Know What's Happening in American Stocks
Know What's Happening in American Stocks
S&P 500 may find a 6,000 floor by May, analyst says
Analyst Mark Hulbert predicts the S&P 500 could settle around 6,000 by May, marking the low point of the current market correction. He cautions that the brief rally on March 31 and April 1 was typical of weak markets and may not indicate a lasting recovery.
The S&P 500 has shown unexpected resilience, slipping only about 7% from its peak despite Brent crude breaching $100 per barrel. Analysts attribute this stability to robust corporate earnings, a sector tilt toward defensive stocks, and continued monetary support. While rising oil prices and recession fears have prompted some strategists to predict a deeper correction, the index’s modest pullback suggests underlying strength. The article dissects these dynamics to explain why the broad market has not mirrored energy‑driven volatility.
I kind of knew the market would go lower when we posted that we reduced our longs by 30% when SPX was like 6800 and the next session when it went to 6830 we already had like ten people on...
Chunghwa Telecom (NYSE:CHT) shares rose above their 200‑day moving average, reaching $42.94 after the average of $42.63. The stock traded at $41.79 with modest volume, while analysts from Zacks and Weiss kept a Hold rating, leaving the consensus unchanged. The...
The 1973 oil embargo lasted six months and triggered a 48% drawdown in the S&P 500. This conflict is three weeks old. Oil already up 40%. Supply-driven oil shocks create the same policy trap every time. The Fed can't ease because...
The S&P 500 slipped more than 2.5% last week, erasing over $1 trillion in market capitalisation as fears of a US‑Iran war intensified. In the past month the index has fallen 5.83%, wiping out roughly $3 trillion. The benchmark also broke below its...
The S&P 500 just closed below its 200-day moving average for the second straight session — lowest since November. Iraq declared force majeure on all foreign-operated oilfields Friday, sending oil back toward $100 and triggering the fourth consecutive losing week...
Current situation: 1. US inflation expectations have surged to 5.2%, 3-year high 2. The Russell 2000 is officially in a technical correction 3. US gas prices have risen nearly +45% in four months 4. Interest rate futures are now pricing-in potential rate HIKES 5. Gold...
Jim Cramer warned that the recent market slump is likely to continue as oil prices surge amid escalating Middle‑East tensions. The Dow and Nasdaq slipped into correction territory while the S&P 500 remains down about 7% from recent highs. Cramer highlighted...
#SPX: A bottom is near in terms of Time, not necessarily in terms of Price. Money Flow is nearing the 2018, 2022, and 2025 lows and has already dropped below the 2020 levels. While the %B is also oversold. After...
$NDX $QQQ remains in a DOWNTREND Our portfolio hedge triggered in early February (when price closed < red line). Yesterday, $NDX $QQQ bounced off November low. The market is very oversold and any good news will likely...
U.S. equity markets closed lower on the day, with the Dow down 1.0%, the S&P 500 down 1.5% and the Nasdaq slipping 2.0%. All three benchmarks finished the session beneath their 200‑day moving averages, a technical signal of sustained weakness....
The stock market reaches its November low and President Trump considers ending the Iran conflict. Hopefully this war will end soon, enough lives lost already. Any good news and the stock market will be off to the races. $NDX $SPX...
$IWM is up 0.12% YTD while $QQQ is down 3.16%. Small caps quietly outperforming mega-cap tech during an oil shock. Nobody's talking about it. That's exactly why it matters. https://t.co/uJRKl9XT9N
The benchmark 10‑year Treasury yield surged 11 basis points to 4.391%, its highest level in eight months, as bond prices fell sharply on Friday. The move extended a two‑day decline in Treasuries and added pressure to U.S. equity valuations. Market...
% Below All-Time High ExxonMobil: 0% S&P 500: -7% Google: -14% Apple: -14% Nvidia: -19% Gold: -20% Amazon: -21% Meta: -25% Tesla: -26% Palantir: -28% Microsoft: -31% Bitcoin: -44% Silver: -45% Ethereum: -57% MicroStrategy: -75% Fartcoin: -92% Trump Coin: -96% Melania Coin: -99%
S&P 500 earnings growing +13%. Tax refunds running 17% higher YoY. Oil up 40% since the war started. The economy is fine. Energy is the problem. And the Fed can't drill its way out of this. https://t.co/q0FLlog6k2
In this episode, hosts discuss the S&P 500 slipping below its 200‑day moving average, signaling a bearish long‑term trend, and note similar weakness across major indices, sectors, and fixed‑income markets. They highlight energy as the sole sector still posting gains...
$SPX - Time wise we're still in the timeframe for an 80 trading day low, but in my opinion the weekly close below the 200 day MA and breakdown of the November low has invalidated this cycle. The downtrend is...
The S&P 500 is now down 7.6% from its January peak. Is that a lot? Not at all. This is right in line with the median correction off an all-time high since the March 2009 low. We see a decline of this amount...
US equity markets experienced a sharp reversal after a brief rally, erasing much of the early‑March small‑cap gains. The Russell 2000 slipped 0.41% YTD, a 9.3‑point drop in less than two weeks, while the S&P 500 fell 3.49% to four‑month...
US500 ( SPX ) At a crucial daily demand area. We have not seen these levels since late 2025. - Stagflation environment - Elevated OIL - From rate cuts to rate hikes - AI valuation concerns The whole macro narrative has changed within days. I...
$SPY is testing the MVC at $650 after a full day of chop. There's not much momentum going into this move, would not be surprised if we continue to chop.
AXT Inc. (NASDAQ:AXTI) surged to a record $58.13, closing up 19.13% as the first quarter ended. The rally was driven by the company’s upbeat Q1 outlook, anchored by strong demand for indium phosphide in AI infrastructure and progress on export...
SNDK has made a new all-time high but is struggling to hold on as the index crumples under the weight of tightening financial conditions via rate hikes now prifed into many global curves. Below 700 is break of 100hour and...
Negative Exposure across the board on $SPY at the open. Testing support at $655 right now; the next level is $650. I am hesitant to short $655; I think a move towards $660 is more likely, given the strong exposure...
Erasca Inc. (NASDAQ:ERAS) surged 13.04% on Thursday, closing at $15.26, propelling its year‑to‑date gain to 310%. The rally follows upbeat analyst coverage and early clinical optimism for its pan‑RAS molecular‑glue degrader, ERAS‑0015. Early trial data revealed two confirmed and one...
It looks like we are going to have a spicy close to the week with the US session opening with a sharp gap lower on the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 that dropped both below their 200 SMA. Some serious...
Stocks’ technicals continue to weaken, and for the first time in the post-Liberation Day bull market, U.S. large cap stocks are testing their 200-day moving average. Drops below the moving average have historically triggered more volatile trading. Extreme returns, both positive and...
BioCryst Pharmaceuticals (BCRX) surged 7.10% to $9.81 after rumors of a takeover by a large‑cap U.S. biopharma surfaced. The company has not confirmed the speculation, but the market reacted strongly. BioCryst recently reported a dramatic earnings turnaround, posting $263.86 million net...
Current Mag 7+ drawdowns from 52wk highs... $NVDA -19% $GOOGL -14% $MSFT -31% $AAPL -14% $AMZN -21% $META -25% $TSLA -26% $AVGO -25% $ORCL -57% $NFLX -32% $AMD -25% $PLTR -27% @finviz_com https://t.co/5XhlWNrFKR
After 214 trading days, the S&P 500 closed beneath it's 200-day MA this week. Since 1950, when the S&P 500 closes above this trendline the annualized return is 21.1%. When it closes beneath? -22.2%. Proving once again that bad things tend to...
After-hours: $SPY +1.0% $QQQ +0.9% $RSP +0.9% $IWM +1.7% $EFA +1.3% $EEM +1.8% $TLT +0.5% $IBIT +1.0% @finviz_com https://t.co/H1dLfRam9i
The S&P 500 remains +35% from its April low... the Gain from 52wk low heat map... In the last year: $SPY +16.4% $QQQ +22.1% $RSP +11.0% $IWM +19.4% $VEU +20.6% https://t.co/tSe8pBORDA
Here's my video of what I am watching in the markets over the coming week. Dow Clears A Technical Floor Even Fundamental Traders Will Talk About https://t.co/m5hFw9o7xs
The S&P 500 energy sector has reached all-time highs 21 times this year. @augurinfinity @soberlook https://t.co/j2yKbwkAig https://t.co/E7GNUI7Pz3
Currently down 7%. Look for major lows in SPX later this year, with relief rallies along the way https://t.co/CUfogOJhN0
🚨 S&P 500 breached the October & November 2025 lows. This is a nasty break for bulls heading into the weekend. Support vaporized. Fear ramping. Expect a bounce or deeper pain? Your bias? $SPY $SPX https://t.co/0YEkEMWsD5
The $SPX is on pace for its fourth consecutive week's loss. In the past 15 years, there has only been one period where we have had a slide run longer than 4 weeks (May 2022) https://t.co/trHGzh31pk
Wars, inflation, Fed pivots, AI eating software, etc. Not a lot of good news out there, then you look at earnings and profit margins. These two tailwinds to the bull market aren't showing much of a slowdown at all. https://t.co/cICkObh98N
The S&P 500 is in the midst of the first 5% mild correction since November (-5.1%). We tend to see three of these a year on average. They aren't fun, but they are a necessary part to investing. https://t.co/txE3vFe0Vs
Good reminder that we just had the smallest range ever to start a year for the S&P 500 in Jan/Feb. March Madness isn't fun, but it was likely. https://t.co/zW1N50hcFr
NASDAQ has a lot to fall if it wants to catch up with 2022 midterm+war year https://t.co/9JlG3IwkuF
Will $SPX unclench up or down next week? It has been pretty consistent for a while now fwiw
Last week i wrote about S&P 500 index rebalance which happens today. Vertiv $VRT, Lumentum $LITE, Coherent $COHR and EchoStar $SATS are all going into the index today. Vast majority of the trading will happen around market close. Vertiv buying...
Stocks, bonds and gold all down for the week S&P 500: -1.2% 10-year Treasury yield up to 4.380% Gold prices back below $5000
Homebuilder stocks are now down 2% today, and have plunged 17% since the start of the war
Remarkable with everything that's going on that the S&P 500 is only down 6% from its high. Market seems to be pricing in a short-lived War with Crude Oil crashing back down. This is the hopeful outcome but is the market...
Energy crisis pulls stocks 5% below January high, but path to quick recovery remains https://t.co/CZBb7LAj0e H/T @vixologist @SteveSosnick @StovallCFRA $SPX $VIX https://t.co/IbS0KOPgZY
We're getting close to 30% of $SPX members above their 50-day MA. Even if the longer-term trend continues bearish, bombed out breadth conditions like this can lead to short-term upside reversals. https://t.co/pCLd1WlCZh
Good morning. I’m on the road so limited contact from me. Spx futures-25 as “Boots on the ground” gets floated. Simplify it for today. Do we reclaim $655-$657.50 to relieve pressure. Or do we see $650.50 which looks...
