Saudi Raises Oil Price to $19.5, Asia Inflation Spikes
🚨 JUST IN Saudi Arabia has just increased its official oil selling price to a record high of $19.5/barrel. Inflation in Asia is about to skyrocket. https://t.co/dtEBhiWdgT
Singapore Fuel Prices Surge, Threatening Shipping Operations
singapore shipping fuel market going off the chart—this is shipping fuel shortage live. at that price, shippers will defer orders, park their ships and either wait till the war is over or go out of business.
Three Tariffs Put U.S. Heavy‑Truck Makers at Disadvantage
"U.S. Manufacturers Of Heavy-Duty Trucks Face A Tariff Disadvantage" https://t.co/ihpfPPczuL "There are three sets of tariffs affecting the cost basis of trucks manufactured in the U.S." https://t.co/l6SoB2YgXQ
Europe's U.S.-Excluding Trade Plans Are Fundamentally Flawed
European efforts to build trade systems that exclude the U.S. are inherently flawed. Full Newsletter: https://t.co/wTTMKJCfX2 #eu #trade #geopolitics https://t.co/gxyaAjNqwT
Cease‑fire Hopes Lift Market, but Negotiators Remain Doubtful
Hope of a cease-fire between US/Israel and Iran has captured the imaginations of the holiday-thinned market today. The negotiators themselves reported are not optimistic. $USD gave back earlier gains and is posting a possible outside down day. See https://t.co/Km1zBLaVJG...
Kremlin Warns Middle East Tensions Escalate Amid Trump Threats
The Kremlin, asked on Monday about threats made by U.S. President Donald Trump against Iran, said that the level of tension in the Middle East continues to grow, and that the whole region is "on fire".
Japanese Bond Yields Hit New Quad3 Cycle Highs
It's "off topic" for Macro Tourists this morning, but its still happening Japanese Bond Yields ramping to new #Quad3 Cycle Highs as markets price in higher inflation https://t.co/tz4Pb6zTgP
Quad3 Cycle Highs Signal Ongoing Bond Yield Breakout
COMMODITIES: New #Quad3 Cycle Highs last week should keep Bond Yields in breakout mode https://t.co/m2QLuLPYDZ
US Economy Stays Strong Amid High Gas, Global Outlook Darkens
“… Despite high gasoline prices, the U.S. economy is holding up. Abroad, though, interest rates and inflation risks have shot up, fuel is being conserved, and economic forecasts are darkening…” — @greg_ip https://t.co/tifsrZ3N3S
Germany’s Job Stats Mask Manufacturing Decline and Export Slump
Good Morning from #Germany, where the labor market looks healthier than it really is. Headline employment is holding up, but productive jobs in manufacturing are disappearing. Growth is coming in state-funded sectors, while the country’s export engine keeps losing ground....
Baltic Attacks Slash Russia’s $970 M Windfall From Oil Exports
“Moscow’s windfall profits from the Iran war remain high as Brent crude trades above $100 a barrel, but attacks on Russia’s two main export locations in the Baltic Sea may cut into the Kremlin’s windfall. Five attacks on Primorsk and Ust-Luga...
Saudi Raises Arab Light Price to Record Premium
Saudi Arabia has increased its official selling price (OSP) to a record high. The state-owned Saudi oil giant told refineries in Asian it would charge a premium of $19.5 a barrel over the regional benchmark for sales of its flagship...
MBS's Grand Plans Hampered by Severe Cash Shortage
"The problem is there was never enough cash to fund all his [Crown Prince MBS] ambitious initiatives." Indeed. That's why measures lie the balance of payments breakeven are useful. The Saudis needed $90 plus oil -- or near...
Pakistan's Reserves Plunge One-Third Amid Debt Repayments
#PakWatch🇵🇰: Due to foreign debt repayments, Pakistan's foreign reserves are set to shrink by a STUNNING ONE-THIRD this month. PAK = THIRD WORLD = IN THE TANK. FREE IMRAN KHAN. https://t.co/QKr6kb5Sop
Iran Conflict Fuels Volatility in Interest‑rate Swap Markets
Uncertainty over how the Iran war will affect the global economy is stirring volatility in interest-rate swap markets https://t.co/6hCS7QWGmZ via @highisland https://t.co/GLOEYbXZko
India's Russian Crude Imports Surge 94% in March
🇮🇳India’s Russian crude imports rebound sharply — up nearly 94% in March MoM and 10% YoY. https://t.co/O0zIu8LcIi
China's Excess Capacity Fuels Cheap Electrification in the Global South
An interesting question to ponder is whether Chinese overcapacity is essentially indirectly subsidizing the electrification of the "global south". It's similar to countries buying oil on the cheap, typically to stockpile. At the moment, oil is of course not cheap....
Qatar Aims to Resume LNG Shipments via Hormuz
Qatar is attempting to send LNG shipments through Hormuz for first time since the Iran war started 🚨🚨 If successful, this would be the first time a loaded LNG tanker has gone through Hormuz in over a month. ~20% of global...
Oil Inventories Falling, Price Spike Imminent, Catastrophe Ahead
According to Jeff Currie, distinguished economist and commodity market guru, we’re only seeing the start of what will become a major oil catastrophe. At present, we’re burning through oil inventories. Once inventories dwindle, oil prices will SPIKE. THE WORST IS YET TO COME....
China Restarts US Oil Imports Amid Middle East Disruption
China imports US oil for Asian fuel markets amid Hormuz crisis @asiatimesonline https://t.co/Iy0aRy8vam China is moving to resume large-scale purchases of United States liquefied natural gas (LNG) and crude oil, as supply disruptions in the Middle East and tightening fuel markets...
US External Deficits Mirror Unsustainable Domestic Borrowing
1/7 Martin Wolf, in an important piece on unsustainable current account imbalances, makes a point that most American economists miss: "the counterpart of external deficits tends to be unsustainable domestic borrowing." https://t.co/h7ob7Aac6A via @ft
20‑Year Data Reveals
Extraordinary data from the last 20 years showing changing fortunes across the worlds top 15 economies on the level where it matters : the individual. These figures get even more dramatic if we switch to PPP. If we factor inflation...
Qatar
Dozens of empty Qatari LNG tankers sit idle across Asia 🇶🇦🚢 The world's top LNG export plant in Qatar has been shut for over a month, upending the gas market and leaving the nation's fleet of ships without orders Hormuz has also...
India's Energy Imports Quadruple Since 2000, Heightening Vulnerability
#IndiaWatch🇮🇳: India’s net energy imports have exploded over the past 2 decades. Net energy imports have SURGED more than 4x since 2000. MORE ENERGY IMPORTS = MORE VULNERABILITY. https://t.co/PxS0fxVpuJ
Iran's Threats Make Hormuz Transit Too Risky
Hormuz isn’t controlled. It’s poisoned. There's no blockade & no toll booth. Iran has made transit so dangerous that no rational vessel owner moves. Iran's "approval" through exemptions is bullshit Flows remain stopped except for a few tankers willing to take great risk. #Hormuz #IranWar...
Closing Hormuz Cuts Oil Supply, Money Can’t Fix It
You can paper over financial losses, but you can’t paper over lost barrels, says @LynAldenContact You can print money. You can’t print oil. Shut Hormuz and the problem isn’t financial—it’s physical. No barrels. No flows. No workaround. #IranWar #Hormuz #OilMarkets #EnergyCrisis #Geopolitics #SystemShock
Iran Closing Hormuz Strait: The Ultimate Conspiracy Theory
In case you have not read it. remember, the biggest conspiracy theory is Iran closing the Hormuz strait. Think about it!
Trump’s Iran Ultimatum Spikes Oil, Fuels Market Volatility
Trump's 48-hour Iran ultimatum just sent oil futures through the roof. This geopolitical tension could spell trouble for broader markets. Going live in 2 hours to trade this volatility with our DOTS indicator signals. https://t.co/66dSROeuCi https://t.co/E2Zf77HxKR
Even After Tariffs, China Stays Indispensable Manufacturing Hub
JUST IN: President Trump's tariffs targeted Chinese manufacturing, but one electronics firm concluded after a turbulent 2025 that China remains a hard-to-replace hub if conditions stay stable.
Western Media Misstates Russia's Modest Growth vs Ukraine's Decline
The Western press continues to repeat untruths about Russia's economy. Russia has grown at a modest rate since the Great Financial Crisis of 2008. Whereas, Ukraine's has sunk. HANKE'S 95% RULE = 95% OF WHAT YOU READ IN THE PRESS IS EITHER...
Ukrainian Drones Torch Russia's Key Novorossiysk Oil Hub
Today, Ukrainian drone strikes SET FIRE to Russia’s major oil export terminals in Novorossiysk. The port handles over half of Russia’s crude and petroleum product shipments. YOU DON'T WANT TO BE SHORT OIL. https://t.co/XlgmcpVhsH
Postwar “Normal” Economy Was Historically Unprecedented
The “normal” postwar economy that everyone misses was the most unusual moment in all of economic history. Military spending was just one aspect…
Futures Verdict: President’s Weekend Bender Hurts Business
If you were wondering whether the President’s weekend bender helped or hurt the long-term interest of American business, futures markets just opened, and delivered their verdict. https://t.co/YNWdATAMmc
Market Ignores Hormuz Shutdown; Datacenter Attacks Could Trigger Crash
Literally no one in the mkt seems to care that Hormuz has been shut for a month, but if they start hitting datacenters, we may finally crash…🤣
War May End, but Oil Supply Disruptions Linger
According to Jeff Currie, distinguished economist and commodity market guru, even if the US-ISRAELI war on Iran ends soon, the damage to supply chains has been done. Oil flows will be disrupted for months or years. https://t.co/SxmxwhkvAY
Explosives Discovered Near Balkan Stream Pipeline, Ukraine Suspected
Serbian police found explosives near the Balkan Stream gas pipeline. It supplies Serbia and Hungary with gas from Russia. PRIME SUSPECT = UKRAINE. Stay tuned. https://t.co/AHjq0mZhzB
Geopolitical Risk Dominates S&P 500 10‑K Disclosures
I analyzed fifty S&P 500 10-Ks. The data is wild. I scanned for 8 risk themes: tariffs, war, geopolitical risk, oil/energy, sanctions, supply chain, interest rates, and recession. Morgan Stanley has 221 mentions of geopolitical risk. Citigroup has 269 mentions. Bank of America had...
Iran Conflict Spikes Oil, Threatens UST Long‑end Auctions
This is a high-stakes week for the bond market. The recent spike in crude prices - fueled by the conflict in Iran - will show up in March’s inflation data. The consensus on Wall Street is a headline print...
U.S. Drivers Spent $8.4 B Extra on Gas
American drivers have paid an additional $8.4 BILLION in fuel costs since the start of the US-Israeli war on Iran. The cost of regular gas has JUMPED from $2.80 to $4.11 per gallon since January 11. AMERICANS DRIVERS SHOULD SEND A BILL...
French Post Offices Block US Mail, Threatening Tax Returns
Many French post offices are declining all US mail citing US tariffs. This means Americans in France are struggling to send their tax returns and sending via Fedex, DHL instead. This has voting implications if it continues.
US Chemical Stocks Surge 6% Amid Gulf Crude Squeeze
U.S. chemical producers like Dow are outperforming the S&P 500, with shares up about ~6%, as access to Persian Gulf crude (a key ingredient for plastics) tightens due to the Iran war
Iran War's End Won’t Reverse Lasting Systemic Disruptions
Even if the Iran war "ends" politically, it doesn't end This is a world-changing event. Rhetoric resolves in weeks. Flows in months. Systems in years. The disruption to energy, shipping, & trade flows are irreversible and permanent in many ways. #IranWar #EnergyCrisis #Geopolitics #GlobalEconomy...
Trump Team Texts Iran FM, Enlists Regional Mediators
JUST IN: Trump's team is texting Iran's Foreign Minister Araghchi to push forward negotiations, with Pakistani, Egyptian, and Turkish mediators also in play.
Data Centers Boost GDP, Healthcare Jobs Keep Unemployment Low
The future unfolding in plain sight: GDP growth propped up by data center construction. Low unemployment propped up by healthcare jobs. https://t.co/aADxNaQXij
Asian Oil Stocks Plunge, US And
Major drop in crude oil inventories in Japan, followed by India. US and China are up! Make you own conclusions.
Debt to Ourselves Just Excuses Unlimited Money Printing
When an argument is made that "Our debt doesn't matter because we owe it to ourselves"...that is code for "we can print the money and just debase the currency"...
Gold Leads US Exports, Offsetting Trade Deficits
The US’ single biggest export in February was “non-monetary gold.” Gold has been the US’ biggest export in 4 out of the past 5 months (it was the 2nd biggest export in the 5th mth.) Trump is partially settling US trade deficits...
India's Exports Pivot: Services Up, Textiles/Agriculture Down
#IndiaWatch🇮🇳: India’s export mix has been REWRITTEN in the past 30 years. Services SURGED from 17% in 1995 to 45% in 2023. In the meantime, as a share of total exports, textiles and agriculture COLLAPSED. https://t.co/rjJl7fH9a0
India’s Foreign Policy: Hedge, De‑risk, Diversify for Long‑term Stability
S. Jaishankar, India's Minister of External Affairs on the importance of hedging: “Hedge, de-risk, diversify is how India navigates a fractured world.” STRATEGY OVER NOISE. INDIA PLAYS THE LONG GAME. https://t.co/Y303y6Dl2Q
CPI to Gauge Oil Shock; Fed Minutes Hint Iran Stance
March CPI on Friday will show how the oil spike hit consumer prices. Meanwhile, Fed Minutes offer a window into policymakers' early thinking on the Iran conflict. 🟢 Open https://t.co/51FrxswWr9