Global Economy Social Media and Updates

China Bans Meta-Manus Deal, Highlighting US‑China Business Strain
SocialApr 28, 2026

China Bans Meta-Manus Deal, Highlighting US‑China Business Strain

China’s Ban on Meta-Manus Deal Shows Strains in U.S.-China Business Ties—National-security concerns are increasingly weighing on commercial ties @hannahmiao_ https://t.co/8u5gYXWhtZ https://t.co/8u5gYXWhtZ

By Jonathan Cheng
China's Export‑driven Model Collapses Under Security Costs
SocialApr 28, 2026

China's Export‑driven Model Collapses Under Security Costs

China built its entire economic model based on the principle that exports were universal. That model is crumbling as countries realized they hollowed out their manufacturing base and eroded their own national security in the process. China was the biggest...

By Craig Fuller
US Bans Chip Tool Shipments to Huahong's Facilities
SocialApr 28, 2026

US Bans Chip Tool Shipments to Huahong's Facilities

The U.S. ordered numerous chip equipment companies to halt tool shipments to two facilities of Huahong, China’s second-largest chipmaker, according to sources. https://t.co/9lzUXgpLQr

By Samantha LaDuc
Gas Prices Set to Dominate Economic Conversation
SocialApr 28, 2026

Gas Prices Set to Dominate Economic Conversation

Yesterday, I got a haircut. After basic pleasantries, the barber (who knows I'm a lawyer but doesn't know much else) asked me how high I thought gas prices will go and whether it would hurt the economy. Friends,...

By Matt Foreman
Global Economy Inching Toward a Massive Oil Shock
SocialApr 28, 2026

Global Economy Inching Toward a Massive Oil Shock

Haven’t seen lines like this since airlines in March 2020 It really does seem to me that the whole world is sleepwalking into a massive oil shock. Would be delighted to be wrong. What am I missing?

By Jack Farley
2020‑Peak US Bonds Lose 30‑50% Real Value
SocialApr 28, 2026

2020‑Peak US Bonds Lose 30‑50% Real Value

If you bought 10 year US bonds near the peak in 2020, on an after inflation basis, you're still down 30% six years later. If you bought 30 year US bonds instead, you're down over 50%.

By Meb Faber
Putin’s Power Play: Russian Yacht Defies Hormuz
SocialApr 28, 2026

Putin’s Power Play: Russian Yacht Defies Hormuz

Flex from Putin. How to tell Trump you hold the cards without saying it. Russian superyacht Nord sails through Strait of Hormuz despite blockade - BBC News https://share.google/Rfioe7Vn4DAz26Uul

By Bill Boorman
Putin's Approval Plummets as Russia’s Economy Crumbles
SocialApr 28, 2026

Putin's Approval Plummets as Russia’s Economy Crumbles

Putin's Approval Hits Four-Year Low, Whatever that’s worth: • Approval dropped to 67%, the first decline in four years of the full-scale war. • Russia's economy contracted by 1.8% in January and February 2026. • The budget deficit for Q1 2026 has already...

By David J. Doherty
Defying OPEC Quotas Invites Invasion, UAE Demands Guarantees
SocialApr 28, 2026

Defying OPEC Quotas Invites Invasion, UAE Demands Guarantees

Probably worth reminding that the last time a gulf state defied opec quotas in the context of damages from a wider regional war with Iran, it also got invaded. Context was that after the Iran–Iraq War, Iraq was heavily indebted and...

By Izabella Kaminska
UAE Exits OPEC After Six Decades, Reshaping Oil Market
SocialApr 28, 2026

UAE Exits OPEC After Six Decades, Reshaping Oil Market

JUST IN: The UAE has left OPEC after 59 years. Oil will never be the same. Here's what's happening and why it matters:

By Andrew Lokenauth (The Finance Newsletter)
Blockade Leaves Hundreds of Ships Stalled, Hurting Trade
SocialApr 28, 2026

Blockade Leaves Hundreds of Ships Stalled, Hurting Trade

US Central Command. With blockade, the number of ships stuck at Chah Bahar port. The impact on trade and the economy.

By Tom Craig
Yemen's Soaring Borrowing Costs Push It to 13th miseryYemen's Soaring Borrowing Costs Push It to 13th Misery
SocialApr 28, 2026

Yemen's Soaring Borrowing Costs Push It to 13th miseryYemen's Soaring Borrowing Costs Push It to 13th Misery

In Hanke’s 2025 Annual Misery Index, Yemen ranks as the 13TH MOST MISERABLE country in the world. SKY-HIGH BORROWING COSTS = ECONOMIC MISERY. https://t.co/LX3r9vDWeG

By Steve Hanke
UAE Exit Leaves OPEC with Minimal Market Power
SocialApr 28, 2026

UAE Exit Leaves OPEC with Minimal Market Power

With the UAE exit, OPEC has officially lost most influence it still had over global oil markets... Full analysis available exclusively for Analyst Tier members on Patreon ➡️ https://t.co/Es6KeSByiI #opec #crudeoil #geopolitics https://t.co/UIfE0geRBI

By Peter Zeihan
US Farm Groups Outline USMCA Priorities on RealAgRadio
SocialApr 28, 2026

US Farm Groups Outline USMCA Priorities on RealAgRadio

I gained some great insights from US farm groups and industry associations on USMCA this week in DC.

By Shaun Haney
German Chancellor Says US Humiliated by Iran
SocialApr 28, 2026

German Chancellor Says US Humiliated by Iran

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz said Monday that the U.S. is being “humiliated” by the Iranian regime I asked @MikeFroman Whose side is Germany on?

By Sara Eisen
China Maintains Oil Imports Amid US‑Israeli Conflict
SocialApr 28, 2026

China Maintains Oil Imports Amid US‑Israeli Conflict

Since the start of the US-Israeli war on Iran, China has not drawn been forced to draw down its inventories of oil. China has obviously been able to import oil at a normal pace. CHINA IS WINNING. https://t.co/Wg0kqvLybI

By Steve Hanke
Survey Flags High Credit Risk, yet IG Spreads Stay Low
SocialApr 28, 2026

Survey Flags High Credit Risk, yet IG Spreads Stay Low

In @steveliesman FOMC survey, 70% of respondents labeled systemic credit risk as "extremely elevated or "somewhat elevated." How can you possibly square that with IG credit spreads 80bps in the bottom quintile? https://t.co/1lJyASMnM1

By Guy LeBas
Mortgage Rates Dip, Spread Widens to 202 Bps
SocialApr 28, 2026

Mortgage Rates Dip, Spread Widens to 202 Bps

The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate today: 6.38% Same day last year: 6.82% -------------------- 10-year Treasury yield today: 4.36% Spread today: 202 bps

By Lance Lambert
Rate Hikes Can't Curb Energy Inflation, only Damage Growth
SocialApr 28, 2026

Rate Hikes Can't Curb Energy Inflation, only Damage Growth

BOJ & ECB can't resolve energy-driven inflation shocks with rate hikes. But it can pull forward demand destruction, lower economic growth, and soverieign debt "issues". https://t.co/TQeDyoABBd

By Samantha LaDuc
UAE Exits OPEC; Canada Should Optimize Existing Oil Assets First
SocialApr 28, 2026

UAE Exits OPEC; Canada Should Optimize Existing Oil Assets First

The Beginning of the End? UAE Leaves OPEC Message for Canada is to proceed cautiously, optimizing existing oil and LNG assets before building new ones. #cdnpoli https://markhamhislop.substack.com/p/the-beginning-of-the-end-uae-leaves

By Markham Hislop
Russia's Economy Outperforms Western Narratives; Ukraine Declines Since 2008
SocialApr 28, 2026

Russia's Economy Outperforms Western Narratives; Ukraine Declines Since 2008

Contrary to the Western press, the Russian economy has done reasonably well since 2008. Russia has held its own, while on the other hand, Ukraine's economy is worse today than in 2008. HANKE'S 95% RULE = 95% OF WHAT YOU READ IN...

By Steve Hanke
Philippines Dividend Yield Hits Record, JP Morgan to Index Bonds
SocialApr 28, 2026

Philippines Dividend Yield Hits Record, JP Morgan to Index Bonds

The Philippines' stock market is so depressed that its dividend yield is back to Lehman collapse levels. At 3.22%, the country's dividend yield is now more than two percentage points higher than the US, marking a record in a multi-decade...

By Jeff Weniger
Hormuz Insurance Remains Critical Amid Global Energy Turmoil
SocialApr 28, 2026

Hormuz Insurance Remains Critical Amid Global Energy Turmoil

⭕️UAE Exits OPEC: Implications for Global Oil Markets ⭕️Oil & LNG Tankers Transit Hormuz: What About Insurance? ⭕️The Media Hype Around Iran’s Oil Storage Situation ⭕️Aramco OSPs: Will They Lower the Premium? ⭕️Malacca Strait: The Next Flashpoint? ⭕️EU Jet Fuel Crisis: One Among Many ⭕️Vietnam to...

By Anas Alhajji
Treasury Warns Banks: Chinese Refineries Buying Iranian Oil Risk Sanctions
SocialApr 28, 2026

Treasury Warns Banks: Chinese Refineries Buying Iranian Oil Risk Sanctions

US Treasury publishes an "alert," warning banks about the sanctions risks of dealing with independent Chinese oil refineries ('teapot') due to their purchases of Iranian oil. (I have my doubts about the efficiency of the alert, considering yuan-based payment for Iranian...

By Javier Blas
OPEC Needed as Price Anchor in Dollar‑driven World
SocialApr 28, 2026

OPEC Needed as Price Anchor in Dollar‑driven World

OPEC is only needed to manage oil prices in a world where the reserve currency has no other anchor, because only a fool would sell finite oil reserves for infinite (non-gold-backed) dollars. IMO, this may be a big signal, but perhaps...

By Luke Gromen
UAE and Qatar, Both Ex‑OPEC, Deepen Energy Ties
SocialApr 28, 2026

UAE and Qatar, Both Ex‑OPEC, Deepen Energy Ties

Surely a coincidence this happened today (😇): The country leaving OPEC meets the country that left OPEC.

By Javier Blas
AI Accelerates Economic Shift: Data-Driven Insights
SocialApr 28, 2026

AI Accelerates Economic Shift: Data-Driven Insights

AI is changing the economy faster than anything before it. But what does the data actually say? Horizon Investments just dropped a great macro deck. Here are the key AI data points 🧵 https://t.co/tdY7YosR9w

By Dalius – Special Sits
Hormuz Strait Disruption Redefines Global Shipping Risks
SocialApr 28, 2026

Hormuz Strait Disruption Redefines Global Shipping Risks

Supply chain risk is global. Deutsche Welle (DW) covers how the Strait of Hormuz disruption is reshaping shipping and trade conditions. https://t.co/I1DnvYEyA5 #SupplyChain #Logistics #Geopolitics #Resilience

By Lisa Anderson
Cutting Iran's Cash Starves Militia, Despite High US Gas
SocialApr 28, 2026

Cutting Iran's Cash Starves Militia, Despite High US Gas

I'm in the camp that says there'll be a good outcome. If you go back in history and look at what really is the pain point, it's gasoline prices US domestic above $6. In order to do that, you need...

By Kevin O'Leary
Iran’s Hormuz Move Tests Japan‑US Alliance
SocialApr 28, 2026

Iran’s Hormuz Move Tests Japan‑US Alliance

The Nissho Maru broke in 1953 an oil trading embargo that the UK had unilaterally imposed on Iran. Today, another Japanese ship, also owned by the same oil refiner, exited the Strait of Hormuz. Quite the message by the Iranians —...

By Javier Blas
USDCAD Slides to Critical Support, Inflection Risk Looms
SocialApr 28, 2026

USDCAD Slides to Critical Support, Inflection Risk Looms

Canadian Dollar Forecast: USD/CAD Plunges to Key Support- Inflection Risk Builds https://t.co/LSQyqXWiUm $USDCAD Weekly Chart https://t.co/PN82OfQcjl

By Michael Boutros
Earnings Power Drives Market to New Highs Amid Conflict
SocialApr 28, 2026

Earnings Power Drives Market to New Highs Amid Conflict

Why didn't the stock market fall further in the face of a war in the Middle East and an oil price spike? Why are we already back at new all-time highs? In a word -- earnings https://t.co/qfWzRKurxU https://t.co/2MrOBldvIL

By Ben Carlson
UAE's OPEC Exit Signals Broader Regional Power Struggle
SocialApr 28, 2026

UAE's OPEC Exit Signals Broader Regional Power Struggle

uae is withdrawing from opec. what looks like energy politics is something deeper. a fight over the region’s future. @gzeromedia.com

By Ian Bremmer
Kharg Island: Predictable Choke Point in Iran's Oil Exports
SocialApr 28, 2026

Kharg Island: Predictable Choke Point in Iran's Oil Exports

Controlling Iranian oil exports was a foreseeable base case strategy (see video below). Discussing the war’s surprises and investment ideas at 2pm on @cnbc with @SullyCNBC and @KellyCNBC @vaneck_us @matthew_sigel Kharg Island is a 'choke point' for Iran's oil...

By Jan van Eck
UK Envoy Says Israel Is America's True Special Relationship
SocialApr 28, 2026

UK Envoy Says Israel Is America's True Special Relationship

America’s special relationship is ‘probably Israel’, says UK ambassador to US - https://t.co/IUN9ug0fUY via @FT

By Ashraf Laidi
US Net Worth Grew Despite Trade Deficits and Debt
SocialApr 28, 2026

US Net Worth Grew Despite Trade Deficits and Debt

"If trade deficits drain wealth from a country, Americans’ average real net worth would have fallen over the past half-century. Instead, even after accounting for growing government debt, it has risen significantly." 😮https://t.co/wSOVetCaRD https://t.co/XpLuGw8lgY

By Scott Lincicome
Markets Mirror 1990 Gulf War Oil Drawdown
SocialApr 28, 2026

Markets Mirror 1990 Gulf War Oil Drawdown

The market continues to trade along the 1990 Gulf War analog, presumably betting on a quick reversal from the current oil spike. The valuation drawdown of 18% has been a spitting image of the 19% drawdown back in 1990. Let’s...

By Jurrien Timmer
Argentina Ranks Fifth Most Miserable in 2025 Misery Index
SocialApr 28, 2026

Argentina Ranks Fifth Most Miserable in 2025 Misery Index

#ARGWatch🇦🇷: Since 2008, Argentina’s economy has STAYED IN THE TANK. The world’s biggest deadbeat ranks as the FIFTH MOST MISERABLE COUNTRY IN THE WORLD in Hanke’s 2025 Annual Misery Index. https://t.co/IeCxAgBkdB

By Steve Hanke
One‑Third of Texas Manufacturers Hurt by Iran War
SocialApr 28, 2026

One‑Third of Texas Manufacturers Hurt by Iran War

New Dallas Fed survey of Texas manufacturers finds 34.8% of them have already been harmed by the Iran war, while only 11.1% have benefited. https://t.co/CsufgIXUuK https://t.co/BtxluTws5f

By Scott Lincicome
Trimmed Mean Inflation Reveals Rising Price Pressures
SocialApr 28, 2026

Trimmed Mean Inflation Reveals Rising Price Pressures

Latest from @_vikasbp & me: So You Want to Talk About Trimmed Mean Inflation? Warsh has latched onto trimmed mean PCE as his favored gauge If the goal isn't just cherry picking, word to the wise: trimmed mean also signals elevated & rising...

By Skanda Amarnath
Demand Collapse, Not Supply, Drives Oil Market Shock
SocialApr 28, 2026

Demand Collapse, Not Supply, Drives Oil Market Shock

UAE leaving OPEC to pump more won’t save this market. Demand will break before supply does. Even with Hormuz open, we’re not going back to “normal.” This isn’t Kansas, Toto—it’s the other side of the shock to end all shocks. https://t.co/iSdVUiOkGq #OOTT...

By Art Berman Blog
UAE Exits OPEC to Boost Production, Accept Lower Prices
SocialApr 28, 2026

UAE Exits OPEC to Boost Production, Accept Lower Prices

REACTION COLUMN: Why is the UAE leaving OPEC? The announcement has little to do with the US-Iran war; the exit road started in Riyadh, with a detour in Texas. It's all about the UAE wanting to pump more oil, even at the...

By Javier Blas
ECB Inaction Could Erode Short‑term Euro Bond Yields
SocialApr 28, 2026

ECB Inaction Could Erode Short‑term Euro Bond Yields

If the ECB does not deliver the almost 70 basis points, or 0.7 percentage points, of rate hikes that markets expect this year, the current yields on short-term European government bonds may not stick around https://t.co/QLIVYNAWdI https://t.co/Te5FjKUzWR

By Zöe Schneeweiss
Swap Lines Reveal Preference for USD Over De‑Dollarization Pain
SocialApr 28, 2026

Swap Lines Reveal Preference for USD Over De‑Dollarization Pain

The existence of Swap Lines is all the proof you need that countries would rather deal with the Pain of being beholden to the USD system than to deal with the Pain that De-Dollarization requires. https://t.co/ejftsuboEK

By Brent Johnson
BOJ's Non‑hawkish Stance Forces USD/JPY to 160
SocialApr 28, 2026

BOJ's Non‑hawkish Stance Forces USD/JPY to 160

Some comical headlines post-BOJ meeting. Absolutely nothing about the meeting was hawkish. They have to let 160 USDJPY go. https://t.co/aakxIf0ppd

By Quinn Thompson
2022‑23 Market Gains ~20% Real Return, No Bubble
SocialApr 28, 2026

2022‑23 Market Gains ~20% Real Return, No Bubble

Since the beginning of 2022, the stock market is up a little over 20% adjusted for inflation. That's a decent return but hardly in bubble territory. https://t.co/u8xJ9WpKcw

By Eddy Elfenbein
Bolivia’s Misery Jumps to 28th, Urging Dollarization
SocialApr 28, 2026

Bolivia’s Misery Jumps to 28th, Urging Dollarization

In Hanke’s 2025 Annual Misery Index, Bolivia ranks as the 28TH MOST MISERABLE COUNTRY GLOBALLY. Bolivia is 2025’S BIGGEST DETERIORATION, collapsing from 75th most miserable in 2024 to 28th out of 178 countries in 2025. BOLIVIA = DOLLARIZATION OVERDUE. https://t.co/CWv1vi9uVc

By Steve Hanke
China’s Housing Collapse Erases Two Decades of Savings
SocialApr 28, 2026

China’s Housing Collapse Erases Two Decades of Savings

I meant what I said: China is terrified of a global recession, and if Iran doesn’t capitulate, that’s exactly what we’ll get. Chinese home prices, representing the savings of the Chinese people, have erased all the gains of the past...

By Dror Poleg
Prevailing Belief: 5% Inflation From GFC to Pre‑Covid
SocialApr 28, 2026

Prevailing Belief: 5% Inflation From GFC to Pre‑Covid

Pretty wild that from the GFC through pre-Covid, folks thought inflation would be 5% https://t.co/NTWRmpY7nk

By Mike Zaccardi