Know What's Happening in Commodities
Know What's Happening in Commodities
Ireland launches €250M relief package as heating oil prices double
Heating oil prices in Ireland surged from about $545 to over $1,090 per fill within a month amid the Middle East conflict. The government responded with a €250 million ($273 million) relief package that includes excise cuts and a diesel rebate, though experts say a national energy‑security strategy is still lacking.
Also developing:
By the numbers: Oil majors acquire $164M of Alaska oil leases
The U.S. Energy Information Administration cut its Henry Hub natural‑gas price forecast to about $3.80 per MMBtu, a 13 % reduction from the previous month’s outlook. The agency also projects the 2027 average price near $3.90 per MMBtu, despite recent price spikes linked to heightened tensions in Iran. The forward curve still shows notable volatility through 2028, with peaks above $5.00 per MMBtu early next year and subsequent declines. The revision reflects expectations of ample supply and moderated demand growth.
Europe continues to dominate U.S. liquefied natural gas (LNG) shipments, absorbing the majority of cargoes despite a tightening Asian market. The recent Middle East conflict has slashed regional energy exports, reducing the incentive for U.S. producers to divert LNG to...
Gasoline prices jumped 25% since the January low, reaching $3.63 per gallon—the highest level since June 2024, while diesel surged 40% to $4.86, its highest since October 2022. The spike is driven largely by station profit‑margin adjustments rather than a supply crunch,...
Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Nasser warned that the Iran‑Israel‑U.S. war could trigger a catastrophic shock to global oil markets if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed. The conflict has already halted up to 20% of world petroleum trade, pushed Brent...
Gasoline and diesel prices across ASEAN vary widely, with Singapore topping the list at roughly $2.84 per litre and Indonesia and Malaysia offering sub‑$0.60 rates thanks to subsidies. Market‑driven economies such as the Philippines, Vietnam and Thailand see prices track...
Fastmarkets announced it will change the publication frequency of its US delivered tin price assessment (MB‑SN‑0011) from monthly to quarterly, beginning with the April 7, 2026 assessment. The shift follows internal reviews and market consultations that highlighted low spot liquidity...
The Philippines Department of Agriculture approved a 250,000‑metric‑ton fish import program set to begin in August 2026, aiming to fill domestic supply gaps and keep prices stable. The plan reserves 10,000 MT for the government‑run Kadiwa program, allocates 80% to commercial...
What a chart. Gas prices are now $3.54, up more than 55 cents since before the war in Iran began. This is the highest gas price ever under President Trump (including his first term). This is effectively a $25/mo. tax on most households....
Bank of America’s technical strategist Paul Ciana labeled Monday’s $120‑per‑barrel Brent surge as a "peak panic" episode that likely marks a short‑term price ceiling. He projects Brent to consolidate between $90 and $110 in the medium term, while acknowledging that...
Marex warns that a three‑month shutdown of the Strait of Hormuz would erode the average current‑account balance of Gulf states by 3.8% of GDP. Bahrain, lacking alternative export routes, would see its surplus flip to a 3.2% deficit, while Saudi...
Geopolitical tension in the Strait of Hormuz has triggered a dramatic spike in spot LNG charter rates, soaring 600% to about $300,000 per day, the highest since the 2022 gas crisis. Analysts estimate a potential 20% reduction in global LNG...
Canadian canola exports are heavily dependent on the United States, with 78% of oil shipments projected for 2025 and 66% of meal exports in 2024. The joint review of the Canada‑U.S‑Mexico Agreement (CUSMA) begins July 1, and the U.S. is conducting...
Natural gas inventories in major consuming regions ended February in significant deficits despite robust production and near‑normal overall storage. The East is 17% below its seasonal average, the Midwest 16% short, and the South Central also lagging. These regional shortfalls...
The Iran‑Israel war has triggered Tehran to ban all goods and agricultural exports, instantly inflating prices in neighboring Turkmenistan. Mandarins, apples and cigarettes have roughly doubled, squeezing pensioners and low‑income consumers. Central Asian economies, which depend on Iranian transit corridors...
President Donald Trump’s claim that the U.S.–Israel‑Iran war will end soon helped reverse a sharp oil rally, pulling Brent crude down more than 7% to around $92 a barrel. Iran vowed to halt all Gulf oil exports, while attacks on...
Global markets rallied as Saudi Aramco activated the East‑West pipeline, restoring roughly 70% of its crude exports—about 5 million barrels per day—despite Gulf shipping disruptions. The move eased fears of a major oil supply shock, keeping WTI near $90 and lifting...
Tin prices surged to a projected $54,925 per ton for the week of March 9‑14 2026, according to the DRC’s National Market Commission, while Boursorama data on March 10 showed a daily dip to $48,275 per ton, underscoring sharp volatility. The metal’s small...
Silver is approaching $90 again — this time from a much more oversold level. Notice what’s happening across the commodity complex: Capital keeps rotating from one resource to another. While the market’s attention is fixated on the current flavor of the month...
Oil markets saw a dramatic intraday swing, spiking to nearly $120 per barrel before plunging over 30% to the low $80s as fears of an Iran‑related supply shock receded. The Department of Justice charged two Pennsylvania men with an ISIS‑inspired...
Oil prices surged past the $100‑a‑barrel benchmark over the weekend as tensions escalated in Iran, prompting panic across markets. G7 nations quickly pledged to tap strategic reserves and President Trump’s reassurance helped pull prices back, allowing major indexes to close...
Oil prices surged past $100 per barrel before reversing sharply, marking what analysts call the most epic price reversal in oil history. The swing was driven by mixed signals about the U.S.–Iran conflict, including President Trump's comments and hopes of...
Futures across several markets, including agriculture, opened weaker as energy prices corrected following President Trump’s remarks that the Iran conflict may be winding down. Crude fell nearly $8 per barrel amid expectations of strategic reserve releases and possible easing of...
Massive Short Cleansing or New Bull Market? Crude May Follow Gas - The invisible hand can be quite efficient in autocorrelated commodities, and crude oil and corn producers may have just received a chance to hedge and bring on more...
Did December Corn Peak Near $5? Corn's $5-a-bushel ceiling may have solidified due to the Iran war. When December corn (Dec26) began trading in 2022 at about the same price as on March 9 near $4.85 a bushel, US ending stocks...
Oil is trading at just 26% of its 1950 post‑war real value, making it exceptionally cheap despite a nominal price that has multiplied 38 times since then. The only period it was cheaper in real terms was during the Covid‑19...
Oil production around Kirkuk, in Iraqi Kurdistan, is connected to global markets via a pipeline to the Turkish port of Ceyhan This is Iraq’s only crude supply that can bypass the currently-closed Strait of Hormuz Shut-ins in the Basra area by the...
What impact will closing the Strait of Hormuz have? ING takes a guess featured in the Chartbook Top Links of today. https://t.co/aiQTNxvQMb
“Precious metals surge as the war ends.” Bizarre, to say the least. Very solid move in miners and Latin American stocks today. Also worth noting: Oil and gas equities remain remarkably resilient despite the volatility in energy prices. None of us own enough hard...
Most of the crude that ships out of the Strait of Hormuz is medium-to-heavy sour Western Canadian Select at Houston vs WTI, which reflects a clean light-heavy quality differential, had weakened (widened) on Venezuela reentering the USGC market—Hormuz closure entirely reversed...
You didn't have to be a genius to look at the extreme backwardation in the Futures curve for crude oil to call the current price spike temporary, and overdone. #CrudeOil
Japan becomes the second country to lock in a NdPr price floor. Countries seem to recognise the issue with rare earths but equity investors seem not to... https://t.co/5GI3bRV7K3
World corn stocks come in above expectations on larger crops in Brazil and Ukraine. Slight downward adjustment in wheat stocks and minimal movement in soybeans. Chinese soy/corn/wheat demand assumptions were unchanged. https://t.co/nknz514GTs
Today's market response thus far about as calm as they come for a monthly crop report. #oatt
If you are bullish crude on reescalation, this is the buy zone .. Equilibrium in CL1 should be 83/92 .. Single prints yesterday on trump comments in the 91/92 area. Below $75 (the first Sunday gap when the war started)...
World #corn stocks rise by nearly 4 mmt in today's WASDE report from USDA #oatt
USDA made no changes to U.S. #corn, #soybean, or #wheat ending stocks estimates today. #oatt
USDA left Brazil #soybean crop unchanged at 180 mmt, raised its #corn crop 1 mmt to 132 mmt, Cut Argentina's corn 1 mmt to 52 mmt, while cutting soybeans 0.5 mmt to 48.0 mmt #oatt
CHART OF THE DAY: We Remain Long Of Precious Metals Which Continue To Smoke US Stocks https://t.co/6qnn1dwo1s via @hedgeye
INDIA GAS SHORTAGE 🇮🇳 ⚠️ India invoked emergency powers to redirect LPG away from industrial users to households LNG supplies to petrochemical and power plants are being curbed The crisis in the Middle East is throttling India’s LPG and LNG supply https://t.co/ujn00XTSnf
🇨🇳China imported 12.55 million metric tons of soybeans in Jan-Feb, the smallest volume for the period in 7 years. The Brazilian harvest was slower, U.S. cargoes were still en route and customs clearing times were extended. Expectations for March are...
🚨 Call options on oil DO NOT indicate significant interest above $120/barrel. signals optimism oil-price rise may be contained. https://t.co/nlL7YR1ZsA
This isn’t over and the current market reaction, by reducing pressure on Trump, is only elongating the duration of the crisis and the physical disruption through the Strait of Hormuz. https://t.co/bMeee4CJjz
Today @IEA hosted a G7 Energy Ministers Meeting, chaired by Minister Roland Lescure of France, on the current oil & gas market situation We will hold an extraordinary meeting of IEA Member governments later today to assess market conditions My statement: https://t.co/ViR4Zc4Mhv...
Yesterday was day 8 of the war. The national average of gas prices is up 54 cents (18%) since it started. Prices were up 6 cents yesterday. https://t.co/gCWn8VQcNz
USDA's March WASDE is due at 11 am CDT on Tuesday. On average, the trade isn't looking for any significant supply changes at the U.S. or world level, but there is a downside lean to the soybean crop in South...
Trump yesterday said war will be over soon. Oil tumbled. As I signaled over the weekend, better to steer clear of the frenzy around oil and focus on EM differentiation. That theme's only been traded for a few days and...
My comments on oil's reax to Trump's Iran war declarations in conversation with @AJEnglish earlier today.
$WTI hit $111 intraday. Pulled back to $97. Still up 70%+ YTD. Markets priced in a ceasefire that hasn't happened. The Strait of Hormuz is still closed. Unpopular opinion: the high for oil is not in yet. https://t.co/Ag4wJnGVhR
As strikes shake the Middle East and oil prices soar, what are the global ramifications of the US and Israel’s conflict with Iran? 🎥 Tune in LIVE as @TimOBrien discusses with @JavierBlas and @MarcChampion1 Tuesday, March 10 @ 8:30 am EDT...
8 experts express their views about current oil market conditions. 👇👇👇👇 click on the link, then change the language in your browser.
