Know What's Happening in Commodities
Know What's Happening in Commodities
OPEC+ agrees to modest oil quota increase amid Middle East war
OPEC+ members agreed in principle to raise oil production quotas for May by roughly 206,000 barrels per day. Saudi Arabia and Russia led the video‑conference decision as the conflict in the Middle East constrains output and shipments. Delegates said the move signals alliance cohesion despite the geopolitical shock.
Also developing:
In this episode of Commodity Week, panelists Todd Gleason, Greg Johnson (Total Grain Marketing), Seth VanderWidey (Logic Ag Marketing), and Sherman Nuland (Zaner Financial) discuss the current grain and oilseed markets amid high oil prices and rising fertilizer costs. They examine how the Iran war and sustained crude prices could lift corn and soybean prices, while input cost spikes—especially diesel and nitrogen—are prompting some producers to shift acreage from corn to soybeans. The conversation also covers the upcoming March 31st planting intentions report, the role of speculators in the ag commodity index, and strategies for farmers to manage risk through price locking and cost analysis.
It’s been another rollercoaster day in the oil market with both benchmarks trading in a wide range (CNBC charts below). Between the remarks from officials in Washington DC and those out of Israel — both following the attacks on energy infrastructure...
The selloff in silver over the past 15 days has been one of the most extreme moves we’ve seen in history. Only two other episodes are comparable: One marked a major peak, the other a major bottom. Personally, I have never seen a...
In this episode of the Dividend Cafe, host Brian Seitel reviews a volatile market environment driven by Middle East tensions, rising oil prices, and mixed economic data. He highlights short‑term positive factors such as $160 billion in Q1 tax refunds, the...
Dubai crude surged to a record $166 a barrel as U.S.-Iran hostilities crippled transit through the Strait of Hormuz. Brent crude has risen nearly 48% since the conflict began, trading around $106, while WTI lags but faces upward pressure. Analysts...
Oil could hit $150 a barrel. Not because of speculation. Because one-third of the world's oil supply is now at risk, and there is no substitute for oil in global production. None. Here is what mainstream economists are missing:
The article warns that a disruption in the Strait of Hormuz could turn an oil price shock into a fertilizer shock, raising food costs and broadening inflation. About one‑third of global fertilizer exports, especially nitrogen‑based urea, pass through Hormuz, and...
The real problem is nitrogen-based fertilizers, which are, as a rule, derived from oil-based naphtha or natural gas. Currently, Qatar takes natural gas produced at its South Pars gas field, which was recently struck by Iran, to make ammonia and...
The Daily Energy Report reframes Hormuz Strait risk by emphasizing crude quality over sheer volume, noting medium‑sour grades now dominate exports while light‑sour streams like Murban remain niche. Asia faces the steepest impact from any Hormuz disruption, prompting tighter crack...
We are in the midst of a hot war in the Middle East, with Oil prices kissing $120, a cooling (pre-war) labor market, and the odds of a recession ticking up from modest levels. And despite all of this geopolitical economic...
U.S. regular gasoline prices jumped nearly 90 cents to about $3.80 per gallon, while diesel rose $1.40 to just over $5, according to AAA data. The surge could cost the average household more than $600 in extra fuel expenses this...
North Dakota regulators are watching a rapidly widening Brent‑WTI price spread, now $11.92 per barrel, after it nearly doubled since early March. State oil output slipped to 1.16 million barrels per day in January, down 13,000 b/d year‑over‑year, as cold weather and...
Broad commodity prices plunged on Thursday as the U.S.–Iran conflict pushed oil higher, sparking inflation and rate‑rise concerns. Gold slipped nearly 6% and silver 8%, while industrial metals such as copper fell 2% and palladium 5.5%. The sell‑off reflects fears...
Energy insecurity starts here. Fossil fuels are traded through systems where price is influenced not only by supply and demand, but by conflict, sanctions, and speculation. That means households and utilities can face higher costs even when local production remains...
Gold prices plunged to $4,508 per ounce, a sharp drop from the $5,311 close on March 2, even as geopolitical tensions and U.S. budget deficits rise. The decline coincided with Pentagon officials confirming a potential $200 billion supplemental request for the Iran‑related...
Bunge Global SA announced the pricing of a $1.2 billion senior unsecured note offering, split into $500 million of 4.8% notes due 2033 and $700 million of 5.15% notes due 2036. The proceeds will be used for general corporate purposes, including debt repayment,...
For those of you trying to figure out what's going on with the Brent-WTI spread. Let me point out an old gem that helps explain it. - Different delivery date windows - Different contract expiration dates - When things are volatile, individual...
The U.S. Energy Information Administration’s March Short‑Term Energy Outlook raised its 2027 crude oil production forecast by about 0.5 million barrels per day, citing higher West Texas Intermediate prices. The agency now expects average output of 13.61 million bpd in 2026 and...
Fascinating to see where Brent and TTF are trading right now after the last 24 hours of attacks and counter attacks. Brent is up a mere 3%, and TTF is lower than at the peak on Tuesday March 3rd. The...
$Silver is trading below its 100 day MA for the 1st time since its April 2025 low. However, I don't think it's relevant since it retested the February low earlier today, so unless it breaks below 64 it probably made...
U.S. paving firms warn that asphalt costs are climbing as crude oil prices surge amid the Iran conflict. In the Northeast, the average price per ton has risen 4‑5% over the past year, while some regions like Kansas see modest...
Crude Oil - Imp Update WTI & Brent crude Premium Gap is $17 now Normal Premium $4-5 Means $10-12 additional premium due to Geopolitics We have seen similar trend in Silver before the 20-23% fall came If any positive trigger will...
OUT NOW - how @Rory_Johnston sees it: Unless the Strait of Hormuz opens soon, $220 oil and a recession is "almost guaranteed." $300+ oil & Global Depression are possible. Apple🔊 https://t.co/hBJ1sBFqgN Spotify📽️ https://t.co/fnf6ENfHbf 1/3 https://t.co/gvV2pR4qXu
Newmont Corp (NEM) slumped 9.4% to $96.70, marking its lowest price since December and its worst trading day since April 2024. The decline mirrors a broader gold‑price sell‑off triggered by persistent inflation fears, steady Federal Reserve rates, and heightened geopolitical...
PTX Metals $PTX.V $PANXF Someone got some nice cheapies today and price is threatening to make a hammer. Drills turning at W2. Over $35M spent by Inco and Aurora ... over 2.5B lbs Cu Equivalent including 2M oz...
Love someone as much as disgraced oil executive Scott Sheffield loves musing about how oil prices will stay high. https://t.co/FvV8HROEj1 https://t.co/yzPdBxjHjy
“.. The plan .. reflects the administration’s desperation to reduce oil prices, encouraging Iran to sell more oil even while it is at war ..” @nytimes https://t.co/MWCiL3jrqQ https://t.co/wCWv18Be6N
Trump Administration Shuts Down Export Ban Rumors as Trump Moves to Cool Oil Prices https://t.co/yzIMSfps18
‘One day chicken, one day feathers’: why US shale producers are not cheering $100 oil. This and more in the Chartbook Top Links today. https://t.co/cEMRj6MyHl
People assume oil shocks are bad. But is that true for the US? After all, we are net exporters. This week's newsletter works through some simple models and calculations https://t.co/wohddXGXAR
Following @IEA Member countries' decision to release 400 mln barrels of oil stocks to counter disruptions, initial volumes have already been made available Thank you to countries for their stock contributions & to Canada & Mexico for increased production: https://t.co/CjYXygzQpG https://t.co/sUGUpkuuU0
Gold and Silver are down in what is a very interesting move in how the war is changing markets. In Gold, UAE is one of the largest importers (#1 in 2024, $105bn) and exporters (#2 in 2024, $78bn) of gold...
"Tomorrow marks the official start of Spring and prices at the pump continued to climb by 28 cents since last week. With the Spring equinox ushering in warmer weather and more time on the road, gas prices are trending upward...
“We’d be using the Iranian barrels against the Iranians to keep the price down for the next 10 or 14 days.” Masterful gambit, sir.
COLUMN: Trump has seemingly turned WTI oil into a referendum on his war against Iran: more than $100 👎; less than $100 👍 But WTI isn't what matters for America's Main Street: refined petroleum products do -- and prices are rising...
Gold Price Short-term Outlook: XAU/USD Plunges 17% – Key Support Break Sparks Risk https://t.co/oj3h71da7v $XAUUSD Daily & 240min Charts https://t.co/ehqks3gynu
The next chart shows the major oil shocks, including 1973, 1979, 1990, 2008, and 2022. Some were brief, others were not. 🧵 https://t.co/SHZJOMDkYG
Gold is down 15% since the war escalated, even as the Pentagon seeks $200 billion for the conflict. Safe havens aren't behaving like safe havens. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/bzmDKfsv4g
Precious Metal Miner Misery #crudeoil $XAUUSD $XAGUSD $GLD $SLV $DXY $GDX I break down how rising oil, yields & a stronger dollar are pressuring gold, silver and miners - while client research shows oil shocks disrupt auto demand & hit platinum and...
As with fuel, so with fertilizers. If maintained, China will remove a major global fertilizer exporter (second largest in 2024) from the market already slammed by the closure of the Straits https://t.co/ecZOLrSkBL
*US WILL NOT IMPLEMENT CRUDE EXPORT BAN: POLITICO ... OK, so how about refined products? I've been saying up 'till now that they're going to be tempted to restrict trade, but that I thought they'd be more likely to restrict refined products...
U.S. comparative inventory rose 3.7 mmb for the week ending March 13 Crude C.I. rose 4.5 mmb, gasoline fell 3.6 mmb and distillate fell 1.7 mmb #energy #OOTT #oilandgas #WTI #CrudeOil #fintwit #OPEC #Commodities #commoditiesmarket https://t.co/C0YGpBqbqu
@mrmbrown and I talk about whether fuel retailers are price gouging, or is the government the villain here? https://t.co/IeuhUHsjut
Why is everyone assuming CL manipulation and not just occam's razor that asian markets need oil and they cant access landlocked wti as easily and are all bidding up whatever is accessible even if at a significant premium
Perfect day to ask the question... the price of $gold a year from now will be
Three “oil prices” isn’t just geography—it’s quality + refinery demand. Oman (sour, heavier) = scarce barrels complex refineries need → blowout Brent = global seaborne benchmark → war risk premium WTI = light sweet, inland → discounted #OilMarkets #Crude #Energy #WTI #Brent #Oman
The Strait of Hormuz carries roughly 20% of the world's oil supply. Iran has now completely disrupted it and Brent crude surged to $115 this morning. The Fed can't cut its way through a supply shock. And Bitcoin's entire bull case for...
i can hear the copper stock investors from here... "but, but, but, there is a shortfall of copper" why are the stocks falling? $COPX $FCX $SCCO answer: more supply than demand... they rallied hard, many were surely late, and now...
QatarEnergy CEO says the Iranian attack overnight damaged ~17% of its LNG production capacity, and it would take 3-5 years to repair the damage. https://t.co/LWYkomhG8G
European gas is now >6x the price of US gas. US nat gas assets becoming more valuable by the day.
