VXUS Below Both 76 and 200 SMA Levels
$VXUS line in sand short term against 76, longer time frame against 200sma. Both clean https://t.co/jBQQsJspYt
Took Payday Profits, Re‑entering TSLA with Cushion
$TSLA $TSLL sold the payday shares for great payday %. I now settle into the full swing position with money in my pocket. I am trading close to the vest here and will up the stops soon...
Oversold S&P Poised for Rebound After Four‑week Slide
The S&P 500 has been down 4 weeks in a row, and six of the last 12 weeks. As of Friday, we were off ~6.8% from recent highs, with the Nasdaq off ~8.2%. This looks less a case of TACO, and more...
Iranian Media Denial Halts Bond Yield Moves
Iranian media denied that negotiations had taken place, according to Bloomberg. Some bond yields went flat briefly on this news.
Physical Oil Scarcity Outpaces Futures Pricing, Says Chevron CEO
Chevron CEO Mike Wirth says the physical oil market is tighter than the financial oil market is reflecting, particularly for refined products. The scarcity, particularly in Asia, is “not fully priced in the oil futures curve,” he says. #CERAWeek
US New Home Sales Plunge 17.6% to Pandemic Lows
From December to January, US new home sales DROPPED by a STUNNING 17.6%. Sales were at their lowest level since the COVID-19 pandemic. AMERICAN HOUSING MARKET = IN THE TANK. https://t.co/AMSqv9ZMsT
U.S. Oil Production Likely Plateaued, Growth Hinges on Prices
Chevron CEO Mike Wirth says that U.S. oil production probably reached a “plateau” over the last 6 months or so — too early to say whether growth would re-start as it would depend whether current prices stay or not.
Longs Find Breathing Room; Friday May Mark Low
We’re getting breathing room for longs this morning, but this is the tougher path for traders as price drifts back into the chop without a clear washout event. Friday could prove to be the low and the start of...
Gold & Silver ETFs Bought Amid Low Overnight Market
Note to those who follow me who are not trolls The overnight markets were not nearly as volatile as many markets I have endured over the years Not tame -- but not roaring lions either Gold and Silver etfs were buys last night...
Brazil Soybean Harvest Lags, only 68% Complete
🇧🇷Brazil's soybean harvest was 68% complete as of last Thursday, well below the year-ago pace of 80%. https://t.co/CzD6l0Ilyg
WTI‑Brent Spread Reveals Iran Market Tension
one of the more useful ways to track market tension in Iran is the spread between WTI and Brent crude (nearest contract). Here a 1 yr chart, lower pane shows the spread. src: BBG https://t.co/o0tLpkaSdP
Hormuz Oil Flow Stalled, Supply Strain Persists
This is correct So much of the world now can increasingly just be driven by overconfidently posting through it—but not oil, not for long Hormuz flow still hasn't resumed and every day we're shedding more oil from the system That'll catch up—can't jawbone...
S&P Dips, VIX Stays Flat Despite Market Drop
last week, as the S&P 500 $SPX made lower (ugly) lows, the volatility $VIX index did not... https://t.co/Vmdmxc3JXz
Trump Tweet Lifts Nasdaq, S&P
$QQQ Daily. Pre-market Trump tweet takes Nasdaq (and S&P) back up near 200-day m.a., as well as broken support from beginning of month. https://t.co/STFnWBcjUL
Mild Pullbacks Are Normal; Markets Usually Recover
Yes, this recent bout of volatility hasn't been fun for investors, but remember, volatility is the toll we pay to invest. These three charts are timeless and always come in handy in times like this. Chart 1 - The average years sees...
US SPR Release Targets Up to 3 Million Barrels Daily
US Energy Secretary Chris Wright says the US flow rate from the SPR exchange would amount to be 1.0-1.5m b/d and says the total IEA release would come close to 3m b/d. (Those are the first flow rates estimates publicly discussed...
Stocks at Critical Support: Oversold, Risky, Now-or-Never Rebound
Learnings and conclusions from this week’s charts: 1. Stocks are at a make-or-break point (major support level). 2. Conditions are increasingly oversold. 3. Sentiment and valuations have seen a partial reset. 4. (albeit from an overvalued/excess-greed starting point) 5. Pre-war, the global earnings/macro pulse was...
Tactical Update: Dropping Tape Bomb
(PREMIUM) "Tactical Update: March 23, 2026 - Dropping Tape Bombs" A few moves into the headline bounce this A.M.... via The Lyons Share https://t.co/MEVP23VgRi https://t.co/WwjuwK9igF
Midterm Dips Trigger ~32% Rebound Within a Year
Midterm years tend to see the largest peak-to-trough pullbacks. That's the bad news. The good news? Off the mid-term year low, stocks have never been lower a year later and up nearly 32% on average. https://t.co/yfCeUhC21k
401(k) Isn’t a Scam—Early Withdrawals Are Possible
"401(k) is a scam because you can't retire early" People who say this don’t know about Rule of 55, Section 72(t) SoSEPP, or Roth Conversions. There are ways to access 401k before 59½. You also likely will live past 59 anyways.. Use tax...
Oil Prices Shift on Brief Comments, Says Wald
Watch Oil Moving on ‘A Couple Words and a Tweet,’ Atlantic Council’s Wald Says - Bloomberg @ACGlobalEnergy #oott https://t.co/YElH8A8ORG
AHMA Poised for Low‑float Breakout, Target $7‑9
$AHMA seems to be our top low float gapper heading into market open, so I'll be hawking this for entry opportunities after the bell off the 9ema. Likely to be a scalpy name, range to $7/8/9+
AD Mirrors Gold
AD just like GC (and SI)....visible swing highs and lows and the action around these levels set up great trades. of course this was the same move that goosed most all the financials.. https://t.co/mTPsmdSV18
Dow Jumps 1,600 Points; Hormuz Risk Still Looms
🔴 Dow swings 1,600 points after Trump pauses Iran oil strikes - but the Strait of Hormuz risk isn't gone Oil. Gold. Rate hikes. I break it all down. Are you buying or selling into this move? Let me know below 👇 $DOW...
UGRO Needs VWAP Reclaim to Trigger Trade
$UGRO - nearly 10x relative volume this morning already, this has formed a lower high under VWAP so if this can pivot over that high (in line with the VWAP reclaim) I'll play ball. No reclaim = no trade, range to...
Buy Gold at Tier 4 After Peak, Use ETFs
This is a grid I have used to provide a framework for Gold for members of my private community. Channel Tier 4 was my buying range after market peaked at Tier 8 ETF for retirement accounts --- not futures yet https://t.co/DasqIqO0oT
Energy Price Surge Could Add up to 2% Inflation
Goldman: "Higher energy prices will boost global headline inflation sharply in the next 1-2 months.... our country-specific rules of thumb imply that the shock will add 0.8pp to global headline inflation over the next year under our baseline and 2pp...
Success Depends on Entry Price, Not Just Quality
Howard Marks: “Investment success doesn’t come from ‘buying good things,’ but rather from ‘buying things well.’” Takeaway: Entry price drives outcome.
Breakout Signals Buying Opportunity in Silver
Strong feeling this was the break to buy in precious metals For sure the break to stack $SI_F https://t.co/uLHE50DU5D
Gold’s Sell Signal Triggers 200‑Day MA Decision Zone
📺 $GLD GOT SMOKED… BUT THIS IS WHERE YOU WATCH IT CLOSELY #Gold gave a clear sell signal at $466 after a parabolic run failed and the structure broke. From there, every bounce was weak, gaps never filled, and price trended cleanly...
News Drives Tape; Traders Brace for Volatility Spikes
Here’s is my🔥 #stickynote for March 23: News-driven session ahead — stay sharp and patient as headlines could move markets quickly today 👀 📊 Economic Focus: • Chicago Fed Activity Index (8:30) • Construction Spending (10:00) ➡️ Light data, but headlines taking control 🧾 Trade Ideas: •...
Blackwell 3D Nears Bullish Breakout on Rising Volume
Disseminated on Behalf of Blackwell 3D Construction (US OTC: $BDCC) Blackwell 3D Construction On Watch for Bullish Reversal- Oversold, Basing and Under Accumulation Nanocap focused on 3D house printing and large-scale additive construction technology, primarily for residential and commercial buildings. Operate or...
Brent at $100 Relieves Political Fear of High Oil
Brent is down to $100. The latest de-escalation signal is worth about as much as the escalation signal Saturday night, but - underneath all that - it's clear that high oil prices scare this administration as much as they scared...
World Trade Revolves Around EU, China, and US
The basic geography of world trade is centered around three poles #1 EU, #2 China, #3 US. Chartbook Top Links of the day just dropped: https://t.co/DG0iBZBvfZ
Gold's Massive Lower Wick Signals Fresh Volatility
Gold: It's been a busy week and we aren't even done with Monday... Look at the size of today's lower wick: https://t.co/5cLKMYCSuY
US Oil Use Hits Record Low Amid Global Supply Shock
its the "biggest ever shock to global oil supply", as people keep pointing out, but the US economy is also less oil-intensive than it has ever been.. https://t.co/zk9SxpcEA5
Watch Miners Rise as Metal Prices Bottom
A Classic End to A major Gold and Silver Correction like we're seeing occurs when Metal Prices Fall but Miners Hold steady then Begin to rise, giving the all-clear signal- that's what investors should be watching this week. $GLD $SLV...
Strong 95
95% correlation in these markets here but lots of OD up bars (indexes, HG, EC) ...looking for Peso to make OD up. https://t.co/8DozSsaikL
Oil Prices Near Peak Due to Hormuz Risk Premium
In this podcast conversation with @paulkrugman from last week, we debate my view that oil prices are near their peak because large risk premia are priced into oil that embed substantially reduced tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. Watch...
NVDA Signals Potential Support for Today’s Gap Up
$nvda can give some clues on how much of today’s gap up can hold https://t.co/oNBBNMrr7h
Shorting Missed the Exit; Market Already in Sell‑the‑rip
📺 IF YOU’RE SHORTING NOW… YOU’RE LATE The key level in $SPY (~$677–$680) was lost much earlier than you think — that was the real exit signal. Once that broke, the market entered a sell-the-rip environment, where every bounce into the...
Track SPY’s Primary and Secondary Resistance Levels
$spy chart request. Map out resistance#1 and Resistance#2 and see how the market/sector/stocks react into those areas. https://t.co/J5vUQbCcWp
MercadoLibre’s Ecosystem Creates Undervalued Founder‑led Moat
6 undervalued founder-led companies with real moats 👇 $MELI — MercadoLibre (31.07 Forward PE) MercadoLibre operates a closed-loop ecosystem: commerce → payments → credit → logistics. Over 60M fintech MAUs interact across multiple layers of the platform. Mercado Envíos delivers a majority of orders...
S&P 500 Near Bear Market Threshold at 45%
45% of the S&P 500 stocks are trading above their respective 200-day moving averages. The 40% level is where bear markets live. Recessions. Major market corrections. 2018. 2020. 2022. Five points away.
Crude Oil Forms Massive Bearish Reversal at Range Top
Crude Oil creating one of the largest monthly bearish reversal patterns in its history, as it tests the top of its trading range? $USO $SPY $TLT https://t.co/GivNir6qgu
Grantham Warns Against AI Hype, Emphasizes Value Investing
Few investors have seen more cycles than Jeremy Grantham. A conversation with the GMO Co-Founder on bubbles, value investing, AI exuberance, and environmental philanthropy. https://t.co/C8lWkLZ3g4 With thanks to @AlphaSenseInc, @MorningstarInc, and Ridgeline.
Treasury Auction Calendar Reveals Hidden Liquidity Map
This is a US Treasury auction schedule and it’s actually a liquidity map in disguise. Here’s the simple breakdown:
Middle East Conflict Drives Global LNG Exports to Six‑month Low
Global LNG exports drop to the lowest level in six months due to Middle East conflict ⚠️ 🚢 This basically erases supply additions from the US and elsewhere during that period The drop is primarily from Qatar — and to a...
European Gas Dips 9% After Trump Pauses Iran Strikes
European natural gas prices drop as much as 9% after Trump said he instructed US forces to postpone all strikes against Iranian infrastructure for 5 days 🇪🇺 ⚠️ Prices still well above pre-war levels And there’s been no direct/indirect contact...
Bretton Woods: US Capital Outflows, Not Deficits, Built Global Reserves
This isn't quite true -- at least not always. Under the initial Bretton Woods system capital outflows (including FDI) from the US provided the buildup of fx reserves globally; the US didn't run a current account deficit until the 70s. 1/2