US Reopens Chinese Tech Data Security Scrutiny Amid Military Labels
This is a repeat of what happened in 2020 under the first Trump admin. Back when they first started exploring the TikTok ban as well. Was primarily around how Riot, Epic and others handled US user data. Ultimately it never moved forward under Biden and Tencent said it was storing data in the US. However, the Biden admin did eventually add Tencent to a list of Chinese Military Companies, which is why this is being raised again. The argument being that a company that works with the Chinese military, something Tencent denies, is a data security concern. The initial investigation also contributed to Tencent reducing the number of new investments it made in US companies, while ramping up investments outside the US. Back in 2019, Chinese firm Kunlun Tech was forced to sell Grindr. More recently, TikTok was forced to sell part of its US operations. Trump and Xi are set to meet in April.
EU Still Half Dependent on Visa, Mastercard
How close is the EU to break free from Visa and Mastercard's grip? https://t.co/S2cCelErDw 47% of the eurozone’s card payment value passed through Visa & Mastercard in 2025! This is not only financial, it is strategic.
64% Americans Oppose Tariffs, View Them as Sales Tax
My views on Trump’s tariffs and the tariff man himself: “The public is fed up with these tariffs. 64% of the American public is thumbs down on tariffs. Politically, they're not popular, and the reason is that they're sales taxes on...
Bitcoin Restores Trust Amid Broken Central Banks
This take-and yes dalio too-fundamentally fails to understand why central banks are broken and why they need bitcoin In an age where there is growing distrust everywhere, the only way - and i really mean the ONLY way- to fix the...
Crude Oil Nears Peak, Iran's $200 Threat Unfounded
$USOIL - Crude oil is already showing initial signs of topping as it did last June. I can't believe that some people are gullible enough to believe, that empty threats made by Iran about $200 crude oil prices, are actually...
US Drone Strikes in Iran Kill 742 Civilians
Yesterday, the US military bombed drone sites across Iran. According to the US-based Human Rights Activists News Agency, 742 civilians, including 176 children, have been killed in the bombings since Saturday. https://t.co/OYnTObNhC0
Cosco Halts Gulf Bookings, Defying Iran Alliance
Cosco suspends bookings on Gulf. China is an Iran ally. Why would a Chinese carrier do this?
Asia‑Europe Air Cargo Capacity Drops 39% Amid Gulf Shutdown
The Loadstar - Air cargo capacity on key Asia-Europe corridors has fallen 39% following the shutdown of major Gulf airspace and hubs amid the escalating conflict in the Middle East. https://t.co/XxAzcLFVzn https://t.co/VVlvHRVoSr
Shipping Lines Suspend Bookings, Reroute Vessels over Middle East Threats
Container shipping companies halt bookings, divert vessels due to Middle East risks https://t.co/WzcNxIAkRJ via @WSJ
Exclusive Macro Breakdown of Today's Rally Unveiled
I just posted a detailed macro breakdown of today's rally on @SliceApp This is where I share the deeper analysis, market correlations, macro trade ideas, and lessons I don't post anywhere else Join the community 👉 https://t.co/2RO8ANwj2x https://t.co/TKe1RoxUOt
Liquidity Buffers Intended for Crises Are Being Hoarded
Great point in @SecScottBessent speech: Post-2008 liquidity buffers were designed to be spent in a crisis. Instead, they are treated as untouchable minimums and so banks hoard liquid assets rather than deploy them, making stress worse. (1/3) @vtg2 @BrendanPedersen @amacker...
Trump Trade War Slashes US Exports to China 19%
This is the big one, MUST READ Thorough objective new analysis of the impact of Trump's trade war on China-US trade including on key industries @PIIE @ChadBown https://t.co/5eQUPlo1xx
KOSPI Plunges to Its Steepest Drop Since 2008
South Korea’s KOSPI index dropped the most since the 2008 financial crisis. It’s all starting to fit together My latest at Culpium https://t.co/75TudacVv5
Choose: AI Panic or US Debt Concern, Not Both
It seems difficult to say we should worry about AI and the US debt. Seems like its going to be one or the other.
Markets Face Redemptions, Housing Woes, and AI Optimism
Animal Spirits: A Wave of Redemptions Geopolitics vs the stock market vs AI Is inflation risk back? Is it time for a correction? The optimistic view on AI The most broken housing market in America The private credit crisis of confidence & more https://t.co/3VV58HRcdq https://t.co/V5eIvRDjMe
CPKR EBITDA Surges
Macro: capacity leverage and RWA demand lifted CPKR Q4 EBITDA +19.5% (FY+46.7%). Key: whole‑hog optimization, low leverage. Risk: execution/export cycles. Trade: buy on pullback <$16.50. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Fed Likely to Hold Rates, May Tighten if Inflation Persists
NEW: Beth Hammack of @ClevelandFed tells @nytimes that with inflation too high and rates at neutral, the Fed should be on hold for "quite some time." The next move may also not necessarily be down: "If we don’t see inflation...
Iran's Turmoil Hurts Both Sides of K‑shaped Economy
Between falling stock prices and rising gas prices, events in Iran are negatively impacting both ends of the K-Shaped Economy.
Asian Tech Stocks Tumble Amid US‑Iran War Risk
Asian tech stocks reel as US-Iran war threatens infrastructure and supply chains https://t.co/oxpKfheSqI via @scmpnews
Markets Wobble as Oil Spikes; US Vows Tanker Protection
For a few hours yesterday morning, markets looked very scary. Brent was going vertical, USD was rising like crazy and S&P 500 was plummeting. The US calmed things down by promising to insure and escort oil tankers, but one Iranian...
Markets in Nervous Consolidation After Extended AP Equity Rout
Nervous Consolidation Featured after the Asia Pacific Equity Rout was Extended: The dollar is trading a little softer today, but the tone is one of nervous consolidation. The market is digesting reports that Iran has reached out to negotiate the...
South Asian Fertilizer Output Slips Amid Qatar LNG Outage
Fertilizer manufacturers in South Asia are beginning to cut output due to an outage at Qatar’s LNG export plant ⚠️ 🇮🇳 Some Indian manufacturers started reducing production at urea plans 🇵🇰 Pakistan’s gas distributor declared FM on to fertiliser plants https://t.co/LUjKJcUg25
Middle East War Threatens Oil Markets, Accelerates Clean Energy Shift
Many consider a widespread war in the Middle East the worst-case scenario for the global oil and gas markets. That war is here, and it could have long-lasting impacts on energy and climate policy. This week on Zero, I speak...
China Keeps Aluminum Cap, Prices Hit New High
The timing of our China Macro Watch report on February 25 has proven fortuitous. In that note, we laid out why Beijing is unlikely to lift its 45mn-ton aluminum output cap — a policy that has effectively anchored global supply...
Safer Global Outlook Threatens Gold's Recent Surge
A Safer World Could Pressure Stretched Gold - Russia's invasion of Ukraine was a signal to buy gold, and subduing Iran could mark the opposite. Since the "unlimited friendship" between presidents Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin in 2022, leadership in...
Markets Consolidate Amid APAC Slide, Japan Threatens Intervention
Nervous consolidation is the main feature in the capital markets after Asia Pacific equities extended their slide. $USD is mostly softer but in yesterday's ranges. Japan's MOF threatened intervention. See https://t.co/24YmyiETAN https://t.co/XmEx257iS8
Accumulate Bitcoin at $60‑65k Amid Deleveraging Dip
Macro: BTC -50% from ATH; driven by deleveraging and capitulation. Catalysts: Fed cuts, ETF adoption, tokenization. Risk: liquidity squeeze. Trade: accumulate BTC dips $60–65k. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Trump's Hormuz Plan Could Hike India's Energy Costs
Trump’s Hormuz strategy may raise energy costs as India faces fertilizer and LNG supply risks | Mathrubhumi English https://t.co/BTL63LOcou
Swiss Inflation Low, Money Supply Growth On Target
Switzerland’s inflation rate at 0.03%/yr is at the lower end of the Swiss target range of 0-2%. NO SURPRISE. Switzerland’s money supply (M3) is within Hanke's Golden Growth Rate of 4.4%-6.4%/yr at 5.3%/yr. THE INFLATION STORY = A MONEY SUPPLY STORY. https://t.co/wDVH5hwQyz
Oil Crisis Drives Crypto Survival; AI Rules Written in Blood
@sandy_carter `s POV `Iran War, An Oil Crisis, A Crypto Stress Test, And An AI Reckoning` Oil. Crypto. AI. Most coverage is missing the "Big 3" takeaways: 1️⃣ Crypto’s Dual Identity: It’s a "risk asset" for Western traders but a "survival tool"...
EU Ranks Third in Global Fossil Fuel Import Dependence
Europe remains one of the economies most exposed to volatility in global energy markets. The EU still depends on imported fossil fuels for close to 60% of its energy needs. Among large economies, only Japan and South Korea have higher levels of...
Geopolitics Threaten Chinese Firms' Access to Western Markets
What I don’t understand is the position of PRC companies. Do they want the headache of dealing with geopolitics? They’re competitive in their own right. If this goes on, Chinese products will be shut out of Western markets.
Gold Drops Amid Geopolitical Tension Due to Liquidity Crunch
Why Gold ( XAUUSD ) is heading down despite rising geopolitical escalations ? In short, this is a liquidity event. For detailed context , with potential trade idea on GOLD & SPX , watch the video below (8 minutes video...
Thailand, South Korea Lead Asia’s Oil‑Shock Market Turmoil
In Asia, Thailand and South Korea have the highest GDP exposure to imported oil & so the violence today in Korea and Thai markets reflects fear how that will play out. Note that this is negative for Asia in general but...
China's Mixed PMIs Hint at Possible Stimulus
China PMIs Send Mixed Signals as Markets Watch for Stimulus—Nonmanufacturing PMI, which covers both service and construction activity, edged up to 49.5 in February https://t.co/7qblrUNU7k https://t.co/7qblrUNU7k
US Kills Iran Leaders; War Persists, Oil Spikes
The US just killed Iran's top leaders, but the war isn't ending. The Revolutionary Guard is still fighting, and oil has spiked past $85. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/oiXuHGPp3W
USD/INR Spikes Past 92, Warning of Inflation Surge
Usdinr crossed 92, a very quick move from the 90s. This plus crude will hit inflation in 6.months if it isn't controlled
China Seeks New Oil Sources as Middle East Supply Wanes
CHINA’s options to deal with loss of oil supply from Iran and the Middle East: https://t.co/pf8gYZWvxE
KR Regulators Deploy $10T Stabilization Fund Amid 25% Rally
KR REGULATORS READY W10TN STOCK MKT STABILIZATION FUND DEPLOYMENT I mean they do still know the market is still up 25% this year right?
Retail‑Heavy Korean Market Crashes, Triggers Circuit Breaker
*CIRCUIT BREAKER TRIGGERED AFTER S. KOREA'S KOSPI PLUNGES 8% *KOREA'S KOSPI EXTENDS DROP TO 10% AFTER TRADING RESUMES The chart shows that the South Korean KOSPI stock index has doubled since last August (green) and has already corrected 17% from Friday's high...
US Imposes Preliminary Countervailing Duties on Solar Imports
U.S government sets preliminary countervailing duties on solar imports from India, Indonesia and Laos #energysky -- via pv magazine global: https://t.co/xLDIGb82s4
KOSDAQ Crash Triggers Circuit Breaker, Crypto Flows Questioned
*CIRCUIT BREAKER TRIGGERED AFTER S. KOREA'S KOSDAQ PLUNGES 8% Where did you think all those crypto flows ended up https://t.co/JzbQThyUAl
War‑Driven Oil Surge Threatens Gold Market Stability
The US-Iran war has driven up oil prices, stoking inflation fears and lifting yields alongside the dollar. Will this break the gold market? #GOLD #GoldPrice #USIranConflict #Dollar #Stocks #Markets #Macro #Trading https://t.co/ciFOGnfO6T
Majority Demand Congressional Approval Before Trump Acts on Iran
According to a CNN poll, 62% of U.S. adults say that Trump should obtain congressional approval before any further military action in Iran. THE PUBLIC IS TURNING ON THE WAR PRESIDENT. https://t.co/4jYyZSLJ7C
Iran Likely to Shut Hormuz Strait, Threatening Global Oil Supply
According to @Polymarket, there is a 67% chance that Iran will close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31. The probability has SOARED in the last few hours. 20% OF THE WORLD’S OIL, AND ~40% OF CHINA’S OIL, FLOWS THROUGH THE...
U.S. Sees -2% as Volatile; Nikkei Drops 10%
Americans think a -2% day is crazy volatile, while the Nikkei is down 10% in the first three days of March https://t.co/997R5MoBjs
Low‑beta, US‑linked European Sectors Stay Shock‑proof
GS Europe: Europe has re-rated in recent years Sectors with high US exposure and a low beta to the market should be mostly immune to recent shocks https://t.co/g2Fd3kpcA5
Venezuela Leads, Five Nations Face Hyperinflation
#HankeInflationDashboard: By my measurements, as of March 1st, this week's top 5 inflators are: 🇻🇪Venezuela — 656.1%/yr 🇰🇵North Korea — 107.8%/yr 🇮🇷Iran— 84.6%/yr 🇱🇾Libya — 63.8%/yr 🇨🇺Cuba — 50.0%/yr https://t.co/FrHE7rOpRu
Trump Abandons Iran Regime Change, Hints at Oil Focus
trump has backed away from regime change in iran. so what’s the strategy? if not tehran, then maybe the oil. @gzeromedia
Iran's Inflation Hits 87.2%, World’s Third‑Highest Rate
#IranWatch🇮🇷: Today, I measure Iran’s inflation at a PUNISHING 87.2%/yr. That's the world's THIRD HIGHEST INFLATION RATE. I remain the only reliable source of inflationary measures in Iran. https://t.co/Ur4qSrFxia