Rosatom Projects Persist Despite Western Sanctions
Interesting report on Rosatom > "Western sanctions have posed financial and logistical challenges to Rosatom’s projects, but most projects are staying the course." https://t.co/aqSfqArRIV
China's Early‑year Exports Boom, $213bn Trade Surplus
China’s Exports Surge in First Two Months of Year—Trade surplus stood at $213.62 billion for the period https://t.co/siI2mnkBZ1 https://t.co/siI2mnkBZ1
Trump Team Weighs Easing Russia Oil Sanctions to Lower Prices
March 9 (Reuters) - President Donald Trump's administration is considering reducing oil sanctions on Russia to help cool a surge in global energy prices triggered by the U.S. and Israeli war on Iran... according to three sources familiar with the...
Investors Should Apply Economists' Simple Extrapolation to Stocks
I enjoy very much how economists analyze: Oil is up $50. India imports 5 million per day. This is US$ 250 m extra per day or US$ 7.5 billion per month. How will India make up for annual US$ 90 billion...
China’s Politically‑driven Growth Target Fuels Overinvestment and Waste
FT op-ed: “China’s growth target is a global problem…The target is not based in economics. It’s a political goal…Pursuing that aim, Beijing has been overinvesting for years, but lately it has been dumping the excess output it can’t sell at...
Trump’s Iran Optimism Fails to Calm Investors
“Trump saying the Iran war will be over very soon is hardly the reassurance that will get tankers sailing normally again in and out of the Strait of Hormuz,” said Vandana Hari, founder of analysis firm Vanda Insights. Investors could...
China Refrains From Detaining Ships Amid US‑Iran Clash
“China could have held these vessels at port, imposed an administrative delay, invented a customs hold – any number of bureaucratic tools, but didn’t,” he said, calling the decision notable at a time when the United States and Iran are engaged...
Iran Now Cast as Oil‑flow Villain; Markets Act Calm
JUST IN: Classic turning the tables. Now Iran will be the bad guy for doing anything that hinders oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz. Crude is trading Tuesday morning as if the war is over. The proof will be in...
CPI Inflation Flat in February, Near 5‑Year Low
Wall Street has inflation as measured by the CPI running sideways in February and holding near the lowest 12-month rates in five years* *at least until April, when the data collection/imputation distortions from the Oct govt shutdown could fully unwind...
Oil’s Wild Swing Reignites Doubts About Market Recovery
Crude oil shot up toward $120/bbl, then plunged back below $90/bbl, swinging stocks, bonds, gold, and the dollar along the way. Is the market meltdown really over? #USIranWar #crudeoil #stockmarket #dollar #macro #trading https://t.co/9oO6NbDLq3
Oil and Dollar Rise as Stocks Slide Further
"...or we could go further... and we're going to go further." Crude oil up, dollar up, stock index futures down. 🎢
Graham Claims US Will Profit From Iran War
Sen Lindsey Graham promises US will gain oil/money from Iran war: "We are going to make a ton of money... Venezuela and Iran have 31% of the world’s oil reserves. We’re going to have a partnership with 31% of the...
Trump Hints at Lifting Sanctions Until Hormuz Clears
Unclear whether President Trump referred to the already announced easing of Russian oil sanctions for India, or something new. In any case, this is what he said: "We have sanctions on some countries. We're going to take those sanctions off till...
Oil Slides as Hormuz Transits Expected to Ease War Impact
*WTI OIL DROPS AS MUCH AS 10% TO $85.52/BBL AT START OF [Tuesday] TRADING *TRUMP SAYS IRAN WAR WILL END 'SOON' BUT NOT THIS WEEK Not to be callous ... but the market really cares about oil tankers moving through the Strait...
Trump Predicts Quick War End Amid Oil Dip
War might end “soon” - Trump. Oil price menjunam semula bawah $100. According to Bloomberg: “…mounting economic and political pressures..” Question is - can we believe him?
Speculating Maduro's Ouster as Venezuela Insurance Against Iran
Is it feasible that Maduro was taken off the board to use Venezuela as some sort of insurance policy against attacking Iran leading to tighter oil supply or is that silly
Trump Predicts Iran War Ending Soon, Critiques New Leader
President Trump just finished speaking on the Iran situation now. Here is a summary of his key comments. He says the war will end very soon (but not this week) and he is disappointed by the new supreme leader's appointment. Oil...
First Closure Hard, Repeated Closures Become Effortlessly Easy
Shutting down Hormuz the first time is like withdrawing from a golf tournament the first time. The second time becomes soooo much easier and will happen with much less provocation.
Carney’s Iran Misstep Highlights Need for Policy Reset
Carney’s Early Iran Misstep — Time to Reset Stick with this interview. It's long, complex, and not always easy to understand, but at the end of it I felt like I understood the dilemma facing MarkJCarney and Canada over Iran...
2026 Geopolitical Turmoil Drives Global Oil Price Swings
The geopolitical rollercoaster that is 2026 continues and is impacting global oil prices. #canada🇨🇦 #canada #trade #energy
Maritime Dominance Requires More than Shipyards: Chokepoints, Navies, Finance
President Trump’s push for “America’s Maritime Dominance” aims to break China’s grip on global shipbuilding. But shipyards are only one piece of maritime power. Th real contest runs through chokepoints, naval force, commercial fleets, and the insurance and financial systems...
Iranian Leaders Grasp U.S. Politics Better Than Vice Versa
Whether these arguments from the Iranian Foreign Minister are sincere or not, Iranian leaders seem to understand U.S. politics far better than American leaders understand Iranian politics.
Trump's Iran Comment Pushes Oil Below $90, Markets Rally
As I noted in this thread, no oil infrastructure was damaged. This was all about waiting for a resolution to gets the ships moving again. Looks like that happened and the market is pricing in the end of the war. Headlines * TRUMP...
Tariffs Incrementally Push Retail Prices Higher in 2025
"The Slow Climb: How Tariffs Gradually Raised Retail Prices in 2025" via @federalreserve https://t.co/HJiDIY3j8v "consumers are in fact paying higher retail prices because of tariffs" 😮 https://t.co/SbgM6kbcPA
Trump’s Iran War Comment Sends WTI Below $90
WTI crude oil fell below $90 per barrel after President Donald Trump told CBS that the Iran war is “very complete, pretty much.” Earlier in the day, WTI had surged to a peak of $119. https://t.co/ElHrOuNRmc
Markets Rebound as Iran Conflict Eases and Oil Reserves Released
If you’re wondering how the stock market closed green after oil dropped 30% Here’s what just changed: > President Trump just signaled the war with Iran may be nearing an end > G7 nations are reportedly considering releasing up to 400M barrels from...
2026 Risk Assets Outlook: Bonds, China Stocks Shine
OUT NOW - Michael Howell @crossbordercap on: - why he expects 2026 to be bad for risk assets - why he's bullish bonds & Chinese stocks - Gold, Bitcoin, & yield curve, and "Turbulence" phase of Liquidity cycle Apple🔊https://t.co/7bjoJLeYdJ Spotify📽️https://t.co/plpNPVQicu https://t.co/1mD9VJPm5e
June Fed Rate‑cut Odds Drop to 28% After Iran Tensions
A different cut of the same idea, using options prices that reference 3-month SOFR via the Atlanta Fed's tracker In the one week between Feb. 27 (the day before the first strikes on Iran) and Mar. 6, the probability of at...
Oil Plunges $30 on Trump’s Iran War Comment
The oil market thinks Trump just TACO’d (I’m less convinced, but let’s see) A $30 price swing in a day, helped by expectations of a big strategic oil stock release. Such larks. Oil tumbles to $90 as Trump says Iran war...
Oil Prices Held by Hormuz Tanker Standstill Risk Premium
The oil price isn't one of those things that spirals infinitely up. At current levels near $100, a big risk premium prices the temporary standstill of tankers in the Strait of Hormuz. You can bet Trump is working like crazy...
Markets Doubt US-Iran Conflict's End Amid War Debate
The betting market remains skeptical about the end date to the US-Iran conflict being in sight. Interesting that he is calling it an outright 'war'. Executive branch doesn't have the power to declare war. https://t.co/cUBtf0lV7M
Patience Saves; Oil Slides Amid Trump Hormuz Threat
I am glad that I have remained patient so far. If you had jumped the bandwagon on oil this morning, you would have been 20% down ish by now. I know the below is not a guarantee, but I stick...
Italy’s Giorgetti Warns ECB Against Hasty Rate Hikes
Italy’s Giorgetti cautions the ECB against the temptation of raising interest rates https://t.co/CasNsOy0KU via @Alemrome https://t.co/z3ATeFnSqp
Bad News Signals Market Bottom Amid K‑Shape Divide
🆓 Monday links: bottoming on bad news, the K-shaped economy, and the rise of GDP jamming. https://t.co/W6jd47jqkH chart: https://t.co/sRyFpUbgLf https://t.co/oOvSgydCoj
EU Think Tank Warns Market Weaponization Needed to Counter China
Weaponise EU market against China or face manufacturing collapse: official think tank EUISS study urges bloc to “preserve and create technological chokepoints”, diversify markets away from China – in both instances mirroring long-term moves made by Beijing – to give it...
Rising Oil Prices Threaten U.S. Recession Amid Middle East Conflict
Surging oil prices have sparked fears that a prolonged conflict in the Middle East could inflict steep financial costs on Americans "I am very concerned this could tip us into a recession if it persists," one economist tells @nytimes https://t.co/VkqGBNMgAR @TonyRomm...
Japan Weighs IEA Oil Release Amid Middle East Turmoil
Very good discussion with Japan's Minister of Economy, Trade & Industry Ryosei Akazawa @ryosei_akazawa about recent developments in the Middle East and the implications for Japan's energy security We discussed the available options, including a possible @IEA stock release https://t.co/rCnXYDGIHK
Constructive Talk with India's Energy Minister on Market Stability
Very constructive meeting with India's Minister for Petroleum & Natural Gas Hardeep Singh Puri @HardeepSPuri We discussed the latest developments in energy markets amid the conflict in the Middle East and the options on the table. We agreed to continue to...
Brazil's Market Near Historic Lows, Poised for Capital Influx
Brazil’s CAPE ratio is approaching one of the most undervalued levels in its history. The Brazilian equity market is nearly as cheap as it was at major historical bottoms — the early 2000s and the political crisis of 2015–16. This is a...
Polish Central Bank Gold Buys Likely Fund Wartime Plans
I've just done a deep dive on how the Polish central bank's gold purchases may have been intended for wartime financing from day one. When you look at promo NBP materials, the dog whistles were pretty brazen in retrospect. That...
Putin Urges Russia to Capitalize on Soaring Oil Prices
Putin says Russia should take advantage of the sky-high oil prices after US-Israeli attacks on Iran. Russia should redirect supplies to Europe elsewhere, he adds. “If we shift our focus right now to the markets that need more supplies, we might...
Iran Conflict Accelerates Shift to Electricity, Threatening Oil
How the Iran War Will Kill Oil and Gas O&G now have a competitor: electricity. High prices + volatility encourage consumers to buy check out the competition. Especially in the Global South. Buckle up, Canada. MarkJCarney #cdnpoli #abpoli #bcpoli https://youtu.be/dDbCM-M2UWA
Yield Curve Decoupled, Then Flattened After 10‑year Spike
Curve shape (white) was completely uncorrelated with level of rates through first week of Iran conflict. That trend changed overnight when 10s peaked ~4.20%. Since then, have seen notable flattening. 1/ https://t.co/zHYcDKsXG6
Higher Oil Prices Just Shift Relative Prices, Not Inflation
My take on the effect that increasing oil prices have on inflation: "There is a lot of narrative being spun in the newspapers saying that oil price increases will cause inflation. No. It simply means that the price of oil will...
Putin Warns Iran War Could Shut Hormuz Oil Flow
MOSCOW, March 9 (Reuters) - Russian President Vladimir Putin said on Monday that the Iran war had triggered a global energy crisis and cautioned that oil production dependent on transport through the Strait of Hormuz could soon come to a...
Sanchez Challenges Trump over Iran War Policy
Why Spain’s Sanchez is standing up to Trump on the Iran war https://t.co/Jq0rQAMH0R via @rorihuela https://t.co/sF1Tq53V7f
Iran Warns Oil Tankers to Tread Carefully in Hormuz
Oil tankers transiting Strait of Hormuz ‘must be very careful,’ Iran foreign ministry warns: CNBC $USO $XLE
France Deploys Warships, Europe Stays Engaged Amid Oil Surge
france sending warships to the med/red sea and potentially toward hormuz — framing it as “strictly defensive” and about freedom of navigation. message: europe won’t be (completely) sidelined as us–israel–iran escalation hits shipping lanes and pushes oil toward $100+.
China Condemns Interference, Defends Iran's New Leader
China Says Opposes Any Targeting of New Iran Leader "China opposes interference in other countries' internal affairs under any pretext, and Iran's sovereignty, security, and territorial integrity should be respected," he said when asked about the threats against the new leader. ...
Spain Targets 2028 Digital Euro to Cut US Dependence
USD stablecoins guarantee a digital euro; now we have even more proof of this from Spain: “Europe needs a sovereign payment architecture,” and “the noticeable increase in US stablecoin-based financial intermediation increases the urgency.” Spain Pushes for 2028 Launch of...