Know What's Happening in Commodities
Know What's Happening in Commodities
OPEC+ agrees to modest oil quota increase amid Middle East war
OPEC+ members agreed in principle to raise oil production quotas for May by roughly 206,000 barrels per day. Saudi Arabia and Russia led the video‑conference decision as the conflict in the Middle East constrains output and shipments. Delegates said the move signals alliance cohesion despite the geopolitical shock.
Also developing:
Germany’s residential solar market is seeing a sharp uptick, with E.ON reporting that inquiries for rooftop installations have roughly doubled since the Israel‑U.S.-Iran escalation in late February. Other installers such as 1KOMMA5° and Enpal echo the surge, while some industry voices attribute part of the rise to the typical spring rebound. Higher electricity prices, concerns over supply disruptions, and the looming 2027 subsidy phase‑out are also fueling consumer interest in solar, heat pumps and EV chargers.
🚨IRAN JUST PUT BIG TECH IN DANGER QATAR'S HELIUM PLANT JUST GOT HIT, WHICH PRODUCES 33% OF THE GLOBAL SUPPLY 12 countries heavily rely on Qatar's Helium, with no substitute or restart timeline It could take 5 years until normal production is...
Recent diesel price surges lifted total spot rates for dry‑van, refrigerated and flatbed trucks to their highest levels since late 2022, adding more than 10 cents per mile. When fuel surcharges are removed, linehaul rates slipped 3.5‑8 cents per mile, cutting actual revenue...
U.S./IRAN war is having a very different impact on gas prices in Europe and Asia compared with the United States. The conflict has had essentially no impact on domestic gas prices in the United States, which remains insulated from global...
Drones hit Kuwait's largest oil refinery for a second consecutive day, igniting a fire and forcing the shutdown of multiple processing units. The disruption prompted crude prices to edge higher on Friday, reversing earlier declines and highlighting the expanding Iranian...
My latest w/ @janetonthemoney on @SIRIUSXM 132 on oil: “Oil is in a backwardation, with the spot price being quite a bit higher than the forward prices... The futures oil markets are not thinking the way I am. The futures markets...
Vegetable oil futures, led by crude palm oil (CPO) and CME soybean oil, surged amid rising crude oil prices and heightened Middle East tensions. The most active May CPO contract on Bursa Malaysia rose 0.93% to 4,541 ringgit per tonne,...
UK energy suppliers face heightened credit risk as Iran‑driven gas price shocks double wholesale gas prices to 174 pence per therm in March 2026. The UK’s electricity market relies on gas‑fired generators for marginal pricing, so wholesale spikes directly erode supplier...
Diesel and gasoline prices in the Philippines will rise next week, but the hikes are milder—diesel by about P14‑P14.50 per litre and gasoline by P7‑P7.50, marking the tenth consecutive weekly increase. Jeepney operators are pressing the government for the same...
After a year of depressed prices, platinum‑group metal (PGM) prices have nearly doubled and producer shares rose over 70%. Despite the rally, CEOs of companies that control 80% of global PGM output said they will prioritize life‑of‑mine extensions, cost discipline...
Fastmarkets announced that its India steel price assessments were published on March 20, a day later than scheduled. The delayed release includes domestic and export prices for hot‑dipped galvanized coil, cold‑rolled coil, hot‑rolled coil, heavy plate, billets, and electrical steel,...
European natural gas futures fell up to 3% after the United States and Israel announced steps to reduce the risk of Iranian attacks on Persian Gulf energy facilities. Despite the dip, the contracts remain on track for a roughly 20%...
The escalating war in the Middle East has sharply curtailed liquefied natural gas shipments from Qatar, the world’s largest LNG exporter, creating a supply gap for Asian importers. In response, countries such as South Korea, Indonesia and Bangladesh are accelerating...
Dangote’s 650,000‑barrel‑per‑day refinery, now two years operational, is seeing soaring demand as the Ukraine war disrupts traditional fuel imports to Africa. Roughly 75% of its output is reserved for Nigeria, leaving limited capacity for export to neighboring economies. Countries across...
If we use Oil as the fear gauge for markets, then two attempts by Brent crude to cross 118$ failed. Clearly, there is strong resistance to allowing prices to go that far or higher. The situation would have to get...
Copper eases as LME and SHFE inventories surge, widening contango and cooling near-term demand. https://www.metalnomist.com/2026/03/copper-prices-soften-as-inventories.html
The Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that residential electricity bills rose nearly 7 percent in 2025, double the overall inflation rate. Democrats on the Joint Economic Committee used federal data to show that while New Jersey, Indiana and Illinois saw price...
Australia’s largest fuel retailer Ampol says it has enough stock to meet demand despite panic‑driven shortages at some stations. The Middle‑East war and China’s suspension of 15% of regional fuel exports have strained traditional supply routes, prompting Ampol to secure...
The Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC) has issued an urgent interim authorisation allowing the Australian Institute of Petroleum and its members to coordinate fuel supply logistics across the country in response to Middle‑East conflict‑driven disruptions. The permission expressly forbids...
Asia mixed; oil volatility and Fed caution weigh, China holds LPR. Oil spike raises inflation/Strait-of-Hormuz supply risk; Alibaba weakens sentiment. Trade: hedge Asian equities with oil puts. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Prices have surged but physical oil infrastructure damage remains limited & still some slack in system. For a disruption this large, prices eventually need to rise high enough to actually destroy demand—as parts of crude & product mkts are starting...
The war in Iran has shut the Strait of Hormuz, halting the flow of roughly half the world’s nitrogen‑rich urea fertilizer. U.S. corn growers see prices jump from about $350 to $600 per ton, squeezing margins just before planting. Democrats...
Markets are shrugging off Middle East tensions as oil disruptions prove less severe than feared. Iran's selective passage through Hormuz is easing supply concerns. 🟢 Open https://t.co/I5Gu8mRO2F
This is a very important story: “…The amount of oil stored at sea — a vital buffer for markets — is running down fast…” About 1/3 of what’s left is Iranian. https://t.co/zS7v0338Ay
Iranian missile attacks on Qatar's Ras Laffen LNG complex knocked out roughly 17% of the plant’s export capacity, equivalent to about 17 bcm or 3 % of global LNG trade. The disruption is expected to linger for three to five years, prompting the...
“Locations including Japan, Singapore, Thailand, Taiwan, Pakistan and Bangladeshgenerate a third or more of their electricity from natural gas.” “Many facing supply shortages and price increases are turning back to coal-fired power plants.” https://t.co/YhwmluSw9F #oott #LNG
China’s ravenous appetite for silver lifted overseas purchases to an eight-year high at the start of 2026, as importers fed a surge in industrial and investment demand. https://t.co/mlxOgJfWC9
President Donald Trump’s team is scrambling for measures to curb soaring crude prices as the Iran‑Israel war enters its third week. Options on the table include a U.S. Navy escort for tankers in the Strait of Hormuz and a rapid...
Gold's parabolic rally in 2025 warned us, now what? https://t.co/gPI9FAAgip #crudeoil #gold #energy #metals #Iran @markets
Every time there’s a fuel price shock, the same calls emerge: drill the North Sea. New @UKERCHQ analysis cuts through the noise and explains why this argument doesn’t hold up. https://t.co/HHL1mSGAjZ https://t.co/dfPeJ4JL3x
The closure of the Strait of Hormuz has abruptly removed roughly 15 million barrels per day of crude and refined oil from global markets, creating an immediate supply gap. Nations are resorting to inventory drawdowns, opportunistic purchases, emergency policies, and limited...
EU leaders confront multi-year energy squeeze after Qatar hit https://t.co/VJQeTgB0l1 via @johnainger @E_Krukowska @donatopmancini https://t.co/Res6oTlW0s
The global energy crisis will drag on even if the Iran war ends tomorrow: Energy Outlook Advisors https://t.co/xPMnRiP3fO
Russia is leveraging a U.S. waiver and global oil shortages to boost its crude and product exports. Seaborne product shipments jumped 25% to 2.6 million barrels per day, while crude exports rose about 10% in March. Production gaps caused by OPEC‑plus...
Oil is $100 in the U.S. and $150 in Asia. I’m looking forward to the all the reports by the usual suspects this weekend explaining how this is a positive development for China.
Call the headline “attention grabbing” if you must, but this is an excellent look into what those modeling oil prices in Saudi Arabia see happening Thanks @summer_said #oott #oil #iran https://t.co/7AGgTmaVXb
Diesel prices have spiked sharply as a series of supply‑chain disruptions converge on the market. Recent refinery outages, geopolitical tensions in key exporting regions, and unexpected weather events have tightened global diesel inventories. The price rally is reverberating through freight,...
Brent cools down to $105 early Friday. The war has entered its 21st day, with the Strait of Hormuz still effectively closed. Have some in the market drunk the kool-aid again?
U.S natural gas comparative rose 52 bcf to a surplus of 16 bcf week ending March 13 Henry Hub spot price increased $0.20 to $3.19 on Gulf war supply urgency fears #energy #NaturalGas #shale #fintwit #oilandgas #Commodities #ONGT #natgas #LNG https://t.co/xkTrGWwvfb
Oil prices are set for a weekly rise as the Middle‑East conflict enters its fourth week, with the Strait of Hormuz effectively shut and strikes persisting across the region. Brent crude traded above $108 per barrel, marking a more than...
With global energy prices going vertical, the next metrics to watch are recession probabilities of net energy importers - particularly in South and Southeast Asia https://t.co/ehwgNBNqH4
“Get long and buckle up,” says Jeff Currie. It took -$37 to clear oversupply during Covid Currie's "mirror image" approach indicates it may take $175 BRENT TO CLEAR THIS SHORTAGE That’s not volatility—that’s a regime shift #OilMarkets #Brent #EnergyCrisis #Commodities #Macro #Supercycle
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South Africa is confronting an acute fuel supply shock after the Strait of Hormuz closure disrupted Middle‑East oil flows. The government assures no station shutdowns, yet industry‑level allocation bans have left diesel pumps dry in several provinces. A strategic petroleum...
Gold prices are suffering their worst week in six years. What's driving the crash, and where is this market going next? #gold #oilprice #inflation #fed #markets #macro #trading https://t.co/0hNC9B49Vg
Good morning Asia, We are at the stage of the conflict where people are selling their gold (most valuable hard asset and a hedge for bad times) to buy oil. Got oil, gas, and may I say coal? https://t.co/fsqt6mevX1
The energy sector has logged 49 consecutive days in overbought territory, marking the second‑longest streak on record. Intraday crude oil futures are being pushed by extreme positioning swings and thin liquidity. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve’s Flow of Funds data shows...
Gold down wasn’t a surprise — it was the setup. 🥇📉 📈 Oil up 📈 Rates up 💵 Dollar up = short-term pressure on gold We sold SOME into the breakdown… Now buying it back into panic. 😈 Process > opinions.
Brazil imposed a 50% tax on diesel and marine gasoil (MGO) exports on 12 March, causing demand in Brazilian ports to collapse. Suppliers report "non‑existent" MGO volumes as buyers shift to very‑low‑sulfur fuel oil (VLSFO). Even domestically flagged vessels now prefer...
Had the opportunity to speak alongside @ExnerPirot and Bob Yawger of Mizuho about the Iran War, the largest energy supply shock in history, and what it all means for Canada on @therundowntvo. Airs tonight on TVO at 8pm ET. https://t.co/XJgEE8PqMA
Cattle and lean‑hog futures fell on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange as traders awaited the USDA On‑Feed report. Live cattle dropped $2.12 to $233.27 and feeder cattle slipped $6.07 to $347.75, while lean‑hog contracts were $1.70 lower at $92.05. Cash markets...
