Know What's Happening in Global Economy
Know What's Happening in Global Economy
Global Economy Pulse
EMAIL DIGESTS
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Every morning
Weekly
Tuesday recap
EMAIL DIGESTS
Daily
Every morning
Weekly
Tuesday recap
Foreign investors hold over $35 trillion in U.S. assets amid market turbulence
Foreign investors now control more than $35 trillion in U.S. stocks and bonds, up from roughly $31 trillion a year earlier. Despite the April 2025 tariff‑driven market dip, they added about $1.5 trillion in net purchases, signaling continued confidence in the U.S. financial system.
Police in London arrested 92 pro‑Palestinian demonstrators during a sit‑down protest in Trafalgar Square, where activists displayed placards supporting the proscribed group Palestine Action. The group was designated a terrorist organisation last July, carrying a maximum 14‑year prison term for membership or support. A High Court ruling in February deemed the ban unlawful for infringing free‑speech rights, prompting a brief pause in arrests before the Metropolitan Police resumed them in late March. The government has secured leave to appeal and a blanket review of related cases is slated for July 30.
With sanctions on Russia being temporarily lifted, India is importing Russian oil at the highest level since June 2023.
A Trase study finds the $47 billion Brazil‑China agricultural corridor generates a quarter of all deforestation risk embedded in global commodity supply chains. The analysis pinpoints 73 Brazilian municipalities responsible for 75% of that risk, offering a narrow focus for policy...
Governments and private investors are committing billions of dollars to rare‑earth mining and processing projects outside China, aiming to secure supply chains for defense and clean‑tech. Analysts warn that the rapid build‑out, especially in U.S. magnet capacity, could outpace demand...
World Bank President Ajay Banga warned that the Iran‑Israel war could cut global GDP growth by as much as one percentage point and lift inflation in emerging economies to as high as 6.7%. The bank’s latest forecasts now see growth...
The USD/CAD pair climbed back to around 1.3833 on Friday, trimming earlier losses as optimism around a US‑Iran cease‑fire tempered dollar strength. The move came despite a 0.9% month‑over‑month jump in US CPI and a modest rebound in Canadian employment,...
U.S. equities surged for an eighth consecutive session on Tuesday, driven by a core CPI reading that missed expectations. The S&P 500 closed up 0.2% to 6,825, marking a 3.6% weekly gain, as investors weighed lower‑than‑expected core inflation against lingering...
Silver jumped more than 5% to $76.70 per ounce on April 8, its highest level since March 18, after the United States and Iran agreed to a two‑week ceasefire. The truce eased energy‑driven inflation worries, softened rate‑rise expectations and highlighted...
China's mainland and Hong Kong stock markets rose after Reuters reported data indicating that a stretch of industrial deflation may be winding down. The rally reflects renewed optimism that weaker factory output and price declines are abating, offering a new...
President Donald Trump announced that large, empty oil tankers are sailing to U.S. ports to load what he called the nation’s "sweetest" crude, highlighting domestic supply depth as the Strait of Hormuz remains shut. The claim comes as WTI crude...
Forties Blend, the North Sea spot crude benchmark, spiked to $147 per barrel on April 10, 2026, creating a $50 premium over Brent futures. The record premium reflects lingering logistical constraints around the Strait of Hormuz despite a U.S.-Iran ceasefire,...
My maternal grandfather was a house servant in Mumbai. Every time he had to send money back home to my grandmother and kids, he had to walk 3-4 km to reach the nearest post office. Home was a small village...
Disruptions to oil and gas flows, especially the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, are prompting Asian and European nations to revive coal as a quick‑fix energy source. Global coal consumption has risen by roughly 1.3 billion tons since 2020, driven...
Author Willem Middelkoop argues that early 2026 events have confirmed and accelerated his 2013 “Big Reset” thesis. He contends the debt‑laden, dollar‑centric monetary system is collapsing, prompting gold to re‑emerge as a monetary anchor and the U.S. dollar to lose...
Afreximbank warns that a surge in coups and political unrest across Africa is driving capital flight and eroding investor confidence. Its 2026 African Trade and Economic Outlook notes that foreign direct investment plunged 42% to $28 billion in the first half...
India’s trade with West Asia totals $220 billion in FY 25, but imports—especially energy—far outpace exports, creating a sizable deficit. Ongoing tensions in the region have already lifted logistics costs and inflation, with the report estimating that each $10 per barrel rise...
Global funds have withdrawn $18.84 bn from Indian equities in just over three months, breaking the previous record set in 2025. The outflows are driven by an energy shock from the US‑Iran war and a perception that AI‑linked economies offer stronger...
India’s Finance Ministry has sharply increased the windfall levy on export‑bound diesel to ₹55.5 per litre (about $0.67) from ₹21.5 per litre, a 158% rise, and raised the levy on aviation turbine fuel (ATF) to ₹42 per litre (≈$0.51) from...
President Donald Trump posted that U.S. forces have begun clearing the Strait of Hormuz, asserting that all 28 Iranian mine‑dropping boats have been sunk. He reiterated claims that American actions have crippled Iran’s navy, air force, ballistic‑missile and nuclear programs....
Hedge funds (non‑commercial speculators) have deepened their bearish bets on long‑duration Treasuries, pushing net short positions in 10‑year note futures to 823.6 k contracts—a 5% weekly rise—and expanding 30‑year shorts to 59 k, up 86% week‑over‑week. In commodities, they remain net long...
https://t.co/BrBdceeoER Interesting take by Bloomberg: A US destroyer was seen moving from Fujairah toward the waterway, Iran’s semi-official Fars news agency said separately. Iran’s armed forces monitored it and conveyed this to the US via Pakistani mediators, the news agency said. The US vessel...
Ford has turned a persistent loss streak in China into a profit by pivoting from domestic sales to exporting vehicles built in the country. A brutal price war, driven by a market that is now roughly 50% new‑energy vehicles, has...
Senior Iranian officials and senior U.S. representatives convened in Islamabad on Saturday, marking the first trilateral talks aimed at ending the Middle East war that has disrupted global markets. The Iranian delegation, led by parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, met...
The week pivots on high‑stakes US‑Iran talks in Islamabad, which could determine whether a fragile two‑week ceasefire survives amid ongoing Middle‑East tensions. Meanwhile, the US earnings season kicks off with FactSet projecting a 13.2% year‑over‑year EPS gain for the S&P 500...
Zambia’s cabinet approved a revised 2026 budget to offset revenue pressures linked to the Middle East conflict. The government has temporarily suspended value‑added tax, customs and excise duties on fuel imports, even as global fuel prices continue to climb. The...
The U.S. Court of International Trade heard oral arguments on two lawsuits challenging President Donald Trump’s Section 122 emergency tariffs, filed by 24 state attorneys general and the Liberty Justice Center. The cases question whether a trade deficit can justify the...
Moody's Investors Service maintained Ghana's sovereign rating at Caa1 while revising the outlook from stable to positive. The agency highlighted lower domestic financing costs but warned that exchange‑rate swings and commodity‑price volatility remain key risks for the cedi and debt...
Taiwan’s Kuomintang chair Cheng Li-wun met Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing – the first such encounter in over a decade – as the island’s $40 billion special defense budget stalls and a $14 billion U.S. arms package hangs in limbo. The...
When Parabolic Gold Peaks, Stocks Typically Drop The stock market tends to decline when gold peaks from high-velocity rallies. Will it be different this time? My graphic highlights the metal rolling over from its greatest premium to the 20-quarter moving average...
Another round of negotiations between the US and Iran will be held tonight or tomorrow in Pakistan, per Iranian state affiliated media.
U.S. gasoline prices leapt 21% in March, the largest monthly increase in six decades, as the Iran war disrupted oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz. The surge drove consumer inflation to 3.3% year‑over‑year, raising concerns for the Federal Reserve...
From Liberation Day thru the Strait of Hormuz, is global trade and its supply chains being redefined, redirected, and reduced? And by how much? Supply chain risk mitigation or kicking the can down the road? And logistics? https://t.co/3oxe5s4MVA
Reuters reports that Iranian sources have indicated that the US has agreed to release Iranian frozen assets. The ill-advised, counter-productive international sanctions regime is being DISMANTLED. IT'S ABOUT TIME. https://t.co/AMcZpe0Vwr
Emirates Global Aluminum (EGA), the Gulf’s largest aluminium producer, has declared force majeure on portions of its contract book after Iranian missile and drone strikes damaged its Al Taweelah smelter, forcing a shutdown. The outage removes roughly 4% of global aluminium...
The Fed has been putting out research reports trying to assess how much goods inflation can be attributed to the tariffs. https://t.co/F4ND6acO1f https://t.co/a0LGrXd9pw
China added 1,514 GW of power capacity in 4 years. The US added just 161 GW. ENERGY CAPACITY = GEOPOLITICAL POWER. https://t.co/mIUmWJOAqL
US Vice President JD Vance led an American delegation to Islamabad for high‑stakes peace talks with senior Iranian officials aimed at ending the Iran war. The talks are being held at the luxury Serena Hotel, a 15‑acre, 400‑room property known...
I wonder what Trump will do when he realizes that selling U.S. oil overseas raises gas prices here. I assume no one will ever tell him.
What Does This Ceasefire Actually Mean? Once again, we've found ourselves in a chaotic and contradictory situation. The U.S.-Iran ceasefire is shaping up to be one big cluster. #iranwar #geopolitics
Britain announced it is pausing legislation to transfer sovereignty of the Chagos Islands to Mauritius after President Donald Trump publicly condemned the agreement. The deal would have allowed the UK to retain the strategic Diego Garcia air base on a...
Dating back to the pandemic, the world is again learning of supply chains. But the lessons/takeaways if and when the Strait of Hormuz is opened? As free passage or a toll for Iran.
Fertilizer flows from the Gulf continue to be disrupted. THE US-ISRAELI WAR ON IRAN = MAJOR DAMAGE. https://t.co/jiYKxSmV7U
India’s commerce minister Piyush Goyal held a virtual meeting with Saudi Trade Minister Majid bin Abdullah Al Qassabi to reinforce supply‑chain links amid disruptions from the West Asia crisis. The dialogue, part of broader talks with UAE, Bahrain and Kuwait, highlighted...
Let’s look on the bright side—all else equal, this probably reduced the odds Trump imposed an oil export ban.
The Strait of Hormuz isn’t “closed.” It’s worse than that. Shipping isn’t returning. Energy flows are broken. Confidence is gone. Dispatch 107 - Hormuz Reality Check, is out now. Exclusive to gCaptain Club Members: https://t.co/k7iXw2TSrB
India’s fisheries exports have jumped from roughly Rs 60,000 crore (about $7.2 billion) to Rs 68,000 crore ($8.2 billion), a 25% increase, after the United States imposed new tariffs. Union Minister Satya Pal Singh Baghel announced the growth at the second National Veterinary, Dairy and Fisheries Symposium in Nagpur...
Evidence @federalreserve denies to go down in history as greatest policy error in history. To defend a political assault, they’ve abdicated a sworn duty to make monetary policy in the “public interest.” Perhaps a fuller explanation is warranted followed by doing...
The Iran war has triggered a sharp surge in global fuel prices, pushing U.S. gasoline costs up 21% and sparking the steepest inflation rise in nearly four years. Consumer confidence in the United States and Canada has slumped to record...
We’ve seen this movie before, but not on the same technology. In the 1970s, an oil shock made America poorer overall. Today we’re far more energy self-sufficient, so the big story is less national collapse and more who gets stuck...
Capital flight of the Athlete class is something Ive spoken about. £2.1bn from EPL alone in tax receipts from a very small number of people.
