Know What's Happening in Commodities
Know What's Happening in Commodities
OPEC+ agrees modest oil quota increase amid Middle East war
OPEC+ members agreed in principle to raise production quotas for May by roughly 206,000 barrels per day, a symbolic adjustment as the war constrains output and shipments. Saudi Arabia and Russia led the video‑conference decision, signaling alliance cohesion despite the geopolitical shock.
India's foreign exchange reserves fell $11.4 bn to $698 bn in the week ended March 20, driven by a $13.5 bn plunge in gold holdings as global prices slipped 10%. The decline pushed the rupee to fresh record lows and raised questions about the RBI’s future market support.
I’m sure higher energy prices, higher interest rates, and ongoing wars will go a long way in solving the problem of getting mines to produce the metals we desperately need. The world still underestimates the scale of the problem: A lack of...
The provided source material does not contain any information about Asian refiners changing US crude pricing benchmarks from Dubai to Brent, nor about related Middle East supply volatility. Consequently, specific facts, figures, or participant quotes are unavailable.
A market alert warning of a $930 million hit to the quantum‑computing sector has pushed IonQ, Rigetti and D‑Wave shares down. The warning stems from a helium supply crunch caused by the Iran‑U.S. conflict, which threatens the low‑temperature environments needed for...
China rejected three Indian rice shipments over alleged GMO contamination, signaling heightened trade friction. India is weighing "floor and ceiling" price clauses for key fertilizers as global prices surge and monsoon planting looms. Meanwhile, half of the nation’s 166 major...
Higher oil prices spurred by the Middle East conflict are prompting Citi to predict a resurgence in U.S. shale drilling later this year, with an expected output boost of more than 100,000 barrels per day by 2027. The bank’s forward‑curve...
The Iran‑Israel‑U.S. war has pushed Brent crude to about $120 a barrel, shut 20% of global oil flow through the Strait of Hormuz and sparked warnings that soaring energy costs could tip the United States toward recession. The crisis is...
The BSE Sensex slid 1,690 points (2.25%) to 73,583 and the NSE Nifty dropped 487 points (2.09%) to 22,820 as the US‑Iran conflict pushed Brent crude above $100 a barrel. Foreign Institutional Investors dumped roughly Rs 1,805 cr crore (≈ $217 million) of Indian...
U.S. forces have intensified drone operations in the Iran conflict, with a noticeable rise in autonomous surface drone chatter, though the Pentagon has not released details on the deployment of Ukrainian‑style boat drones. The uptick coincides with broader AI‑driven weapons...
The 1973‑74 Arab oil embargo and the 1978‑79 Iranian revolution caused oil prices to quadruple, triggering severe gasoline shortages and reshaping global financial markets. Those shocks redirected capital flows and solidified the U.S. dollar as the world’s primary reserve currency....
Oil prices surged after the United States and Israel struck Iranian nuclear sites, with Brent climbing 4.2% to $112.57 a barrel and WTI jumping 5.5% to $99.64. At the same time, equity markets slipped, the S&P 500 closing 1.7% lower and...
China will open nickel and lithium futures to foreign investors, aiming to strengthen global metals pricing power. https://www.metalnomist.com/2026/03/china-nickel-and-lithium-futures.html
Oil prices jumped on March 27 as traders grew skeptical about a cease‑fire in the month‑long Iran conflict. Brent crude rose 4.2% to $112.57 a barrel and WTI gained 5.5% to $99.64. Since the February 27 strikes, Brent is up...
♦️It’s important to remember where we stood in early February compared to now. ♦️Here’s why: 🔹Before the Hormuz crisis, the expectation was for Brent crude to remain range-bound in the $60s, with only occasional spikes. 🔹Once the dust settles — a couple...
Trump delays Iran attacks to 6 April, but Strait of Hormuz risk keeps oil and supply chains on edge. https://www.metalnomist.com/2026/03/trump-delays-iran-attacks-as-strait-of.html
Gold prices in India rebounded sharply, climbing over ₹17,500 to ₹147,270 per 10 gm (≈ $1,775) after a weekly low of ₹129,595 (≈ $1,562). Internationally, COMEX gold held above $4,500 per ounce but posted a 1.85% weekly decline. The rally was fueled by...
Many are attributing the fall in precious metals to rising real interest rates. That's wrong. Real rates (red) have fallen. The rise in nominal interest rates (black) is all about break-even inflation (blue) rising. That's fundamentally good for gold... https://t.co/5amZtGPz0B https://t.co/t11fMQc7JV
Many things are happening simultaneously. War in the Middle East is spiking oil prices, gold has fallen and all the uncertainty is pushing up long bond yields, like in Japan where they're back to the highs. I'll talk about all...
Analysts cautioned that ongoing swings in crude‑oil prices are weighing on U.S. equities, sending the Dow Jones down 337 points and pushing Brent crude futures above $100 a barrel. The volatility stems from renewed Middle‑East tensions, including a strike on...
Many such cases 🇺🇸 🚢 Asian and European LNG buyers are chasing the limited number of shipments still available from US suppliers after the world’s largest export plant in Qatar was shut Importers from Japan and Germany are among those in...
Germany will review whether to reactivate standby coal-fired power plants in an effort to reduce energy prices that have been elevated since the war in the Middle East https://t.co/xhEPnaeGOJ via @petrasorge https://t.co/v9EoTYKA9F
U.S. President Donald Trump extended the deadline for a potential Iran energy deal to April 6, pausing attacks on Iranian energy sites. The move pulled Brent crude down to about $105‑$108 a barrel and WTI to $92‑$94, marking the steepest weekly...
No military operation or policy can replace 20% of global oil supply At some point, price stops listening to narratives, says @JasonBordoff End of discussion #Oil #EnergyMarkets #Hormuz #Geopolitics
PODCAST: What’s next for oil, natural gas and the U.S.-Iran war? A great pleasure to join a special edition of the #ColumbiaEnergyExchange podcast with host @JasonBordoff to discuss how supply disruptions are reverberating across the industry. 🎧Listen now: https://t.co/Nfa3nQ6UWm
Asian equities fell sharply Friday as the Iran‑Israel war intensified, pushing Brent crude above $100 a barrel and triggering the worst Wall Street session since the conflict began. Japan, South Korea and Hong Kong led the declines, while bond yields...
Unlikely, IMHO. On pre-war path we were still 5+ years away from the likely global peak of oil consumption. But if the crisis extends high prices for years, and accelerates switching to electric transport, that will accelerate. Too soon to...
Nearby Brent Crude Oil Futures made a new closing high today. Up 59% since the war began. https://t.co/659nwQCHcc
Global oil prices surged past $100 a barrel after the Iran war intensified, prompting UBS analysts to warn of higher US inflation expectations and a possible slowdown in consumer spending. The spike is already reverberating through supply chains, fuel markets...
Gas prices in Europe are running 50-70% above normal, and the Qatar LNG facility attack hit infrastructure will take decades to rebuild. @8eanmurray from @fuseenergy says markets are pricing this as a blip. He thinks they're wrong. @Steven_Ehrlich @bitsandbips https://t.co/DwMsHVSFmY
Feels to me like the effects of Ukrainian attacks on Russian oil and diesel export capacity is underappreciated by the market.
The Australian dollar and New Zealand dollar fell to their lowest levels in about two months on Thursday, pressured by a sharp rise in fuel prices and a broader slowdown in commodity demand linked to the war in the Middle...
Japan announced a temporary lift of coal‑plant operating caps, the EU urged member states to refill gas storage ahead of winter, and the United States paused attacks on Iranian energy sites, causing Brent to slip to $107.11 a barrel. The...
At CERAWeek in Houston, industry leaders highlighted a rapid shift from coal to natural gas in power generation. The discussion, led by coal specialist Ernie Thrasher of XCoal, underscored falling coal demand, tighter coal‑gas price spreads, and mounting regulatory pressure...
Gold and Silver Paradigm everyone is ignoring; The correlation that everyone trades on—Oil up, Gold down—just got deleted. And if you don't understand what happens when Gold stops caring about yields, you're about to miss the biggest move of Q2.
The global oil market absorbed the shock of the largest supply disruption in history – the closure of the Strait of Hormuz – thanks to pre‑war inventory cushions. For roughly four weeks, prices remained muted as surplus stocks and strategic...
It’s official. Agricultural commodities have broken through a nearly 20-year resistance level. I expect this move to accelerate from here. When energy moves, agriculture tends to follow — it’s a natural lag in the macro setup. Be mindful of the social and political consequences...
Markets are disconnected from the physical reality of the Iran War energy crisis, writes @Nadav_Eyal Oil is not clearing but markets are being held together by misleading narratives Once reality is understood, markets will panic.
Brent crude futures surged into the weekend, climbing roughly 5% to around $85 a barrel, the highest level in several months. The rally was driven by lingering supply worries as the war in the Middle East shows no sign of...
Food cost will increase 60-100% because of the fertilizer crisis Right now it’s a cost problem. Within weeks, it becomes a supply problem. Within months, it becomes a yield problem. https://t.co/2wsjnUcnaH #EnergyCrisis #FoodSecurity #Fertilizer #Inflation #Geopolitics
The facilities in Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE, and Oman account for roughly 9% of global primary aluminum. This is going to tighten supply for many key global industries like construction, vehicles, and aerospace. #aluminum #iranwar #geopolitics https://t.co/qO2ERCGHMN
April Nymex natural gas futures rose 9.6 cents to close at $3.095 per MMBtu, while the May contract, set to become the prompt‑month contract on Monday, gained 9.7 cents to $3.025. Gelber & Associates noted that prices below $3 continue to draw...
New at THE OVERSHOOT: Russia's Iran War Windfall in Perspective https://t.co/YgLaalkQxU As long as financial sanctions and export controls remain in place, the aggressor's gains from higher oil and gas prices will be limited. https://t.co/MWwrDIs9pR
The Iran war has crippled Middle East production/shipments of fertilitizer and upstream inputs, threatening global food supplies. That could be bad for rich countries - and disastrous for poor ones. https://t.co/YLuPd0NrWM https://t.co/FPLfLjAOYy
The EPA finalized the 2026‑2027 Renewable Fuel Standard, setting the largest biomass‑based diesel volume ever approved. Grain markets reacted sharply negative, with futures dropping as traders processed the news. Analysts suggest the decline stems from uncertainty about future RFS targets...
🛢️ OIL & IRAN WAR CONTEXT WEEKLY 🛢️ Crude prices rose modestly on the week after recovering from a Trump jawbone-driven rout on Monday given no real resolution to the Hormuz stoppage, and term structure keeps getting tighter. Summary below, link to...
Gold and silver surged today while the S&P 500 fell nearly 800 points and crude oil breached $100 per barrel, breaking the recent pattern where rising oil and falling stocks dragged precious metals lower. The Gold‑to‑Oil ratio, which had been...
The Iran‑Israel conflict has choked the Strait of Hormuz, curtailing roughly a third of global fertilizer shipments and sending U.S. fertilizer prices up 40% since the fall. The squeeze is already raising production costs for farmers and is expected to...
Hey @PeterSchiff I am giving it a 75% probability that this week's low or maybe slightly lower will be the low for Gold for years to come https://t.co/tXbWvueWh7
This week, New Orleans granular urea prices, the most common nitrogen fertilizer, spiked to their HIGHEST LEVEL since September 2022. THIS HITS FARMERS HARD. It comes right before the spring planting season. FARMERS CAN SEND THE BILL TO TRUMP & NETANYAHU. https://t.co/5Kv6ZSVIjM
UK homeowners are accelerating the shift away from fossil fuels as energy price spikes tied to the US‑Israel‑Iran conflict drive demand for solar panels, heat pumps, and electric‑vehicle chargers. Octopus Energy reported record March enquiries, with solar sales up 54%...
