicted Missile‑Drone Dominance
2019 book that predicted the “missiles + drones > naval ships” dynamic we are watching play out in real time in Hormuz. Martyanov’s warnings apparently fell on deaf ears in DC unfortunately. https://t.co/4nsMkPDhTm
Dynamic‑3 Ensemble Remains Resilient Amid Market Turmoil
The Dynamic-3 ensemble has held well during this market turmoil. Link in reply below. 👇 https://t.co/GswnvL4aDS
IEA Chief to Brief EU Ministers on Iran War Impact
IEA chief to brief EU finance ministers on Iran war impact this week https://t.co/MQ3pSEFj3B via @europressos https://t.co/7Eo8OA83pz
Gas Crunch Could Spur Solar‑Battery Leap in Emerging Markets
Interesting debate here between JP Morgan's Michael Cembalest and @JigarShahDC on the latest Open Circuit episode. Will the global natural gas crunch accelerate solar + batteries in emerging markets that are considering deeper investments in LNG? Michael argues that comparisons people...
Bonds and Gold Drop, Boosting Money‑Market and Buffer ETFs
Where Have All the Hedges Gone? - @psarofagis channeling Paula Cole into a timely note today re how once again bonds fell with stocks. This time gold fell too. This is why Money Mkt Funds and Buffer ETFs are increasingly...
Hold Off Buying MSFT Until It Falls Below $360
I put it in writing on Feb 9. No buys on $MSFT until it bleeds into $380–$360. Why? Liquidity doesn’t disappear. It gets taken. Now we’re under the 200 WMA. Right on schedule. And suddenly—news drops. AI. Nuclear. NVDA. The usual lifeline when things start slipping. This is...
Meta's Sub‑20x PE Signals Cheap Growth Bet
$META forward PE has dropped below 20x It's quite cheap given the growth it has been able to maintain. You're getting for free these bets: Oculus / Wearables / AI. Not as compelling as Google's 2025 stock price when you got...
S&P 500 Stays Below 200‑Day Moving Average
4 days below the 200dma for the S&P 500 @stockcharts More thoughts from me: https://t.co/q4uxCqxeRV https://t.co/dXZykXt9ov